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The Bum's Monday's BEST BETS !

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  • The Bum's Monday's BEST BETS !

    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    11/22/09 8-17-1 32.00% -5350 Detail
    11/19/09 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    11/16/09 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    11/15/09 11-12-1 47.83% -1100 Detail
    11/12/09 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    11/09/09 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    11/08/09 4-7-0 36.36% -1850 Detail
    11/02/09 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
    11/01/09 14-10-0 58.33% +1500 Detail
    Totals 38-55-2 40.86% -11250


    Monday, November 23Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Tennessee - 8:30 PM ET Tennessee +4 500
    Houston - Over 48.5 500



    Houston hungry for playoff run on Monday night

    Two weeks after Texans suffered a hard-fought 20-17 defeat in Indianapolis; their run defense will be put to the test by league rushing leader Chris Johnson, who had a career day in Tennessee’s Week 2 home loss to them with 284 total yards and three touchdowns. But Johnson, who rushed for 197 yards and two scores and caught a 69-yard touchdown pass from Kerry Collins that day, had the spotlight stolen from him by Matt Schaub (357 yards, four touchdown passes) as Houston won for just the second time in Nashville in eight tries.

    The 5-4 Texans have had 15 days ponder its heartbreaking loss at Indy, as Kris Brown’s last second potential game-tying 42-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left, and now they prepare for first true franchise run toward the postseason. How Houston (5-3-1 ATS) comes out on Monday night vs. Tennessee will say a lot about how much they’ve grown. They have won two straight against Tennessee, but only by a combined four points. At home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS in the last four meetings and 4-10 ATS against a team who won last game by 14 or more points.

    The Tennessee Titans (3-6, 4-5 ATS) have opened a Pandora’s Box of questions in winning three in a row after losing first six games of the season. Should Tennessee and coach Jeff Fisher be praised for turning season around or chastised for protracted beginning of the year? Coach Fisher, who didn’t appear to be any fan of Vince Young, was left with little choice but to play the former Texas star after humbling 59-0 pasting by New England.

    Young has brought energy to the offense in his three starts and been efficient (44-for-62, 507 yards, two touchdowns, one interception) in leading his squad to a trio of wins and covers.

    Coach Fisher’s club is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six AFC South contests, however is 12-3 ATS in road games after three or more consecutive wins against the spread.

    Sportsbook.com has Houston as four-point favorites with a total of 48 and Schaub assuredly will attack the Titans 31st ranked pass defense from the start. The Texans are 13-4 ATS when they gain eight or more net passing yards per attempt and are 12-3 OVER versus division opponents over the last three seasons.

    Tennessee’s running game keys their offense and they are 16-6 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in two straight games. Tonight’s visitors are 10-2 UNDER on the road revenging a close loss by seven points or less.

    Tennessee covers if they run the ball effectively against Houston’s 14th ranked run defense. The Texans are not known for gap control, which is real plus for Johnson, who can pop into the secondary in a heartbeat. Last week Buffalo made life tough on the Titans by playing eight-men in the box and press coverage on their unimpressive receivers, before self-destructing. With Houston having two weeks to prepare, Tennessee will see more the same, which means taking shots down the field. Young’s arm is more than strong enough; he just needs the pass catchers to make a few plays. After a mediocre start, the Titans pass rush is coming along and they will need to pressure Schaub. Monday night road teams with only one appearance on the season are 34-17-2 ATS, including 5-2 ATS in 2009.

    Houston covers if they create a semblance of a running game with zone-blocking scheme. Granted, the Texans are 28th rushing the pigskin, but Tennessee is nothing special stopping the run (16th) and is vulnerable against teams that run and pass the ball effectively. This helps Schaub, whose been forced to throw the ball too often, which has led to nine picks. Just keeping the Titans honest on defense allows Houston to play to their strength, the passing game, which is the best way to move the ball against them. Though Young has shown greater maturity and better decision-making, a steady pass rush that doesn’t allow him to leave the pocket makes a below average passer even worse. Home teams own a record of 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in Texans post-bye week games since 2003.

    Monday Night System – Same as last week’s, Play Against home team off a bye hosting a division foe. (12-2 ATS L16Y, 2-0 this season)




    -----------------------------------------------------------
    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    11/22/09 6-6-0 50.00% -300 Detail
    11/21/09 9-5-0 64.29% +1750 Detail
    11/20/09 11-8-1 57.89% +1100 Detail
    11/19/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    11/18/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
    11/17/09 8-8-0 50.00% -400 Detail
    11/16/09 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
    11/15/09 3-5-0 37.50% -1250 Detail
    11/14/09 7-4-0 63.64% +1300 Detail
    11/13/09 12-6-0 66.67% +2700 Detail
    11/12/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
    11/11/09 5-5-0 50.00% -250 Detail
    11/10/09 7-4-1 63.64% +1300 Detail
    11/09/09 6-3-1 66.67% +1350 Detail
    11/08/09 5-7-0 41.67% -1350 Detail
    11/07/09 4-10-0 28.57% -3500 Detail
    11/06/09 14-12-0 53.85% +400 Detail
    11/05/09 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
    11/04/09 13-7-0 65.00% +2650 Detail
    11/03/09 10-8-0 55.56% +600 Detail
    11/02/09 6-2-0 75.00% +1900 Detail
    11/01/09 6-8-0 42.86% -1400 Detail
    Totals 152-126-3 54.68% +6700

    Monday, November 23Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento +5 500
    Memphis - Over 206.5 500 *****

    Milwaukee - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -8.5 500
    San Antonio - Under 192.5 500 *****

    Chicago - 10:00 PM ET Chicago +7.5 500 *****
    Portland - Over 184 500

    Minnesota - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -5.5 500 *****
    L.A. Clippers - Under 191.5 500


    -----------------------------------------------------------
    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    11/22/09 11-9-0 55.00% +550 Detail
    11/21/09 15-11-1 57.69% +1450 Detail
    11/20/09 14-15-1 48.28% -1250 Detail
    11/19/09 11-7-0 61.11% +1650 Detail
    11/18/09 7-8-0 46.67% -900 Detail
    11/17/09 22-14-0 61.11% +3300 Detail
    11/16/09 13-17-0 43.33% -2850 Detail
    11/15/09 5-9-1 35.71% -2450 Detail
    11/14/09 6-6-1 50.00% -300 Detail
    11/13/09 40-41-2 49.38% -2550 Detail
    11/12/09 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
    11/11/09 1-2-0 33.33% -600 Detail
    11/09/09 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
    Totals 148-142-6 51.03% -4100

    Monday, November 23Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Cincinnati - 5:30 PM ET Vanderbilt -3.5 500 *****
    Vanderbilt -

    Coastal Carolina - 5:30 PM ET Coastal Carolina +5.5 500 *****
    Indiana St. -

    Fairleigh Dickinson - 6:00 PM ET Eastern Kentucky -10 500 *****
    Eastern Kentucky -

    DePaul - 6:00 PM ET St. Joseph's +1.5 500
    St. Joseph's -

    Texas State - 6:30 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee -8.5 500 *****
    Wis.-Milwaukee -

    Murray St. - 7:00 PM ET Murray St. -14 500
    Florida International -

    Appalachian St. - 7:00 PM ET Appalachian St. +20 500 *****
    Louisville -

    Elon University - 7:00 PM ET Hofstra -14 500
    Hofstra -

    Wichita St. - 7:30 PM ET Wichita St. +6 500 ***** POD
    Pittsburgh -

    Illinois St. - 8:00 PM ET Illinois St. -6.5 500
    Illinois-Chicago -

    Western Michigan - 8:00 PM ET Loyola-Chicago +1 500
    Loyola-Chicago -

    CSU Northridge - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -14.5 500 *****
    Western Kentucky -

    Texas-San Antonio - 8:30 PM ET Texas-San Antonio -2.5 500
    UC Irvine -

    Tennessee - 8:30 PM ET Purdue -2 500
    Purdue -

    Colgate - 9:00 PM ET Texas Christian -15.5 500
    Texas Christian -

    Maryland - 9:30 PM ET Maryland -26 500
    Chaminade -

    Montana - 10:00 PM ET Montana +13.5 500
    Oregon -

    San Francisco - 10:00 PM ET UC Santa Barbara -7 500 *****
    UC Santa Barbara -

    San Diego St. - 10:00 PM ET San Diego St. -3.5 500 *****
    Fresno St. -

    Texas - 10:00 PM ET Texas -15 500
    Iowa -

    Cal Poly SLO - 10:05 PM ET Cal Poly SLO +22 500 *****
    St. Mary's -

    Pepperdine - 11:00 PM ET Pepperdine +15.5 500 *****
    UCLA -

    Arizona - 11:55 PM ET Wisconsin -4.5 500 *****
    Wisconsin -

    ------------------------------------------------------------
    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
    11/22/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1200 Detail
    11/21/09 13-11-0 54.17% +1100 Detail
    11/20/09 5-7-0 41.67% -950 Detail
    11/19/09 5-10-1 33.33% -2715 Detail
    11/18/09 1-9-0 10.00% -5150 Detail
    11/17/09 5-3-0 62.50% +1170 Detail
    11/16/09 6-6-0 50.00% +110 Detail
    11/15/09 2-4-0 33.33% -1150 Detail
    11/14/09 9-11-0 45.00% -1160 Detail
    11/13/09 7-5-0 58.33% +1010 Detail
    11/12/09 7-11-0 38.89% -3045 Detail
    11/11/09 1-1-0 50.00% 0 Detail
    11/10/09 10-2-0 83.33% +4085 Detail
    11/09/09 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
    11/08/09 1-3-0 25.00% -1430 Detail
    11/07/09 12-11-1 52.17% +675 Detail
    11/06/09 2-10-0 16.67% -4500 Detail
    11/05/09 4-14-0 22.22% -5430 Detail
    11/04/09 7-5-0 58.33% +895 Detail
    11/03/09 7-3-0 70.00% +2185 Detail
    11/02/09 2-4-0 33.33% -1265 Detail
    11/01/09 4-4-0 50.00% -400 Detail
    Totals 113-137-2 45.20% -16165

    Monday, November 23Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Detroit +102 500 *****
    Nashville - Over 5.5 500

    NY Islanders - 7:00 PM ET NY Islanders +126 500 *****
    Toronto - Under 6 500

    Columbus - 7:00 PM ET Columbus +122 500 *****
    NY Rangers - Over 5.5 500

    Washington - 7:30 PM ET Ottawa -113 500
    Ottawa - Over 5.5 500

    Pittsburgh - 7:30 PM ET Florida +106 500 *****
    Florida - Under 5.5 500

    Boston - 8:00 PM ET St. Louis -106 500
    St. Louis - Over 5 500 *****

    Carolina - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -190 500
    Dallas - Under 5.5 500

    Philadelphia - 9:00 PM ET Colorado +117 500 *****
    Colorado - Under 5.5 500

    Phoenix - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix +112 500 *****
    Edmonton - Over 5.5 500 *****

    Calgary - 10:00 PM ET Calgary +100 500 *****
    Anaheim - Over 5.5 500


    Good Luck !
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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