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Let's LOOK at tonights VT/NC CFB....
Tonights game at Blacksburg Va.......
Weather Report
Tonight
Mostly cloudy. Areas of drizzle with a slight chance of light rain after midnight. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
My Lines VT - 16 1/2 total set at 42.....
NC is 4-3.....VT 5-2
PPG and Yield.....NC 23/16.........VT 32/19
TYPG NC 290/266......................VT 380/317
RYPG NC 129/102......................VT 203/150
PYPG NC 160/163......................VT 176/167
SAGARIN shows NC as
#62 playing as a 71 vs 66 rating teams
VT as
# 9 playing as a 87 vs 78 rating teams....
RPI shows
NC
#62 vs #37 SOS
VT
#14 vs #1 SOS
NC
L to Fla St 27-30....had lead, blew it...D created 1 TO
W Ga Southern 42-12......................................6....
L to Va 3-16.....no offense...............................0....
L to Ga Tch 7-24....no offense..........................0.....
W E Car 31-17................................................ 1......
W U Conn 12-10...no offense............................2.....
W Citadel 40-6...offense big, but against who.....4....
as you can see, NC has created 14 TO's, and they only W when these are created.....and against inferior teams....
VT
L 23-28 to Ga Tech..............D created 2 TO's
W BC 48-14......................................3......
W 34-26 Duke...................................0......
W 31-7 Miami....................................2.....
W 16-15 NEB...and lucky to do it..........2.....
W 52-10 Mshl....................................1.....
L 24-34 Ala (neut fld).........................2.....
as you can see VT has created 12 TO's....The 2 games they lost were to Ga Tech and Ala.....
Here's a key stat IMO.....In order of the teams listed above here's yards per carry avg.......YPC
NC 5.8, 3.3, 1.7, 0.9, 4.0, 0.9, 5.9 means they ran against Fla St, E Car, Citadel, couldn't against Ga Sou, Va, G Tech, U Conn...
VT 5.6, 4.6, 3.8, 4.9, 2.3, 8.4, 2.1....shows they ran on G Tech, NC couldn't, BC, Miami, Mshl, and couldn't on Neb and Ala, who can ????
Passing yards per catch
NC 7.3, 7.8, 6.8, 12.5, 13.6, 10.1, 12.7 means they have no big threat on passing, and overall no passing game....
VT 15.9, 25.8, 19.2, 24.5, 5.8, 17.9, 5.5. shows only 2 teams held em down Passing are Neb and ALA....2 pretty damn good defensive teams...
Though both have good D's, VT has played tougher schedule, and is 1-0 vs top 10 power rated teaMS (MY OWN RATINGS) AND 1-0 VS TOP 20, WHERE as NC is 0-1, 0-0......
We all know about SPECIAL TEAMS here....VT is one of the best......based on NC's inability to pass, and the quick striking ability of Va Tech, here's how I see it.....
I see VT about 16-20 pts better.....not much here to play with.....I see VT scoring 30-33 pts and NC 13-17....these combos don't fall into my 2 posession parameters.....so here's what we're gonna do......
2 Team 7 pt teaser -130
VT -11 1/2 OVER 35................................................ ...5*
VT - 16 1/2......................................1*
OVER 42..........................................1*
Nothing to proud to speak of....but a play (small one) none the less............
Just think VT has superior speede, quick strike ability, NC doesn't, and if/when they get behind, it's advantage VT, cause NC can't pass.....Pick 6's maybe......both teams create turnovers, thus one of the reasons I'mj not favoring VT any bigger....
gl to all....lock and load
no NHL or NBA tonight....too busy, this has taken more of my time than allowed........get em GANG
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