Monday Trends and Indexes 11/9 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[pm530]

NOTE:

For the initial posting of trends, we are providing all information available up to the time of posting.
Added updates for the NBA, NCAAB, and NHL will be posted ASAP.
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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Toronto at San Antonio
The Spurs look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is coming off a 129-101 loss to Dallas and is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss of 10 points or more. San Antonio is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 701-702: Phoenix at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.652; Philadelphia 116.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 206 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 214
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1); Under

Game 703-704: Utah at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.629; New York 114.766
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 2; 213 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Toronto at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 115.991; San Antonio 124.504
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 8 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.091; Golden State 117.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8; 208 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: New Orleans at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.452; LA Clippers 112.044
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 199 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, November 9

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PHOENIX (6 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 3) - 11/9/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (2 - 4) at NEW YORK (1 - 6) - 11/9/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
NEW YORK is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (3 - 3) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 3) - 11/9/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-64 ATS (+20.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 142-106 ATS (+25.4 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (1 - 6) at GOLDEN STATE (1 - 4) - 11/9/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (2 - 5) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 4) - 11/9/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/9/2009

PHOENIX at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
PHOENIX: 19-8 OVER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
PHILADELPHIA: 3-14 ATS at home when the total is greater than or equal to 210

UTAH at NEW YORK, 7:30 PM ET
UTAH: 45-26 ATS AWAY against Atlantic division opponents
NEW YORK: 7-17 ATS at home when the total is greater than or equal to 210

TORONTO at SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET
TORONTO: 4-13 ATS AWAY in non-conference games
SAN ANTONIO: 37-17 ATS at home off a DD road loss

MINNESOTA at GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 16-5 ATS AWAY when the total is greater than or equal to 200
GOLDEN STATE: 3-13 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite

NEW ORLEANS at LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 31-15 OVER at home against Southwest division opponents
LA CLIPPERS: 11-24 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NBA


Monday, November 9

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Tips and Trends
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Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs [8:30 PM ET]

Raptors: Toronto is really struggling to play defense right now. They are giving up 108 PPG for the season, including 129 to the Mavericks. Playing on the road, this offense is going to have to shoulder the load. F Chris Bosh is averaging 28.5 PPG, which is top 5 in the NBA for scoring AVG. C Andrea Bargnani is averaging 20.7 PPG, while shooting 51% from the field and 3 point line. The Raptors are ending their first road trip of the season.

Raptors are 2-8 ATS last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Over is 8-2 in last 10 vs. Western Conference.

Key Injuries - F Reggie Evans (foot) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 103

Spurs (-6.5, O/U 202): Spurs look to avoid losing 3 straight games, and they will be without PG Tony Parker. Parker is expected to miss the next week. Spurs have won both their home games, including ATS so far this season. Spurs haven't played well on defense, as they've given up at least 92 points in every game this season. They also are struggling to rebound. F Tim Duncan has been averaging almost 13 RPG, while the other 4 starters are averaging 8.4 RPG. This roster is still getting used to each other, and they will look to improve with 7 of their next 8 games at home.

Spurs are 6-0 ATS last 6 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 last 11 games as a home favorite.

Key Injuries - PG Tony Parker (ankle) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 106 (OVER - Total of the Day)


Side of the Day is in NFL tonight.


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Los Angeles at Chicago
The Kings look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Los Angeles is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 51-52: Los Angeles at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.553; Chicago 10.825
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+135); Over




NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, 11/9/2009

LOS ANGELES at CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 18-29 SU after playing BB home games
CHICAGO: 20-5 SU at home when playing with 2 days rest

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Len's Top 5


Happy Monday everyone, here's my Top 5 for November 9, 2009 from Len Berman Sports.

1. Quick Hits

World Series euphoria turns to football depression in New York as the Giants lose their 4th straight game. San Diego beat them 21-20.
The Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints remain the only unbeaten teams in the NFL. 8-0.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, wearing their old ugly orange uniforms, win their first game beating Green Bay 38-28.
Who knew? Colts quarterback Peyton Manning became the first to throw for 40,000 yards in a decade.
As of today, every single Major League pitcher has had at least 4 days rest.

2. Parade Cleanup

How sad, nobody got pied at the Yankees victory celebration. The ceremony was just too "buttoned up." I was hoping somebody, anybody, would say or do something dopey. That's what these things are for.
As for office workers who threw confidential financial statements out the window along the parade route, I don't think some yahoo screaming in his Yankee jacket was really going to make use of them. I remember one parade when I was stationed at City Hall, and while I was on the air a piece of paper wafted down and I caught it. I ad libbed "this just in." It was somebody's bank statement.

3. Numbers Game

Let's talk math. The baseball industry is crowing over this year's World Series ratings. 19.4 million people on average watched the Series. Upon further review, that's a drop of 20% from the 1996 Yankees World Championship, even though U.S. population grew by 15% during that period. Conversely, football ratings are booming this year. Pick your baseball rationale. Late World Series games? Steroids? Salaries? And if baseball does nothing, what will the numbers look like 13 years from now?

4. Open Mic

Viewers watching the end of the Richmond/Virginia game got an unexpected treat. As Richmond blew a last second fieldgoal, somebody announced loud and clear "what a bum, end this f***ing game." It wasn't one of the broadcasters. They're not quite sure who said it.
My favorite all time end-of-game sportscasting moment came during a high school football game in Texas. When the "home team" lost on a kickoff return, the announcer complained on the air "I'm sick, I want to throw up."

5. Monday Musings

Home court advantage? When the Knicks lost to Cleveland Friday night at the Garden, the biggest cheers were for LeBron James and some of the champion Yankees in attendance. Where's the love for the home team?
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Did you see what Dolphins linebacker Jason Taylor said when comparing Giants fans to Jets fans? "There's a little more class on the Giants side and some Jets fans take the 'cl' out of class."
Ouch.
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Which comes first, the return of the NFL to Los Angeles or pro basketball to New York?
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Pitchers and catchers report in 100 days.

Happy Birthday: Rest, schmest. Cardinals Hall of Fame pitching great Bob Gibson. 74.
Bonus Birthday: Green with envy. The Incredible Hulk actor Lou Ferrigno. 58.

Today in Sports: The PGA eliminated its "Caucasians Only" rule. What took 'em so long? 1961.
Bonus Event: At our fraternity house at Syracuse the lights went out. We though it might be the whole street. Turned out it was the entire Northeast! 1965.