Saturday's Service Plays & Requests

[Hose]

Private Players of Pittsburg
6% Rev Game of the Year... Texas

5% New Mex
4% Memphis.. Ut St
3% Boston Coll.. Toledo

Big Al 5* False Favorite
GOY - Toledo

Big Al 5* SEC GOY - Auburn

Larry Ness
10* Big 10 GOY - Ohio.St

Mark Lawrence
Miami , Toledo , Fla. State

Tom Freese Revenge GOY - LSU

Dr Bob
3 * New Mexico
3* Auburn
3* Texas
2 *Memphis, SD State, Utah State

[wayne1218]

Saturday's Service Plays & Requests

Post or Ask Here

[4breakout]

texas sportswire

FOOD FOR THOUGHT THIS SATURDAY:

1. Florida State now 27-3 Ats after scoring less than 28 the previous game.

2. Arizona is now 2-14 ATS at home there last 16 conference games. When they don't play defense, which is all the time, they are 0-26 ATS at home when they allow more than 28 points. The Trojans might score that in the first quarter.

3. Big Conference Dogs-Play and game 9+, greater or equal to .200 dog of +5 or more, with revenge versus a great than.500 foe with a week of rest. 69-21 ATS. The teams: Stanford, UTEP and Wyoming. I won't play these shit teams but 2/3 will probably win.

4.This next angle work a few weeks ago with Toledo for us. This is a good team coming off an embarrassing loss. Home favorites -19 or > off a 20 + loss in previous game are 56-23 ATS. This week 2 teams qualify: Bowling Green and Okie State.

5. Road teams that pitched a shutout the previous week are now 26-3 ATS. Charlie M's favorite team Sand Diego State qualifies here........

6. This is a Charlie M special: Army's 7 of 9 losses have been by more than 15 points. Houston run and shoot offense can rack up the points. They are averaging more than 29 points a game and 6 yards per play. Cadets are averaging 16 points a game. The Cougars have scored 42 per game 4 times this year versus weak defenses.......

7. The Iowa Hawkeyes, no line on this game yet, have been super 'tuff' at home the last 2 years. 11-0 S/up and 10-1 ATS. Minny's road victories in the Big Ten this years have come at the expense of these powerhouse teams: Penn State, N'W and Illinois........

[Hose]

:D

[mizark]

anyone have lenny stevens college goy

thanks alot, going on vacation tomm. looking to get in an early play.

[wayne1218]

From 4breakout

WOOOPS!

[mizark]

anyone have Mark Lawrence last home goy?

thanks

[LineTamer]

Anyone have Tim Trushel's Big East GOY or Rob Veno's two six stars. ALso Whocovers game of the year if anyone has them. Thanks

[4breakout]

anybody have of Texas Sportswire's 4-5*'s

[mary]

Dear DOCSTOLL:
I have 6 Best Bets and 5 opinions this week (one a possible Best Bet with a line move). I've also included the analysis for tonight's game at the bottom.

3 Star Selection
***NEW MEXICO (-4.0) 34 Air Force 19
New Mexico is well-equipped defensively to defend the Air Force option offense, as the Lobos have allowed just 3.2 yards per rushing play this season (against teams that average a combined 4.3 yprp on offense). The Lobos also defend the pass well (6.0 yards per pass play against teams that average 6.4 yppp), so they should limit an Air Force offense that’s a bit below average overall (5.3 yards per play against teams that allow 5.4 yppl on defense) and depends on running the ball with success – something that likely won’t happen in this game. New Mexico’s good offense (5.7 yppl against teams that allow 5.2 yppl on defense) should score a good number of points against a mediocre Air Force defense that’s allowed 5.2 yppl to a schedule of teams that combines to average 5.1 yppl on offense. The Falcons have faced 3 conference opponents this season with an average of better offense (Wyoming, Colorado State, and Utah) and they gave up an average of 35 points and 503 total yards in those games (at 6.6 yppl), which is horrendous considering that those 3 teams combine to average 5.8 yppl on offense, which is about as good as New Mexico is offensively. Overall, my math model favors New Mexico by 10 points in this game and that doesn’t take into account how bad Air Force has played defensively against better than average offensive teams. Aside from the line value and the favorable match- up, the Lobos apply to a solid 70-33-4 ATS last home game situation and a 142-67-4 ATS statistical profile indicator (home teams with a very good run defense and a average or better run offense are very good bets at home as long as they’re not laying too many points. I realize that Air Force has a history of success as an underdog (25-10 ATS in regular season games), but they lost their only road game against a good team by 10 points at Colorado State (as a 5 point underdog) and New Mexico is 14-6 ATS recently at home.

Downgrade New Mexico to a 2-Star Best Bet if they are favored by more than 4 points.

THIS IS A DR BOB WRITE UP---HE WORKS HARD

[mary]

CAN YOU DO ME A FAVOR AND POST PRO GAMES FOR DR BOB AND PPP THANKYOU

[Termite]

Sat. games

Does anybody have SportsTipster's college games for Sat. Sure would appreciate it if anybody has them and to post them. I like his picks.

[Dr. T]

Northcoast has their 5* college GOY on Sat. and are 17-4 in these picks over 21 years and were 5-0 last week in college. Their free picks this week were Okla. State -20 and Wash. +6. The play will be announced at 11am Eastern. Here are my estimates of his top plays based on his newsletters.

New Mexico -4 (win by 17)
Neb. +2.5 (win by 14)
Auburn +7 (Ga 17-16)
Wisc. -2 (win by 14)
Colorado -7.5 (win by 28)
Ohio State -3 (win by 14)

LSU and Oregon State are some other teams expected to cover by over a TD.

[LLWM]

NC Guesses

Good list.

Based on his power rankingsand history I side with Wisc or Nebraska being his play.

I can never recall him using his newsletter 4 star game so that knocks out Ohio St.

The other team you could have listed is Utah St vrs Troy St but normally he sticks to bigger name schools.

Luckily (we hope) because of this forum we will know around 11:20 EST

LLWM

[Dr. T]

LLWM,
I agree with you. I think his GOY is going to be NM, Wisc. or Neb. He used Neb. in 1999, Wisc. in 2000 and NM in 2001. Only 2 times has he used a spread higher than 10. I listed Ohio State since it is his 4* in the newsletter and should be considered a high pick.