Announcement

**Udog** · 12-01-2009, 09:56 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

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Thursday, December 3

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OREGON ST (8 - 3) at OREGON (9 - 2) - 12/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
OREGON ST is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
OREGON ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (3 - 8) at W KENTUCKY (0 - 11) - 12/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ARKANSAS ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 4

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OHIO U (9 - 3) vs. C MICHIGAN (10 - 2) - 12/4/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 5

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S FLORIDA (7 - 4) at CONNECTICUT (6 - 5) - 12/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
CONNECTICUT is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (8 - 3) at RUTGERS (8 - 3) - 12/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (7 - 4) at ILLINOIS (3 - 8) - 12/5/2009, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN JOSE ST (2 - 9) at LOUISIANA TECH (3 - 8) - 12/5/2009, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
LOUISIANA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at BOISE ST (12 - 0) - 12/5/2009, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 46-19 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-19 ATS (+25.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (7 - 4) at USC (8 - 3) - 12/5/2009, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
USC is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (8 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 7) - 12/5/2009, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 52-84 ATS (-40.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (11 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (9 - 2) - 12/5/2009, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (8 - 3) at HAWAII (6 - 6) - 12/5/2009, 11:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLA ATLANTIC (4 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (3 - 8) - 12/5/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (10 - 2) at E CAROLINA (8 - 4) - 12/5/2009, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (12 - 0) vs. ALABAMA (12 - 0) - 12/5/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (10 - 2) vs. CLEMSON (8 - 4) - 12/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
GEORGIA TECH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 3-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (12 - 0) vs. NEBRASKA (9 - 3) - 12/5/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-01-2009, 09:58 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, 12/3/2009

OREGON ST at OREGON, 9:00 PM ET ESPN
OREGON ST: 19-8 ATS off bye week
OREGON: 2-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

Added Game

ARKANSAS ST at W KENTUCKY, 7:00 PM ET
ARKANSAS ST: 1-10 ATS as road favorite
W KENTUCKY: 7-1 Under off an Under

Friday, 12/4/2009

MAC Championship Game - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
OHIO U vs. C MICHIGAN, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
OHIO U: 1-10 ATS Away off BB conference wins
C MICHIGAN: 8-2 ATS this season

Saturday, 12/5/2009

(TC) S FLORIDA at CONNECTICUT, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
S FLORIDA: 5-1 Over vs. conference
CONNECTICUT: 9-1 ATS this season

W VIRGINIA at RUTGERS, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
W VIRGINIA: 3-10 ATS off ATS win
RUTGERS: 17-7 ATS off an Over

FRESNO ST at ILLINOIS, 12:30 PM ET Big 10
FRESNO ST: 5-1 ATS in road games
ILLINOIS: 8-19 ATS at home in non-conference games

SAN JOSE ST at LOUISIANA TECH, 2:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 0-7 ATS vs. conference
LOUISIANA TECH: 6-0 ATS off conference loss

NEW MEXICO ST at BOISE ST, 3:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO ST: 2-10 ATS off loss by 3pts or less
BOISE ST: 46-19 ATS in home games

ARIZONA at USC, 3:30 PM ET ABC
ARIZONA: 46-24 Under off BB conference games
USC: 16-6 ATS at home off cover as DD favorite

CALIFORNIA at WASHINGTON, 6:30 PM ET FCS
CALIFORNIA: 0-6 ATS off road win
WASHINGTON: 1-11 ATS off home win by 28+ points

(TC) CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH, 12:00 PM ET ABC
CINCINNATI: 6-1 ATS as an underdog
PITTSBURGH: 38-61 ATS off SU loss

(TC) WISCONSIN at HAWAII, 11:30 PM ET ESPN2
WISCONSIN:
HAWAII: 1-5 ATS off BB ATS wins

Added Game

FLA ATLANTIC at FLA INTERNATIONAL, 7:00 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 5-1 Over in road games
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 7-0 ATS at home after allowing 42+ points

Conference USA Championship Game
HOUSTON at E CAROLINA, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
HOUSTON: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
E CAROLINA: 8-2 Under off 2 straight conference wins

SEC Championship Game - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
FLORIDA vs. ALABAMA, 4:00 PM ET CBS
FLORIDA: 6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
ALABAMA: 9-2 Under off 6+ SU wins

ACC Championship Game - Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
GEORGIA TECH vs. CLEMSON, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
GEORGIA TECH: 5-1 Over off BB Unders
CLEMSON: 45-27 ATS as an underdog

Big 12 Championship Game - Cowboys Stadium - Arlington, TX
TEXAS vs. NEBRASKA, 8:00 PM ET ABC
TEXAS: 31-13 ATS off road conference win
NEBRASKA: 5-1 Under vs. Texas

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 12-01-2009, 10:01 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, December 3

7:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Arkansas State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. OREGON
Oregon State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon State
Oregon is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oregon State

Friday, December 4

8:00 PM
OHIO vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Central Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Central Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

Saturday, December 5

12:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. EAST CAROLINA
Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
East Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. RUTGERS
West Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
West Virginia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against West Virginia
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia

12:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. ILLINOIS
Fresno State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Illinois is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
San Jose State is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
Louisiana Tech is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose State

3:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. BOISE STATE
New Mexico State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boise State
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boise State
Boise State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

4:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. ALABAMA
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

6:30 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. WASHINGTON
California is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
California is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against California
Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing California

7:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida International is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida International is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. CLEMSON
Georgia Tech is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Georgia Tech is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Clemson is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Georgia Tech
Clemson is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech

8:00 PM
TEXAS vs. NEBRASKA
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas
Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CONNECTICUT
South Florida is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
South Florida is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Florida
Connecticut is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

11:30 PM
WISCONSIN vs. HAWAII
Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Wisconsin is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Hawaii is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
Hawaii is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-02-2009, 12:54 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 3

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Game of the day: Oregon State at Oregon
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Oregon State Beavers at Oregon Ducks (-10, 61)

The Civil War takes on great importance when No. 8 Oregon hosts No. 16 Oregon State at Autzen Stadium in Eugene Thursday night. That’s because the winner of Thursday’s contest will represent the Pac- 10 in this year’s Rose Bowl.

Game time temperature will be in the low-40’s with a 10 percent chance of rain, winds 5 MPH out of the south.

Deja Vu

Last year when these two rivals met in Corvallis, the Beavers needed a win to advance to the Rose Bowl for the first time since 1965.

Installed as 3-point home chalk, Oregon State suffered its most disappointing loss in school history, allowing the most points in any game under head coach Mike Riley, in a 65-38 setback. The Beavers allowed 694 yards of offense to the Ducks.

Ironically, OSU blanked Pittsburgh, 3-0, in the Sun Bowl a month later.

Oregon State’s coaches have tried to downplay the revenge factor, but there is no denying the fans and most of the players are salivating at their chance to inflict the same pain on the Ducks that they endured a season ago.

Meanwhile, a win by the Ducks puts them in their first Rose Bowl since 1995.

The bottom line: for the first time in 113 meetings between these two rivals, the winner is guaranteed a Rose Bowl bid.

Duck droppings

Thanks to the trickiest offense in the conference, one geared around speed and misdirection, the Ducks have scored at least 42 points in all seven of QB Jeremiah Masoli's Pac-10 starts this season (he missed the UCLA game).

Running back LaMichael James, filling in most of the year for suspended RB LeGarrette Blount, has been a nice surprise. The redshirt freshman has rushed for over 100 yards in eight of the past nine games, with the only exception being when his day ended early (13 carries, 81 yards) in a rout of Washington State. James is elusive and is a perfect fit for Oregon's tricky option attack.

Oregon's last Pac-10 title was in 2001. Led by All-Pac-10 QB Joey Harrington, the Ducks couldn't go to the Rose Bowl that year because that was the bowl's turn to host the BCS national championship game (between Miami and Nebraska). Instead, the Ducks ended up playing in the Fiesta Bowl and beating Colorado.

Beaver fever

Oregon State’s strength is its rushing defense, allowing 98.5 yards per game. The Beavers enter this game with wins in six of their last seven games with the only loss a six-point setback at USC (as 21-point underdogs).

OSU has turned the ball over only eight times this season. The offense is led by QB Sean Canfield, who leads the Pac-10 in passing yardage. His completion percentage of .703 is nearing the league record of .707.

Dynamic RB Quizz Rodgers has rushed for 1313 yards and 19 TD’s. His 120 points scored is 12 points short of the school record.

Wide receiver James Rodgers, Quizz’ brother, has 1910 all-purpose yards, which leads the Pac-10 and puts him within 95 yards of the OSU record (2015). James also leads the conference with 77 receptions.

What have you done for me lately?

Oregon has allowed 113 points in its last three games. The Ducks allowed 137 points in their first eight games.

Oregon State allowed 28 PPG in its first four conference games this season. They have allowed 16 PPG in the last four Pac-10 contests.

Coach speak

First-year Oregon coach Chip Kelly continues to downplay the importance of this game and the fact that this will be the first time in the history of the Civil War that each team has Rose Bowl hopes on the line.

"That's got nothing to do with us," Kelly told reporters. "Every game for us is the biggest game we play. Every game for us is like the Super Bowl. We don't need anybody to tell us how important this football game is. We practice the same for Purdue as we do for Oregon State. Every game we play is the most important one."

Looking back

OSU head coach Mike Riley is 14-6 SU and ATS when his team plays with rest, including 7-1 SU and ATS the last eight regular season games.

Riley is also 9-3 ATS as a dog with conference revenge.

Oregon is 12-9 SU but only 7-14 ATS the last 21 games in this series, including 3-1 SU and ATS when the Beavers own a win percentage of .700 or greater.

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**Udog** · 12-03-2009, 07:47 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Oregon State at Oregon
The Beavers look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games as a road underdog between 3 1/2 and 10 points. Oregon State is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3

Game 303-304: Oregon State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 102.351; Oregon 109.752
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 7 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 9 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2); Over

Game 305-306: Arkansas State at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 70.240; Western Kentucky 61.443
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 9; 55
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 5 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-5 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 307-308: Ohio at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 77.749; Central Michigan 95.375
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 17 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13; 53
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13); Over

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 5

Game 309-310: South Florida at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 87.514; Connecticut 98.583
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 11; 57
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7 1/2); Over

Game 311-312: West Virginia at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 95.192; Rutgers 93.186
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 2; 41
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+1 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: Fresno State at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 90.088; Illinois 90.699
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+3); Under

Game 315-316: San Jose State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 63.983; Louisiana Tech 91.041
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 27; 50
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 23 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-23 1/2); Over

Game 317-318: New Mexico State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.488; Boise State 109.197
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 48 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Boise State by 47; 58
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-47); Over

Game 319-320: Arizona at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 94.828; USC 104.504
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-7); Over

Game 321-322: California at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: California 92.610; Washington 91.216
Dunkel Line: California by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: California by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Under

Game 323-324: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 101.261; Pittsburgh 100.358
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+2); Under

Game 325-326: Wisconsin at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 95.940; Hawaii 78.891
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 12; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-12); Over

Game 327-328: Florida Atlantic at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 71.846; Florida International 71.622
Dunkel Line: Even; 67
Vegas Line: Florida International by 2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+2); Over

Game 329-330: Houston at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 96.249; East Carolina 93.289
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 75
Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Over

Game 331-332: Florida vs. Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 114.056; Alabama 105.418
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Florida by 5 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-5 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Georgia Tech vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 99.965; Clemson 100.787
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1; 60
Vegas Line: Pick; 55
Dunkel Pick: Clemson; Over

Game 335-336: Texas vs. Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 115.040; Nebraska 102.527
Dunkel Line: Texas by 12 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Texas by 14; 44
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+14); Over

**Udog** · 12-03-2009, 07:57 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up

First Post

Thursday's games

Oregon-Oregon State winner goes to Rose Bowl; Ducks won 65-38 LY in Corvallis, running ball for 385 yards, keeping Beavers from going to Pasadena. State won 38-30 in last visit here, their first win in Eugene in last six visits. Oregon won nine of last ten games, scoring 42+ points in last five; they're 6-0 at home (5-1 vs spread)- their last five games went over total. Beavers won four in row, six of last seven games; they're 4-1 on road, losing 42-36 at USC. Pac-10 home sides are 21-18 vs spread.

Arkansas State snapped 4-game skid in last game; they are 0-6 on road, scoring 13.8 ppg in last four away games, and are 1-3 ve spread as fave this season. Western Kentucky is 0-11 after 29-23 loss last week, when they ran ball for 201 yards but still lost; they've run ball for average of 225.8 ypg in last four games. Hilltoppers covered their last three games, are 2-2 as home underdog this year. Five of last seven ASU games stayed under total. Sun Belt home dogs are 4-4 vs spread.

**pm530** · 12-03-2009, 01:33 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, December 3

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Tips and Trends
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Oregon State at Oregon [ESPN | 9:00 PM ET]

Oregon State: No doubt the Beavers are looking for revenge here, as Oregon scored 65 points last year at Oregon St. The Beavers would like nothing more than to win at Oregon to go to the Rose Bowl. Oregon St. has been great on the road this year, going 4-1 both SU and ATS this year. Oregon St. is also 4-1 ATS this year as an underdog. Today represents only the 2nd time this year that Oregon St. is an underdog of more than a touchdown. QB Sean Canfield directs the Pac 10's best passing offense at over 270 YPG. Canfield is also very accurate, completing 70% of his passes this year. The Beavers have scored 96% of their red zone opportunities this year, including 15 touchdowns in their last 16 chances.

Oregon St is 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games.

Key Injuries - DT Brennan Olander (knee) is questionable.
DT Mitchel Hunt (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 34

Oregon (-9.5, O/U 62.5): With the Pac-10 Championship at stake, Oregon wouldn't want to play anywhere else but at home tonight. They are a perfect 6-0 SU this year at home, including 5-1 ATS. Oregon is 3-2 ATS this season when favored by single digits. Oregon averages 42 PPG at home this season. RB LaMichael James is 3rd in the Pac 10 with over 1,300 rushing yards this season. QB Jeremiah Masoli is the key to this offense, as he makes it dynamic. Masoli is a duel threat QB that has nearly 2,500 total yards and 26 touchdowns this year. Defensively, Oregon is only giving up 12 PPG at home against league opponents. The Ducks rush defense has been solid as well, as they've held 5 of their past 6 opponents to 140 rushing yards or less.

Oregon is 8-1 ATS last 9 games following a bye week.
Over is 9-1-1 last 11 games as a home favorite.

Key Injuries - DE Zac Clark (knee) is questionable.
LB Bryson Littlejohn (foot) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 38 (OVER - Total of the Day)

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**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 08:27 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel - Fri. POD

Ohio at Central Michigan
The Chippewas look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10 1/2 points or greater. Central Michigan is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Chippewas favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13).

**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 08:31 AM

NCAAF

Friday, December 4

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Game of the day: Ohio vs. Central Michigan
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Ohio Bobcats vs. Central Michigan Chippewas (-13.5, 52.5)

Line movements

The line opened with the Chippewas as 10.5-point favorites in this year’s MAC Title Game. That line has been rising steadily throughout the week and is now standing with the Chippewas -13.

The total opened at 53 and that is where the total currently stands.

The skinny

Central Michigan (10-3, 8-0) got here unscathed in MAC play with its only two losses coming on the road to BCS-conference schools: Arizona (7-4) and Boston College (8-4). It had a very good ATS record this season, going 9-2 and covering all but one game when it was favored.

This will be the third MAC Championship game for the Chippewas in four years. They won it in back-to-back years in 2006 and 2007, defeating Ohio and Miami (Ohio) by the combined score of 66-20 (both ATS victories).

Ohio defeated Temple last week to win the MAC East outright. It was its fourth win in a row and seventh in the Bobcats’ last eight games after starting the season 2-2. The Bobcats finished 9-3 on the season and finished MAC play with a 7-1 record. Their losses were to UConn (6-5), Tennessee (7-5) and an upset to Kent State (5-7). The Bobcats rewarded their backers with an 8-4 ATS record on the season.

Ohio will be playing in just its second MAC Championship game after losing its first opportunity to the Chippewas in 2006. The Bobcats were out-gained by 233 yards and lost by 21 points in that contest. The game, however, was a lot closer than the score and stats indicate. Central Michigan scored on 71 and 96-yard plays and was only ahead by seven points heading into the fourth quarter.

Fever for LeFevour

Chippewas QB Dan LeFevour got CMU to a MAC Championship when he was a freshmen in 2006. He threw for 314 yards and three touchdowns and led CMU to an easy victory over Ohio. That was just the start of an illustrious career for LeFevour.

He became the MAC’s all-time leading passer this season and is still adding to his career numbers of 12,254 passing yards, 99 touchdowns and 2,887 rushing yards with 46 touchdowns. He looks to add to his college resume by winning his 3rd career MAC Championship.

For the 2009 season alone, he has passed for 2,788 yards with 25 touchdowns. He is also their leading rusher with 652 yards rushing (238 yards more than their leading running back) and 14 touchdowns.

Bobcats injury situation

Ohio quarterback Theo Scott injured his ankle in the Bobcats’ last game against Temple and was spotted on the sideline using crutches. He is questionable for the MAC Title Game and if he can’t go, it will be a huge blow for the Bobcats.

Scott has had breakout performances in the last two weeks, completing 67 percent of his passes for 462 yards and totaling eight touchdowns. His backup, freshmen Tyler Tettleton, has no touchdowns and two interceptions in just 20 pass attempts this season.

Along with Scott, starters WR Lavonn Brazill and S Patrick Tufua are questionable for the game Friday. They join four other starters – from the beginning of the season – that aren’t available for the MAC title game.

Trends

Ohio is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as an underdog and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 MAC games. The Bobcats are also 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU win. Central Michigan is 25-7-2 ATS in its last 34 conference games, 25-8-2 ATS in its last 35 games as a favorite, and 39-15-3 ATS in its last 57 games overall.

The Bobcats have finished over the total in their last four games as an underdog. The Chippewas are 5-1 over/under in their last six Friday games.

Head to head: The favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings. CMU is 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings, winning by an average margin of 17 points.

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**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 08:35 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

Conference Championship Games Betting History

The Southeastern Conference was the innovator of the Conference Championship game back in 1992 and when you think about, this has helped propel them to being arguably the best conference in college football year in, year out. The leaders of the SEC knew their customer was a football starved fan and would relish the opportunity for one more game to decide the league’s title. Most years this has provided additional excitement by splitting the conference into two divisions, giving more schools an opportunity to compete in this confrontation.

Alabama and Florida met in the first three games between these schools in this instant classic. In the first game, unbeaten Alabama came in ranked number two in the country and was a solid 10-point favorite over a Florida team that had lost three times, coached by Steve Spurrier, who had just started things rolling at his alma mater. With this being such a new venture, the SEC settled on Legion Field in Birmingham, the Crimson Tide’s home away from home. This guaranteed a sellout and the game was played there the first two years.

Alabama had allowed only eight points a game with its stifling defense, but a cocksure Spurrier had his team well prepared and with nothing to lose, took the opening kickoff for a touchdown. The Tide’s defense had trouble all game long with the Gators, allowing 347 yards, after surrendering only a 183 yards per game all year. Alabama hung on to win 28-21 over Florida. This year will be the sixth matchup between these teams in this contest, with Florida 3-2 SU and ATS. The Gators are 3-1 ATS when favored.

This will be the fifth appearance for each Nebraska and Texas in the Big 12 championship with the Cornhuskers 3-1 ATS and the Longhorns just the opposite at 1-3 ATS. This will be their third get-together in this battle.

Do you think Marshall ever wonders about leaving the MAC? They played in the first six championship games (won five) and haven’t been heard from since, moving on to Conference USA. Central Michigan looks to move into second place for MAC titles (seeking third) behind the Thundering Herd with a win this season, since this contest began in 1997.

Bettors receive five additional possibilities to consider that have often had their share of surprises. Here’s a look at the history of each of the conference championships.

SEC

The SEC will be playing it 18th championship game and has a rematch from last season, with Alabama facing the top-ranked team in the country in Florida. In the previous seventeen years, four teams, Florida, Alabama, Tennessee or LSU have been one of the participants in this contest. The favorite has won 14 of the 17 games; however it has been a battle most of the time as 8-8-1 against the spread record shows. For many college football fans, especially in the South, this game would do just fine to settle the national championship in 2009. However, it is just another step closer for the winner, moving to BCS title game and this team will likely be a favorite against whomever they play. Since 1996, the total has gone on runs of two or more and the UNDER has been the play the last two seasons.
Past SEC Championship Game Results
Date - Favorite (Line, Total), Underdog: SU / ATS / O-U
12/6/08 –FLORIDA (-10, 54) 31, ALABAMA 20 –FAV/FAV/UNDER
12/1/07 - LSU (-7, 58) 21, TENNESSEE 14 - FAV / Push / UNDER
12/2/06 - FLORIDA (-3, 44.5) 38, ARKANSAS 28 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/3/05 - GEORGIA 34, LSU (-2, 42) 14 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/4/04 - AUBURN (-14.5, 47.5) 38, TENNESSEE 28 - FAV / DOG / OVER
12/6/03 - LSU (-3, 42) 34, GEORGIA 13 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/7/02 - GEORGIA (-9, 47) 30, ARKANSAS 3 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/8/01 - LSU 31, TENNESSEE (-7, 54) 20 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/2/00 - FLORIDA (-10, 51.5) 28, AUBURN 6 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/4/99 - ALABAMA 34, FLORIDA (-7, 51) 7 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/5/98 - TENNESSEE (-15, 48) 24, MISSISSIPPI ST 14 - FAV / DOG / UNDER
12/6/97 - TENNESSEE (-7.5, 58.5) 30, AUBURN 29 - FAV / DOG / OVER
12/7/96 - FLORIDA (-14, 48.5) 45, ALABAMA 30 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/2/95 - FLORIDA (-24, 56) 34, ARKANSAS 3 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/3/94 - FLORIDA (-7, 46.5) 24, ALABAMA 23 - FAV / DOG / OVER
12/4/93 - FLORIDA (-4.5, 43.5) 28, ALABAMA 13 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/5/92 - ALABAMA (-10, 37) 28, FLORIDA 21 - FAV / DOG / OVER

Big 12
The Big 12 joined the festivities in 1996 and exploded onto the scene with a memorable contest. Nebraska had its usual powerhouse and was huge 20.5-point favorites over Texas, who had lost four regular season games. Longhorns coach John Mackovic emptied the playbook, utilizing trick plays and fourth down attempts and upset the heavily favored Cornhuskers 37-27. This gave the Big 12 affair instant credibility. Two years later, an unbeaten Kansas State squad cruised into the title game as 17.5-point favorites and was upset 36-33 by Texas A&M. Five seasons later, the Wildcats were able to pull the same trick on Oklahoma. The Sooners were unbeatable and two touchdown favorites over Bill Snyder’s K-State club. The Wildcats came out throwing deep and caught an overconfident Oklahoma team off-guard and buried Bob Stoops Sooners 35-7. Those represent three of the four losses by the favored team in 13 tries. The favorite is 8-4-1 ATS in the history of the game. Since 2002, this contest has been a series of blowouts, with the average winning margin being 31.7, with the closest three years ago, as Oklahoma won 21-7 over Nebraska. Eight of the 13 contests played have covered the spread by 10 or more points. The South Division has been by far the better of the two Big 12 divisions and that is shown by 5-0 SU and ATS dominance the last five years in this encounter. The UNDER has been the play five of the last seven contests.

Past Big 12 Championship Game Results
Date - Favorite (Line, Total), Underdog: SU / ATS / O-U
12/6/08 – OKLAHOMA (-16.5, 78.5) 62, MISSOURI 21 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/1/07 – OKLAHOMA (-3, 64.5) 38, MISSOURI 17 - FAV /FAV / UNDER
12/2/06 - OKLAHOMA (-3.5, 44.5) 21, NEBRASKA 7 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/3/05 - TEXAS (-25, 60.5) 70, COLORADO 3 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/4/04 - OKLAHOMA (-23.5, 54.5) 42, COLORADO 3 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/6/03 - KANSAS ST 35, OKLAHOMA (-14, 53) 7 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/7/02 - OKLAHOMA (-7, 51) 29, COLORADO 7 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/1/01 - COLORADO 39, TEXAS (-7, 54.5) 37 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/2/00 - OKLAHOMA (-3, 53) 27, KANSAS ST 24 - FAV / Push / UNDER
12/4/99 - NEBRASKA (-8, 52.5) 22, TEXAS 6 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/5/98 - TEXAS A&M 36, KANSAS ST (-17.5, 46) 33 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/6/97 - NEBRASKA (-19, 53) 54, TEXAS A&M 15 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/7/96 - TEXAS 37, NEBRASKA (-20.5, 56) 27 - DOG / DOG / OVER

MAC

In 1997, the MAC joined the fun and has been the most entertaining of the conference championships. Eight of the 12 games played have been decided by eight points or less in highly competitive conflicts. This will be Central Michigan’s third appearance in the last four years in this game. This sets up another meeting with Ohio U., whom they whipped in 2006. Being the underdog is the better position in this contest as they are 7-4 ATS, with the favorite only 6-5 SU in lined MAC matchups for the crown. Following the same line of thinking, the team with the poorer record heading into the game is 7-2-1 ATS (Ohio U, this season). The dog has covered a double digit spread in all four instances.
Past MAC Championship Game Results
Date - Favorite (Line, Total), Underdog: SU / ATS / O-U
12/5/08 – BUFFALO 42, BALL STATE (-15, 62.5) 24 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/1/07 – C MICHIGAN (-3, 64) 35, MIAMI OHIO 10 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
11/30/06 - C MICHIGAN (-3, 46.5) 31, OHIO U 10 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/1/05 - AKRON 31, N ILLINOIS (-13, 53.5) 30 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/2/04 - TOLEDO 35, MIAMI OHIO (-1.5, 64) 27 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/4/03 - MIAMI OHIO (-6.5, 57) 49, BOWLING GREEN 27 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/7/02 - MARSHALL (-2.5, 62.5) 49, TOLEDO 45 - FAV / FAV / OVER
11/30/01 - TOLEDO 41, MARSHALL (-2.5, 63.5) 36 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/2/00 - MARSHALL 18, W MICHIGAN (-6.5, 54.5) 14 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/3/99 - MARSHALL (-20, 56.5) 34, W MICHIGAN 30 - FAV / DOG / OVER
12/4/98 - MARSHALL (-12, 48) 23, TOLEDO 17 - FAV / DOG / UNDER
12/5/97 - TOLEDO 14, MARSHALL 34 - N/A / N/A / N/A

ACC

The ACC has engaged in the fray in the last four years and it does not elicit much support on a local or national level. The ACC has had severe attendance problems; not being able to bring many of the locals to the contests played in Jacksonville or Tampa and would probably be better suited in Charlotte. The ACC championship has seen the favored teams lose outright three of four times, opening up more conjecture for this season. This is the second straight year the game features a rematch, with Georgia Tech having stopped Clemson 30-27 as five-point home favorites. After several years of not living up to expectations, the Tigers have finally made it to the title tilt. This is the Yellow Jackets second appearance in ACC finale and rest assured it will be a much higher scoring affair then their last visit.
Past ACC Championship Game Results
Date - Favorite (Line, Total), Underdog: SU / ATS / O-U
12/6/08 – VIRGINIA TECH 30, BOSTON COLLEGE (-1, 38) 12 - DOG / DOG / OVER
12/1/07 – VIRGINIA TECH (-4, 48) 30, BOSTON COLLEGE 16 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/2/06 - WAKE FOREST 9, GEORGIA TECH (-1, 40) 6 - DOG / DOG / UNDER
12/3/05 - FLORIDA ST 27, VIRGINIA TECH (-14.5, 45) 22 - DOG / DOG / OVER

Conference USA
Conference USA does not have the football tradition to play such a game at a neutral site and instead has one of the teams participating as the host. The home team has won and covered the first three conflicts, until East Carolina pulled the big surprise. The Pirates are back to defend their title, this time at home. Though the sampling is small, it is not a surprise this defensively-challenged conference is the only one that has not had a total under 50. This leads to negative angles for both teams in this battle. Houston is 2-9 ATS in road games when they allow 28 or more points, while East Carolina is 0-6 ATS when they concede 28 or more points.

In looking at the history of all games played on the home field of one team, the host is 7-3 SU, covering the spread on five occasions. The Over has been the play in six of the 10 affairs.

Past Conference USA Championship Game Results
Date - Favorite (Line, Total), Underdog: SU / ATS / O-U
12/6/08 – EAST CAROLINA 27, TULSA (-12, 66) 24- DOG /DOG / UNDER
12/1/07 - CENTRAL FLORIDA (-7.5, 73) 44, TULSA 25 - FAV / FAV / UNDER
12/1/06 - HOUSTON (-5.5, 53.5) 34, SOUTHERN MISS 20 - FAV / FAV / OVER
12/3/05 - TULSA (-2.5, 57) 44, C FLORIDA 27 - FAV / FAV / OVER

**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 09:53 AM

NCAAF

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College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 14
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No. 23 West Virginia (8-3) at Rutgers (8-3) -1.5, 44.5

Why West Virginia will cover:

The Mountaineers enter this contest in fine form and should be sharp, having played their toughest competition in the last two weeks. They'll be carrying momentum from their dramatic last second victory over Pitt. Prior to that, they put in a decent performance against undefeated Cincinnati, losing only by three. Quarterback Jarrett Brown hasn't put up numbers that stick out, but should keep the Rutgers defense honest, allowing for a possible big day from Noel Devine, who rushed for 134 yards and a touchdown last week.

History is also on West Virginia’s side with a 30-4-2 edge in this series with its last loss to Rutgers coming in 1994.

Why Rutgers will cover:

The line opened at 2.5 in favor of West Virginia, but early money on Rutgers has now made the home team the favorite. Rutgers has covered the spread four times in their last five games and it seems like their young stars on offense are finally coming of age. Freshman quarterback Tom Savage leads the team and another freshman, Mohamed Sanu, rushed for 148 yards and two touchdowns last week. Impressive considering he has played wide receiver for most of the season. The Scarlet Knights defense has been solid ranking No. 13 in the country in points given up at 16.8 per game.

These two teams have a combined 8-13 over/under record this year and the last two games in this series have gone under.

No. 5 Cincinnati (11-0) at No. 15 Pittsburgh (9-2) +2, 58.5

Why Cincinnati will cover:

Their offense is one of the most explosive in the nation scoring 39.4 a game and averaging 472 yards of total offense. Quarterback Tony Pike is coming off of a 399-yard, six-touchdown performance and even when he is out backup Zach Collaros has done a great job throwing for 1,434 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Cincinnati has been perfect this year and has proven that they can win close games against tough competition.

Why Pittsburgh will cover:

This Bearcats have had the luxury of playing at home for the entire month of November and now they have to close out the year on the road against a Pitt team that has a perfect record at Heinz Field (the game is sold out). Freshman running back Dion Lewis has rushed for 1,441 yards this season and produced back-to-back 150 yard games. Senior quarterback Bill Stull will look to close out his career strong after having a disappointing game last week where he threw two key interceptions.

The last three Pitt games have gone under the total, but the Mountaineers are averaging 40 points per game in their last three.

New Mexico State (3-9) at No. 6 Boise State (12-0) -47.5, 58

Why New Mexico State will cover:

There are several variables to contend with when dealing with a spread so high. One has to factor in at what point will this game be out of reach for the Aggies and also at what point will Boise State’s Chris Petersen put in his subs? In New Mexico State's blowout loss to Nevada, the Aggies managed to score 14 points in the final 10 minutes so the potential for a backdoor cover is there when opposing teams slack off. Also, poll voters really won't see a difference between a 40-point win and a 70-point win.

Why Boise State will cover:

2007: Boise State 58, New Mexico State 0
2008: Boise State 49, New Mexico State 0

Four of the last five New Mexico State games have gone under the total, however, Boise is on a four-game over streak and is averaging 53 points per game during their last three.

Arizona (7-4) at No. 19 USC (8-3) -7, 49.5

Why Arizona will cover:

Arizona has kept games close this year, even the ones they lose. Their three Pac-10 losses this season have been decided by an average margin of 4.6 points. USC has not scored more than 20 points in the last three games of this series. The Wildcats have also covered the spread in the last four meetings in this series.

Why USC will cover:

Arizona has had problems on the road this year having only covered the spread once in five tries. Injuries have also hit the Wildcats with tailback Nic Grigsby and receiver David Douglas not expected to play. Quarterback Nick Foles will start, but he will have to deal with a broken hand on his opposite throwing arm. This has been a disappointing season for powerhouse USC, but they got a bit of their swagger back with a 28-7 victory over UCLA last week.

The last three games in this series have gone under the total.

No. 22 California (8-3) at Washington (4-7) +7, 58

Why California will cover:

The Golden Bears have momentum on their side with recent wins over Arizona and Stanford. Backup running back Shane Vereen has done an outstanding job replacing injured Jahvid Best. Vereen rushed for 159 yards and a score against Arizona and had 193 yards and three touchdowns in the victory over Stanford. That bodes well for Cal who will face a rush defense that ranks No. 9 in the conference in yards surrendered at 155 per game.

Why Washington will cover:

Washington is a bit better than their 4-7 record indicates. While at certain points during the season they have had total breakdowns (mostly against teams from the state of Oregon), their season does include wins over Arizona and USC. This also isn't the same team that Cal beat 48-7 as quarterback Jake Locker was out for that game. The last time Cal visited Seattle they lost 37-23.

Eight of the last nine games in this series have gone over the total.

No. 18 Houston (10-2) vs. East Carolina (8-4) +2.5, 68

Why Houston will cover:

Houston has been on of the best bets this year with an outstanding 8-3 ATS record. They come into the Conference USA championship game with the No. 1 ranked offense in the country averaging 583.1 yards and scoring 44.9 points per game. The last meeting between these two teams was last year where Houston won 41-24. Quarterback Case Keenum threw for 401 yards and three touchdowns in that game.

Why East Carolina will cover:

East Carolina has the better conference record and will have home field advantage. That bodes well for a team whose only home loss this season was to Virginia Tech. Houston has struggled on the road this year with their only two losses away from home. They also struggled against a 5-7 Tulsa team, squeaking out a 1-point victory.

Houston has played to the over in four of its last five games. And this is a team that not only scores points but give up a lot as well ranking No. 83 in points allowed at 28 per outing. This is the highest total East Carolina will be dealing with this year as its previous high was 56.

No. 1 Florida (12-0) vs. No. 3 Alabama (12-0) +5.5, 41

Why Florida will cover:

Auburn almost pulled off the upset against Alabama by containing Mark Ingram who was held to 30 yards rushing. All they did was simply stack the middle forcing Alabama to run on the perimeter. Look for Florida to do the same, perhaps with even more success, even without suspended Carols Dunlap in the lineup for the Gators. Florida ranks No. 2 in the nation in rush defense, allowing just 77.2 yards per game. The last eleven SEC title games have been decided by 7 points or more.

Why Alabama will cover:

The problem in last year's SEC title game for Alabama was fatigue, where they saw the Gators outscore them 14-0 in the fourth quarter. With come-from-behind wins this season against LSU and Auburn, the Crimson Tide seem to be in better form towards the end of the game. Florida has also given up 28.0 sacks this season and they will be going up against much improved Alabama pass rush led by the 365-pound Terrence “Mount” Cody.

Both teams are a combined 8-14 on totals this season. Florida has actually been one of the best under bets this year with a 3-8 over/under record, but 41 is the lowest number that they have dealt with this season.

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**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 10:07 AM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Friday's game

Central Michigan is 8-0 in MAC this season (7-1 vs spread); they won last three games, by 28-32-14 points, scoring 45.3 ppg. Chippewas are 7-1 vs spread as a favorite this season. Ohio U won six of its last seven games, scoring five special teams TDs. Five of last seven Bobcat games stayed under total. Central (-3.5) won 31-28 at Ohio in last meeting LY, even though Bobcats outgained them by 74 yards. Lefevour was 28-42/ 361 passing in that game. Chippewas are looking for third MAC title in last four seasons behind their senior QB.

**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 01:27 PM

NCAAF

Friday, December 4

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Tips and Trends
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Ohio at Central Michigan [ESPN2 | 8:00 PM ET]

Ohio: The dream season continues for Ohio, as they can win their first MAC Championship in 41 years tonight. Ohio is 9-3 SU on the season, including 7-4 ATS. The Bobcats were 4-2 ATS away from home this season. Ohio was a double digit underdog once this season, and that was an easy cover at Tennessee. Ohio has really played well on offense over the past two weeks, against the best defenses in the MAC. Ohio has scored 73 points over the past two weeks, partly due to QB Theo Scott. Scott has 5 TD passes without an interception over the past 2 games. Ohio has a very opportunistic defense, as they lead the nation in turnovers forced with 35. This secondary will be tested tonight, but they lead the MAC in pass efficiency defense. Head Coach Frank Solich is 0-3 against Central Michigan as the coach of the Bobcats.

Ohio is 8-2 ATS last 10 conference games.
Over is 4-0 last 4 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - WR LaVon Brazill (leg) is questionable.
CB Julian Posey (foot) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side of the Day)

Central Michigan (-13.5, O/U 53): Central Michigan has had a wonderful year going 10-2 SU and 9-2 ATS. More importantly, Central Michigan has gone a perfect 8-0 through league play, inluding 7-1 ATS. The Chippewas are led by Senior QB Dan LeFevour, the MAC MVP. This is the 3rd MAC Championship game for LeFevour. The senior QB directs an offense that averages 34 PPG points and 420 YPG this season. This Chippewas defense is another reason why they went undefeated in league play for the first time in school history. Central Michigan allowed under 18 PPG for the entire season, with only 330 YPG. This defense is especially stout in the red zone, where they've only allowed scores on 73% of red zone chances. The Chippewas have also forced 10 turnovers over their last 3 games combined.

Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a favorite more than 10 points.
Over is 8-1 last 9 games as a favorite of more than 10 points.

Key Injuries - DE Sam Williams (back) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 28

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**Udog** · 12-04-2009, 10:00 PM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Week 14

Saturday's games

Home team won last five South Florida-UConn games, with Bulls losing last two visits here, 15-10/22-15; USF lost last two road games 31-0 at Rutgers, 41-14 at Pitt, so have to question their will, especially on a cold December day. UConn is 9-1 vs spread this season, 3-1 when favored; they scored 45-33-56 points in their last three games. Big East home faves are 6-8 vs spread. Five of last seven USF games went over total.

West Virginia won its last 12 games vs Rutgers, winning last six here by average score of 32-14; they won rivalry game 19-16 on last play against Pitt last week. Mountaineers are 1-3 on road this year, winning 34-13 at Syracuse, losing by 11-11-3 points. Rutgers won five of last six games, is just 2-2 at home vs I-A foes this year, losing to Cincinnati/Pitt. Five of last seven West Virginia games, six of last seven Rutgers games stayed under the total.

Noon kickoff in chilly Champaign tough duty for California kids; Fresno State won six of last seven games, is 3-3 on road this year, 2-1 as a road dog- this is their third trip east of Mississippi this season. Four of last five Fresno games stayed under total. Illinois is just 3-8, 0-3 vs spread if favored- they played last week, Fresno didn't. Big 11 home favorites are 8-11 vs spread in non-conference games. WAC road underdogs are 10-8.

Louisiana Tech is huge favorite despite losing last five games, covering last four as an underdog; they're 2-0 vs spread when favored, going 2-1 at home vs I-A foes, beating Hawai'i 27-6, New Mexico State 45.7. Home favorites are 11-7 vs spread in WAC games. San Jose is 1-9 vs D-I foes after beating NM State 13-10 last week; Spartans are 0-5 as road dogs in '09, losing away games by 53-25-20-38-15 points. Three of La Tech's last four games went over the total.

Boise State allowed 35-25-21-33 points in last four games, but they are 4-1 vs spread as home favorite (Nevada scored with 1:17 left last week to cover on blue carpet); last four Bronco games went over total. New Mexico State has already lost three games by 38+ points this year; they are 3-3 as road dog. Boise is 48-point favorite; excellent game to avoid.

Arizona/USC both won rivalry games last week; Trojans won last seven games vs Arizona, winning the last three here by average score of 37-14, but Arizona covered last four meetings. Wildcats are 2-3 on road, 1-2 as road dog, losing away games by 10-3-8 points. USC is 2-8 vs spread in last ten games, 2-3 as home favorite, winning games in Coliseum by 53-21-6-21 points. Four of last five Arizona games stayed under the total. Pac-10 home favorites are 12-11 vs spread.

Cal Bears won five of last six games; they're 4-1 on road, winning away games by 14-19-2-6 points. Cal is 4-4 as favorite, 2-2 on the road. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games; three of last four Cal games stayed under. Huskies snapped 4-game skid with 30-0 win in Apple Cup last week; they're 5-4 vs spread as underdog, 3-1 at home. Cal won six of last seven series games, three of last four here. Favorite is 6-3 vs spread last nine series games. Pac-10 home underdogs are 9-7 vs spread.

Favorite covered three of four Cincinnati-Pitt games; Bearcats' 28-20 win LY was their first in four meetings. Panthers lost rivalry game last week at West Virginia, snapping six-game win streak; they're 6-0 at home, and are underdog for first time this season. Bearcats are 11-0 but did give up 45-21-36 points in last three games, forcing zero turnovers. Six of last seven Pitt games stayed under total. Big East home underdogs are 2-6.

Hawai'i won last four games to get back to .500, upsetting Navy 24-17 last week; Warriors are 4-4 vs spread as underdog, covering last three as the dog. Wisconsin won three of last four games, but is just 2-2 on road, winning 31-28 at Minnesota, 31-28 at Indiana. Big 11 road favorites are 10-14 in non-league games, 2-3 on road. WAC underdogs are 13-11 vs spread, 3-3 at home. Four of last five Hawai'i games stayed under total.

FAU won four of last five games against FIU, scoring 55-57 points last two years; three of last four series games were decided by 31+ points. Owls are 2-4 on road, giving up 29+ points in all six games- they're 3-4 vs spread as underdog. Last five FAU road games went over. FIU split last four games after 1-6 start, but they are 2-0-1 vs spread as a favorite. Sun Belt home favorites are 13-10 against the spread.

Houston (+10.5) came to Greenville LY and beat East Carolina 41-24 in fairly big upset, racking up 621 yards; now Cougars are road favorite in C-USA championship game. Houston won seven of last eight games, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as favorite, but just 1-3 as a road fave. ECU won five of last six games; they're 5-1 at home, with only loss 16-3 at Va Tech. C-USA home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.

Winner of Alabama-Florida game goes to national title tilt; both teams are 12-0. Crimson Tide is underdog for first time this year; they started year with 34-24 win over Va Tech in this building, still most points they gave up this year. Florida was +10 in turnovers in last six games, after a 23-20 win over Arkansas Oct 17; they're 6-5 as favorite this year, 3-4 in last seven games. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Bama games, 8-2 in last ten Florida tilts. Favorites are 18-23 vs spread in SEC games this season.

Georgia Tech (-4.5) beat Clemson 30-27 at home Sept 10, scoring TD on fake FG, outrushing Tigers 301-125; Tech led 24-7 at half, held on late. Both teams lost rivalry games last week; Clemson had a 6-game winning streak snapped at South Carolina. Spiller ran three kicks back for TDs in last eight games. Tech had 8-game win streak snapped last week; they've scored 20+ points in second half of last seven games. Under is 4-1-1 in Jackets' last six games.

Nebraska won last five games, allowing 10.6 ppg; they're 2-0 as the dog this year, losing 16-15 at Va Tech (+3.5), upsetting Oklahoma 10-3 (+6) in Norman. Cornhuskers have 11 INTs in last five games (+9 TO ratio). Texas plays for national title if it wins here; they covered five of last six games, after covering one of first five. Big 12 favorites are 22-19 against spread this year. Seven of last ten Texas games stayed under the total.

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (12/3 - 12/5)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (12/3 - 12/5)

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