Wednesday Trends and Indexes 10/21 (MLB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Wednesday, October 21

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NASHVILLE (2-4-0-1, 5 pts.) at BOSTON (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 20-4 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-13 ATS (+9.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 120-110 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 1-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (2-4-0-1, 5 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (0-4-0-2, 2 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 14-7 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 80-129 ATS (+242.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 45-87 ATS (-46.5 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 35-57 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 6-2 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 6-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) at FLORIDA (2-4-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 154-106 ATS (+30.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 33-20 ATS (+55.2 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
FLORIDA is 100-114 ATS (+227.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 85-126 ATS (-92.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 6-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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COLORADO (6-1-0-1, 13 pts.) at MINNESOTA (1-6-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 11-9 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 11-9-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (3-5-0-0, 6 pts.) at CHICAGO (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 117-127 ATS (+282.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 190-233 ATS (+483.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 97-122 ATS (-55.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-7-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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DALLAS (3-2-0-3, 9 pts.) at ANAHEIM (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/21/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 12-8 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 12-8-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


LA Dodgers at Philadelphia
The Phillies look to close out the series and build on their 5-1 record in Cole Hamels' last 6 starts against the Dodgers. Philadelphia is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.367; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.380
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Top Trends Update

Wednesday, October 21

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LA DODGERS (99 - 70) at PHILADELPHIA (99 - 71) - 8:05 PM
VICENTE PADILLA (R) vs. COLE HAMELS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 33-34 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 202-144 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 198-140 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-5 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-81 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-37 (+4.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-38 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 46-23 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 20-14 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 99-70 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-3 (+11.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
LA DODGERS are 99-70 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PADILLA is 19-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 13-2 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 9-1 (+11.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 11-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 11-1 (+13.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 19-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 24-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 12-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 7-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 32-30 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
HAMELS is 17-17 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 1-6 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 (+0.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PADILLA is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
HAMELS is 5-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.014.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

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[Udog]

MLB


Wednesday, October 21

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Tips and Trends
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Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies [TBS | 8:07 PM ET]

Dodgers: Hoping to avoid elimination down 3-1 in the series, the Dodgers are turning to right-hander Vicente Padilla. The Dodgers have won each of Padilla’s past five road starts. Padilla allowed one run on four hits in 7 1/3 innings against the Phillies in the Dodgers’ 2-1 Game 2 victory. Padilla has made two playoff starts this season, giving up just a combined one run on eight hits in 14 1/3 innings. Padilla will be pitching on his regular five days rest, which factored in manager Joe Torre’s decision to go with Padilla instead of Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers are 40-18 following a loss. They are 25-12 in their last 37 games when priced as an underdog between plus $1.10 and plus $1.50. However, Los Angeles has lost 25 of its last 35 games in Philadelphia. The over is 6-1-1 the past eight games Tom Hallion has been behind the plate.

The Over is 10-4-1 in the Dodgers’ last 15 road contests.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Phillies (-$1.35, O/U 8.5): The defending world champions have been money in the bank when favored in the playoffs, winning 10 of their last 11 as postseason chalk. Philadelphia is 17-5 in its last 22 playoff games. The Phillies are 35-16 in their past 51 home contests and 5-1 in Cole Hamels’ last six starts versus the Dodgers. Hamels won the NLCS and World Series MVP honors last year, but hasn’t been sharp in the postseason this season. He’s given up eight earned runs in 10 1/3 innings for a 6.97 ERA. Hamels had a down season going 10-11 with a 4.42 ERA. He was better at home going 7-6 with a 3.92 ERA compared to 4-6 with a 5.09 road ERA. The under is 16-7-3 in Hamels’ last 26 home starts against a team with a winning record. The left-hander is 4-1 with a 2.19 ERA in seven career starts versus the Dodgers.

The Over is 15-4-2 in the Phillies’ last 21 games.
The Under is 8-2-1 in Hamels’ last 11 starts as a favorite.

Key Injuries - J.C. Romero (arm) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5(OVER - Total of the Day)


Side of the Day is in college football. Click the second Matchup Link in post #1.


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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet


When Dallas/Anaheim updates, we'll post it.

Wednesday, 10/21/2009

NASHVILLE at BOSTON, 7:00 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 3-10 SU when playing with 3 or more days rest
BOSTON: 34-15 SU after playing BB road games

CAROLINA at NY ISLANDERS, 7:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 9-3 SU AWAY off a road loss by 2+ goals
NY ISLANDERS: 44-84 SU at home after scoring 1 goal or less

BUFFALO at FLORIDA, 7:30 PM ET
BUFFALO: 31-19 SU AWAY after playing 3 consecutive home games
FLORIDA: 2-11 SU off a home win by 2+ goals

COLORADO at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
COLORADO: N/A
MINNESOTA: N/A

VANCOUVER at CHICAGO, 8:30 PM ET
VANCOUVER: 25-33 SU as an underdog
CHICAGO: 26-9 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

DALLAS at ANAHEIM, 10:00 PM ET
DALLAS:
ANAHEIM:

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

Len's Top 5

Happy Wednesday everyone, here's my Top 5 for October 21, 2009 from Len Berman Sports.

1. Quick Hits

The Yankees crushed the Angels 10-1 to take a commanding 3 games to 1 lead. The Yankees and Phillies are each one game away from a World Series matchup.
Today's schedule: Game 5 Dodgers @ Philadelphia. (Phillies lead 3 games to 1.) 8:07pm ET TBS
Calling Inspector Clouseau. Major League Baseball "investigates" and finds no proof that Yankee pitcher Mariano Rivera spit on a baseball.
Word is the NBA refs will be back for the start of the regular season next week.
It wasn't only Mets fans who got emails from StubHub offering "playoff tickets." A Top 5 subscriber got a solicitation for Washington Nats "playoff tickets." Now that would be a valuable commodity.

2. Big Bucks

These days you don't always get what you pay for, not so with the Yankees. CC Sabathia and Alex Rodriguez continue to dominate. They are a big reason why the Yankees are one game away from their 40th World Series.
But what's with the umpiring? The umps, in perfect position, blew two straight calls last night against Nick Swisher. He was ruled safe on a pickoff attempt at second, and then called out for leaving third too soon on a sacrifice fly. Is there such a thing as a makeup call in baseball? It sure looked that way. And for good measure, the same ump at third, Tim McClelland blew another call the next inning. I'm not in favor of replay in most cases. I am in favor of getting these umps eyeglasses.

3. Mid-Week Musings

It's good to be a fan of the undefeated New Orleans Saints. As "Big Easy" subscriber L.R. points out, the Saints have completed a rare hat trick. In successive games they beat all 3 "New York" teams, Buffalo, Jets, Giants.
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Sure I jumped the gun suggesting that the Yankees may have a championship parade this year. J.S. wonders if the ticker tape will consist of $50s or $100s? (You'll never guess that J.S. is from Red Sox country.)
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And Mickey Mantle's son David ( a Top 5 subscriber) emailed me that all postseason home runs are not created equal. He should know. While Manny Ramirez holds the record with 29, he's only hit 4 in the World Series. The record holder for World Series homers? Of course David's dad, The Mick.18.
There should be separate categories. World Series records and postseason marks.

4. Political Football

There's a new PAC in Washington, a political action committee. They call themselves Playoff PAC. Their goal is to help elect Congressmen who favor a playoff system in college football.
I'm thinking of forming a new PAC. To help PAC's get a life.

5. Word of the Week

Wow, the word balloon this week has really uh, ballooned. The Colorado "balloon boy" was a hoax. What happened on the other side of the pond wasn't. During a soccer game between Liverpool and Sunderland, a fan threw a big red balloon onto the field. During the game, Sunderland's Darren Bent "hadn't bent it like Beckham." He took his shot on goal and bingo, it ricocheted off the red balloon, changed direction, and went into the net for a goal. Sunderland won the game 1-nothing. Unlike Colorado, no charges will be filed.

Happy Birthday: The Chairman of the Board. Yankee pitcher Whitey Ford. 81.
Bonus Birthday: For those of you who like to keep up with the Kardashians, Kim is 29 today.

Today in Sports: Body English! Boston's Carlton Fisk hits a dramatic 12th inning homer to beat the Reds in game 6 of the World Series. (If you're timing at home, technically the homer was hit the morning of 10/22.) 1975.
Bonus Event: Esther Canseco calls A's manager Tony LaRussa a "punk" for not starting her husband Jose in a World Series game. What a lovely couple they were. 1990.