Announcement

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 09:28 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

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Sunday, October 18

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 5) at WASHINGTON (2 - 3) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (2 - 3) at CINCINNATI (4 - 1) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 2) at MINNESOTA (5 - 0) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST LOUIS (0 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 3) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (5 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (4 - 0) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in dome games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (1 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 5) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 53-29 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (1 - 4) at GREEN BAY (2 - 2) - 10/18/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (3 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 4) - 10/18/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (2 - 2) at SEATTLE (2 - 3) - 10/18/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (1 - 4) at NY JETS (3 - 2) - 10/18/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
NY JETS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (0 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) - 10/18/2009, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CHICAGO (3 - 1) at ATLANTA (3 - 1) - 10/18/2009, 8:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 19

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DENVER (5 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) - 10/19/2009, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 09:30 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6

Sunday, 10/18/2009

Bye Weeks: Dallas, Indianapolis, Miami, San Francisco

KANSAS CITY at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 8-0 ATS after allowing 25+ pts BB games
WASHINGTON: 9-0 Under as a favorite

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 9-2 Over off road loss
CINCINNATI: 1-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

CLEVELAND at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 0-6 ATS Away after scoring 9pts or less
PITTSBURGH: 11-5 ATS at home vs. Cleveland

BALTIMORE at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 1-6 ATS off division loss
MINNESOTA: 17-4 Under as a home favorite of 3 pts or less

ST LOUIS at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 0-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points
JACKSONVILLE: 9-0 ATS after scoring 6 pts or less

NY GIANTS at NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 5-0 ATS in dome games
NEW ORLEANS: 40-21 over off home win

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY, 1:00 PM ET
CAROLINA: 8-1 Under in Weeks 5 through 9
TAMPA BAY: 5-1 ATS off loss by 14+ pts

DETROIT at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 6-0 ATS Away after 1st month of season
GREEN BAY: 5-17 ATS as DD favorite

PHILADELPHIA at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 6-0 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play
OAKLAND: 1-8 ATS in non-conference games

ARIZONA at SEATTLE, 4:05 PM ET
ARIZONA: 12-1 Over off an Under
SEATTLE: 1-14 ATS off home win by 21+ points

BUFFALO at NY JETS, 4:15 PM ET
BUFFALO: 5-1 ATS after scoring 14 points 3 straight games
NY JETS: n/a

TENNESSEE at NEW ENGLAND, 4:15 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 4-0 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
NEW ENGLAND: 5-1 ATS off a SU loss

CHICAGO at ATLANTA, 8:20 PM ET NBC
CHICAGO: 9-0 Over after a game with a TO margin of +2 or better
ATLANTA: 8-20 ATS at home off DD win

Monday, 10/19/2009

DENVER at SAN DIEGO, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
DENVER: 0-6 ATS after a win by 3 or less points
SAN DIEGO: 4-0 ATS vs. Denver

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 09:31 AM

NFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Sunday, October 18

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. MINNESOTA
Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
Baltimore is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. TAMPA BAY
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PITTSBURGH
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
Detroit is 4-12-2 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. WASHINGTON
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Giants are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing NY Giants

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

4:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. SEATTLE
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

4:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. OAKLAND
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games at home

4:15 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY JETS
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
NY Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Jets are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against Buffalo

4:15 PM
TENNESSEE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing New England
New England is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 12 games

8:20 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Monday, October 19

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Diego is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver

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**Kaptain** · 10-14-2009, 06:50 PM

BUMP to stay on PAGE 1...thanks fellows....

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 07:10 PM

NP, Kapt.! Good luck tonight!

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 07:10 PM

NFL
Write-Up

Week 6 NFL games

Sunday, October 18

Chiefs (0-5) @ Redskins (2-3)-- Washington has yet to play team with win; they've also yet to score more than 17 points in a game, blowing 17-2 lead at Carolina last week. Skins are 0-2 as home favorite this year, scoring 25 points in narrow wins over Rams (9-7), Bucs (16-13). 0-5 Chiefs are playing fourth straight NFC East foe; last week was their first cover of year, taking Cowboys to OT before losing 26-20. NFC East favorites are 8-5 vs spread in its non-divisional games, 4-2 at home. AFC West road underdogs are 1-5. Last four Redskins games stayed under total-- last three Kansas City games went over.

Texans (2-3) @ Bengals (4-1)-- Cincinnati won last four games, sweeping its AFC North rivals last three weeks, with all three wins by FG each. Concern over Palmer's hand-- he was handing off lefty most of 4th quarter vs Ravens, but Bengals are on roll, with Benson leading NFL in rushing- they've run ball for average of 136.8 ypg in last four games. Houston crushed Cincy 35-6 LY in game that Texans had +3 turnover ratio. Texans rallied from 21-0 deficit at the half to tie Arizona last week but threw pick-6 for TD in last 3:00, then didn't score with ball on 1-yard line in last 1:00. Over is 3-1 Bengals' last four games.

Browns (1-4) @ Steelers (3-2)-- Pitt won last ten series games, covering four of last five played here (average win in last five at Heinz, 31-16). Home faves in division games are 7-9 this season, 1-6 in AFC. After losing first three tilts by 14-21-31 points, Browns split a pair of 3-point decisions last two weeks, though they were 2-17/22 passing in 6-3 win in Buffalo, ugly numbers. Pitt has been outscored 68-44 in second half of games this year, forcing only two turnovers in four games Polamalu missed (he is practicing this week). Steelers are 1-4 vs spread this season, winning home games 13-10 (Tenn), 38-28 (SD).

Ravens (3-2) @ Vikings (5-0)-- Unbeaten, well-balanced Minnesota has yet to score less than 27 points, winning home games 27-24/30-23, but they're run for less than 100 yards in last three games, as teams forcing Favre to beat them and he has, passing for 283-271-288 yards last three games. Ravens lost last two games, they ran ball for 99 ypg in losses, 156.7 in wins. Minnesota is allowing 96 ypg on ground, with 129 (@ Detroit) most they've allowed. AFC North teams are 5-7 vs the spread in non-league games, 3-2 as road underdogs. NFC North teams are 7-3, but 0-2 as home favorites. Ravens scored defensive TD in each of last two games.

Rams (0-5) @ Jaguars (2-3)-- Hapless Rams were -3 in turnovers in each of last three games; they lead NFL in penalties, fumbles lost and are on 15-game losing streak- they've been outscored 80-10 in second half of games, but they did gain 400 yards with 27 first downs vs Minnesota last week, fumbling ball away twice on Viking 2-yard line. Boller has concussion, Bulger has shoulder issues, so St Louis has issues at QB, and other places. Jaguars are very erratic; underdog is 4-1 vs spread in their games (0-1 as favorite). Three of last four St Louis games went over. Longtime Ram WR Holt is in first year with Jags.

Giants (5-0) @ Saints (4-0)-- Subplots include Manning going home to play (this is his first game in Superdome), Shockey facing former team, but this is also battle of unbeatens, potential NFC title game preview. Saints are off bye, none of their four wins are by less than 14 points; only one of their four foes has gained more than 244 yards, so Brees-led offense has protected leads and been more balanced (164.3 rushing ypg this year) than previous Saint outfits. Giants played stiffs last three weeks, running ball for 226-156-220 yards, in games they led by combined score of 62-10 at halftimes. Home favorites are 19-13 vs spread in non-divisional games.

Panthers (1-3) @ Buccaneers (0-5)-- Both teams are struggling, with Carolina having trailed 17-2 in its only win, while Bucs are winless, with only one loss by less than 13 points. Panthers won four of last five visits here, losing 27-3 LY; they're 7-3 in last ten series games, with six of seven wins by 8+ points. Bucs' young QB Johnson has shown mobility, but averaged just 4.0/4.1 ypp in his two starts. Tampa Bay was outscored 51-16 in scond half of its last four games. Bucs haven't had their bye yet, Carolina had theirs two weeks ago, edge Panthers. Home underdogs are 7-3 vs spread in divisional games this season.

Lions (1-4) @ Packers (2-2)-- Health of Green Bay offensive line an issue after Rodgers was sacked 20 times in four games; bye week may have helped. Lions lost nine of last ten in series, losing last five visits here by 3-3-8-21-10 points. Road team is 7-3 vs spread in last 10 series games. Culpepper was 23-37/225 passing in 28-20 home loss to Steelers, Lions' first loss by less than 14 points; it isn't known whether he or Stafford goes here. Packers allowed 15-17 points in their wins, 31-30 in losses- they're 2-1 as a favorite in '09, with its last three games going over total. Detroit allowed 93 points in two road games this year.

Eagles (3-1) @ Raiders (0-5)-- Hard to know lot about Philly teams whose Ws are over Panthers-Chiefs-Bucs, but we know Oakland is non-competitive, with losses in last three games by 20-23-37 points, as behind the scenes soap opera involving head coach and his assault charge hangs over team's head. Philly wins are by 28-20-19 points; this is their first road game since Week 1. Favorites are 4-0 vs spread in their games. Raiders dropped back to pass 19 times last week, were sacked six times, with only 64 net yards. All four Eagle games went over the total, but three of last four Oakland games stayed under. NFC East faves are 7-5 vs spread in non-divisional games, 3-3 as road favorites.

Cardinals (2-2) @ Seahawks (2-3)-- Has team ever been 2-3 with two shutouts before? Home team won eight of last ten series games, with Arizona 1-4 in last five visits here, losing by 3-25-11-21 points. Seattle was outscored 69-36 in five halves Hasselbeck missed- they outscored opponents 79-13 in the five he played. Redbirds been pass-happy last two games, throwing it 97 times, with 28 rushes for 68 yards; they're just 12-46 on 3rd down this year, very poor. Seattle averaged 7.8/7.6 ypp in its three wins, 5.2 or less in its losses. Arizona allowed 10.8/7.4 ypp in its last two games. Three of last four Arizona games stayed under total.

Bills (1-4) @ Jets (3-2)-- Underdog is 9-1 in last ten series games; only once in last those ten games has home side won by more than five points; road team is 4-2 in last six SU. Buffalo is 2-3 in last five visits here, with losses by 2-4-4 points. Jets lost last two games, both on road, including emotional 31-27 loss in Miami late Monday night- they allowed 153-151 rushing yards in last two games, with only one takeaway. Bills scored just 20 points in last three games (three TDs/15 3-outs/35 drives) as rumors are popping up that Jauron's job is in jeopardy. Jets won both their home games by seven points (16-9/24-17).

Titans (0-5) @ Patriots (3-2)-- Winless Tennessee allowed 31+ points in three of last four games, losing last two by 20-22 points; they've lost field position by average of 15 yards/game. 14 of 61 opponent drives have started in Titans' territory. Patriots are 3-0 at home, winning by 1-16-6 pts; they're 2-1 as home favorite. Pats were outscored 13-0 in the second half in both losses, both road games they led at half. Titan opponents are completing 71.5% of passes this season, are 14-27 on 3rd down last two games. AFC East home faves are 4-1 vs spread in non-divisional games; AFC South road underdogs are just 2-3.

Bears (3-1) @ Falcons (3-1)-- Too early to tell about either team; Chicago won last three games before its bye, but two of their wins were vs Seattle's #2 QB and the Lions; so far this year, Bears outscored opponents 68-24 in 2nd half of games-- in last couple games, they started nine of 22 drives in enemy territory. Atlanta won its two home games 19-7/28-20, covering both as home favorite, but in last two games before its bye, Falcons allowed 440-445 yards, so their defense has issues-- it looked better in last week's 45-10 win at Candlestick. NFC North teams are 7-3 vs spread out of division; AFC South faves are 5-1.

Monday, October 19
Broncos (5-0) @ Chargers (2-2)-- Huge game for San Diego, which falls three games behind surprising Denver in AFC West if they lose here. Broncos lost last three visits here, 48-20/23-3/52-21, but are on serious roll in '09, winning all five games, three in game's last minute- they were underdog in three of five wins. Banged-up Chargers have yet to be ahead at the half; they gave up 31-38 points in their losses, 20-13 in wins- they're rumored to be shopping Shawne Merriman before next week's trade deadline. Bolts are 1-2 as favorite in '09. All five Denver games stayed under total. Both San Diego wins stayed under total; their two losses both went over.

**pm530** · 10-15-2009, 08:36 AM

NFL
Dunkel Index

Philadelphia at Oakland
The Eagles look to build on their 13-5 ATS record in their last 18 road games. Philadelphia is the pick (-14) according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored by 19. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-14). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 209-210: Kansas City at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 124.309; Washington 128.684
Dunkel Line: Washington by 4 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+6 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 129.867; Cincinnati 132.694
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 42
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+5 1/2); Under

Game 213-214: Cleveland at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.969; Pittsburgh 138.320
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 15 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 14; 38
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-14); Over

Game 215-216: Baltimore at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.761; Minnesota 139.781
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 5; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 217-218: St. Louis at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.535; Jacksonville 132.741
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 15; 40
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-9 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: NY Giants at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 141.721; New Orleans 146.556
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5; 42
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Under

Game 221-222: Carolina at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 130.448; Tampa Bay 125.390
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Over

Game 223-224: Detroit at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 122.841; Green Bay 132.623
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10; 51
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 13 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+13 1/2); Over

Game 225-226: Philadelphia at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 138.357; Oakland 119.157
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 19; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 14; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-14); Over

Game 227-228: Arizona at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 134.143; Seattle 128.932
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5; 43
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Under

Game 229-230: Buffalo at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 123.153; NY Jets 139.544
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 16 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 9 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-9 1/2); Over

Game 231-232: Tennessee at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 126.805; New England 141.963
Dunkel Line: New England by 15; 37
Vegas Line: New England by 9; 43
Dunkel Pick: New England (-9); Under

Game 233-234: Chicago at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 134.018; Atlanta 139.717
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 235-236: Denver at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 132.411; San Diego 137.453
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 5; 48
Vegas Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3 1/2); Over

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**Udog** · 10-17-2009, 08:11 PM

NFL

Sunday, October 18

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What bettors need to know: Bears at Falcons
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Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5, 45.5)

Line movement

The Falcons opened as 3.5-point favorites, and that’s where the line has stayed at most books.

If you’re looking to back the home side, you should still be able to find flat -3 at several outlets.

The total has held steady at 45.5, but will likely rise to 46 or even 46.5 leading up to kickoff as the money continues to pour in on the over.

Battle of 3-1 teams

Both the Bears and Falcons check in sporting 3-1 records and both have already enjoyed their bye weeks.

Atlanta has defeated the Dolphins, Panthers and 49ers. Its lone loss came at the hands of the Patriots in New England.

Chicago’s three wins have come against the Steelers, Seahawks and Lions.

Not only are both teams 3-1 SU, but they’ve also cashed in at a 3-1 ATS clip as well.

Added muscle

The Bears defensive line is playing great this season, something many people are crediting to the arrival of Rod Marinelli. The former Lions head coach is back in his element teaching d-linemen how to be their best.

Marinelli gained another asset to his group when the Bears traded for defensive end Gaines Adams. The former Top 5 pick never really found a comfort zone with Tampa Bay, but Marinelli Adams will be a great addition to Chicago’s defense.

“Athletically, talent-wise and movement-wise, he’s special,” Marinelli told the Bears team website. “He’s got the skills and the tools to be outstanding. But that’s not the issue. The issue is getting him to play outstanding, and that just starts with day-to-day work at practice.”

Adams is expected to be in Atlanta and available for the Bears. Chicago is already one of the best teams at getting to the quarterback with 14 sacks in four games.

Run Forte, run

It’s no secret that the best way to beat the Falcons is to run the ball down their throats.

Atlanta has been ineffective defending the run, allowing 127 rush yards per game on 4.9 yards per rush. In its lone loss, the club was torched by the Patriots for 168 yards on 39 attempts.

The Bears have done a nice job moving the football on the ground, but have leaned more heavily on their passing attack.

Chicago averages just 91.2 rush yard per game with a 3.8 average per carry.

Bears RB Matt Forte is coming off a huge performance against the Lions. He ran for 121 yards and a touchdown on just 12 carries. Chicago backers should hope their team dials up more plays for the second-year back.

In Ryan we trust

Matt Ryan continues to evolve into one of the most reliable quarterbacks in the NFL.

He is just shy of the 1,000-yard mark already and has thrown seven touchdowns compared to only two interceptions, good for a 102.9 QB rating.

Ryan abused the 49ers secondary last week, but should find the going a little tougher against a Bears defense that allows just 5.9 yards per pass play.

In last year’s matchup with the Bears, Ryan threw for 301 yards and a touchdown, leading his Falcons to a 22-20 victory.

The Falcons signal caller doesn’t feel that result holds any weight this week.

“It was a big win, but that’s done. That was last year,” Ryan said. “They’re a different football team this year. We’re just doing what we can to get ready to play.”

Trends and things

The Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 October games. They haven’t fared well as a road underdog, going 0-4-1 ATS in their last five opportunities.

The under is 8-3 in the Bears’ last 11 road games and 24-9-1 in their last 34 games as a road underdog of a field goal or less.

The Falcons have been an excellent bet at the Georgia Dome, already 2-0 SU and ATS this season, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as hosts.

The over is 10-4 in the Falcons last 14 home games, but the under is 34-16-2 in their last 52 games following a SU victory.

Last year’s matchup here in Atlanta played just a single point under the posted total of 43, with the Falcons covering as 3-point underdogs.

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**pm530** · 10-18-2009, 02:57 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 18

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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 6 betting notes
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Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5)

Why Texans cover: In two career games against the Bengals, Matt Schaub has completed 85 percent of his passes with three touchdowns. All five of Cincy's games have come down to the wire.

Why Bengals cover: They’ve won three of last four meetings. They’re 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. RB Cedric Benson has been dominant this season and faces a poor Texans' rush defense.

Total (45): Under is 4-1 in Texans' last five road games and 9-3-1 in Bengals' last 13 home games.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-13.5)

Why Lions cover: Daunte Culpepper (282 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) played well against a tough Steelers team and will start again if Matthew Stafford can't go. Green Bay has allowed the most sacks in the NFL. Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between these two clubs.

Why Packers cover: They’ve won 15 of last 17 meetings. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Green Bay. Detroit is likely to be without stud receiver Calvin Johnson.

Total (48): Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

St. Louis Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars (-10)

Why Rams cover: They’ve won both previous meetings. They get Marc Bulger back from his shoulder injury. Jaguars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Why Jaguars cover: Tory Holt will be energized to play against his former team. Maurice Jones-Drew gets to face the league's 23rd ranked rush defense. Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

Total (41.5): Under is 4-1 in Rams' last five road games and 7-3-1 in their last 11 games overall.

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-3)

Why Ravens cover: They’ve won two of three meetings. Joe Flacco has won six of his last eight road starts, throwing for 1,712 yards with 13 scores along the way. Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Minnesota's rookie standout wideout Percy Harvin is questionable with a shoulder injury.

Why Vikings cover: Baltimore is prone to taking too many penalties, particularly at key moments. Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings.

Total (43.5): Over is 8-2-1 in Ravens' last 11 road games and 4-1 in Vikings' last five games overall.

New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-3)

Why Giants cover: Have won four of past six meetings. Have the defense to pressure Drew Brees and slow New Orleans' potent offense. Saints could be without Pierre Thomas who was limited in practice this week due to an injured ankle.

Why Saints cover: Eli Manning is still hobbled by a foot injury. New York could be without leading rusher Ahmad Bradshaw who has been dealing with a nagging ankle injury. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Total (47.5): Under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-14)

Why Browns cover: Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games. AFC's fifth-ranked pass defense could hamper the Steelers' aerial attack.

Why Steelers cover: They’ve won 11 consecutive meetings and will get Willie Parker and Troy Polamalu back from injuries. Favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh and 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall. Cleveland has scored six or fewer points in three of its last four games.

Total (38): Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings and 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh.

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3)

Why Panthers cover: They’re 11-5 ATS in their last 16 meetings. Jake Delhomme has defeated the Bucs in eight of his 10 career starts against them. Josh Johnson (57.1 rating) has not been the answer for Tampa Bay's quarterback woes. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Why Buccaneers cover: Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games. Running backs Cadillac Williams and Derrick Ward could expose Carolina's 30th ranked rush defense.

Total (40): Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Tampa Bay.

Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (-6.5)

Why Chiefs cover: Have won six of seven all-time meetings. Washington has been dealing with a patchwork offensive line that has limited their ability to move the ball. Redskins are 2-8-3 ATS in their last 13 games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games.

Why Redskins cover: Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. Larry Johnson (2.4 yards per carry, zero TDs) has been terrible, forcing the Chiefs to rely too heavily on the passing game.

Total (37.5): Under is 16-5-2 in Redskins' last 23 home games.

Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders (+14)

Why Eagles cover: Are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games and 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. JaMarcus Russell has struggled with decision making, accuracy and can't hold onto the ball. The Eagles defense should eat him alive. Oakland's offense has failed to reach 200 yards in four consecutive games.

Why Raiders cover: They resigned Langston Walker to help patch up offensive line. All-Pro cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha could shut down DeSean Jackson and force Donovan McNabb to dump off to his tight ends and running backs.

Total (40.5): Over is 5-0 in Eagles' last five games.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

Why Cardinals cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Have the NFL's best rush defense. Seattle's banged up offensive line could have a hard time keeping rickety Matt Hasselbeck off his back. Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin have averaged close to 100 yards receiving each in their last five games against the Seahawks.

Why Seahawks cover: Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. T.J. Houshmandzadeh is starting to emerge as the offensive threat he was signed to be. Seattle has picked off Kurt Warner 11 times in its last five games against him.

Total (47.5): Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-9.5)

Why Titans cover: Patriots are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. New England could be without left tackle Matt Light. Pats running back Fred Taylor is out and his replacements are averaging just over three yards per carry.

Why Patriots cover: They’ve won four of last five meeting. Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. Kerry Collins is on the verge of losing his starting job. Tom Brady will face a decimated Titans' secondary that will now be without defensive back Nick Harper.

Total (43.5): Over is 5-1 in Patriots' last six home games.

Buffalo at New York Jets (-10)

Why Bills cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in New York. After an impressive start, the Jets’ defense has struggled, allowing 758 total yards the past two games. Underdog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

Why Jets cover: Buffalo is averaging only 6.6 points per game since Week 2. Braylon Edwards (64 yards, TD) was dynamic in his Jets' debut and continued to impress in practice this week.

Total (38): Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)

Why Bears cover: Have won eight of the last 10 meetings. Are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Jay Cutler (7 TDs, 1 INT) has been incredible in leading Chicago to three straight victories. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Why Falcons cover: They’re 10-1 in their last 11 games at the Georgia Dome. Chicago has struggled to run the ball this season and have the league's 27th ranked rushing game. Matt Ryan lit up the Bears for 310 yards and a TD in his only game against them.

Total (46): Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings and 4-0 in the last four meetings in Atlanta.

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers (-4)

Why Broncos cover: They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games. WR Brandon Marshall has four scores and 222 yards receiving in his last three games after beginning the season in his coach's doghouse. Former SD sack machine Shawne Merriman has been non-existent this season and is feuding with the team's GM. Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.

Why Chargers cover: Have won five of last six meetings. Philip Rivers is 4-0 all-time in Monday nighters with a 106.9 passer rating to boot. Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Broncos are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six meetings and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in San Diego.

Total (44): Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

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**pm530** · 10-18-2009, 03:07 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 18

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NFL Week 6 weather report
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Kansas City Chiefs at Washington Redskins (-6, 36.5)

Because Washington’s games aren’t painful enough to stomach, we have been blessed with a 50 percent chance of showers and a 17 mph wind in The District on Sunday. Both teams have had their struggles passing the football and poor weather means lots of rushing, punting and minimal scoring.

Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-9.5, 36.5)

The Jets defense should have no problem teeing off against a Bills offense that must battle not only one of the most aggressive units in the NFL, but an 80 percent chance of showers with a troubling, 20 mph wind. New York rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez never faced weather conditions like these at Southern Cal.

Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots (-9, 40.5)

It’s just another dreary day in Massachusetts for the Patriots. The forecast calls for an 80 percent chance of rain with a strong, 21 mph wind. This is great news for the Titans, who will be without both starting cornerbacks and will look to pound the ball with LenDale White and Chris Johnson.

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**Udog** · 10-18-2009, 09:08 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 18

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Tips and Trends
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Buffalo Bills at New York Jets [4:15 PM ET]

Bills: The 1-4 Bills are at their lowest point off a 6-3 home loss to Cleveland last week. This marked Buffalo’s 12th loss in its last 15 games. The Bills have covered four of their past five road games. Despite having Terrell Owens and Lee Evans at wide receiver, Buffalo has scored only 20 points in its last three games. The Bills rank 25th in passing yards. Buffalo’s offensive line has not played well. Rookie offensive tackle Jamon Meredith is scheduled to make his first start. Trent Edwards is completing 58 percent of his pass, most being short throws. The Bills’ banged-up defense should be helped by the return of safety Donte Whitner and linebacker Paul Posluszny. The underdog has covered 19 of the last 27 times in this series. The Bills have covered in four of their last five road meetings versus the Jets.

The Over has cashed the past 4 times the Bills have been a road underdog.
Buffalo is 2-9 ATS when facing a team with a winning record.

Offensive tackle Jonathan Scott (ankle) is doubtful.
Linebacker Kawika Mitchell (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 13

Jets (-9.5, O/U 36.5): The Jets aren’t in a great situational spot playing on a short week after losing at Miami on Monday night in the final six seconds, 31-27. Quarterback Mark Sanchez is in the running for Rookie of the Year honors, but the Jets rank 24th in total offense and 28th in passing. Sanchez probably will be missing his favorite target, injured wide receiver Jerricho Cotchery, who leads the team with 24 receptions for 360 yards. Braylon Edwards, though, will be playing in his second game for New York after being acquired from Cleveland. The Jets rank eighth in scoring defense, total defense and pass defense. The Jets play a 3-4 defense. Buffalo has lost 11 in a row to teams using that defensive formation. New York is 5-15-1 against the spread in its last 21 October games. The Jets are 1-6 their past seven as a favorite.

The Jets are 7-3-1 over in their last 11 AFC games.
The Over is 6-2-1 the past nine times these teams have met.

Key Injuries - Wide receiver Jerricho Cotchery (hamstring) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (Side of the Day)

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

Bears: The Bears are trying to win four in a row for the first time since 2006. This is a huge revenge game for them. Chicago rallied from a nine-point fourth quarter deficit to take the lead against Atlanta with 11 second left last year, but ended up losing when Jason Elam kicked a 48-yard field goal as time expired. The Bears were idle last week so they should be fresh. Jay Cutler has played much better since throwing a career-worst four interceptions opening week against Green Bay. Cutler has thrown seven touchdown passes with one interception since then. Chicago, though, ranks just 27th in rushing averaging 91.5 yards on the ground. The Bears have covered 11 of their last 15 games in October. They have failed to cover five of their last seven away matchups. The Bears are 30-13-1 to the over in their last 44 games versus NFC teams.

Chicago is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games during Week 6.
The Under has cashed 8 of the last 11 times the Bears have been on the road.

Linebacker Brian Urlacher (wrist) is out.
Linebacker Hunter Hillenmeyer (ribs) is doubtful.
Linebacker Pisa Tinoisamoa (knee) is probable.
Wide receiver Devin Hester (shoulder) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Falcons (-3, O/U 45.5): The Falcons are 10-1 in the Georgia Dome in their last 11 home games. They’ve gone 8-3 against the spread in those games. Atlanta has won five in a row at home. The Bears have yet to play on a carpet field this season. The Falcons thumped San Francisco, 45-10, on the road last week with Matt Ryan throwing a career-high 329 yards and two touchdowns to Roddy White, who had a team-record 210 receiving yards. Atlanta amassed 477 total yards on offense, its highest mark since 2002. The Falcons, however, are 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games following a straight-up victory of more than 14 points. The Falcons need to tighten up their run defense, where they rank 24th. Atlanta ranks fourth in scoring defense, yielding 15.8 points per game. The over has cashed in 10 of the Falcons’ last 14 games at the Georgia Dome.

The Under is 34-16-2 in the Falcons’ last 52 games following a straight-up victory.
The two teams have gone Under in their past five meetings.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

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**pm530** · 10-19-2009, 05:41 AM

NFL

Monday, October 19

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Tips and Trends
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Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

Broncos: Denver is 5-0 for the first time since 1998. The Broncos haven’t won six in a row in nine years. Great defense and quarterback Kyle Orton have sparked the Broncos. Denver has given up just 43 points, fewest in the NFL. The Broncos also rank No. 2 in total defense allowing 268.8 yards per game. Only seven points have been scored against Denver in the second half, none since Week 1. Orton completed 35 of 48 passes for 330 yards and two touchdowns against New England last week in winning AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Orton has passed for 1,236 yards with seven touchdowns and only one interception. However, the Chargers have outscored Denver, 75-24, the last two times the Broncos have visited San Diego. The straight-up winner in this series is 21-1-1 against the spread during the past 23 meetings.

Denver is 6-2 ATS the past eight times it has been an underdog.
The Over has cashed in 10 of Denver’s last 14 AFC West Division games.

Key Injuries - Running back Correll Buckhalter (ankle) is probable

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Chargers (-3.5, O/U 44): San Diego’s season already may be on the line because a loss would put the Chargers 3 ½ games behind Denver. The Chargers have defeated the Broncos in five of the last six meetings. San Diego ranks last in the league in rushing, averaging only 53.8 yards per game. LaDainian Tomlinson ran for just 15 yards on seven carries in his return from a two-game absence because of a sprained ankle during a 38-28 road loss to Pittsburgh two weeks ago. The Chargers were idle last week. Quarterback Philip Rivers has been carrying San Diego passing for 1,245 yards and six touchdowns. Rivers has a career touchdown-to-interception ratio of 12-to-3 versus Denver. The under has cashed nine of the last 12 times the Chargers have been a home favorite against a division foe. San Diego has covered 11 of the past 16 times it has been home chalk.

The Under is 9-2 in San Diego’s last 11 Week 6 games.
The Under is 4-0 in San Diego’s last four games following a bye.

Key Injuries - Linebacker Stephen Cooper (knee) is questionable

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Note: The “Tips and Trends” Side of the Day is in MLB

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (10/18 - 10/19)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (10/18 - 10/19)

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