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Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
New England - 8:30 PM ET New England +1 500
New Orleans - Under 56.5 500
Patriots attracting bettor’s attention as underdogs
With the exception of a game or two, the Monday Night football package has enjoyed a number of very entertaining contests. The excitement goes from exceptional to like a child waiting to open that first Christmas present with what is in store Monday night.
Two years ago, the New England Patriots started the season 10-0 on their way to perfect regular season record and had a prime time telecast against Philadelphia, in which the Eagles gave them everything they could handle, before they prevailed 31-28 as better than three touchdown home favorites. That was the first chink in the armor of New England all season and it would not completely manifest itself until they lost in Super Bowl XLII to the New York Giants.
Now the 7-3 Patriots head to the bayou in the role of spoiler, in the exact opposite situation two years later, trying to knock off the perfect 10-0 New Orleans Saints.
The Patriots (6-4 ATS) quickly put behind the notorious Bill Belichick decision against Indianapolis and jettison past the New York Jets 31-14. Tom Brady and receivers Wes Welker and Randy Moss are backing to tearing up defenses. New England is the AFC’s highest scoring offense at 29 points per game and they are averaging 37.2 PPG over their last five outings. They are 37-18 ATS having won four out of their last five games.
Sportsbook.com has the Pats in a shootout with New Orleans, as total is up to 56.5. This has not been a reason to back off the Brady bunch, who is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards per game and 7-0 against the spread if they face a team scoring 29 or more points per contest.
But as good as the Patriots are and have been, New Orleans (7-3 ATS) has been better this season.
Drew Brees is in charge of the top scoring (36.9) team in the league and best offense (420.5) for gaining yards. The Saints increased production followed the offense live and its running backs. New Orleans can pound the ball to control the clock behind Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell averaging 4.8 yards per carry (4th) against teams that allow 4.4. Depending on how coach Sean Payton sets up the game plan and how the flow of the game emerges, New Orleans can play different styles with equal effectiveness. The Saints are 10-1 ATS vs. AFC opponent with .666 or better record in the Superdome.
Oddmakers opened New Orleans as garden variety three-point home favorites, but the wagering public still prefers the Patriots big game experience and have bet the Saints down to 1.5-point choice, despite the 13-4 ATS record as favorites.
New Orleans has scored 21 or more points in 18 straight home games and is 11-1 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. The three-time Super Bowl champions are 10-2 OVER versus rushing teams averaging 4.5 or yards a carry over the last three seasons.
New England covers if they handle the New Orleans blitz packages. More teams have been using combo coverages on Moss, which has left a lot of room for Welker to work underneath and move the chains. This allows the Patriots to move the chains and sets up Moss for later against a secondary that is less than 100 percent health-wise. Expect the Pats to be more patient in the running game than normal, since the Saints have surrendered over 150 yards per game the last four outings. Despite rumored opinions of coach Belichick having lost faith in his defense, the New England secondary is playing a much greater variety of coverages than earlier in the season and will have to mix press coverage with different Cover 2 looks and run exotic blitzes just to keep Brees guessing, which could lead to turnover.
New Orleans covers if they protect the ball. In weeks 7-10, they turned the ball over 13 times and not coincidently, failed to cover three of those four wins. Brees will see different looks than he’s seen all season and has to exhibit patience. Coach Payton has really improved as play-caller, leaving out the “look how smart I am” plays that sometimes placed his team in bad spots in key moments of games. Where the coach has to be at his best is in the red zone, since New England is in the bottom third of the league in defending scores in confined area. The same holds true of Saints defense. Don’t worry about giving up yardage; play tough in the red zone. The Patriots are surprising below average in this area (21 TDs on 44 possessions), which is pointed out ranking third in scoring and ninth in yards per point.
Monday Night System – Play Against any outdoor road team facing an opponent that plays in a dome. (32-14 ATS, 69.5 percent L12Y)
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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/29/09 12-7-1 63.16% +2150 Detail
11/28/09 3-7-0 30.00% -2350 Detail
11/27/09 11-12-1 47.83% -1100 Detail
11/26/09 1-2-0 33.33% -600 Detail
11/25/09 14-9-1 60.87% +2050 Detail
11/24/09 7-5-0 58.33% +750 Detail
11/23/09 4-4-0 50.00% -200 Detail
11/22/09 6-6-0 50.00% -300 Detail
11/21/09 9-5-0 64.29% +1750 Detail
11/20/09 11-8-1 57.89% +1100 Detail
11/19/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
11/18/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
11/17/09 8-8-0 50.00% -400 Detail
11/16/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
11/15/09 3-5-0 37.50% -1250 Detail
11/14/09 7-4-0 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/13/09 12-6-0 66.67% +2700 Detail
11/12/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
11/11/09 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
11/10/09 7-4-1 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/09/09 6-3-1 66.67% +1350 Detail
11/08/09 5-7-0 41.67% -1350 Detail
11/07/09 4-10-0 28.57% -3500 Detail
11/06/09 14-12-0 53.85% +400 Detail
11/05/09 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
11/04/09 13-7-0 65.00% +2650 Detail
11/03/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
11/02/09 6-2-0 75.00% +1900 Detail
11/01/09 6-8-0 42.86% -1400 Detail
Totals 204-172-6 54.26% +7400
Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee -2.5 500
Milwaukee - Under 195 500
Philadelphia - 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia +11 500 *****
Dallas - Over 199 500
Memphis - 9:00 PM ET Memphis +9.5 500 *****
Utah - Over 206.5 500
Indiana - 10:30 PM ET Indiana +2.5 500 *****
Golden State - Over 228.5 500 *****
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Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Canisius - 7:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan -3.5 500
Eastern Michigan - Over 137 500
Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield +6.5 500
Hofstra - Over 134 500 *****
Penn St. - 7:00 PM ET Penn St. +6 500
Virginia - Over 127.5 500 *****
St. Joseph's - 7:00 PM ET Rider +1 500 *****
Rider - Under 141.5 500
Florida International - 7:00
PM ET Florida International +11 500
Bowling Green - Under 149 500
St. Mary's - 10:00 PM ET St. Mary's -4.5 500 *****
San Jose St. - Over 147 500
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Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Buffalo - 7:00 PM ET Buffalo -109 500 *****
Toronto - Over 6 500
Pittsburgh - 7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -117 500
NY Rangers - Under 5.5 500
Washington - 7:00 PM ET Carolina +141 500 *****
Carolina - Under 6 500
Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida +142 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 6 500
St. Louis - 7:00 PM ET Columbus -128 500 *****
Columbus - Under 5.5 500
Colorado - 7:30 PM ET Colorado +111 500 *****
Tampa Bay - Under 5.5 500
Dallas - 7:30 PM ET Dallas +138 500
Detroit - Over 5.5 500 *****
Calgary - 8:00 PM ET Nashville -114 500 *****
Nashville - Under 5 500
Good Luck All ~
New England - 8:30 PM ET New England +1 500
New Orleans - Under 56.5 500
Patriots attracting bettor’s attention as underdogs
With the exception of a game or two, the Monday Night football package has enjoyed a number of very entertaining contests. The excitement goes from exceptional to like a child waiting to open that first Christmas present with what is in store Monday night.
Two years ago, the New England Patriots started the season 10-0 on their way to perfect regular season record and had a prime time telecast against Philadelphia, in which the Eagles gave them everything they could handle, before they prevailed 31-28 as better than three touchdown home favorites. That was the first chink in the armor of New England all season and it would not completely manifest itself until they lost in Super Bowl XLII to the New York Giants.
Now the 7-3 Patriots head to the bayou in the role of spoiler, in the exact opposite situation two years later, trying to knock off the perfect 10-0 New Orleans Saints.
The Patriots (6-4 ATS) quickly put behind the notorious Bill Belichick decision against Indianapolis and jettison past the New York Jets 31-14. Tom Brady and receivers Wes Welker and Randy Moss are backing to tearing up defenses. New England is the AFC’s highest scoring offense at 29 points per game and they are averaging 37.2 PPG over their last five outings. They are 37-18 ATS having won four out of their last five games.
Sportsbook.com has the Pats in a shootout with New Orleans, as total is up to 56.5. This has not been a reason to back off the Brady bunch, who is 6-0 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards per game and 7-0 against the spread if they face a team scoring 29 or more points per contest.
But as good as the Patriots are and have been, New Orleans (7-3 ATS) has been better this season.
Drew Brees is in charge of the top scoring (36.9) team in the league and best offense (420.5) for gaining yards. The Saints increased production followed the offense live and its running backs. New Orleans can pound the ball to control the clock behind Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell averaging 4.8 yards per carry (4th) against teams that allow 4.4. Depending on how coach Sean Payton sets up the game plan and how the flow of the game emerges, New Orleans can play different styles with equal effectiveness. The Saints are 10-1 ATS vs. AFC opponent with .666 or better record in the Superdome.
Oddmakers opened New Orleans as garden variety three-point home favorites, but the wagering public still prefers the Patriots big game experience and have bet the Saints down to 1.5-point choice, despite the 13-4 ATS record as favorites.
New Orleans has scored 21 or more points in 18 straight home games and is 11-1 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. The three-time Super Bowl champions are 10-2 OVER versus rushing teams averaging 4.5 or yards a carry over the last three seasons.
New England covers if they handle the New Orleans blitz packages. More teams have been using combo coverages on Moss, which has left a lot of room for Welker to work underneath and move the chains. This allows the Patriots to move the chains and sets up Moss for later against a secondary that is less than 100 percent health-wise. Expect the Pats to be more patient in the running game than normal, since the Saints have surrendered over 150 yards per game the last four outings. Despite rumored opinions of coach Belichick having lost faith in his defense, the New England secondary is playing a much greater variety of coverages than earlier in the season and will have to mix press coverage with different Cover 2 looks and run exotic blitzes just to keep Brees guessing, which could lead to turnover.
New Orleans covers if they protect the ball. In weeks 7-10, they turned the ball over 13 times and not coincidently, failed to cover three of those four wins. Brees will see different looks than he’s seen all season and has to exhibit patience. Coach Payton has really improved as play-caller, leaving out the “look how smart I am” plays that sometimes placed his team in bad spots in key moments of games. Where the coach has to be at his best is in the red zone, since New England is in the bottom third of the league in defending scores in confined area. The same holds true of Saints defense. Don’t worry about giving up yardage; play tough in the red zone. The Patriots are surprising below average in this area (21 TDs on 44 possessions), which is pointed out ranking third in scoring and ninth in yards per point.
Monday Night System – Play Against any outdoor road team facing an opponent that plays in a dome. (32-14 ATS, 69.5 percent L12Y)
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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/29/09 12-7-1 63.16% +2150 Detail
11/28/09 3-7-0 30.00% -2350 Detail
11/27/09 11-12-1 47.83% -1100 Detail
11/26/09 1-2-0 33.33% -600 Detail
11/25/09 14-9-1 60.87% +2050 Detail
11/24/09 7-5-0 58.33% +750 Detail
11/23/09 4-4-0 50.00% -200 Detail
11/22/09 6-6-0 50.00% -300 Detail
11/21/09 9-5-0 64.29% +1750 Detail
11/20/09 11-8-1 57.89% +1100 Detail
11/19/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
11/18/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
11/17/09 8-8-0 50.00% -400 Detail
11/16/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
11/15/09 3-5-0 37.50% -1250 Detail
11/14/09 7-4-0 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/13/09 12-6-0 66.67% +2700 Detail
11/12/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
11/11/09 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
11/10/09 7-4-1 63.64% +1300 Detail
11/09/09 6-3-1 66.67% +1350 Detail
11/08/09 5-7-0 41.67% -1350 Detail
11/07/09 4-10-0 28.57% -3500 Detail
11/06/09 14-12-0 53.85% +400 Detail
11/05/09 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
11/04/09 13-7-0 65.00% +2650 Detail
11/03/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
11/02/09 6-2-0 75.00% +1900 Detail
11/01/09 6-8-0 42.86% -1400 Detail
Totals 204-172-6 54.26% +7400
Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee -2.5 500
Milwaukee - Under 195 500
Philadelphia - 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia +11 500 *****
Dallas - Over 199 500
Memphis - 9:00 PM ET Memphis +9.5 500 *****
Utah - Over 206.5 500
Indiana - 10:30 PM ET Indiana +2.5 500 *****
Golden State - Over 228.5 500 *****
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Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Canisius - 7:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan -3.5 500
Eastern Michigan - Over 137 500
Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield +6.5 500
Hofstra - Over 134 500 *****
Penn St. - 7:00 PM ET Penn St. +6 500
Virginia - Over 127.5 500 *****
St. Joseph's - 7:00 PM ET Rider +1 500 *****
Rider - Under 141.5 500
Florida International - 7:00
PM ET Florida International +11 500
Bowling Green - Under 149 500
St. Mary's - 10:00 PM ET St. Mary's -4.5 500 *****
San Jose St. - Over 147 500
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Monday, November 30Game Score Status Pick Amount
Buffalo - 7:00 PM ET Buffalo -109 500 *****
Toronto - Over 6 500
Pittsburgh - 7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -117 500
NY Rangers - Under 5.5 500
Washington - 7:00 PM ET Carolina +141 500 *****
Carolina - Under 6 500
Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida +142 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 6 500
St. Louis - 7:00 PM ET Columbus -128 500 *****
Columbus - Under 5.5 500
Colorado - 7:30 PM ET Colorado +111 500 *****
Tampa Bay - Under 5.5 500
Dallas - 7:30 PM ET Dallas +138 500
Detroit - Over 5.5 500 *****
Calgary - 8:00 PM ET Nashville -114 500 *****
Nashville - Under 5 500
Good Luck All ~
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