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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:45 AM

Daily Sports Roundup

Friday, October 16

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Angels begin the ALCS in New York, the Dodgers host the Phillies again, and Pittsburgh tries to get a win at Rutgers.

Colliding on the gridiron . . .

Friday night's college football matchup has Pittsburgh at Rutgers, with the Panthers pegged as 3.5-point road favorites (and the total at 48 points). Pittsburgh (5-1 straight-up, 3-2 against-the-spread) slipped past Connecticut 24-21 last time out, with Bill Stull throwing for 268 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Rutgers (4-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) blasted Texas Southern 42-0 in their last game. De'Antwan Williams rushed for 132 yards and a score in that win for the Knights.

As well, there's one Canadian Football League game on tap for Friday, with Edmonton (6-8 SU, 5-9 ATS) on the road to take on Toronto (3-11 SU, 5-8-1 ATS). The Eskimos are listed as 4-point road favorites, with the total at 51 points.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

The American League Championship Series opens up in the Bronx on Friday night, with CC Sabathia and the Yankees hosting John Lackey and the Angels. Lefthander Sabathia picked up a win in his ALDS outing against the Twins, holding the opposition to two runs (one earned) on eight hits over his 6 2-3 innings of work - and fanning eight. Righthander Lackey beat the Red Sox last round, tossing 7 1-3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits and fanning four.

As well, it's Game 2 of the NLCS on Friday afternoon, with the Dodgers again hosting the Phillies. Los Angeles will go with Vicente Padilla in the Game 2 matchup. Righthander Padilla blanked the Cardinals over seven innings in his NLDS outing, giving up just four hits and striking out four batters. Pedro Martinez is penciled in to start for Philadelphia on Friday. Righthander Martinez has yet to pitch in the playoffs, but the Phillies went 8-1 in his nine regular-season outings.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

Finally, there are six games on the ice on Friday night, with Atlanta at New Jersey, the Islanders at Buffalo, Philadelphia at Florida, Boston at Dallas, Minnesota at Edmonton, and Vancouver at Calgary. The Canucks beat the Stars 4-3 in their last game, but they've lost forward Daniel Sedin and defenseman Sami Salo indefinitely due to injuries. The Flames were edged 2-1 by the Blue Jackets last time out; Curtis Glencross had the lone goal for Calgary in that loss.

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:46 AM

Bettor's best friend: Today's helpful tips

Friday, October 16

Let it rain

The forecast for the start of the ALCS is not a pretty. It is possible that heavy rain and cold winds could alter how both teams approach playing in New York.

The National Weather Service is predicting a 40 percent chance of rain for Friday and a 50 percent chance of a shower for Game 2 Saturday with temperatures expected to be in the low 40s.

The Yankees planned to go with a three-man rotation, with 19-game winner C.C. Sabathia starting Game 1 followed by A.J. Burnett and Andy Pettitte. However, inclement weather could throw a wrench into those plans.

A potential rainout would force Yankees' skipper Joe Girardi to go with a four man rotation, which means either Joba Chamberlain or Chad Gaudin are likely to get the call. If Chamberlain were to start, New York would lose his arm as a bridge to closer Mariano Rivera. Gaudin was 6-10 with a 4.84 ERA in 25 starts this season.

"From what I understand, it's going to be chilly (Friday) night," Girardi said. "You get different forecasts all the time. ... Only Mother Nature knows that, so you kind of cross that bridge when you have to."

A rain-soaked field could be an advantage for the Bronx Bombers who are more used to dealing with nasty weather than their Californian counterparts.

"This is Yankee weather," catcher Jorge Posada said. "We've been playing like this all year. It seems like every time we come home, it's been raining. We deal with it and they have to deal with it."

The Angles were third in the majors with 148 stolen bases this season and slick base paths could change their game plan and take away one of their major assets for games played in New York.

"I don't know," Posada said. "It's tough to run with a wet field. We'll see."

No running on Rutgers

Since their season-opening loss to Cincinnati, the Scarlet Knights' defense has not allowed their opponents any wiggle room on the gridiron. Their suffocating defense is allowing only an average of 65.2 yards per game after holding their past three opponents to a combined 45 rushing yards.

"Stopping the run is what we do here at Rutgers." coach Greg Schiano said.

They will have their work cut out for them against a Pitt team that averages over 166 yards per game on the ground.

A blitz-heavy defense has Pitt coach Dave Wannstedt concerned.

"You have to handle it physically, but they force you to handle it mentally, too," He told reporters."You have to be sharp. Very seldom are they sitting still and just saying, 'Here's where we are at, come and block us.' "

Wannstedt has a right to be worried, he hasn't be able to beat Rutgers since taking over the Panthers in 2005. Four consecutive losses, including last year's 54-34 debacle at Heinze Field, have his players out for revenge.

"There's definitely motivation for us in this game," Pitt linebacker Adam Gunn said. "They came in here and really put it on us. We know we have to play a lot better than we did last year, and we have to prove it."

Oddsmakers have Rutgers listed as 5.5-point underdogs with the total set at 45 ½.

Brodeur might get a break

Martin Brodeur (3-2, 2.93 GAA) has played every game for the Devils this season, but this weekend he might get a much deserved break.

Coach Jacques Lemaire is trying to decide when would be best to give his heralded netminder a rest. The Devils are favored against the Atlanta Thrashers Friday at -166 and will host the Carolina Hurricanes on Saturday. If Brodeur does take a seat, unproven Yann Danis will take his place.

"We can't look for an easier game because there's none," Lemaire said. "I don't know exactly when he'll step in, but he will soon. I just want to see how good we're playing. If we play [well], we'll give him a chance."

New Jersey inked Danis in the offseason to be Brodeur's backup after losing Scott Clemmensen to Florida in free agency. Danis played well during stints in Long Island and Montreal, posting a 2.84 GAA and .910 save percentage, but has only taken the ice for 37 NHL games.

"I've just been watching Marty and some of the things he does, especially playing the puck," Danis said. "I think it's one of my weaknesses and to see what he's able to do, he's like a third defenseman. And seeing him every day and understanding that everything he does, there's always a thought behind it. Whatever he does is calculated and he works hard at it in practice."

Manuel won't name closer

Even though Brad Lidge has preserved two one-run victories for Philadelphia this postseason, manager Charlie Manuel doesn't feel that he is guaranteed to get the ball in save situations during the NLCS.

"I don't want to sit here today and say one guy is going to be the closer on our team yet," he said. "I don't feel like I have to do that. I feel like our guys accept when I'm going to put them in the game."

Ryan Madson has been the Phils' other option to close out games, but with six blown chances to only 10 saves during the regular season, he has been more unreliable than Lidge.

That doesn't seem to matter to the Phillies colorful bench boss. When asked who would close, he replied, “Whoever you see walking out there.”

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:47 AM

Six-pack for Friday

Some college football trends with Week 6 upon us........

-- Favorite covered eight of last ten Ohio State-Purdue games.

-- San Diego State covered nine of last 13 as a home underdog.

-- Indiana is 8-13 vs spread in its last 21 Big 11 home games.

-- Underdog is 14-7 vs spread in last 21 Oklahoma-Texas games.

-- Home side covered seven of last eight Virginia-Maryland games.

-- Georgia is 2-8 vs spread in game after its last ten losses.

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Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert........

13) I was five feet and $69 away from meeting Pete Rose today; he signs autographs for a fee at a collectibles store in the Forum Shops at Caeser's Palace. He was sitting there, but the pictures he signs cost $69/$89. I'd rather lose the money myself at the tables than give it to him to gamble.

12) And who says I would lose the money? So far, so good.

11) The rule here is they allow smoking, but not in places where food is served; I've never smoked but I eat every day, so I'd rather they allow food in the sportsbook here, but noooooooo.........

10) There is cool place on strip named O'Shea's with lower limit tables, and an excellent pizza place in the back. They also have a guy in front of the place with a mike trying to get people inside. Guy's a dwarf dressed as an Irishman, with green and white pants with shamrocks on them.

9) Have to admit, looking out the window in my hotel room and seeing the lights on the strip ain't a bad thing.

8) I can't escape George Lopez; the guy is all over WTBS' commercials and he was on one of the first billboards I saw by the Vegas airport.

On to college football........
7) Air Force is 3-3, despite a +16 turnover ratio.

6) If Idaho and Boise State keep winning, would ESPN Gameday go to Boise for their November 14 game?

5) Iowa has 18 interceptions in its last five games; three of their six wins are by three or less points.

4) UNLV allowed 850 rushing yards, 122 points in its last two games.

3) USC outscored Notre Dame 76-3 in their last two meetings.

2) Georgia has been -2 or worse in turnovers in five of their six games; so far this season, the disappointing 3-3 Dawgs are -13 in turnovers.

1) I'd love to know if these midweek college football games on ESPN are any help to the schools' recruiting efforts.

From: Armadillo
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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:47 AM

MLB
This Day in Baseball

On October 16 in Baseball History...

1909 - The Pittsburgh Pirates won the World Series as rookie Babe Adams registered his third victory by beating the Detroit Tigers, 8-0, in the seventh game of the World Series.

1912 - Fred Snodgrass dropped a fly ball in the 10th inning that helped the Boston Red Sox score two runs and take the World Series from the New York Giants.

1936 - Lou Gehrig, who hit 49 home runs, scored 167 runs, knocked in 152, and batted .354, is voted AL MVP.

1960 - The NL votes to admit Houston and New York to the league, the first structural change since 1900.

1962 - With the tying and winning runs in scoring position, San Francisco's Willie McCovey hit a hard line drive at second baseman Bobby Richardson for the final out and the New York Yankees won Game 7 by a score of 1-0 for their 20th World Series title.

1969 - The New York Mets won their fourth straight game from the Baltimore Orioles with a 5-3 triumph behind Jerry Koosman to take the World Series in five games.

1971 - Brooks Robinson drives in Frank Robinson in the tenth inning of Game Six to give Baltimore a Series-tying 3-2 win.

1973 - The A's win Game Three of the World Series in 11 innings as Bert Campaneris gets the winning RBI in a 3-2 victory over the Mets. In a private clubhouse meeting, Dick Williams tells A's players he will resign after the Series.

1974 - Ken Holtzman, who hadn't batted all season, belts a third-inning home run in Game Four and gets the 5-2 win. Rollie Fingers holds the Dodgers in relief and Oakland takes a 3-1 Series lead.

1975 - Tony Perez broke an 0-for-15 slump with two home runs to lead the Cincinnati Reds to a 6-2 victory over the Boston Red Sox in Game 5 of the World Series.

1976 - Don Gullett and Pedro Borbon combine on a five-hitter as the Reds win the first game of the World Series over the Yankees 5-1. Three hits by Tony Perez, the first World Series designated hitter, and a Joe Morgan homer supply the offense.

1977 - The Dodgers stay alive with a 10-4 victory in Game Five against the Yankees. Steve Yeager and Reggie Smith homer, and Don Sutton pitches a complete game.

1979 - John Candelaria and Kent Tekulve combine on a 4-0 shutout as the Pirates send the World Series to its seventh game.

1982 - Four Cardinals pitchers are helpless to stop the Brewers from rallying for a 7-5 win to even the World Series after four games.

1983 - Eddie Murray hit two homers and Scott McGregor pitched a five-hitter to give Baltimore a 5-0 victory, its fourth straight over the Philadelphia Phillies to give the Orioles the World Series in five games.

1985 - The Kansas City Royals won the American League pennant with a 6-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 7, capping a comeback from a 3-1 deficit.

1985 - Jack Clark's three-run homer with two outs in the top of the ninth gave the St. Louis Cardinals a 7-5 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers and the National League pennant.

1988 - Orel Hershiser gives up three hits and has three hits himself to beat Oakland, 6-0. The Dodgers have a shocking 2-0 World Series lead over the favored A's.

1990 - Eric Davis becomes the 22nd player to homer in his first World Series at-bat. The Reds go on to rout the A's, 7-0, ending Oakland's 10-game post-season winning streak.

1991 - The Braves win the third 1-0 game of the NLCS to force a seventh game in Pittsburgh. Greg Olson doubles home the only run of the game in the ninth inning.

1993 - The Blue Jays put the game away with a three-run rally in the seventh inning at the SkyDome in Game One of the World Series. Reliever Al Leiter gets the 8-5 victory against the Phillies.

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:50 AM

MLB
Dunkel Index

NLCS

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 16.070; LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.677
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Under

ALCS

LA Angels at NY Yankees
The Yankees open the ALCS looking to build on their 8-0 record in C.C. Sabathia's last 8 home starts. New York is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-175). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 953-954: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 16.610; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.831
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-170); Under

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:53 AM

MLB

Friday, October 16

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Trend Report
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4:07 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LA DODGERS
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home

7:57 PM
LA ANGELS vs. NY YANKEES
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:54 AM

MLB

Friday, October 16

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Hot lines: Today’s best MLB bets
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Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-140, 9)

It may be well into October, but expect to see plenty of balls flying out of Chavez Ravine in this series.

The Phillies have seen 13 of their past 15 road games go over the total, including a pair of wins in Colorado against the Rockies. Over its past five games, the Phillies are averaging more than five runs per outing, about a third of a run better than its 5.06-run-per-game average during the regular season.

“I think we've done a wonderful job with getting guys in scoring position, which we struggled last full season with,” Phillies outfielder Shane Victorino said. “We've done a great job this year and put ourselves in a good situation.”

Meantime, the Dodgers are 6-2-1 over/under in their past nine home games and have surpassed the number three times in their past five games overall. Against the Cardinals, Los Angeles crossed home plate at least five times twice in three games and has scored at least five runs in four of five overall.

Pick: Over

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:55 AM

MLB

Friday, October 16

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Payoff pitch: Today’s best mound matchup
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John Lackey (Los Angeles Angels) vs. C.C. Sabathia (New York Yankees)

John Lackey (11-8, 3.83 ERA)

Lackey became a household name when in 2002 he became only the second rookie ever to start and win Game 7 of the World Series. Since then he has continued to making his living anchoring the Angles' pitching staff in the postseason.

A perennial innings eater, it was no surprise that Lackey was handed the ball in the first game of the Division Series against the Boston Red Sox. He responded by tossing 7 1-3 innings of shutout ball against one on the league's most potent lineups. For his career, he boasts a 3.02 ERA in 12 postseason appearances, including 10 starts.

In his only start against the Yankees this season, Lackey tossed seven innings of two-run ball and picked up the victory in a 5-4 final at Angels Stadium. Equally effective on the road, Lackey made 14 starts, posting a 3.80 ERA and a 5-3 record.

C.C. Sabathia (19-8, 3.37 ERA)

It took Sabathia until mid May to win his second game as a Yankee. However, it wasn't his start that the Angels will be focused on, it is his finish. The 6-foot-7, 290-pound lefty won nine of his last twelve starts to narrowly miss posting his first 20-win season.

His dominance continued into the postseason where held the Twins to one run over 6 2-3 innings while striking out eight in New York's 7-2 rout of Minnesota.

Sabathia only made one start against the Halos this season and it wasn't pretty. He allowed five runs in 6 2-3 innings en route to an 8-4 loss at the new Yankee Stadium. However, it was during his early season struggles and one of only two losses he would suffer there all season.

The Yanks' prized offseason acquisition was simply stellar on home turf, finishing 7-2 with a 3.17 ERA, not including his masterful performance over Minnesota in the first-round of the playoffs.

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 09:55 AM

MLB

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MLB playoffs: Halos-Yanks series preview and pick
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Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees

Series odds: Yankees -167

Pitching

The Yankees have the best starting pitcher of the series in CC Sabathia, who is 12-2 since the All-Star Break. After Sabathia, the Yankees have only two reliable starters, A.J. Burnett and Andy Pettitte. Rather than using Joba Chamberlain or Chad Gaudin as a fourth starter, New York is reportedly considering using Sabathia for Game 4 and, if necessary, Game 7. Sabathia was roughed up in two regular-season meetings with the Angels, however, going 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA.

The Angels have four solid starters in John Lackey, Jered Weaver, Scott Kazmir and Joe Saunders. Kazmir, who owns a 2.67 ERA against the Yankees in his career, could be key in shutting down the left-handed power bats of the Yankees.

While L.A. has the advantage in starting pitching, New York gets the nod in the bullpen. Yankees relievers had the 14th-best ERA in baseball during the regular season, while the Angels ranked 23rd. LA closer Brian Fuentes saved two games against Boston last round, but he's nowhere near as automatic as the Yankees' Mariano Rivera.

Edge: Los Angeles

Offense

Offense has been the calling card for both teams this season. New York scored the most runs in the Majors, while the Angels ranked second. LA had the highest batting average in baseball, followed closely by the Yankees.

New York generates most of its offense with the long ball. Seven Yankees went deep 20 or more times this year, helping the team set a franchise record for home runs in a season. Mark Teixeira and Alex Rodriguez combined for 69 homers and 222 RBIs, even with Rodriguez missing the first month of the season.

The Angels steal more bases and run the bases more aggressively. Chone Figgins and Bobby Abreu combined to swipe 74 bags during the regular season, setting the table for the rest of the order.

Edge: New York

Intangibles

Most teams are intimidated by playing New York, but the Angels aren't one of them. L.A. is the only American League team with a winning record against the Yankees over the past nine seasons, and the Angels eliminated New York from the playoffs in 2005.

Los Angeles got a huge monkey off its back by beating the Red Sox in the opening round, after falling to Boston in its previous three playoff meetings. Vladimir Guerrero entered the Boston series with only one RBI in his previous 17 postseason contests, but his two-out, two-run single off Jonathan Papelbon in Game 3 clinched the series win for the Halos.

As always, there's plenty of pressure on the Yankees, whose season will be viewed as a failure if they don't win their first World Series since 2000. Like Guerrero, Rodriguez exorcised some playoff demons in the opening round, hitting .455 with six RBIs in the first round and belting a clutch two-run ninth-inning home run off Twins closer Joe Nathan in Game 2.

New York has home-field advantage in the series, and that could be the difference. The Yankees were a league-best 57-24 at home this season.

Edge: New York

Pick: Yankees in seven games.

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 11:40 AM

MLB

Friday, October 16

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Tips and Trends
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Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees [FOX | 7:57 PM ET]

Angels: The Angels are the only team in the American League to hold a winning record against the Yankees during the last nine years. The Angels have the best road record in the American League at 49-33 and are second in the majors in runs scored per game at 5.45, trailing just the Yankees, who averaged 5.65. The Angels are 10-1 in their last 11 games. Starting pitcher John Lackey (11-8, 3.83 ERA during the regular season) threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a 5-0 Game 1 playoff win against Boston at Angel Stadium. It was the right-hander’s first postseason victory since Game 7 of the 2002 World Series versus the Giants. Lackey is 5-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 16 career starts versus the Yankees. He has surrendered three earned runs on 10 hits in 14 2/3 innings against the Yankees during three playoff appearances.

The Angels are 6-13 in John Lackey’s last 19 starts against a team with a winning record.
The Under is 13-3 in the Angels’ past 16 road contests.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Yankees (-$1.65, O/U 8.5 over -$1.15): CC Sabathia is a Cy Young Award contender with a 19-8, 3.37 ERA regular-season mark. But he struggled in both of his outings against the Angels this season, giving up nine earned runs and 17 hits in 13 1/3 innings. Career-wise against the Angels, the 290-pound lefty is 5-7 with a 4.72 ERA. Sabathia has won 12 of 14 decisions since the All-Star break. New York is 8-0 in Sabathia’s last eight home starts. The Yankees split their 10-game regular-season series with the Angels. New York finished a Major League-best 57-25 at home this year. The Yankees set a team record for home runs in a season with seven players going deep 20 or more times. The Yankees have won 11 of their last 14 games, with six of the last eight going under. The Yankees’ bullpen had the 14th-best ERA in baseball, while the Angels’ relief pitchers rated 23rd.

The Over has cashed 17 of the past 24 times the two teams have met.
The Yankees are 5-1 versus the Angels in New York.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total of the Day)

Note: The “Tips and Trends” Side of the Day is in College Football.

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 12:15 PM

NOTE:
Our sources are late with the NLCS trends for both the ”Long Sheet” and the “Short Sheet” – if they are updated later, we will post.

MLB
Long Sheet

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ALCS

Friday, October 16

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LA ANGELS (100 - 65) at NY YANKEES (106 - 59) - 8:00 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 57-32 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-3 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 106-59 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 70-36 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 100-65 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-12 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 9-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 49-33 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 13-2 (+12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 198-145 (+44.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 93-57 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 68-49 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 38-17 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 61-38 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 50-38 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 50-33 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-5 (+1.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LACKEY is 5-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.51 and a WHIP of 1.531.
His team's record is 9-9 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-10. (-2.9 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SABATHIA is 5-7 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.72 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 5-9 (-7.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-3.2 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 16th

American League Championship Series
Best of Seven
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: FOX
LA Angels at NY Yankees, 8:00 ET
John Lackey (R) vs. CC Sabathia (L)

Lackey:
LAA 10-3 as a road underdog of +150 or more
LAA 16-3 revenging BB Home losses

Sabathia:
7-0 Over vs. AL West
12-4 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 12:17 PM

NHL
Dunkel Index

Boston at Dallas
The Bruins look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is 4-11 in its last 15 home games. Boston is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 1-2: Atlanta at New Jersey
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.746; New Jersey 11.395
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+160); Under

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.087; Buffalo 13.338
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-210); Under

Game 5-6: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.631; Florida 11.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over

Game 7-8: Boston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.895; Dallas 11.685
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+115); Under

Game 9-10: Minnesota at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.902; Edmonton 12.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-145); Over

Game 11-12: Vancouver at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.473; Calgary 11.504
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-140); Over

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 12:17 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

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Friday, October 16
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ATLANTA (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 11-1 ATS (+9.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 107-120 ATS (+268.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-2-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (0-2-0-2, 2 pts.) at BUFFALO (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 63-59 ATS (+143.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 18-21 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-4 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-4-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at FLORIDA (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 99-114 ATS (+226.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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BOSTON (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) at DALLAS (2-0-0-3, 7 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 39-27 ATS (+68.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-12 ATS (+16.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-12 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 6-16 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) at EDMONTON (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 8-2 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 9-5 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 9-5-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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VANCOUVER (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) at CALGARY (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/16/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 36-24 ATS (+63.1 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 102-75 ATS (+181.2 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 49-33 ATS (+83.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 117-125 ATS (+280.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 3-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 9-6 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 9-6-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)

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**pm530** · 10-16-2009, 12:18 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, October 16

ATLANTA at NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET
ATLANTA: 15-24 SU after playing BB road games
NEW JERSEY: 11-1 SU after playing 3 consecutive road games

NY ISLANDERS at BUFFALO, 7:30 PM ET
NY ISLANDERS: 5-13 SU when playing with 3 or more days rest
BUFFALO: 10-5 SU as a home favorite of -200 to -300

PHILADELPHIA at FLORIDA, 7:30 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 8-2 SU AWAY on Friday nights
FLORIDA: 8-18 SU at home after allowing 3+ goals in BB games

BOSTON at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
BOSTON: 30-12 SU in first half of the season
DALLAS: 5-15 SU off a home win

MINNESOTA at EDMONTON, 9:00 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 18-11 SU after playing 3 consecutive road games
EDMONTON: 7-16 SU at home after 1+ consecutive overs

VANCOUVER at CALGARY, 9:00 PM ET
VANCOUVER: 33-23 SU AWAY on Friday nights
CALGARY: 3-8 SU on Friday nights

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Announcement

Friday Trends and Indexes 10/16 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Friday Trends and Indexes 10/16 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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