Announcement

**pm530** · 11-03-2009, 04:48 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Note: If there updates, we will re-post

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Sunday, November 8
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KANSAS CITY (1 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 4) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 3) at CINCINNATI (5 - 2) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (5 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 0) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (2 - 5) at ATLANTA (4 - 2) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (4 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 7) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 3) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (3 - 4) at NEW ENGLAND (5 - 2) - 11/8/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (3 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (6 - 0) - 11/8/2009, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (1 - 6) at SEATTLE (2 - 5) - 11/8/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (1 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 4) - 11/8/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (4 - 3) at NY GIANTS (5 - 3) - 11/8/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DALLAS (5 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 2) - 11/8/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 132-90 ATS (+33.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, November 9
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PITTSBURGH (5 - 2) at DENVER (6 - 1) - 11/9/2009, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DENVER is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 11-03-2009, 04:49 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, November 8

KANSAS CITY at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 18-6 ATS Away off loss by 10+ points
JACKSONVILLE: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite

BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 10-2 ATS as a favorite
CINCINNATI: 6-1 Over off SU home dog win by 10 or more

HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 10-2 Over in dome games
INDIANAPOLIS: 6-1 Over at home vs. Houston

WASHINGTON at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 12-6 Under off SU loss
ATLANTA: 0-3 ATS vs. NFC East

GREEN BAY at TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 21-8 Over vs. conference
TAMPA BAY: 1-6 ATS this season

ARIZONA at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 10-1 ATS if 50+ total points were scored last game
CHICAGO: 1-11 ATS after game with +4 TO margin or better

MIAMI at NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 13-31 ATS off SU dog win
NEW ENGLAND: 10-1 Under at home off bye week

CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS, 4:05 PM ET
CAROLINA: 1-5 ATS off SU win by 10+ as underdog of 6+
NEW ORLEANS: n/a

DETROIT at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
DETROIT: 2-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
SEATTLE: 17-5 Over at home off loss by 14+ points

TENNESSEE at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:15 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 7-0 Under Away off home win
SAN FRANCISCO: 6-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards

SAN DIEGO at NY GIANTS, 4:15 PM ET
SAN DIEGO: 11-3 ATS off BB SU wins
NY GIANTS: 75-48 Under off an Over

DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA, 8:20 PM ET NBC
DALLAS: 1-9 ATS Away off cover as DD favorite
PHILADELPHIA: 12-2 ATS off division game

Monday, November 9

PITTSBURGH at DENVER, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
PITTSBURGH: 6-1 Over vs. Denver
DENVER: 10-2 ATS as home underdog

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**pm530** · 11-03-2009, 04:50 AM

NFL

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Trend Report
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Sunday, November 8

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHICAGO
Arizona is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
Baltimore is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games
Baltimore is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. TAMPA BAY
Green Bay is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Green Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Houston is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. JACKSONVILLE
Kansas City is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Jacksonville is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
Miami is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
New England is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 1-3-3 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Carolina's last 15 games
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. SEATTLE
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-23 SU in its last 24 games
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. NY GIANTS
San Diego is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
NY Giants are 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home
NY Giants are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games at home

4:15 PM
TENNESSEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Tennessee is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:20 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Philadelphia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Dallas

Monday, November 9

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. DENVER
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**pm530** · 11-05-2009, 08:58 AM

NFL
Dunkel Index

Miami at New England
The Dolphins look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10 1/2 points or more. Miami is the pick (+11) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+11). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 8

Game 403-404: Kansas City at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.034; Jacksonville 125.702
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+6 1/2); Under

Game 405-406: Baltimore at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 139.210; Cincinnati 131.603
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 7 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Under

Game 407-408: Houston at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.049; Indianapolis 146.460
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 13 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9; 48
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9); Over

Game 409-410: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.846; Atlanta 136.496
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 10; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-10); Under

Game 411-412: Green Bay at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 136.700; Tampa Bay 123.756
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-9 1/2); Over

Game 413-414: Arizona at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 138.376; Chicago 133.581
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5; 47
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Over

Game 415-416: Miami at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 135.151; New England 140.472
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: New England by 11; 47
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+11); Over

Game 417-418: Carolina at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 131.413; New Orleans 150.044
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 18 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 13 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-13 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.599; Seattle 133.403
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 18; 40
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10); Under

Game 421-422: Tennessee at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 123.416; San Francisco 134.540
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 11; 45
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 4; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-4); Over

Game 423-424: San Diego at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 131.610; NY Giants 141.914
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-4 1/2); Under

Game 425-426: Dallas at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 140.059; Philadelphia 136.419
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Under

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 429-430: Pittsburgh at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.030; Denver 136.545
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Over

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**Udog** · 11-05-2009, 11:12 PM

NFL

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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 9
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Washington Redskins at Atlanta Falcons (-10)

Why the Redskins cover: Their defense is one of the tops in the league allowing just 283 yards per contest which is good for fourth in the NFL. Owner Daniel Snyder is trying to light a fire beneath his team apologizing to fans for his team having “let everyone down.”

Why the Falcons cover: Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home games. Quarterback Matt Ryan will benefit from playing a Washington defense that has forced just three interceptions on the season. Running back Michael Turner showed signs of life last week rushing for 151 yards on just 20 carries and one touchdown.

Total (41): The under is 6-2-1 in Washington’s last nine away games. The over is 5-1 in the Falcons’ last six home games against a losing team.

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (-3)

Why the Cardinals cover: Arizona is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games. The Cards are also 4-0 in their last four as a road dog, 6-0 in their last six as an underdog and 4-0 in their last four road games.

Why the Bears cover: Chicago is perfect at home this season posting a 3-0 ATS record. Jay Cutler sports a 91.6 QB rating at Soldier Field, compared to a 73.6 rating on the road. The Bears are averaging 121.3 rushing yards at home, including 170 last week against Cleveland. Arizona allowed a season-high 270 yards rushing vs. Carolina last week.

Total (44.5): Be sure to check the weather — the under is 4-1 the Bears last five home games.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+3)

Why the Ravens cover: Baltimore is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games against AFC opponents and 16-5 in its last 21 games overall. The Ravens shredded Denver’s defense last week in a 30-7 trouncing. One of those losses came against the Bengals who defeated Baltimore 17-14 on Oct. 11. The Ravens should be out for blood.

Why the Bengals cover: Cincinnati is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 against the Ravens. The Bengals are holding opponents to just 88 yards rushing per game. Cincinnati is coming off a bye. Running back Cedric Benson is averaging over 100 rushing yards per game and torched the Ravens for 120 yards and a TD in the last matchup.

Total (43.5): The over is 5-2 the last seven meetings in Cincinnati.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-9.5)

Why the Texans cover: This is the biggest game in the seven-year history of the Houston Texans. The Texans are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games with the Colts. Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last seven on the road and 4-1 ATS in the last five at Indianapolis.

Why the Colts cover: Peyton Manning is enjoying a remarkable campaign (2,227 yards, 71 percent completion percentage, 15 touchdown passes) which is a big reason the Colts are 5-2 ATS. The Colts are also 5-1 ATS following a straight-up win in their last six and 4-1 ATS following an ATS loss.

Total (48): The over is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these two teams.

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)

Why the Chiefs cover: Jacksonville is terribly inconsistent. Kansas City sports a 12-6 ATS record in its last 18 road games. Losing running back Larry Johnson could actually spark KC’s ground game.

Why the Jaguars cover: Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS versus the Chiefs in the last four meetings. The Chiefs are near the bottom of the league in rushing defense allowing 131 yards on the ground per game while Jacksonville is averaging 135.6 yards rushing.

Total (42): The total has gone over in five of Jacksonville’s last six home games.

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+10)

Why the Packers cover: Green Bay should excel against a Tampa Bay team allowing 29 points per game. The Packers are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games on the road. Aaron Rodgers has passed for 3122 yards on the road with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions.

Why the Buccaneers cover: Getting 10 points is a lot for any team at home, even for the Buccaneers. Rookie Josh Freeman will be handed the reins at quarterback for his first career start in hopes that he can give Tampa Bay the spark it needs. Tampa also has history on its side: The Buccaneers are 7-3-1 in their last 11 against Green Bay including 2-5 ATS in Tampa Bay.

Total (44): The Under is 4-1 the last five meetings in Tampa.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10.5)

Why the Dolphins cover: Miami has excelled in division play recently going 5-0 ATS against the AFC East. The Fish are also 7-0 in their last seven as a road dog of 10.5 points or greater. Ted Ginn Jr. returned two kickoffs for touchdowns last week against the Jets.

Why the Patriots cover: The Pats are 4-0 ATS in their last four against teams under .500 including 2-0 ATS this season. They’re also undefeated at home going 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS.

Total (46.5): Over is 6-1 in the Patriots’ last seven home games.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-13.5)

Why the Panthers cover: Carolina played turnover-free football last week in a 34-21 victory over Arizona. The ground game collected 270 yards. Drawing New Orleans off of a short week could do wonders for the Panthers. Carolina is 8-0 ATS in the last eight games played at New Orleans and 4-1 in the last five meetings overall.

Why the Saints cover: New Orleans is unstoppable on offense, but the defense is also playing well. Led by Darren Sharper’s seven interceptions, the Saints are leading the league with 16 picks. That’s trouble for a turnover-prone quarterback like Jake Delhomme. The Saints are 6-0 ATS their last six games following an ATS loss and are 4-1 ATS their last five are playing on Monday night.

Total (52): The over is 5-0 in the Panthers’ last five games against the NFC South.

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-10)

Why the Lions cover: The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after scoring less than 15 points. Wide receiver Calvin Johnson (knee) was back at practice in a limited capacity Wednesday after missing three weeks and could suit up Sunday.

Why the Seahawks cover: They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing 30 points or more. Detroit is giving up 29.3 points per game and 251 yards per game through the air.

Total (43): Under is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five home games.

San Diego Chargers at New York Giants (-4.5)

Why the Chargers cover: The Chargers have won two straight against the dregs of the AFC West (Kansas City and Oakland). That could give them some momentum against the slumping Giants. San Diego is 10-3-1 in its last 14 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.

Why the Giants cover: San Diego doesn’t always play well on the East Coast (0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS in last six regular season games). The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight after allowing 30 points or more.

Total (47): Under is 10-1-1 in the Giants’ last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points in the previous game.

Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers (-4)

Why the Titans cover: The quarterback change seemed to spark Tennessee’s offense. The Titans now boast big play threats on the ground with QB Vince Young and RB Chris Johnson sharing the backfield. The team’s secondary is almost completely recovered from a rash of injuries.

Why the 49ers cover: The 49ers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six contests at home, while Tennessee is still searching for its first road win of the season. San Francisco has been a tremendous bet all season. The club owns a 5-1-1 record against the spread.

Total (41): The total has gone over in six of San Francisco’s last nine games.

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

Why the Cowboys cover: The Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak (2-1 ATS) and are 8-2 in their last 10 games against the NFC. Dallas’ pass rush is back after a slow start to the season. The club has dropped opposing QBs 11 times in the last three games.

Why the Eagles cover: Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS in the last three games against Dallas. The Eagles are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven home games. Running back Brian Westbrook (concussion) will return to face Dallas on Sunday night.

Total (47.5): The over is 3-0-1 in the last three meetings at Philadelphia.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (+3)

Why the Steelers cover: The Steelers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 road games while the Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against teams with winning records.

Why the Broncos covered: The Broncos have surprised this year going 6-1 ATS. Denver’s improved defense could make things difficult for Pittsburgh’s pass-heavy offensive attack.

Total (39.5): The total has gone under in six of Denver’s last seven home games.

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**Udog** · 11-08-2009, 12:04 AM

NFL

Sunday, November 8

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What bettors need to know: Cowboys at Eagles
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Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 50)

The Big payback?

The Dallas Cowboys will be seeking a bit of payback when these longstanding division rivals meet for the 100th time Sunday night with first-place on the line.

The Cowboys closed the 2008 season in Philadelphia with a wild card berth on the line and were promptly pummeled by the Eagles 44-6. Dallas had five turnovers in that one – three by quarterback Tony Romo – which included fumble returns for touchdowns of 73 and 96 yards.

"We just flat out got our tail whooped, man. No excuse or anything like that," receiver Patrick Clayton told the Cowboys' official website. "We went home and had to sulk and had to deal with that for the whole offseason."

The loss was the most lopsided in the history of the series.

"I think we all remember so much - I know I do and so many players on this team remember - how we left Philadelphia last year," owner Jerry Jones said.

Added head coach Wade Phillips, “The motivation is clear to me that this is a big game. Whoever wins this is at the halfway point of the season and in first place. To me, that’s as much motivation as you need. But if you need more, if that (44-6) sticks in your craw, use that too.”

On the move

Both teams enter this playing their best football of the season. The Cowboys (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) are riding a three-game win streak while the Eagles (5-2, 5-2) have reeled off two straight including a 40-17 spanking of the Giants last week, since their unexplainable loss to the Raiders in week five.

The Cowboys, which now boasts the league’s second-ranked offense, have scored 101 points during their winning streak while giving up just 19 points a game. Romo has posted 100-plus QB ratings in all three games and for the first time in his starting career and he has not been intercepted in three consecutive games.

“I’m seeing things. It’s as simple as that. I’m not throwing and hoping,” Romo told reporters.

A major catalyst in the Cowboys resurgence has been receiver Miles Austin, whose 482 receiving yards in his first three starts are the most by any player since 1970. He’s also scored at least one touchdown in each of those games with five in total.

The Cowboys’ defense has recorded 11 of its 17 sacks and five of its nine takeaways during the winning streak.

"Defensively, they're flying around," Eagles coach Andy Reid said. "They're blitzing from all over the place."

McNabb is coming off arguably his best game of the season against the Giants. The veteran signal caller went 17-of-23 for 240 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. He has a seasonal quarterback rating of 103.2 - a mark he’s bettered just once in his career, in 2004 while leading the Eagles to the Super Bowl.

Action Jackson

DeSean Jackson continues to be the big-play guy for Philadelphia. He notched his sixth touchdown of 50 yards or more last Sunday, three shy of breaking the NFL single-season record.

"I've just been put in some great positions to score long touchdowns," Jackson said. "Whatever we need to do to make it work, that's what we're going to do. I want to keep winning, keep making plays and hopefully make it to the Super Bowl."

Speculation out of Dallas earlier in the week was that cornerback Terence Newman would shadow Jackson all game. The Cowboys used a similar strategy vs. Carolina earlier this year and it was effective. Newman followed Steve Smith all over the field and held him to four catches for 38 yards.

However, growing confidence in second-year cornerback Mike Jenkins could scrap the plan, though Phillips wouldn’t confirm or deny.

“That’s part of our game plan, so I’m really not going to go into that,” Phillips said. “I think Jenkins is playing better and better. Newman certainly is a talent and matched up well with (Smith). It depends on what you’re doing and what they’re doing.

On the mend

Running back Brian Westbrook, who did not play last week because of concussion symptoms, is listed as questionable but is expected to play. Westbrook practiced most of the week, but was held out Friday as a precaution. Reid said he thinks Westbrook “can contribute a bunch” this week and that he’s likely to lead the running back rotation with LeSean McCoy.

Line movement

The line opened with the Eagles as 3.5-point favorites and has moved to -3 virtually everywhere. The total has held solid at 49, though a few betting shops have upped it slightly to 49.5.

Weather

It should be a glorious fall day in Philadelphia as the forecast calls for sunny skies with a high of 66 degrees.

Trends

The Cowboys are: 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog…1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

The Eagles are: 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite…6-1 ATS in their last seven home games…4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

The Over is: 7-2 in the Cowboys last nine games overall…7-1 in the Eagles last eight games overall.

Head-to-Head: The underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings…the Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six meeting.

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**Udog** · 11-08-2009, 12:08 AM

NFL

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Gone with the wind: NFL Week 9 weather report
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Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (-3, 44.5)

The game should be a pleasant 60 degrees at kickoff, but expect a stiff breeze in the Windy City. Weather.com is calling for a steady, 11-mph wind that could have an impact on both teams. Bears signal caller Jake Cutler has been anything but consistent this year and Cardinals quarterback Kurt Warner was playing soft toss with defenders last week. This game will boil down to the Cardinals stiff run defense against a bounding Bears running game.

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 42)

These teams should luck out and avoid any showers this weekend, but they can expect to play in at least a 10-mph wind that could bother both passing games. Lions quarterback Matt Stafford is still learning the pro game as a rookie and Seattle signal caller Matt Hasselbeck has been dinged up for weeks. If Seattle gets its ground game going, this one could get ugly quick.

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+9.5, 43.5)

The only thing that may shut down Green Bay’s passing game in this one is a 17-mph wind that could wreck havoc for a team reliant on the deep ball. Tampa Bay has one of the worst defenses in the league and anything that could limit the Packers would be huge to help them cover the spread and keep the total low.

Kansas City Chiefs at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5, 41.5)

This game already figures to be ugly, but could be even worse than anticipated, as the forecast calls for a gusty 15-mph wind that could keep both teams passes grounded for most of the afternoon. The Jaguars' running game appeared to finally hit its stride last week, and if this turns into ground battle, the home team figures to have an edge in a low-scoring affair.

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**Udog** · 11-08-2009, 12:14 AM

NFL
Write-Up

Week 9 NFL Games

Sunday, November 8

Chiefs (1-6) @ Jaguars (3-4)-- No idea what to expect from an erratic Jax club that gave up 305 rushing yards in loss at 0-6 Titans last week; they're 0-2 vs spread as a favorite this year, and have been -2 in turnovers in each of their last three games. Chiefs are 1-2 as road underdog, losing 38-24 at Ravens, 34-14 at Philly, then winning at Washington. KC is just 28-58 passing last two games, and has scored total of just 33 first half points in 1-6 start. All three Jax home games went over the total; over is 3-1-1 in last five Kansas City games. AFC South home faves are 2-4 vs spread in non-divisional games; AFC West road underdogs are 2-6.

Ravens (4-3) @ Bengals (5-2)-- Emotional Bengals upset Ravens 17-14 (+9) in Baltimore four weeks ago, in first game after Coach Zimmer's wife died; they outgained Ravens 403-257, outrushed them 142-82. Ravens lost three of last four visits here, are 1-2 on road, with three games decided by total of 13 pts. Baltimore scored 30+ points in all four wins, scored 14-21-31 in losses; they scored six TDs on 22 drives in last two games. Bengals won five of last six games, but are just 2-2 at home, losing to Broncos, Texans. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Cincinnati games. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in AFC North games this season.

Texans (5-3) @ Colts (7-0)-- Indy won nine of last ten games vs Texans, with Houston losing last five visits here by 35-14-19-23-6 points. Texans won last three games, scoring 28-24-31 points (10 TDs/32 drives, eight 3/outs)- they ran ball for 186 yards in Buffalo last week, first time they've been over 120 in '09. Colts are 5-2 vs spread, 1-2 at home, winning by 2-17-4 points- they gave up total of 29 points in last three games (two TDs/32 drives), haven't turned ball over in last two games. Texans are 2-1 as an underdog this year. Under is 3-1-1 in Houston's last five games. Underdogs are 4-2 vs spread in AFC South games this season.

Redskins (2-5) @ Falcons (4-3)-- Dysfunctional Skins are 0-3 on road, with losses by 6-5-3 points; they don't have a loss by more than 10, are 2-1 as an underdog- they held four of last six opponents under 5.0 ypp, catch Falcons off Monday night rivalry game. Atlanta is 3-0 as home favorite, winning by 12-8-7 points; they gave up 26-37-35 points in losses, average of 12.8 in their wins. Redskins are 7 for last 35 on third down. Five of last six Washington games stayed under total, three of last four Falcon games went over. NFC East teams are 11-10 vs spread out of division, 1-2 as dog, 1-1 on road; NFC South home favorites are 5-2.

Packers (4-3) @ Buccaneers (0-7)-- Green Bay allowed 31-30-38 in its losses, average of 8.8 ppg in wins, with three wins by 19+ points. Pack (+1.5) lost 30-21 here LY, with only eight first downs; Bucs outrushed them 178-28, but winless Tampa already has five losses by 13+ points (1-6 vs spread). Packers are 4-2 vs spread as favorite, with road wins by 36-17 at St Louis, 31-3 over the Browns. Bucs haven't been inside opponents' 20-yard line in last couple games- they went 3/out on 29 of last 56 drives. NFC South underdogs are 3-9 vs spread in non-division games, 0-4 at home. NFC North favorites are 6-4 vs spread out of division, 5-0 on road.

Cardinals (4-3) @ Bears (4-3)-- Chicago is 3-0 at home, winning by 3-24-24 points (3-0 as favorite, 2-0 at home); they're 4-0 when scoring 17+ points, 0-3 if they don't. Third road game in four weeks for Arizona; Cardinals are 3-0 on road, scoring nine TDs on 36 drives; visitor is 6-1 vs spread in their '09 games- they've held only one team under 17 points this year. Four of last five Arizona games stayed under total. Last three Redbird opponents completed just 37-82 passes. Chicago is 1-3 when it scores less than 25 points. NFC North favorites are 6-4 vs spread out of division, 1-4 at home. NFC West underdogs are 7-6, 7-2 on the road.

Dolphins (3-4) @ Patriots (5-2)-- Visitor is 5-3 in last eight series games, with Miami winning here 38-13 LY in debut of Wildcat offense; last six series tilts were all decided by 20+ points. Dolphins won three of last four games- they blew 24-3 lead in only loss, but Jets outgained them 378-104 last week, with Fish winning on strength of two kick return TDs by Ginn and a defensive TD. None of Miami's four losses are by more than 12 points. Pats covered four of last five games, with positive turnover ratio in all five of the games. Last four Miami games went over the total. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in AFC East games this season.

Panthers (3-4) @ Saints (7-0)-- Carolina won last five visits here, winning the last two by combined total of five points; they've won three of last four games after a 0-3 start- three of their four losses are by 11+ points (1-3 as underdog, road losses by 8-14 points). Saints are 6-1 vs spread, failing to cover Monday for first time in '09- they're 3-1 as home favorite, winning by 18-14-21-8 pts. Panthers ran ball for 267-116-270 yards in last three games; they passed ball for average of 84 ypg in three wins, so if they can't run ball, Delhomme hasn't been able to carry his share of load. Saints allowed 137-161 rushing yards last two games, a red flag. Last three New Orleans games went over the total.

Lions (1-6) @ Seahawks (2-5)-- Seattle lost five of last six games, with four losses by 13+ points, hard to envision them laying double digits to any team, but Detroit lost at home to 0-17 Rams last week, is 0-3 as a road dog so far in '09, losing 45-27/48-24/26-0, allowing 13 TD, 8 FG on opponents' 33 drives. Lions scored one TD on 21 drives (nine 3/outs) in last two games. Three of four Seattle home games stayed under total. Last four Seahawk games were all decided by 17+ points, with Seattle 2-1 as a favorite. NFC West home faves are 2-3 vs spread in non-division games; NFC North underdogs are 3-4, 0-4 on road. Hard to be enthusiastic about either side in this game.

Titans (1-6) @ 49ers (3-4)-- Tennessee won first game last week; Young was 15-18/125 passing, Titans ran ball for 305 yards, third time this year they ran ball for 193+ yards. 49ers lost last three games after 3-0 start, but they held Colts to one TD on 12 drives in Indy, forcing four FG tries- their last couple games were decided by total of seven points. Tennessee is 1-3 as road dog in '09, with away losses by 3-7-20-59 points. Niners are 2-1 as a favorite. NFC West home favorites are 2-3 vs spread out of division; AFC South underdogs are 3-9 vs spread, 3-5 on road. Titans' last four games were all decided by 17+ points. Tennessee is 2-25 on third down in their last two games.

Chargers (4-3) @ Giants (5-3)-- Manning won't get any sympathy from team he refused to play for; Big Blue lost last three games, with Giants giving up an average of 38 ppg (15 TDs, only three FG attempts on 38 drives) in setbacks. Chargers crushed Giants 45-23 (-6) in 2005, in Eli's only previous meeting vs Bolts. Last three Giant opponents are 60-89/787 passing. San Diego scored 23 or more points in every game, with losses by 5-10-11 points; they're 0-1 as an underdog. AFC West underdogs are 6-8 vs spread out of division, 2-6 on road. NFC East home favorites are 6-4. Other than narrow win at Dallas, four clubs Giants beat have a combined record of 6-23.

Cowboys (5-2) @ Eagles (5-2)-- More diverse Dallas averaged 9.9/9.6/6.6 ypp in winning last three games, scoring 26-37-38 points (10 TDs/32 drives); they are underdog for first time this year. Philly won last three home games by 20-19-23 points. Teams split last eight in series, with Pokes losing here 44-6 last year in Week 17 tank job that knocked them out of playoffs. Eagles are 4-1 vs spread as favorite this year. Philly is +10 in turnovers last four games, taking ball away 12 times. Cowboys have 17 sacks in last five games. Six of seven Eagle games, five of seven Dallas contests went over total. Underdogs are 3-1 vs spread in NFC East games.

Monday, November 9

Steelers (5-2) @ Broncos (6-1)-- Denver has only two takeaways in last three games, after 10 in first four; Broncos are 3-0 at home, winning by 21-7-3 pts, with wins over Dallas/Patriots. Pitt won last four games after 1-2 start, scoring 30 ppg (13 TD/38 drives); they're just 1-2 on road, winning 28-20 at Detroit, losing at Chicago, Cincy. Steelers allowed TD on offense/special teams in their last five games. AFC North favorites are 5-5 vs spread outside its division, 0-2 on road. AFC West underdogs are 6-8, 4-2 at home. Six of seven Denver games stayed under the total; four of last five Steeler games went over. Average total in last three series games is 53.7.

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**Udog** · 11-08-2009, 12:20 AM

NFL

Week 9

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Total bias: NFL Week 9 over/under plays
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With all the news out of Dallas this season – Tony Romo isn’t the long-term answer at quarterback, the defense has lost it, the offense has no rhythm and Wade Phillips is an inept coach – you’d think the team was vying for a Top 10 draft pick.

But the “disaster” that is the Dallas Cowboys has emerged as a contender in the NFC East and has been helping over players fatten their bankrolls all season.

The Cowboys are 5-2 SU, but more importantly 5-2 over/under this season, matching the record of the high-octane Saints for the second-best mark in the league. Only Philadelphia (6-1 o/u) is a better over play this season.

Save your cash, ride the Cowboys, indeed.

So what’s the reason for Dallas’ ability to routinely go over the total?

Tony Romo haters – including Jessica Simpson -- aren’t going to like this answer. I mean, when the guy said he broke up with Carrie Underwood to “focus more on football,” I was all over him. But the numbers don’t lie for the Cowboys’ Casanova.

Dallas is second in the league in total offense, averaging 411 yards and 28.1 points per game. Romo is one of the big reasons why, ranking ninth in the league in passer rating and completing 60 percent of his throws for 1,908 yards with 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions. And the offensive line has been doing a great job – giving up just 13 sacks – and paving the way for a suddenly dominant rushing game.

Despite rotating the banged up trio of Tashard Choice, Marion Barber and Felix Jones as the team’s featured running back, the unit is sixth in the league in rushing offense, averaging a phenomenal 5.4 yards per carry to go with eight rushing scores.

On the other side of the ball, the defense is ranked No. 22, giving up more than 341 yards and 19 points per game. The team has recorded 17 sacks and posted nine takeaways, but a still-under-construction secondary has been a big reason the unit has given up 23 plays of 20-plus yards this season. That’s a far cry from the group that led the league with 59 sacks and forced 22 turnovers last year.

The combined record of Dallas’ opponents so for this season is 21-29, but the group has shown an ability to light up the scoreboard against better teams, including scoring 31 against the Giants and 37 against the Falcons. One thing is for certain this season – when the Cowboys are involved, there are plenty of points to be had.

So what are you waiting for? Cowboy up!

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles

The books are daring you to play the over.

With a total of 49 points and two teams with questionable defenses, high-scoring offenses and a combined over/under record of 11-3, this one seems a little fishy.

Don’t worry, it’s not.

The over has gone 3-0-1 in Dallas’ past three trips to the City of Brotherly Love, and with both team’s offenses back on track and putting up points, expect plenty of explosives in this one. Overall, three of the team’s past four meetings have gone over the total. After this week, make it four of five.

Pick: Over 49

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

On paper, this game appears to be a shootout waiting to happen.

Not so fast. The Texans have done a great job keeping quarterback Matt Schaub upright this season, and the emergence of running back Ryan Moats means balance for the Texans offense – something it will need with tight end Owen Daniels lost for the year.

The Colts, meantime, have shown cracks in their armor, giving up a big rushing day to 49ers running back Frank Gore and struggling to gain big chunks of yardage through the passing game.

The Texans defense has been improving all season, and if the squad controls the clock, they will turn the game into a grind-it-out affair. Plus, the over has hit in each of the team’s past eight meetings. That trend can’t continue.

Pick: Under 49

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears

The Cardinals had been one of the best under plays in the league this season before being run all over by the visiting Carolina Panthers last week. Expect the team with one of the top run defenses in the league to fix that problem this week against the mercurial Bears.

Chicago had a chance for a statement win against a horrid Browns team last week, but floundered its way to a painful 30 points, while continually settling for short field goals and wasting key turnovers.

The Arizona offense also is an unknown, with Kurt Warner giving interceptions away like Halloween candy last week. And fantasy owners – like me – who took Larry Fitzgerald in the middle of the first round are looking for balconies to jump from.

The Cardinals are starting to play ugly – and the Bears always are.

Pick: Under 45.5

Last week: 1-2
This season: 9-15

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**Udog** · 11-08-2009, 12:02 PM

NFL

Sunday, November 8

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Tips and Trends
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San Diego Chargers at New York Giants [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Chargers: Have won back to back games for the first time this season, to get their record to 4-3 SU. Chargers have yet to win a game against a team with a winning record. RB LaDanian Tomlinson and RB Darren Sproles will look to run the ball effectively today, having combined to rush for more than 100 YDS last two games. Chargers defense has been better of late, as they've been able to pressure the opposing QB. LB Shawne Merriman appears to be quicker, as does LB Shaun Phillips. Chargers defense has given up a total of 23 points last two weeks. holding opponents under 225 total yards.

Chargers are 3-7 ATS last 10 road games.
Chargers are 0-5 ATS last 5 games following a SU win.

Key Injuries - LB Tim Dobbins (knee) is out.
LB Kevin Burnett (ankle) is questionable.
DT Ogemdi Nwagbuo (ankle) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Giants (-4.5, O/U 47.5): The Giants are reeling, having lost 3 straight games, 2 of which in blowout fashion. Their 5-0 record seems long ago. QB Eli Manning and the defense have been the primary culprits of their demise. Manning has 6 INT and thrown less than 250 YDS last 3 games. The Giants have been outscored 112-61 over that three game span, its defense giving up 1,172 yards in the stretch. Eli Manning will look to redeem himself against the team he spurned on Draft Day, as well as the player he was traded for in Philip Rivers.

Giants are 33-16-2 ATS last 51 games overall.
Under is 10-1-1 last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points their previous game.

Key Injuries - TE Kevin Boss (ankle) is probable.
RB Ahmad Bradshaw (foot) is probable.
WR Mario Manningham (shoulder) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

Cowboys: Cowboys are playing their best football of the season, as they have won 3 straight games. This will be the first time all season the Cowboys are an underdog. QB Tony Romo has been playing great lately, and hasn't thrown an INT in 3 games. Romo loves the month of November, as he's won 12 consecutive November starts. Romo throws to a cast of receivers. Last week, 10 different Cowboys caught a pass. Cowboys defense has stepped up of late, with 7 sacks and 5 forced turnovers. The Cowboys will attempt to keep the Eagles away from the big play, counting on CB Terence Newman to make plays.

Cowboys are 2-9 ATS last 11 vs. NFC East.
Cowboys are 0-4 ATS last 4 games as a road underdog.

Key Injuries - KR Allen Rossum (hamstring) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23

Eagles (-3, O/U 49): Eagles welcome Dallas for their 100th series matchup. Eagles are 3-1 SU and ATS at home this year. Eagles offense has averaged 36 PPG in their home wins. All 4 home games have gone OVER the posted total. QB Donovan McNabb is healthy again, and leads a quick strike offense that has scored 17 touchdowns in 6 plays or less. WR DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin lead the dynamic receiving corps. Eagles defense will look to pressure QB Tony Romo into mistakes, as the Eagles lead the NFL in takeaways with 21.

Eagles are 5-0 ATS last 5 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-0 last 6 versus the NFC.

Key Injuries - LB Chris Gocong (hamstring) is questionable.
RB Brian Westbrook (concussion) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side of the Day)

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**Udog** · 11-09-2009, 12:41 PM

NFL

Monday, November 9

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Tips and Trends
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Steelers (-3, O/U 40): Steelers come off their bye week at 5-2 SU, while only 2-5 ATS. Steelers are 0-3 ATS on the road this season, all as favorites. QB Ben Roethlisberger is 3rd in the NFL with over 2,050 passing yards, including 11 TD's. RB Rashard Mendenhall has 418 yards rushing and four TD's this season, leading the Steelers ground game. Defensively, the Steelers haven't allowed a 100 YD rusher in 25 regular season games. This Steelers rushing defense is only allowing 77 YPG, best in the NFL.

Steelers are 0-5 ATS in last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Key Injuries - LB Lawrence Timmons (ankle) is questionable.
FS Ryan Clark (sickness) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Broncos: Denver comes off it's first defeat of the season, and will be looking for redemption. This Broncos team is 6-1 ATS this season, including two outright wins as exactly 3 point home underdogs. This Broncos defense is spectacular, as they are 2nd in the NFL in scoring defense at 13.7 PPG. Also, they are 3rd in the NFL in rushing defense. The Broncos have outscored their opponents 64-33 in 3 home games this season. On offense, QB Kyle Orton and WR Brandon Marshall will look to hook up early and often. Rookie RB Knowshon Moreno will likely struggle to run the football, so it's up to Orton and Marshall to lead the way.

Broncos are 4-0 ATS last 4 games as a home underdog.
Under is 8-1 last 9 home games.

Key Injuries - RT Ryan Harris (toe) is out.

DE Ryan McBean (knee) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side of the Day)

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (11/8 – 11/9)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (11/8 – 11/9)

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