MLB Trends and Indexes - World Series Game #6

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes (MLB – World Series)





Wednesday, November 4

Good Luck on game #6 of the World Series

For the NBA, NHL, and other notes, go to the section: Trends and Indexes (NBA, NHL, Misc.)

NFL trends are in the section: “NFL Trends and Indexes – Week 9 (11/8 - 11/9)”
>> Click on the first “Matchup Link” below. <<

College Football trends are in the section: “NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 10 (11/3 – 11/8)”
>> Click on the second “Matchup Link” below. <<

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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Matchup Links

NFL Trends and Indexes – Week 9

NCAAF Trends and Indexes – Week 10

MLB Matchups

MLB Previews

MLB Hot or Not

MLB Umpires

MLB Trends

MLB Weather

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[pm530]

MLB
Dunkel Index


Philadelphia at NY Yankees
The Yankees look to bounce back from the 8-6 loss in Game Five and build on their 6-0 record in Andy Pettitte's last 6 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. New York is the pick (-180) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 4

Game 961-962: Philadelphia at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 16.522; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.919
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over

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[pm530]

MLB
Long Sheet


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Wednesday, November 4
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PHILADELPHIA (102 - 74) at NY YANKEES (113 - 63) - 7:55 PM

PEDRO MARTINEZ (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MARTINEZ is 87-72 (-28.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 113-63 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 58-27 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 63-25 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 57-22 (+19.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 37-15 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 63-25 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 77-39 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 64-36 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 41-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PETTITTE is 36-8 (+21.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 102-74 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-35 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-32 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-53 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-22 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-40 (+5.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-41 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 (+1.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

PEDRO MARTINEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MARTINEZ is 12-14 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 14-24 (-22.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 22-15. (+5.0 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PETTITTE is 3-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, November 4


World Series
Best of Seven
Game Six
Yankees Lead, 3-2
TV: FOX
Philadelphia at NY Yankees, 7:55 ET
Pedro Martinez (R) vs. Andy Pettitte (L)

Martinez:
14-4 Under Away vs. American League
24-11 Under after scoring 8+ runs

Pettitte:
61-21 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -200
26-10 Under when the total is 9 to 9.5

TSR = Team Start Record
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[pm530]

MLB


Wednesday, November 4

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Trend Report
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7:57 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY YANKEES
Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

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[pm530]

MLB


Wednesday, November 4

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Hot lines: Today’s best MLB bets
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees (-191, 9.5)

Pitching

Pedro Martinez (Philadelphia Phillies) vs. Andy Pettitte (New York Yankees)

Pedro Martinez (5-1, 3.63 ERA)

This is a throwback to earlier in the decade when these two weathered postseason veterans collide in Game 6 of the World Series. Martinez answered any questions about his mentality facing the Bronx Bombers.

The right-hander gave up three runs – leaving two runners on when he was yanked in the sixth inning of Game 2. Martinez allowed six hits including two home runs while striking out eight batters and walking just two. He’s going on five-days rest Wednesday night and if any player would relish denying the Yankees a world championship it is the self-proclaimed “most influential player in Yankee Stadium history”.

Andy Pettitte (14-8, 4.18 ERA)

As of Tuesday morning, all signs are pointing to Andy Pettitte for the Yankees’ Game 6 starting pitcher. The veteran lefty would be pitching on three days' rest, marking the first time in two seasons Pettitte would take the mound on limited downtime.

He lasted six innings against Philadelphia in Game 3, giving up four runs on five hits including two home runs. He struck out seven and walked three batters, earning his third win in four postseason starts. At home, Pettitte is 7-4 with a 4.40 ERA.

Injuries

Phillies outfielder Shane Victorino is nursing a sore finger on his right hand after being struck by a pitch in Game 5 Monday night. Victorino toughed it out for most of the game and X-rays revealed no break.

He was icing his hand following Monday’s win and is expected to be in the order for Game 6 Wednesday. For the series, he is hitting just .167 with four total bases and two RBIs.

New York will be without outfielder Melky Cabrera for the remainder of the World Series due to a strained hamstring. He will be replaced by rookie Ramiro Pena. Cabrera was hitting .153 in the World Series with two hits and three strikeouts.

Batting

Phillies second baseman Chase Utley continues to swing the big bat in the World Series. He hit two home runs in Game 5, tying Reggie Jackson’s record for most home runs in a series with five. He’s hitting .333 with eight RBIs and 22 total bases.

New York outfielder Johnny Damon is the best bat in the Yankees’ order. He went 3-for-4 with an RBI and a walk in Game 5, improving his World Series numbers to .381 at the plate with 10 total bases and four RBIs.

Pick: Over 9.5

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[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Wednesday, November 4

Phillies are 9-2 when Martinez starts for them; he is 1-1, 2.07 in two postseason starts; this is first time in almost two months he's started on normal four days' rest. Pedro allowed three runs in six IP (107 PT) in a 3-1 Game 2 loss. Pettitte is 3-0, 3.24 in four postseason starts; he is on three days' rest day here, tough for older pitcher who just faced this foe. After the first two Series games stayed under total, last three went over, with the average total in last three games, 12.3.

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[Udog]

MLB


Game 6

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Tips and Trends
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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees [FOX| 7:57 PM ET]

Phillies: The Phillies have won 20 of their last 28 playoff games, but need to win to stay alive. The Phillies have won eight of the last 11 times Pedro Martinez has taken the mound. The veteran right-hander gave up three runs in six innings in a Game 2 loss at Yankee Stadium. Martinez was 5-1 with a 3.63 ERA in just 44 2/3 innings since signing with the Phillies. Martinez was 2-0 with a 1.88 ERA at Citizens Band Park, but 3-2 with a 4.28 ERA on the road this season. Chase Utley has hit five home runs, tying him with Reggie Jackson for most homers in a World Series. The Phillies have out-homered New York, 10-5. However, Ryan Howard is batting just .158 in the Series with 12 strikeouts. Shane Victorino may not be 100 percent after getting hit in the hand with a pitch on Monday night.

The Over has cashed 7 of the last 10 times the Phillies have been an underdog.
The Over is 19-5-2 in Philadelphia’s past 26 games.

Key Injuries - Outfielder Shane Victorino (hand) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Yankees (-$2.00, O/U 9): The Yankees have won the World Series in all eight previous times they were up 3-1. The Phillies staved off elimination by winning Game 5 at home, but New York only lost three games in a row twice after the All-Star break. Only once after mid-June did the Yankees lose consecutive home games. Andy Pettitte will be pitching on three days rest for the first time this season. The Yankees have won 11 of Pettitte’s last 15 starts. The southpaw’s statistics have been better on the road, though, where he was 10-4 with a 3.73 ERA compared to 7-4 at Yankee Stadium with a 4.40 ERA. The under has cashed in 10 of Pettitte’s last 13 home starts. The Yankees have cashed 40 of the past 52 times they’ve been a home favorite. They are 47-18 in their last 65 games when facing a right-handed starter.

The Under is 46-21-1 in Pettitte’s last 68 starts as a favorite.
The home team is 18-6 in the past 24 games Joe West has been the home plate umpire.

Key Injuries - Outfielder Melky Cabrera (hamstring) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)


Total of the Day is in NBA today.


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[pm530]

MLB


Wednesday, November 4

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MLB Weather Notes
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World Series Game 6 Weather Forecast

Wed., Nov. 4, 2009
First Pitch: 7:57pm ET

Yankee Stadium
Bronx, NY

Event Day Forecast

Mostly Cloudy
Forecast : 51°F
Feels like: 51°F

Sunset: 4:48 PM

Probability of Precip:10 %
Spectator Index: 7
UV Index: Low

Wind Direction/Wind Speed
Wind: From the SW at 3 mph

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[pm530]

MLB
This Day in Baseball

On November 4 in Baseball History...

1959 - Ernie Banks wins his second Most Valuable Player award in a row on the strength of his forty-five home runs and one-hundred forty-three runs batted in for the Cubs. Eddie Mathews finishes second.

1975 - Jim Palmer of the Orioles wins his second Cy Young Award, after pacing the American League in wins (23), shutouts (ten), and ERA (2.09).

1976 - The first mass-market free agent re-entry draft is held at New York's Plaza Hotel. Among those available are Reggie Jackson, Joe Rudi, Don Gullett, Gene Tenace, Rollie Fingers, Don Baylor, Bobby Grich, and Willie McCovey.

1977 - The second re-entry free-agent draft is held at New York's Plaza Hotel. Big names include Lyman Bostock, Goose Gossage, Larry Hisle, Mike Torrez, and Oscar Gamble.

1978 - The third annual re-entry free-agent draft is held at the Plaza Hotel, New York City. Pete Rose, Tommy John, and Darrell Evans are the biggest names among the eligible players.

1980 - Steve Carlton joins Sandy Koufax, Tom Seaver, and Jim Palmer as pitchers with three Cy Young Awards. Carlton garners all but one of the twenty-four first-place votes to take National League honors. Carlton was 24-9 with a 2.34 ERA and led the National League with 286 strikeouts.

1987 - Padres catcher Benito Santiago, who ended the season with a rookie record 34-game hitting streak, is a unanimous selection as the National League Rookie of the Year.

1997 - Scott Rolen is the unanimous choice for National League Rookie of the Year and becomes the first Phillie to win the award since Dick Allen in 1964. The 22-year-old third baseman led all National League rookies in batting average (.283), home runs (21), RBI (92), runs (93), hits (159), doubles (35), total bases (263), on-base percentage (.377), and slugging percentage (.469).

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