Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 - Picks Tracking

[TommyGold]

Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres

This can be a long shot, but it's impossible to let it pass, the odds are higher than it should be. Montreal, for the second time this season, pays ahead of 3.00. Last week in Pittsburgh, they were with 3.30 odds.

Today, they are around 3.00 also. This team, with a 2.80 went to Washington and won that game. So, it's not so impossible to them.

And after all, U.S. sports unpredictability are well known because everything can happen. But both these teams have one thing in common. Buffalo went to Toronto last game to win 3-0. Montreal hosted Toronto in their last game, losing 3-0. But this is nothing on NHL.

Buffalo is doing a remarkable season so far. But they are also starting to show signs that they are not a reliable team. The defeat they had at home against Florida was a sign. They started there a 4 losses streak. But the truth is, so far this team as been impressive, playing a good game in most of the matches, achieving a 15-7 record. They will start here a series of home games and they have all confidence to start it well.

Montreal is a struggling team. So far, their efforts to turn things around failed, but they can't quit. They have so many supporters, which makes them one of the most important teams on NHL. And if isn't enough to keep trying a positive record, they also have a talented roster. The results have been intermittent so far, and they are now with 3 straight losses, making this streak their second worst of the season. And sometimes they show that they keep trying to get better results, like when they went to Boston and won that game, or when they went to Washington and won it too, for example.

Hence, for this game we have to take this long shoot. It's true that the Sabres are much better so far, and they also play at home. But we can't underestimate the Canadiens roster. They've the talent to do here a nice surprise and with Price on the nets, it's a conscious and calculated risk. Carey Price, the Canadiens goaltender, is the man that can defend impossible shoots if he wants to. Sometimes he makes a incredible performance, and let's hope that today is one of those days, so he can make a difference on our side.


Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.03 results:

Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (0-3: LOSS)
Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres: Montreal Canadiens ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (6-2: LOSS)
New York Islanders @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)
Anaheim Ducks @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin (3-1: WIN)
St. Louis Blues @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker (2-3 OT: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 59-83-1 (-9 units lost/140 units risked)



NHL 2009.12.04, final 3 picks:

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek

Boston Bruins @ Montreal Canadiens: Over 5.5 +135 (2.35) The Greek

Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin





Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils

The fact that New Jersey is 9-1 against the Lightning straight up proves how easy is for the Devils to play against this Tampa Bay team.

Incredible is how much money they gave to those that risked on them against the puck line, as they are also 9-1 against the spread! For a team that wins so many games against another team just by one goal, it's something odd.

But right now, the Devils are 3-1 at home in the last 4 games, with those 3 wins covering the spread. I believe that it's time to turn off the profit that bettors are getting when they risk in Devils' handicaps.

As I'm always saying, Tampa Bay is a home team. They are 2-4 in L6 road games, with one win in OT. In those losses, two defeats were by 2 and 3 goals. Their negative record on the road is something that will likely get worst as we move on to the end of the season. 2.21 goals per game is what they score on the road so far, as this team can't find the button to make their best players getting good performances in their away games. And the truth is, they depend a lot on Lecavalier and St Louis, who are fundamental pieces of this team, and they only have 5 goals each this season. Stamkos and Malone are trying to carry the team, but are struggling at the moment.

New Jersey after recovering Elias is playing a great game. Their record is great, with 17-7 and standing up for a contenders call. They lost their last game by 2-5 at home against the Canucks, but the result doesn't reflect what happened on that game. This team is successfully avoiding two straight losses at home since their first two games, and will probably avoid today another straight loss. In their last 5 games, they are scoring 3 goals per game, and with Brodeur on the nets, who is allowing a 2.18 goals per game average, the team has a solid game, with good defense and offense.

Hence for this game, I can't see Tampa Bay surviving it. For Lightning this game will be like hell and they will probably spare themselves for tomorrow game at home. The Devils will make an effort to avoid another straight loss at home, and even without that effort they should easily win this match up.


Pick: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek

[TommyGold]

Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild

Today, we will have a match up between a good home team and a bad road team.

Anaheim is returning to the road games after 7 games at home. This team has failed every opportunities to get a good streak. The Ducks are far to be reliable to risk and have started this road trip with a loss, allowing Dallas to have a comeback.

On the road Anaheim is conceding 3.22 goals per game and scoring only 2.44 goals per game. This shows how poor is their game away from home and with almost 2 months since the last road win, there is no way to improve when they play a B2B game on road.

Minnesota had a slow start of the season with a 3-9 record. Even with that record, they are almost positive and that's because they are not struggling so much at home as it seems. They are a home team and basically depend on those games to achieve some wins. It seems hard to believe, but they are 8-3 at home and are passing one of the best moments of the season, with 3 straight wins. One of their secrets is that Backstrom, their goaltender, is making great performances at home and we can't expect from him no less than that today, as he's one of the best goaltenders on the league.

It's hard to see Minnesota end this game without a win. Anaheim is going through a rough patch and probably the team doesn't even remember their last road win. Their confidence for this match up should be down and the fact of being a B2B game, doesn't give them time to ****** the last loss, after they lead the game for about 40 minutes. Minnesota can't leave this moment escape, and they should give their best on this game today, as they are stronger at home.


Pick: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.04 results:

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek (3-2: LOSS)
Boston Bruins @ Montreal Canadiens: Over 5.5 +135 (2.35) The Greek (5-1: WIN)
Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin (5-4 SO: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 60-85-1 (-9.65 units lost/145 units risked)



NHL 2009.12.05, final 6 picks:

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -111 (1.90) Goalwin

Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker

Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +190 (2.90) Bookmaker, +235 (3.35) Centrebet

New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker

Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 6 -130 (1.77) 5Dimes, Under 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.05 results:

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -111 (1.90) Goalwin (2-3 SO: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker (4-3 SO: LOSS)
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker (7-2: WIN)
Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (2-8: WIN)
New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (4-0: WIN)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 6 -130 (1.77) 5Dimes (1-2: WIN)

NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-87-1 (-3.68 units lost/151 units risked)



NHL 2009.12.06, 1 pick:

Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Expekt, Ladbrokes

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.05 results:

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -111 (1.90) Goalwin (2-3 SO: LOSS)
Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker (4-3 SO: LOSS)
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker (7-2: WIN)
Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (2-8: WIN)
New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (4-0: WIN)
Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 6 -130 (1.77) 5Dimes (1-2: WIN)

NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-87-1 (-3.68 units lost/151 units risked)



NHL 2009.12.06, 1 pick:

Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Expekt, Ladbrokes

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.06 results:

Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (3-4 SO: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-88-1 (-4.68 units lost/152 units risked)


L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 23-19-1 and +10.38 units won/42 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.28 finished with a 5-1-1 and +4.48 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.27 finished with a 3-2 and +1.42 units won/5 units risked.



NHL 2009.12.07, only 2 picks:

Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker, +145 (2.45) Goalwin

Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin





Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs

This match up has these odds due to some opinions that seem wrong to me. The edge is on Atlanta side and these odds makes them the underdog.

Atlanta is a middle table team, however they're in the race for the playoffs for sure. Is their goal and I believe that they'll accomplish it. This team counts with Kovalchuk, who's one of the best players on NHL and he alone can make the difference. Even so, this team can handle things with Kovaluchuk off the ice. But the interesting point is that the Trashers are a road team. At home, their record is 6-6, they're not quite strong at home and it seems that they will not get the most of their points at home.

It is on the road where they can take advantage of their offense power. Their record so far is 9-2 on the road and I believe that record will increase today. With 3.33 goals scored on the road, this team shows their full potential, making them the worst team you can host in the NHL.

Toronto was a few days ago the worst team on NHL. But as i said before, this team has a well handle structure in every level, which gives them the stability required to get some results. And it did work. This team is 5-3 L8 and I'll take my chances to say that putting Gustavsson on the starting role made the difference. This is the only goaltender on this team with a positive record of 6-5, winning 6 of the 8 wins of the team.

Underestimating his importance can be hard, and with him out of the game for a week or more, can be tough for the team. In their first game, the team handle it well, with a win against Columbus. However that win hardly established if Toronto had any merit at all. In their last road game, they lost 7-2 with Boston, a team that has struggled a lot on offense lately.

So, I can't expect this team to return home and win this game, as they aren't quite confident and I believe that they also know that Gustavsson is an important key player for their wins. Atlanta is strong on the road and against a team with a bad record, that is trying to get out of the hole they have dug, I can't see how the visitors will give them a hand, but only to kick them out to the bottom again.



Pick: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker, +145 (2.45) Goalwin

[TommyGold]

Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens

We have to try to take advantage of mental issues. This is gonna be a match up which will meltdown the ice as we can't expect no less than a win for both teams. I will not use any trends or stats to sustain this play. Only recent issues and last games that these teams played.

Starting with Montreal, this team are labeling their playoffs as questionable. The team was late to start their engines, and when they start up, the engine just can't work for long time and shutdown suddenly.

However, they are a important team in NHL, traditionally contenders at least to the playoffs and have this year an interesting roster even with the poor production.

So, this team isn't achieving better results only because of them, as they can and should be more comfortable about their results. It's important to know that this team can improve and a good result can make the difference to turn things around. And that result could be the last one, where they won against Boston (5-1), a nice result at home before hosting Flyers.

Philadelphia is going through a tough moment. They fired their coach and gave to the new one the worst welcome possible, a 8-2 loss at home! A 1-6 run gave John Stevens the pink slip, but this team before that run was playing a great game, which for me, makes this decision a little bit wrong or at least too soon. This team had extreme particularities that makes it hard to the new coach to adjust this team to a new kind of game. And that was easily seen when they lost at home against the Capitals (2-8).

They'll struggle only one game? Probably not, they'll need more time to understand the new vision of the game that they have to approach. And that will make this team lose time for the playoffs race, but that's not my decision. Despite this, another piece of bad news was disclosed to the public. Pronger, their best transfer for this year, and probably their best player so far this season, is having problems with Mike Richards, the supporters' hero and team's goalscorer. This can damage a lot this team, even when Richards came to public declaring that it was false news.

So, we have lots of problems on this team for now. Despite how much I enjoy the Flyers game, this play is hard to skip. Montreal can take all the advantage here.


Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin

[Chado1]

GL with the Thrash and Habs tonight bro!!!

[TommyGold]

Many thanks Chado1!!! :D A 1-1 split and "stayed at home" even... :P

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.08, only 2 picks:

Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker, Goalwin

Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker




NHL 2009.12.07 results:

Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker (5-2: LOSS)
Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (3-1: WIN)

NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 65-89-1 (-4.68 units lost/154 units risked)


L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 21-18-1 and +8.96 units won/37 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.28 finished with a 5-1-1 and +4.48 units won/6 units risked.

[Chado1]

Almost played the Ducks also and GL tonight!!!

[TommyGold]

NHL 2009.12.08 results:

Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (3-4 OT: LOSS)

NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009-2010 season record: 66-90-1 (-4.88 units lost/156 units risked)

L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 17-18 and +4.28 units won/35 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.

NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.


No picks for today, 2009.12.09. I've caught a cold...

[TommyGold]

Almost played the Ducks also and GL tonight!!!

Many thanks Chado1!

Those bastards managed to lose the game on OT... :|

[Chado1]

Many thanks Chado1!

Those bastards managed to lose the game on OT... :|

No they didnt they came back to win the game in OT just not in reg for ya...