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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/25 - 10/26)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/25 - 10/26)





    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 25 – Monday, October 26

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    College Football trends are in the section: “NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (10/21 – 10/24)”
    >> Click on the first “Matchup Link” below. <<


    *************************************

    NFL Matchup Links

    NCAAF TRENDS AND INDEXES - Week 8

    Sagarin NFL Power Ratings

    NFL Matchups

    NFL Stats Center

    NFL Hot or Not

    NFL Trends

    NFL News and Weather

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  • #2
    NFL
    Long Sheet



    If the "Top Trends" sections update, we'll re-post.

    Week 7

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Sunday, October 25

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    SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 5) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 6) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 78-106 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (3 - 2) at CINCINNATI (4 - 2) - 10/25/2009, 4:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GREEN BAY (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (1 - 5) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (6 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in October games since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) vs. TAMPA BAY (0 - 6) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 3) - 10/25/2009, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY JETS (3 - 3) at OAKLAND (2 - 4) - 10/25/2009, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
    NY JETS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
    OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (2 - 4) at CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/25/2009, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (5 - 0) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/25/2009, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (4 - 1) at DALLAS (3 - 2) - 10/25/2009, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
    ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARIZONA (3 - 2) at NY GIANTS (5 - 1) - 10/25/2009, 8:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Monday, October 26

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    PHILADELPHIA (3 - 2) at WASHINGTON (2 - 4) - 10/26/2009, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 130-90 ATS (+31.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 49-71 ATS (-29.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Comment


    • #3
      NFL
      Short Sheet



      Week 7

      Sunday, 10/25/2009

      Bye Weeks: Baltimore, Denver, Detroit, Jacksonville, Seattle, Tennessee


      SAN DIEGO at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
      SAN DIEGO: n/a
      KANSAS CITY: 5-13 ATS in home games

      INDIANAPOLIS at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
      INDIANAPOLIS: 10-1 ATS off road win by 21+ points
      ST LOUIS: 1-8 ATS off road loss

      (TC) CHICAGO at CINCINNATI, 4:15 PM ET
      CHICAGO: 2-8 ATS as road dog of 7pts or less
      CINCINNATI: 6-1 ATS off SU loss as a favorite

      GREEN BAY at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
      GREEN BAY: 18-4 Over off ATS win
      CLEVELAND: 6-0 ATS in October

      MINNESOTA at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
      MINNESOTA: 15-2 Over Away off home ATS loss/SU win
      PITTSBURGH: 40-19 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

      NEW ENGLAND vs. TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET (Played in London, England) CBS
      NEW ENGLAND: 60-39 ATS after allowing 14 pts or less
      TAMPA BAY: 6-1 Under off BB ATS losses

      SAN FRANCISCO at HOUSTON, 1:00 PM ET
      SAN FRANCISCO: 10-0 Over Away after allowing 450+ total yards
      HOUSTON: 5-0 ATS after 2-game road trip

      NY JETS at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
      NY JETS: 21-7 ATS off home division loss
      OAKLAND: 11-30 ATS after scoring 17pts or less BB games

      BUFFALO at CAROLINA, 4:05 PM ET
      BUFFALO: 1-5 ATS vs. NFC South
      CAROLINA: 32-12 Under off division win

      NEW ORLEANS at MIAMI, 4:15 PM ET
      NEW ORLEANS: 11-1 ATS as favorite
      MIAMI: 13-30 ATS off SU dog win

      ATLANTA at DALLAS, 4:15 PM ET
      ATLANTA: 0-6 ATS off BB SU wins
      DALLAS: 7-2 Over off non-conference game

      ARIZONA at NY GIANTS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
      ARIZONA: 12-2 Over off an Under
      NY GIANTS: 6-0 ATS at home in Weeks 5 through 9


      Monday, 10/26/2009

      PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON
      , 8:35 PM ET ESPN
      PHILADELPHIA: 12-4 Under as Washington
      WASHINGTON: 12-1 Under after 1st month of season

      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL


        Week 7


        -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Sunday, October 25

        1:00 PM
        GREEN BAY vs. CLEVELAND
        Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games
        Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

        1:00 PM
        INDIANAPOLIS vs. ST. LOUIS
        Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Indianapolis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
        St. Louis is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games

        1:00 PM
        MINNESOTA vs. PITTSBURGH
        Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

        1:00 PM
        NEW ENGLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
        New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
        New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing New England
        Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games

        1:00 PM
        SAN DIEGO vs. KANSAS CITY
        San Diego is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
        San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
        Kansas City is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games at home
        Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

        1:00 PM
        SAN FRANCISCO vs. HOUSTON
        San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
        Houston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
        Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

        4:05 PM
        BUFFALO vs. CAROLINA
        Buffalo is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
        Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

        4:05 PM
        NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
        NY Jets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Jets last 8 games
        Oakland is 2-3-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets
        Oakland is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Jets

        4:15 PM
        ATLANTA vs. DALLAS
        Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
        Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

        4:15 PM
        CHICAGO vs. CINCINNATI
        Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
        Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Chicago

        4:15 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
        New Orleans is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
        New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
        Miami is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games

        8:20 PM
        ARIZONA vs. NY GIANTS
        Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
        Arizona is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
        NY Giants are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games when playing at home against Arizona
        NY Giants are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against Arizona


        Monday, October 26

        8:30 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
        Philadelphia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
        Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
        Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Dunkel Index



          Atlanta at Dallas
          The Falcons look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 home games against teams with a winning record. Atlanta is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4). Here are all of this week's picks.

          SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25

          Game 413-414: San Diego at Kansas City
          Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.453; Kansas City 126.323
          Dunkel Line: San Diego by 8; 41
          Vegas Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 44
          Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-4 1/2); Under

          Game 415-416: Indianapolis at St. Louis
          Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 138.816; St. Louis 118.486
          Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 20 1/2; 49
          Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 13; 45
          Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-13); Over

          Game 417-418: Chicago at Cincinnati
          Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 136.155; Cincinnati 131.603
          Dunkel Line: Chicago by 4 1/2; 40
          Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+1 1/2); Under

          Game 419-420: Green Bay at Cleveland
          Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 133.547; Cleveland 123.846
          Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 46
          Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7); Over

          Game 421-422: Minnesota at Pittsburgh
          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 136.781; Pittsburgh 138.486
          Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 48
          Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 45
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over

          Game 423-424: New England at Tampa Bay
          Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.861; Tampa Bay 125.336
          Dunkel Line: New England by 15 1/2; 42
          Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 45
          Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2); Under

          Game 425-426: San Francisco at Houston
          Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 135.693; Houston 131.808
          Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4; 40
          Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 44
          Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under

          Game 427-428: NY Jets at Oakland
          Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 135.611; Oakland 119.157
          Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 16 1/2; 37
          Vegas Line: NY Jets by 6; 34 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-6); Over

          Game 429-430: Buffalo at Carolina
          Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.137; Carolina 132.090
          Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 34
          Vegas Line: Carolina by 7 1/2; 37
          Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+7 1/2); Under

          Game 431-432: New Orleans at Miami
          Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 144.945; Miami 137.235
          Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 45
          Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6; 47
          Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6); Under

          Game 433-434: Atlanta at Dallas
          Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 137.790; Dallas 137.254
          Dunkel Line: Even; 49
          Vegas Line: Dallas by 4; 47 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Over

          Game 435-436: Arizona at NY Giants
          Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 130.515; NY Giants 144.721
          Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 14; 43
          Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 46
          Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-7); Under


          MONDAY, OCTOBER 26

          Game 437-438: Philadelphia at Washington
          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 138.357; Washington 126.121
          Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 12; 41
          Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 37 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7); Over

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL
            Write-Up



            Week 7 NFL games

            Sunday, October 25


            Chargers (2-3) @ Chiefs (1-4)-- Disappointing San Diego travelling off short work week after damaging 34-23 home loss to Denver; Bolts allowed 30+ in all three of their losses- they've yet to run ball for more than 77 yards in a game this season. Chiefs got first win last without scoring TD at Redskins; they're +5 in turnovers last three games, but have only three first half touchdowns in six games. Chargers are 3-2 in last five visits here (three of five decided by 3 or less points); they beat Chiefs twice LY, both times by a point. Three of last four games for both teams went over the total. Home teams are 1-3 vs spread in AFC West games.

            Colts (5-0) @ Rams (0-6)-- Been full year since Rams last won, not lotta hope here for winless St Louis club thats been outscored 96-20 in second half so far this year-- if they allowed 492 yards to Jaguars (166 running, 326 passing) it'll be long day vs Manning coming off bye. Colts scored 31-34-31 points in last three games, converted 16 of last 27 on third down and covered four games in a row, scoring 15 TDs on 39 drives with only seven FG tries, so they're puttng ball in end zone when they get close. Rams allowed 36-38 points in first two home games (GB-Minn). Three of last four St Louis games went over the total.

            Bears (3-2) @ Bengals (4-2)-- Cincy won four of last five games, but Houston burned them for 385 passing yards in upset loss last week. Bears scored 15-14 points in their losses, averaged 30 ppg in their wins- no one has averaged six yards/pass attempt against Chicago this year. Bears scored once in four trips to Atlanta red zone last week, deciding factor in 21-14 loss. Bengals ran ball for average of 126.8 ypg in their wins, 86-83 in losses. NFC teams are 10-8 vs the AFC this year. Over is 3-1-1 in last five Bengal games. Favorites are 6-0 vs spread in NFC North teams' non-divisional games, with NFC North teams 0-2 as road dogs.

            Packers (3-2) @ Browns (1-5)-- Flu is sweeping thru Browns; even trainer is ill, with temp near 103 on Wednesday. Cleveland covered its last three games but scored 14 or less points in four of last five-- they've yet to hold club under 140 rushing yards. Green Bay converted 13 of last 25 on third down. Packers have Minnesota coming to Lambeau next week for rematch, could be looking ahead to that. AFC North teams are 6-8 vs spread outside their division, 4-3 as dogs, 1-0 as home dogs. NFC North road favorites are 4-0 against the spread in their non-division games. Three of last four Packer games went over the total.

            Vikings (6-0) @ Steelers (4-2)-- Minnesota averages 31.5 ppg; no one has held them under 27 points- Vikes scored 20 TDs on 65 drives, trying only 13 FGs. Still, Viking defense allowed three TDs in 4:58 of 4th quarter vs Ravens week ago, and would have lost if Baltimore made last-second FG. Steelers won last three games, scoring 38-28-27 points- they've scored 12 TDs on their last 29 drives. Last four Pittsburgh games went over total, thanks to Pitt allowing TD on defense/special teams in each of the four games- five of six Minnesota tilts also went over. Steelers are -5 in turnovers, have yet to be plus in an '09 game.

            Patriots (4-2) vs Buccaneers (0-6) (@ London)-- Bucs are winless and just 1-5 vs spread, losing away games by 13-3-19 points. Second time in three years NFL sends winless team overseas; Bucs had kick return for TD, defensive TD at home last week, still lost to Carolina. Patriots won three of last four games; they led Titans 45-0 at half last week. We've said before that only way faves lose game like this is to turn ball over; Patriots have two giveaways in last four games (+8 TO ratio). Neutral site and distractions that go with it probably are help to underdog-- hapless '07 Dolphins lost 13-10 here to Giants, who went on to win Super Bowl that season.

            49ers (3-2) @ Texans (3-3)-- San Fran is 3-0 vs NFC West rivals, 0-2 against everyone else, losing 27-24 at Minnesota on last-second pass. Houston scored 21+ points in each of its last five games, but hasn't won back/back games yet; they held last three opponents to 45-44-46 rushing yards, but they're 0-3 this year when they score less than 28 points. AFC South home favorites are 2-3 vs spread in non-divisional games; NFC West road dogs are 4-1. 49ers covered four of five games but got waxed 45-10 at home by Falcons in last game before their bye; they're 1-1 on road-- two games were decided by total of 7 points.

            Bills (2-4) @ Panthers (2-3)-- Carolina has six TDs on 21 drives in winning its last two games, after scoring four TDs on 33 drives in losing first three- they get back to .500 with win here vs Buffalo team starting backup QB. Buffalo is first NFL team since 1944 to win game when they allowed 318+ yards in that game- they scored total of 36 points in last four games, with only four TDs on 49 drives. AFC East underdogs are 1-5 vs spread in non-division games-- NFC South favorites are 7-1, 5-1 at home. Carolina ran ball for 267 yards last week and got road win despite lousy day for Delhomme (9-17/55 with a pick-6).

            Saints (5-0) @ Dolphins (2-3)-- Miami had first shot at signing Brees when he left Chargers but previous regime passed; good thing for unbeaten Saints, who have 18 TDs on 58 drives this year in winning games by 18-26-20-14-21 pts. NO averages 38.4 ppg, 37.5 on road. Dolphins scored 38-31 points in pair of wins before their bye, running ball for 250-151 yards; they'll test Saint defense that held four of five foes under 90 rushing yards (fifth team, Jets, ran for 132 yards). Miami's wins were vs Bills-Jets, division rivals; question is can they stop high powered, well balanced Saints who have yet to run for less than 133 yards. New Orleans defense has 15 takeaways in five games (+9).

            Jets (3-3) @ Raiders (2-4)-- Not sure what to make of Jets' squad that lost its last three games after 3-0 start; loss of Jenkins cripples run defense that had given up average of 143 yards/game last four weeks anyway. Sanchez passed for less than 4.5 yards/attempt in three of last four games, but weather figures to be better in NoCal than it was in Jersey last week. Raiders scored 13 points or less in each of last five games, but won two of them, holding Chiefs/Eagles to 10-9 points. Jets ran ball for 318 yards but lost last week, first team to do that since 1944. AFC West home teams are 6-2 in non-divisional home tilts.

            Falcons (4-1) @ Cowboys (3-2)-- In their four wins, Atlanta converted 47.2% of 3rd downs (25-53); in their one loss, they were 2-9- they scored nine TDs on 23 drives in last two games, and Ryan hasn't been sacked in last four games. NFC South underdogs are 2-7 vs spread in non-divisional games, 2-4 on road. NFC east home favorites are 4-3. Dallas was shaky before bye, needing OT to escape KC with a win. Cowboys averaged 12.3/6.8/9.9 ypp in their wins, 4.4/ 5.1 in losses. Falcons held four of five opponents under 7.0 ypp. Dallas is 1-3 vs spread in last four games. Falcons split two games as underdog. NFC South road dogs are 2-4 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 4-3.

            Cardinals (3-2) @ Giants (5-1)-- Arizona scored 31-27 points in winning both its road games, averaging 8.3/6.3 ypp; in their three wins, Cards led at half by scores of 24-3/21-0/17-3. In losses, they trailed 13-6/21-3. Not sure what to make of Giant defense that allowed 11.6 ypa last week in Superdome. Giants haven't picked off pass in their last three games. Only good teams Giants have played (Dallas/NO) scored 31-48 points against them. NFC West road dogs are 4-1 vs spread. NFC East home favorites are 4-3. Five of six Giant games went over the total; four of five Arizona games stayed under. Giants beat the Cardinals 37-29 in deserrt LY; Redbirds ran ball just 15 times for 23 yards.


            Monday, October 26

            Eagles (3-2) @ Redskins (2-4)-- Visitor is 6-4 in series, with Eagles 3-2 in last five visits here, winning by 3-2-8 points. Underdogs covered five of last six in series, four of five in this site. Redskins in freefall, with change in playcallers and Coach Zorn on chopping block; they average 13.2 ppg and this is just the second decent team (Giants) they've played. Eagles lost in Oakland last week, a terrible loss, first game they played that was decided by less than 19 points. In two games since their bye, Philly is just 6-26 on third down. Redskins are averaging 10.3 ppg at home. Four of five Eagles games went over the total.

            Comment


            • #7
              NFL


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              NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 7
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              San Francisco 49ers at Houston Texans (-3)

              Why 49ers cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. They’ll get RB Frank Gore back from injury and rookie first-round pick Michael Crabtree will make his debut. Stifling run defense should have no problem shutting down a Houston club averaging only 77.3 yards on the ground per game.

              Why Texans cover: They’re 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. Houston QB Matt Schaub is on fire averaging over 325 yards passing with 14 TDs in his last five games. Meanwhile SF QB Shaun Hill has been sacked seven times in his last two games.

              Total (44.5): Under is 4-1 in 49ers' last five road games and 9-3 in Texans' last 12 games overall.

              San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (+4.5)

              Why Chargers cover: They’ve won four of the past five meetings. Chiefs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. Philip Rivers torched the Chiefs last season, throwing for 662 yards and four TDs in two meetings.

              Why Chiefs cover: They’re coming off their first win of the season and have been getting better each week. Underdog is 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Kansas City. San Diego's run game ranks last in the league.

              Total (44): Over is 4-1-1 in Chiefs' last six home games and 5-1 in Chargers' last six games overall.

              Indianapolis Colts at St. Louis Rams (+13)

              Why Colts cover: They’re 4-0 ATS in their last four games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Peyton Manning spreads the ball around making it hard to key on one player. Rams already poor passing game could be without top receiver Donnie Avery who has a hip injury.

              Why Rams cover: RB Steven Jackson gained 127 yards and a TD in their last meeting and could roll up yardage against an Indy team allowing over four yards per carry. Under is 5-2 in Colts' last seven games and 5-2 in their last seven road games.

              Total (45.5): The over is 4-1 in the Colts last five games against a team under .500.

              New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+14.5)

              Why Patriots cover: They’re 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 road games. They’ve won four of six meetings. Buccaneers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. Pats are coming off a 59-point effort and face a team allowing 28 points per game.

              Why Buccaneers cover: New England hasn't faced a QB this season with Josh Johnson's scrambling ability. With both Sammy Morris and Fred Taylor out, the Patriots will be missing two key parts of their running attack.

              Total (45): Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers' last five home games and 9-4 in Patriots' last 13 games overall.

              Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)

              Why Vikings cover: They’re 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. Pittsburgh has trouble protecting the ball and is prone to turnovers. Minny held Ben Roethlisberger to 149 yards passing in the last meeting.

              Why Steelers cover: They’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games. Second ranked passing attack is departure from smash-mouth teams of recent years and lets Pittsburgh put up points faster. Vikings are likely to be without star cornerback Antoine Winfield who has a foot injury.

              Total (44.5): Over is 4-0 in each of the Vikings' and Steelers' last four games.

              Green Bay Packers at Cleveland Browns (+7)

              Why Packers cover: Are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 road games. Browns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Aaron Rodgers could dismantle the league's 23rd-ranked pass defense. Derek Anderson is averaging only 138 yards passing in three starts since replacing Brady Quinn at QB. He has also turned the ball over five times in those games.

              Why Browns cover: Green Bay's offensive line has allowed a league high 25 sacks. Packers are banged up at running back. RB Jamal Lewis ran for 105 yards and a score in his last game against Green Bay.

              Total (44.5): Over is 21-8-1 in Packers' last 30 games.

              Buffalo Bills at Carolina Panthers (-7)

              Why Bills cover: They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. They’ve won three of four meetings. Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Carolina receiver Steve Smith was pouting after last week's win telling The Charlotte Observer, "I'm no longer an asset to this team."

              Why Panthers cover: They’re 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Ryan Fitzpatrick (career 66.1 rating) will start for injured Trent Edwards at quarterback for Buffalo. DE Julius Peppers has been dominant the last few weeks and faces a shaky Bills offensive line. Buffalo has had trouble getting stud receivers Terrell Owens and Lee Evans involved.

              Total (37.5): Over is 5-1 in Bills' last six road games and 9-4 in Panthers' last 13 games overall.

              New York Jets at Oakland Raiders (+6)

              Why Jets cover: The combo of Leon Washington and Thomas Jones could carve up the Raiders' 28th-ranked rush defense. Oakland's best player, cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha, is coping with an eye injury that has blurred his vision. Jets defense will attack an Oakland offensive line that has been decimated by injuries.

              Why Raiders cover: Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Jets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Oakland. Jets receivers Braylon Edwards (quad) and Jerricho Cotchery (hamstring) are dealing with leg injuries that could affect their explosiveness. Rookie QB Mark Sanchez has thrown eight interceptions in his last three games. Jets will be without four-time Pro Bowl NT Kris Jenkins.

              Total (35): Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.

              Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys (-4)

              Why Falcons cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. Sack specialist John Abraham could torment a banged up Dallas offensive line. WR Roddy White lit up the Cowboys for 105 receiving yards through the air in their last meeting.

              Why Cowboys cover: They’re 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. They’ve won four of past six meetings. They’ve moved speedster Miles Austin into the starting lineup to better complement Roy Williams. Atlanta lost starting corner Brian Williams to a season-ending knee injury last week.

              Total (47): Under is 38-16-1 in Falcons' last 55 road games.

              New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins (+6)

              Why Saints cover: They’re 5-0-1 ATS in their last six road games and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. Underrated running game keeping defenses honest and allows for Drew Brees to complete a high percentage of his passes for big plays downfield.

              Why Dolphins cover: They’ve won three of last five meetings. They’re averaging 177 yards per game on the ground largely due to the success of the Wildcat offense. That could help keep Saints offense watching from the sidelines.

              Total (47): Over is 18-7-1 in Saints' last 26 games.

              Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals (-1)

              Why Bears cover: Defense will be ramped up to stop WR Chad Ochocinco who has been taunting them on Twitter this week. Cincy will be without top pass rusher Antwan Odom who was lost for the season with a torn Achilles' tendon. Bengals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.

              Why Bengals cover: They’ve won last four meetings. Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Chicago's run game has sputtered all season and Matt Forte has had trouble protecting the ball. Rejuvenated running back Cedric Benson will be looking for revenge against the team that gave up on him.

              Total (42): Under is 4-1 in Bengals' last five home games and 9-3 in Bears' last 12 road games.

              Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (-7)

              Why Cardinals cover: They’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Frustrated tailback Brandon Jacobs will have a hard time against the league's top-rated run defense.

              Why Giants cover: They’ve won six of last eight meetings. They’re 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. Cards could be without Pro Bowl wideout Anquan Boldin because of an ankle injury. Arizona's inability to run the ball will let Giants defense tee off on immobile Kurt Warner. Eli Manning has thrown five touchdowns in his last two games against Arizona.

              Total (46): Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.

              Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+7)

              Why Eagles cover: Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games. Washington will hand offensive play calling duties to Sherm Lewis who has only been with the team for two weeks. QB Jason Campbell starts this week despite being pulled last week for the equally ineffective Todd Collins.

              Why Redskins cover: Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Washington and 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine meetings overall. Third-ranked pass defense could hamper Donovan McNabb who is coming off a disappointing loss to the Raiders. Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings

              Total (37.5): Under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings and 5-1-2 in the last eight meetings in Washington.


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              Comment


              • #8
                NFL


                Sunday, October 25

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                Total bias: NFL Week 7 over/under plays
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                Let me introduce everyone to Bill Davis.

                No, he's not your mailman. He's not your mechanic or the guy who works at the convenience store down the street.

                He’s the clean-cut, graying father of four who has been coaching in the NFL for 18 years. And he’s the reason sharp bettors are cashing fat tickets on the Cardinals and the under this season.

                Davis was promoted as Arizona’s defensive coordinator after the team fired Clancy Pendergast just days following its Super Bowl loss. And it’s been his vastly improved defense that’s led the Cardinals to finish four out of five games below the total.

                The unit is ranked 16th, just three spots higher than it finished last year. But just like you did with that hottie you spotted on your lunch break, take a closer look.

                The Cardinals are allowing 18.4 points per game this season – a staggering 8.2 less than last season. The rush defense also is light years ahead of last season. The group is the league’s best against the rush, yielding a meager 59.6 yards per game on the ground and a miniscule 2.8 yards per carry.

                I haven’t seen an upgrade that substantial since the last U.S. Presidential election.

                The reason for the change has been Davis emphasizing the role of the linebackers as aggressive pass rushers. The former position coach who made linebackers Kevin Greene and Lamar Lathon studs with the Panthers in the mid-90s has fully transitioned the Cardinals to a 3-4 defense after the group played a gimmicky front last season known as a 4-3 “under.”

                So far this year, seven different players have sacks, with linebackers Karlos Dansby and Gerald Hayes leading the team in total tackles.

                Let me put it like this: last year the Cardinals were using baggy clothes, striped shirts and a couple bottles of “Hollywood Diet” to make themselves look respectable on defense. This year they are waking up early to run, pounding the weights and stealing your girlfriend.

                Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin will keep books posting Cardinals totals high. Thanks to Bill Davis, you can keep cashing tickets on the under.


                Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants

                The Cardinals are 1-4 against the total. The Giants are 4-1-1.

                So which streak will give?

                Arizona figures to have gotten over its East Coast travel woes with a big win over Jacksonville earlier this year and it remains to be seen if it can come to play in a prime time game.

                The Giants are reliant on the run and the Arizona defense should do enough to cage Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs. Or at least slow them down enough to keep the scoring low.

                Let’s go Bill Davis.

                Pick: Under 46.5


                Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys

                Wait, let me get this straight: I have the power-running of Michael Turner and one of the most underrated defenses in the NFL with the Atlanta Falcons – who’ve allowed more than 20 points only once – against a Dallas team full of whining players on offense looking to win with defense despite its head coach and quarterback?

                The Cowboys allow more than 104 rushing yards per game and about 4.2 yards per rush. That should allow Turner to pound the ball and help the Falcons control the clock to turn this game into a grind-it-out affair.

                Pick: Under 47.5


                New York Jets at Oakland Raiders

                I don’t think CBS is going to market this as the Mark Sanchez-JaMarcus Russell showdown.

                Two of the three lowest-rated passers in the league – think about this: Josh Johnson, Kerry Collins and Seneca Wallace all are higher – meet in a game the Jets will make as ugly as possible to win.

                But New York must make the dreaded cross-country trip for this tilt and will be without elite run-stuffer Kris Jenkins.

                Meantime, the Raiders will try to win the time of possession by running the ball early and often behind a terrible offensive line.

                Combine that with under hitting in six of the Jets’ past eight games and in seven of the Raiders’ past nine home games, and we have all the makings of an A-plus snoozer.

                Pick: Under 34.5


                Last week: 1-2

                Overall: 7-11


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                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL


                  Sunday, October 25

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                  NFL – News and Notes
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                  Oddsmaker: Small adjustment for NFL game in London

                  Handicapping this weekend's New England-Tampa Bay game involves more than just looking at injuries, statistics and motivation.

                  The Pats and Bucs square off Sunday at London's Wembley Stadium in the third NFL game outside of North America, part of the NFL's International Series. That means bettors have a few extra things to consider, from how the lengthy flights might affect the teams to how Tom Brady could respond to a pre-game meal of bangers and mash.

                  "You have to look at it differently because it is two teams playing on a neutral field," adds Covers Expert Matt Fargo.

                  The winless Buccaneers, 14.5 point underdogs, are the home team on the schedule but won't have the advantage of playing at Raymond James Stadium. But that doesn't mean much to oddsmakers like Logans.com's Michael Perry.

                  "If the game was in Tampa, I would make the Pats -13," Perry says. "Fans in Tampa have given up on this year. That stadium is listless and would hardly be an advantage against a quarterback like Brady and a team like the Pats."

                  Underdogs have taken the cash the past two games in London. The Saints won 37-32 as 3-point dogs last season against San Diego 37-32, while the Dolphins scored a late touchdown to cover the spread in a 13-10 loss 10-point favored Giants in 2007.

                  The unpredictable and extreme weather in England can make the total a trickier number to set for oddsmakers, who have set Sunday's over/under at 45.

                  The Giants and Dolphins finished 24.5 points under the total two years ago after heavy rains made a quagmire of the Wembley Stadium pitch. Last year in balmy conditions, New Orleans and New York combined for nearly 700 passing yards, eclipsing the total by 23.5 points.

                  Though Pats coach Bill Belichick will be armed for the elements with his trusty all-purpose hoodie, Perry doesn't expect weather or field conditions to be a factor this year.

                  "The chance for rain is pretty low, 10-15 percent," he says.

                  Neither team is likely thrilled to make a long trip across the Atlantic Ocean in the middle of a grueling season, but Fargo feels New England - coming off last weekend's pounding of the Titans - will be focused for Sunday's game.

                  "The last thing the Patriots want to do is go into their bye week by winning a game 59-0 and then losing or playing a tight game against one of the worst teams in the NFL," he says.

                  Kickoff Sunday is scheduled for 6 p.m. local time, or 1 p.m. Eastern.

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                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL


                    Sunday, October 25


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                    What bettors need to know: Cardinals at Giants
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                    Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (-7, 46)

                    Still No. 1


                    Drew Brees and the Saints blitzed the Giants No. 1 pass defense last week for 369 yards and four touchdowns and yet the G-Men remain No. 1 in defense. While that shows how dominant the Giants pass defense was through the first five games, they now face the league’s No. 6 passer in Kurt Warner in an intriguing matchup of the last two NFC champions.

                    Warner was 32-of-41 for 276 yards and two touchdowns in the Cardinals 27-3 dismantling of the Seahawks last week. All-Pro wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald had a breakout performance as well, with 13 catches for 100 yards. Warner this season -- like Brees last week -- has done an excellent job using all the weapons at his disposal.

                    “Kurt Warner is having a real good year,” Giants coach Tom Coughlin told the Associated Press. “He is throwing the ball very well. All four receivers are involved. The tight end is involved. The backs – Tim Hightower is the third-leading receiver. They have excellent distribution. The numbers are spread around real good.”

                    The Giants defense will have to rebound from last week’s debacle in which they gave up 34 points in the first half and 493 yards for the game. A major culprit was the lack of a pass rush. The Giants did not record a sack after getting 15 during their 5-0 start.

                    “We just made some mistakes that we can’t make, especially when you’re playing a team of that caliber,” cornerback Corey Webster said. “So we take the film, we take the whipping that they issued out, and we go back to start working hard and compete.”

                    The Arizona aerial attack could be hindered this week as wide receiver Anquan Boldin is listed as questionable because of an ankle injury. If he does not play, Steve Breaston would into the No. 2 receiver spot.

                    Gaining ground

                    The Cardinals lead the league in rushing defense with 59.6 yards a game, but are dead last in pass defense with 273.2 yards a game.

                    The Giants are unquestionably a run-first offense and it will be interesting to see if the Cardinals lofty rush rating is simply a mirage. Consider that four of the five Cardinals’ opponents rank 22nd or worse in rushing offense and two of those teams are 28th or worse.

                    If the Cardinals run defense holds up, Eli Manning and No. 1 receiver Steve Smith will be expected to do the heavy lifting. Smith is tied for the league lead with 41 receptions and has 525 yards to top the NFC.

                    “We’re going to put him in some different spots and do different things with him,” Manning said about Smith. “He is doing a good job of everywhere he goes, running routes, catching the ball and getting open. We just have to keep doing that with him and all the receivers.”

                    Injuries

                    In addition to Boldin, the only other significant injury news for the Cardinals is running back Chris “Beanie” Wells being listed as questionable with a hip injury. As for the Giants, defensive tackle Chris Canty (calf), cornerback Aaron Ross (hamstring) and linebacker Michael Boley (knee) have all been ruled out. Right tackle Kareem McKenzie is questionable because of a groin injury.

                    Line Movement

                    The Giants opened as 6.5-point favorites and the line has been moved to -7 virtually everywhere. The total opened at 46.5 and has been moved to 46 at most betting shops.

                    Weather

                    The forecast for East Rutherford calls for partly cloudy skies and a low of 42 degrees. Winds will be coming out of the northwest at 10 miles per hour.

                    Head-to-Head

                    Manning threw for 240 yards and three touchdowns in the Giants’ 37-29 win as 3-point road favorites vs. the Cardinals last November. The Cardinals, which historically have struggled when traveling east, have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Giants.

                    Trends

                    The under is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meeting…Arizona is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall…The Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs…New York is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games.


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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL


                      Sunday, October 25


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                      Tips and Trends
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                      Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

                      Cardinals: The Cardinals have covered six of their last eight road contests, including both this season at Jacksonville and Seattle. But Arizona failed to win in five regular-season East Coast games last season before upsetting Carolina in the playoffs. Arizona has lost seven of its last eight road games to the Giants. Kurt Warner can attack a battered New York secondary – if given time. That may prove difficult considering the Giants’ fierce pass rushers and the Cardinals’ protection problems particularly at left tackle. Warner was 32-for-41 for 276 yards and two touchdowns in leading Arizona past Seattle, 27-3, last week. Star wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald matched a career-high in that game with 13 receptions, which catching his league-high fifth touchdown. The Giants defeated the Cardinals, 37-29, at Arizona last season. The Cardinals are 39-17 (69 percent) to the over in their past 56 road games.

                      The Over is 16-5 in Arizona’s last 21 games in October.
                      The Over has cashed in 20 of Arizona’s last 28 games versus a team with a winning record.

                      Key Injuries - Running back Beanie Wells (hip) is questionable.
                      Wide receiver Anquan Bolden (ankle) is probable.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 20

                      Giants (-7, O/U 46): The Giants’ 5-0 start, their first since 1990, came crashing down in a 48-27 loss at New Orleans last week. The key question is how will the Giants react? New York was an underdog to the Saints. The Giants are 18-7-1 against the spread the past 26 times they’ve been favored. New York ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing, while the Cardinals have the 31st-ranked rushing attack. The Cardinals, however, own the best rush defense limiting foes to 59.6 yards running per game, although just one of their opponents ranked in the top half of the league in rushing. That could leave things up to Eli Manning and Steve Smith, who is tied for the league-lead in receptions with 41. His 525 receiving yards top the conference. The Giants were averaging three sacks per game until coming up empty against New Orleans.

                      The Giants are 33-16-2 ATS during their past 51 games.
                      The Over is 11-5-1 in New York’s last 17 home games.

                      Wide receiver Mario Manningham (back) is questionable.
                      Linebacker Michael Boley (knee) is out.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (OVER - Total of the Day)


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                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL


                        Monday, October 29

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                        Tips and Trends
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                        Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

                        Eagles (-7.5, O/U 37.5): The Eagles will be out to redeem themselves after an embarrassing 13-9 road loss last week to Oakland as a two-touchdown favorite. Philadelphia has the firepower to put up big points with Donovan McNabb throwing to DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, tight end Brent Celek and Brian Westbrook out of the backfield. Celek has been a surprise weapon catching 30 passes while averaging 12.6 per reception. Despite the loss to the Raiders, the Eagles still have covered 13 of their last 19 away contests. They are 10-4 against the spread in their past 14 games versus NFC opponents and 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 overall games. The Eagles lost both games to Washington last year. Prior to last season, the Eagles had beaten the Redskins seven of the last eight times. The Eagles, though, are 2-6-1 against the spread in their last nine meetings against the Redskins.

                        The Under has cashed in 22 of the Eagles’ last 30 road games versus teams with a losing home mark.
                        The two teams are 8-2-1 to the under in their last 11 meetings.

                        Key Injuries - Linebacker Omar Gaither (foot) is out.

                        PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (Side of the Day)

                        Redskins: Washington entered this week as the fourth-lowest scoring team in the NFL averaging 13.2 points per game. The Redskins are in turmoil because of offensive line injuries that have robbed them of their best run blocker (guard Randy Thomas) and pass blocker (tackle Chris Samuels), the decline of running back Clinton Portis and the questionable coaching of Jim Zorn. Zorn has been stripped of his play-calling duties, replaced by 67-year-old Sherm Lewis who had been out of football for five years. Portis has scored just one rushing touchdown. Washington has lost to four teams that were winless when they met the Redskins. The Redskins have failed to cover eight of their last nine home contests. The under is 15-2-1 in the Redskins’ last 18 games. Washington is 5-14 against the spread in its last 19 home games against a team with a winning record.

                        The Under is 18-7-2 in the Redskins’ last 27 home games.
                        Washington is 4-9-1 ATS in October.

                        Key Injuries - Guard Randy Thomas (tricep) is out.
                        Offensive tackle Chris Samuels (neck) is out.

                        PROJECTED SCORE: 15


                        Note: The “Total of the Day” is in the NHL

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