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Kaptains NCAA FB and NHL
Here's how I look at tonights FB game......
Points Per Game BOISE 42.......TU..........27.........advantage BOISE
Giving up PPG..............14.....................19........ ................BOISE
Yards Per Game............454...................388......... .............BOISE
Yields YPG...................284...................313... ...................BOISE
Running YPG................216....................150..... ................BOISE
Passing YPG.................238...................238..... .................EVEN
Gives up Pass YPG........284...................313.............. ........BOISE
Gives up Run YPG.........120.....................83............ ..........TU
Lets look at Ratings...and Strength of Schedule (SOS)
RPI
Boise Rated #6 vs #68 SCHEDULE
TU..............#51....#119...weak schedule....real week, except OU, and they got shellacked
SAGARIN
Boise Rated #5....playing as a 88 rating vs 69 rating schedule
TU..............60......................73........ ......60......................
In essence, BOISE has a better record, stats, overall, in all catagories when factoring in SOS................
Boise avgs winning by 28....TU by 12.......Boise scores 15 more PPG and yields 5 less againstr stronger teams......Factoring in HF advantage, I show Boise being 2 TD's better than TU.........
I am not a TREND player, line movement player, publics on (%) player, strictly a stats player, and thats what I go with.......
BOISE needs a good showing against a decent TU (not real good as in past) team, to boost BCS chances....And they know it....
PLAY IS
BOISE - 9 1/2 -110.............................................20 *
NHL....all are 1* plays unless noted otherwise and OT Incl....
2 Rangers -150
3 Penquins -120
6 Stars -150
5/6 Pred/Stars over 5 1/2 +110...............2*
7 Edmonton +165
7 Edmonton + 1 1/2 -185.......................2*
10 Anaheim -145
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