Announcement

**Udog** · 10-12-2009, 11:13 PM

NCAAF

Week 7

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Trend Report
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Tuesday, October 13

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Arkansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas State

Wednesday, October 14

8:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. TULSA
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Tulsa is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Tulsa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Thursday, October 15

7:30 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
South Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
South Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

Friday, October 16

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. RUTGERS
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Rutgers
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Rutgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Saturday, October 17

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS
Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. WISCONSIN
Iowa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wisconsin is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa
Wisconsin is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Iowa

12:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. BALL STATE
Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Ball State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. CLEMSON
Wake Forest is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wake Forest is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
Clemson is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Wake Forest

12:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. CONNECTICUT
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Louisville is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Connecticut is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Connecticut is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

12:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. PURDUE
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Purdue is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northwestern's last 8 games on the road
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern

12:00 PM
DELAWARE ST vs. MICHIGAN
Delaware St is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Michigan is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:21 PM
GEORGIA vs. VANDERBILT
Georgia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Georgia
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia

12:30 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
ARMY vs. TEMPLE
Army is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Army is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

2:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. OHIO
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
Miami (Ohio) is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Ohio
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami (Ohio)

2:00 PM
WYOMING vs. AIR FORCE
Wyoming is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Wyoming is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wyoming
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Wyoming

3:00 PM
NEVADA vs. UTAH STATE
Nevada is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Nevada is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Utah State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Utah State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
North Carolina State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Carolina State is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston College is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
RICE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Rice is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Rice's last 21 games on the road
East Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PENN STATE
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Penn State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Penn State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota

3:30 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. ALABAMA
South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
AKRON vs. BUFFALO
Akron is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Akron is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Akron

3:30 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. UCLA
California is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 5 games when playing UCLA
UCLA is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UCLA's last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. TULANE
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Tulane is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Tulane is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. NOTRE DAME
Southern Cal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

3:30 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. NEBRASKA
Texas Tech is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 6 games on the road
Nebraska is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
MARSHALL vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Marshall is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games
West Virginia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Central Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. LOUISIANA TECH
New Mexico State is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
New Mexico State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kent State is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

4:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. TCU
Colorado State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Colorado State is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
TCU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State

4:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND
Virginia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
Virginia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Maryland
Maryland is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
HAWAII vs. IDAHO
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Hawaii is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
Idaho is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii

6:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. GEORGIA TECH
Virginia Tech is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

6:00 PM
BYU vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
BYU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego State
BYU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
San Diego State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against BYU

7:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas A&M is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas A&M's last 13 games
Kansas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas A&M
Kansas State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

7:00 PM
UAB vs. MISSISSIPPI
UAB is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
UAB is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Memphis is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. TOLEDO
Northern Illinois is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Toledo
Northern Illinois is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toledo
Toledo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Toledo is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games

7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. IOWA STATE
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baylor is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Iowa State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baylor
Iowa State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
KANSAS vs. COLORADO
Kansas is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas

7:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. INDIANA
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Indiana is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
TROY vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Troy is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Florida International is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Florida International is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS vs. FLORIDA
Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Arkansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
KENTUCKY vs. AUBURN
Kentucky is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Kentucky is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Auburn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
STANFORD vs. ARIZONA
Stanford is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Stanford is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Stanford

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

8:00 PM
NAVY vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Navy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Navy is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Navy
Southern Methodist is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Navy

8:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. NORTH TEXAS
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
North Texas is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic

9:15 PM
MISSOURI vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State
Missouri is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. UNLV
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
UNLV is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah

10:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
San Jose State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose State

10:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA STATE
Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-12-2009, 11:16 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

We'll add the remaining matchups as they come out.

Week 7

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Tuesday, October 13

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ARKANSAS ST (1 - 3) at LA MONROE (3 - 2) - 10/13/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, October 14

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BOISE ST (5 - 0) at TULSA (4 - 1) - 10/14/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 10-12-2009, 11:31 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 7

Tuesday, 10/13/2009

Added Game

ARKANSAS ST at LA MONROE, 8:00 PM ET ESPN2
ARKANSAS ST: 0-6 ATS on turf
LA MONROE: 6-3 ATS vs. LA Monroe

Wednesday, 10/14/2009

BOISE ST at TULSA, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
BOISE ST: 6-0 ATS as road favorite
TULSA: 2-4 ATS as an underdog

Thursday, 10/15/2009

CINCINNATI at S FLORIDA, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
CINCINNATI: 6-0 ATS vs. .750 or better teams
S FLORIDA: 1-5 ATS vs. Cincinnati

Friday, 10/16/2009

PITTSBURGH at RUTGERS, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
PITTSBURGH: 1-5 ATS off BB Unders
RUTGERS: 6-0 Under if they forced 3+ TO's last game

Saturday, 10/17/2009

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS, 12:00 PM ET (Played in Dallas) ABC
OKLAHOMA: 11-3 ATS off SU win
TEXAS: 6-18 ATS Away off 5+ SU wins

(TC) NC STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE, 3:30 PM ET ABC
NC STATE: 14-7 ATS as an underdog
BOSTON COLLEGE: 1-4 ATS off DD conference loss

OHIO ST at PURDUE, 12:00 PM ET Big 10
OHIO ST: 9-1 ATS as road favorite
PURDUE: 12-4 Under in home games

BOWLING GREEN at BALL ST, 12:00 PM ET
BOWLING GREEN: 13-4 ATS in road games
BALL ST: 8-2 Over off SU loss/ATS win

NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN ST, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
NORTHWESTERN: 1-9 ATS off non-conference game
MICHIGAN ST: 6-0 ATS after allowing 275 or less total yards BB games

IOWA at WISCONSIN, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
IOWA: 6-0 ATS Away 1st half of season
WISCONSIN: 4-10 ATS off ATS loss

(TC) VIRGINIA at MARYLAND, 4:00 PM ET ESPN
VIRGINIA: 8-19 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
MARYLAND: 7-0 ATS off road loss

WAKE FOREST at CLEMSON, 12:00 PM ET
WAKE FOREST: 10-3 ATS off ATS loss
CLEMSON: 1-5 ATS off SU loss as favorite

(TC) BAYLOR at IOWA ST, 7:00 PM ET
BAYLOR: 5-1 ATS off BB Unders
IOWA ST: 5-1 Under as home fave of 7 pts or less

(TC) UAB at OLE MISS, 7:00 PM ET
UAB: 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
OLE MISS: 8-2 Under off conference loss

(TC) GEORGIA at VANDERBILT, 12:20 PM ET
GEORGIA: 12-1 ATS off BB SU losses
VANDERBILT: 9-23 ATS at home in October

(TC) KENTUCKY at AUBURN, 7:30 PM ET ESPNU
KENTUCKY: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
AUBURN: 0-6 ATS if they forced 1 or less turnovers last game

ARMY at TEMPLE, 1:00 PM ET
ARMY: 14-28 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
TEMPLE: 6-0 ATS off home game

(TC) C MICHIGAN at W MICHIGAN, 3:30 PM ET
C MICHIGAN: 12-29 ATS Away off home game
W MICHIGAN: 5-0 ATS off DD underdog win

WYOMING at AIR FORCE, 2:00 PM ET MTN
WYOMING: 3-14 ATS vs. conference
AIR FORCE: 22-9 ATS after loss by 6 or less points

MIAMI OHIO at OHIO U, 2:00 PM ET
MIAMI OHIO: 8-2 Under in October
OHIO U: 10-3 ATS off road game

NEVADA at UTAH ST, 3:00 PM ET
NEVADA: 0-6 ATS Away off Under
UTAH ST: 5-1 Under off road conference loss

MINNESOTA at PENN ST, 3:30 PM ET ABC
MINNESOTA: 5-1 Over off BB Overs
PENN ST: 0-4 ATS in home games

MARSHALL at W VIRGINIA, 3:30 PM ET
MARSHALL: 22-42 ATS in road games
W VIRGINIA: 1-5 ATS off cover as DD favorite

(TC) S CAROLINA at ALABAMA, 7:45 PM ET ESPN
S CAROLINA: 0-3 ATS off BB home wins
ALABAMA: 12-23 ATS off BB SU wins

USC at NOTRE DAME, 3:30 PM ET NBC
USC: 21-5 Under in Saturday games
NOTRE DAME: 0-4 ATS off non-conference game

CALIFORNIA at UCLA, 3:30 PM ET
CALIFORNIA: 2-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
UCLA: 21-7 ATS as home underdog

HOUSTON at TULANE, 3:30 PM ET CBSC
HOUSTON: 5-1 Under off road win
TULANE: 17-34 ATS as home underdog

TEXAS TECH at NEBRASKA, 3:30 PM ET ABC
TEXAS TECH: 78-49 ATS on turf
NEBRASKA: 0-6 ATS at home in Wks 5 through 9

(TC) TEXAS A&M at KANSAS ST, 7:00 PM ET
TEXAS A&M: 5-12 ATS off home game
KANSAS ST: 4-0 Over as home underdog

(TC) VIRGINIA TECH at GEORGIA TECH, 6:00 PM ET ESPN2
VIRGINIA TECH: 17-3 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
GEORGIA TECH: 1-11 ATS off BB Overs

(TC) MISSOURI at OKLAHOMA ST, 9:15 PM ET ESPN2
MISSOURI: 13-3 ATS off home loss by 14+ points
OKLAHOMA ST: 27-12 Over in home games

RICE at E CAROLINA, 3:30 PM ET
RICE: 34-13 Over vs. conference
E CAROLINA: 6-13 ATS as favorite

AKRON at BUFFALO, 3:30 PM ET
AKRON: 11-4 Over off SU loss
BUFFALO: 9-0 Over if they committed no turnovers last game

COLORADO ST at TCU, 4:00 PM ET VER
COLORADO ST: 5-1 Over off home loss
TCU: 12-3 ATS off BB Unders

NEW MEXICO ST at LOUISIANA TECH, 4:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO ST: 0-6 ATS off conference win by 3pts or less
LOUISIANA TECH: 11-2 Under 1st half of season

KENT ST at E MICHIGAN, 4:00 PM ET
KENT ST: 5-16 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
E MICHIGAN: 7-0 ATS at home off 5+ SU losses

HAWAII at IDAHO, 5:00 PM ET
HAWAII: 8-0 Over off home conference loss
IDAHO: 6-0 ATS this season

BYU at SAN DIEGO ST, 6:00 PM ET MTN
BYU: 15-5 ATS off cover as DD favorite
SAN DIEGO ST: 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of 14.5+ points

(TC) STANFORD at ARIZONA, 7:30 PM ET VER
STANFORD: 0-6 ATS Away on grass
ARIZONA: 42-22 Under off BB conference games

ILLINOIS at INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET Big 10
ILLINOIS: 6-1 Under off BB home losses
INDIANA: 18-36 ATS as home underdog

MEMPHIS at SOUTHERN MISS, 7:00 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 18-33 ATS off home win
SOUTHERN MISS: 50-29 ATS off non-conference game

N ILLINOIS at TOLEDO, 7:00 PM ET
N ILLINOIS: 6-0 Under after scoring 37+ points
TOLEDO: 1-4 ATS off home loss

(TC) LOUISVILLE at CONNECTICUT, 12:00 PM ET
LOUISVILLE: 2-6 ATS off ATS win
CONNECTICUT: 9-1 ATS at home off road conference loss

KANSAS at COLORADO, 7:00 PM ET FSN
KANSAS: 15-5 ATS as favorite
COLORADO: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

MIAMI at UCF, 7:30 PM ET CBSC
MIAMI: 19-35 ATS off win by 28+ points
UCF: 9-2 ATS on grass field

(TC) ARKANSAS at FLORIDA, 3:30 PM ET CBS
ARKANSAS: 0-7 ATS vs. Florida
FLORIDA: 9-0 ATS vs. teams with winning record

NAVY at SMU, 8:00 PM ET
NAVY: 16-6 ATS vs. Conference USA
SMU: 2-6 ATS in non-conference games

(TC) WASHINGTON at ARIZONA ST, 10:15 PM ET FSN
WASHINGTON: 1-9 ATS off home game
ARIZONA ST: 34-19 ATS at home off SU win

UTAH at UNLV, 10:00 PM ET MTN
UTAH: 10-2 ATS off conference win
UNLV: 12-25 ATS on turf

SAN JOSE ST at FRESNO ST, 10:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE ST: 41-91 Under in all games
FRESNO ST: 0-6 ATS in home games

Added Games

(TC) LA LAFAYETTE at W KENTUCKY, 7:00 PM ET
LA LAFAYETTE: 9-2 Over as a favorite
W KENTUCKY: 1-5 ATS in home games

TROY at FLA INTERNATIONAL, 7:00 PM ET
TROY: 14-5 Under as favorite
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 6-0 ATS after scoring 31+ points BB games

(TC) FLA ATLANTIC at NORTH TEXAS, 8:00 PM ET
FLA ATLANTIC: 0-3 ATS off SU loss as favorite
NORTH TEXAS: 3-7 ATS off ATS win

(TC) MISSISSIPPI ST at MIDDLE TENN ST, 12:30 PM ET ESPNU
MISSISSIPPI ST: 1-8 ATS after playing a game at home
MIDDLE TENN ST: 12-3 Under off road loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-12-2009, 11:38 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Arkansas State at UL Monroe
The Warhawks look to take advantage of an Arkansas State team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. UL Monroe is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Warhawks favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (-1 1/2).

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 101-102: Arkansas State at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 77.136; UL Monroe 80.549
Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 3 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 1 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (-1 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 10-13-2009, 09:44 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 103-104: Boise State at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 102.413; Tulsa 98.444
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Boise State by 9 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+9 1/2); Under

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 105-106: Cincinnati at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 97.788; South Florida 103.472
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 5 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+3); Over

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16

Game 107-108: Pittsburgh at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 96.302; Rutgers 88.302
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3); Under

**Udog** · 10-13-2009, 09:46 PM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Week 7

Wednesday's game
Boise State won their last four games vs Tulsa, but last two were close, 46-42/27-20; Broncos ran for 264-353 yards in last two visits to Tulsa. Boise won first two road games this year, 51-34 at Fresno (-7.5), 49-14 at Bowling Green (-17)- they've held four of five opponents scoreless in first half. Tulsa is 3-1 vs I-A foes, with all four games on road- they beat a I-AA team at home. Hurricane is 6-2 as home dog since '03. Broncos covered six of their last seven tries as a road favorite. WAC favorites are 5-1 as non-conference faves, 2-1 on road. C-USA underdogs are 7-13.

Thursday's game
Underdog covered last four Cincinnati-South Florida games, as Bearcats won last three games SU, the last two when USF was ranked. Daniels is making first home start for 5-0 Bulls, who are 7-5 as home favorite since 2006- they're ust 7-27 on 3rd down in Daniels' two starts, but defense has 11 takeaways (+6) in those two wins. 5-0 Cincinnati has road wins at Rutgers (47-15), Oregon State (28-18), Miami OH (37-13); they're +8 in turnovers this year, and 6-2-1 in last nine games as a road underdog.

Friday's game
Underdogs covered six of last seven Pitt-Rutgers games, winning three of last four SU; Rutgers won last four games vs Pitt, including 54-34 win in LY's game where Teel was 15-24/371 passing. Pitt won last two games after trailing both at half- this is their third road game in last four weeks. Panthers are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorite. Rutgers has played a lame schedule, losing 47-15 to only good team they played (Cincinnati). Scarlet Knights covered 12 of their last 17 tries as a home underdog.

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 11:38 AM

NCAAF

Wednesday, October 14

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Tips and Trends
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Boise State at Tulsa [ESPN | 8:00 PM ET]

Boise State (-8.5, O/U 53): Fifth-ranked Boise State has covered seven of its last eight road games. But following impressive wins in their first four games, the Broncos were flat in their last contest, a 34-16 victory against UC Davis. The Broncos were held to a season-low 101 yards on the ground and were whistled for nine penalties. Quarterback Kellen Moore continued his strong season, throwing for 285 yards and three touchdowns. Moore has the second-highest passer rating in the nation and a 13-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Boise State’s offensive line has allowed only three sacks all season. The Broncos were idle last week. They’re expecting back defensive leader and top punt returner, senior cornerback Kyle Wilson. The Broncos gave up an average of 163.3 yards through the air in their first four games when Wilson played, but surrendered 206 passing yards to UC Davis with Wilson out because of strained shoulder.

The Broncos are 37-18-1 ATS in their last 56 non-conference matchups.

Key Injuries - Running back D.J Harper (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side of the Day)

Tulsa: The Golden Hurricane have won 13 of their last 14 games at home, but need to prove they can play well against a strong opponent after losing 45-0 on the road to Oklahoma on Sept. 19. Tulsa’s four victories have come against inferior teams Tulane, New Mexico, Sam Houston State and Rice. The Golden Hurricane is 0-4 versus Boise State, although the last time they met was in 2004. Quarterback G.J. Kinne ranks seventh with a 161.7 passer rating. He’s thrown for 1,142 yards and 10 touchdowns, while being picked off just twice. Kinne has put up these numbers despite an offensive line that has been battered by injuries. Left guard Clint Anderson is healthy, though, after being bothered by a foot injury. The Golden Hurricane has gone under in their last four non-conference matchups. The under has cashed in Tulsa’s last seven games overall.

Tulsa has covered in 9 of its past 10 home contests.

Key Injuries - Offensive left tackle Tyler Holmes (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 22

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**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 06:56 PM

NCAAF

Wednesday, October 14

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What bettors need to know
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Boise State Broncos at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+8.5, 53.5)

Eye on the prize

Tonight’s game should be the last major upset risk for a Boise State team set up for an undefeated season and a potential BCS bowl game. BSU’s opponents after the Golden Hurricane have a combined record of 16-21.

The Broncos didn’t play well in their last game, a 34-16 victory against UC Davis. The team had nine penalties and struggled to move the ball consistently against an inferior opponent.

As a road favorite, Boise State is 10-1 against the spreads the last three seasons and 11-2 in road games overall.

For Tulsa this game represents a chance to put them back on the map. The Golden Hurricane returned only five starters from an offense that averaged 47 points per game. They’ve eclipsed that mark once this season in a 56-3 win over Sam Houston State.

TU has been tested once this season when it lost 45-0 in Oklahoma. In that game Tulsa was outclassed, giving up six touchdowns to Oklahoma QB Landry Jones.

Golden Hurricane on defense

Tulsa has led the nation in total offense the past two years but this season it’s all about the defense. The squad has not allowed a rushing touchdown this season and has 19 sacks from nine different players. Outside of the Oklahoma game, the unit has held opponents to 36 combined points in four games.

That’s a stark difference from 27.9 points per game the stop unit allowed last season.

The Golden Hurricane will have their hands full with a Bronco unit that averages 214.3 rushing yards per game behind Jeremy Avery and Doug Martin. Not to be outdone, quarterback Kellen Moore is second in the nation in passing efficiency. The balanced attack has coach Chris Peterson’s group averaging 40.2 points per game.

Bronco busting

All of the publicity is for the BSU offense but the defense is also earning its keep. The defensive group is ranked 14th in total defense and 23rd against the pass.

The one issue the unit may have is that they don’t get pressure on the quarterback. They average 1.2 sacks per game, which is 96th overall.

Tulsa counters with quarterback G.J. Kinne and the 37th ranked passing attack. Kinne has a 161.7 passer rating and has thrown for 1,142 yards with 10 touchdowns to just two interceptions. Kinne throws to Damaris Johnson an average of four times per game with A.J. Whitmore and Slick Shelley also getting some receiving love as well.

Line movement

BetUS.com opened at +10 early this week and but is now dealing 8.5. The total stayed in place around 53.5.

Trends

Boise State is a covering machine going 4-0 against the spread this season in its four lined games. The Broncos have a history of being successful against the number. In the last three years they are 8-2 ATS when playing a team with a winning record and also 8-2 as a road favorite.

The Broncos have gone under the closing total in five of their last six games against Conference USA opponents.

The numbers aren’t as nice for the Golden Hurricane who are 15-15 against the spread over their last three seasons. They’re 2-1 ATS this year, but 0-1 as an underdog.

It’s surprising to see that a year after putting up prolific offensive numbers, the Golden Hurricane have gone under in all four of their lined games.

Weather

The weather for Wednesday night’s game calls for a high of 55 degrees with a 30 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms possible. The wind impact will be light at 7 mph.

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**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 07:05 PM

NCAAF
Write-Up

Week 7

Saturday's games

Top games

Texas won three of last four games vs Oklahoma, holding Sooners to 48 rushing yards in 45-35 win LY. Longhorns are 5-0 with average win by 47-15- they've run kick/punt back for TD in last three games, but they did trail Colorado 14-10 at half last week. Sooners are 7-4 as an underdog this decade. Bradford is back under center, but is his shoulder close to 100% Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in Big 12 games so far this season.

Boston College got crushed in both its road games, but is 3-0 at home vs I-A opponents, winning by 27-3-7 points. Eagles won three of four vs NC State, winning games here by 20 points each; State coach O'Brien was BC's coach for first two of those games. NC State covered 10 of last 13 as an underdog, but they allowed 110 points in their last three games.

Iowa won five of last seven games vs Wisconsin, winning two of its last three visits to Madison. Hawkeyes are 6-0, with three wins by three or less points- they held Badgers to 17 or less points in four of the last five meetings. Badgers outgained Ohio State 368-184 last week, held OSU to eight first downs, but still lost 31-13. Three of last four Wisconsin games went over the total.

Wake Forest lost last four visits to Clemson by 34-7-8-48 points, but Deacons are 4-2 this year, with both losses by FG; they scored 30-42 in last two games. Deacons are 18-8-1 as road dog under Grobe. Clemson lost three of last four games, scoring total of 17 second half points in last three. Tigers are 12-15 as a home favorite since 2004. Dogs are 11-5 vs spread in ACC games this season, 6-5 on road.

Minnesota is 6-2 as road dog under Brewster; they won both road games this year (Syracuse/Northwestern). Penn State is 0-4 as a home favorite this year, winning home games by 24-21-25 points. Underdogs covered last three series games, with Gophers surprising 4-2 SU in last six- weird thing is Minnesota was favored in four of last five series games. Big 11 favorites are just 5-9 this season, 5-5 at home.

Alabama outscored last four opponents 81-6 in first half, covering all of them; Tide is 6-4 in last 10 games as home favorite. South Carolina won last four games; their only loss was 41-37 at Georgia. Carolina is 10-4-1 as road dog under Spurrier, 2-0 this year. Gamecocks outscored their last four opponents 73-23 in second half. SEC home favorites are 3-8 vs the spread in conference games, with four SU upsets.

USC treated Notre Dame like a pinata the last seven years, scoring 34+ points in all seven, covering six of them, with only one of the wins by less than 20 points, but feeling is Trojans are more vulnerable now, with freshman QB. Notre Dame won last four games by combined total of 13 points. Trojan defense allowed 10 ppg in last four games; they're 3-6 in last nine games as road favorite. Irish is 5-6 as home dog since 2002.

Home side won last nine Cal-UCLA games; Bears lost last four visits to Rose Bowl by 9-7-3-39 points. Long bye week for Cal Bears after 42-3/ 30-3 losses to Oregon/USC that ruined Cal's season. Question is how do they bounce back? UCLA lost last two games by 8-14 points; Bruins are 11-3 in last 14 games as home dog, but they gave up three TDs early in third quarter vs Oregon last week, losing 24-10 after leading 3-0 at half.

Texas Tech won last three games vs Nebraska, 70-10/34-31/37-31; Tech is 3-5 in last eight games as road dog- they're 0-2 on road this year with a new QB, losing 34-24 at Texas, 29-28 at Houston. Big 12 home faves are 1-3 vs spread. Huskers won their three home games by combined score of 142-12; they're 6-4 as home favorite under Pelini. Average total in last four series games is 76.3.

Georgia Tech won three games in row since losing at Miami; they scored 91 points in last two games, running ball for 401 yards in 49-44 win last week at Florida State. Jackets ran ball for 278 yards LY vs Virginia Tech but lost 20-17 (+6.5) in Blacksburg. Hokies are 5-0 since losing opener 34-24 to Alabama on neutral field; they scored 31-34-48 points in ACC wins, and even passed ball for 217-206 yards the last two weeks.

Missouri, Oklahoma State are both 4-1; four of their last six series games were outright upsets. Cowboys are 17-8 as home fave since '02. Mizzou blew 12-0 4th quarter lead at home in rain to Nebraska last week- they're 6-4 as road dog since 2004. OSU receiver Bryant had NCAA hearing on Tuesday- they scored 36 points at Texas A&M without him. All four of Missouri's games this year went under; last three OSU games went over.

Stanford won five of last six meetings with Arizona, despite being dog in last four series games. Wildcats scored 37-33 points in Foles' first two college starts, both on road. Cardinal won three of last four games; they are 4-8 as road dogs under Harbaugh. Arizona is 4-2 in last six games as home favorite, after covering just three of their previous 17 in that role. Pac-10 home favorites are 4-3 vs spread this year.

Washington is 4-1 vs spread as underdog this year; they're 2-8 vs spread in last ten games as road underdog. Huskies lost last five games to ASU, with only one of the five losses by less than 11 points. Arizona State is 8-5 as home favorite under Erickson. U-dub's defense is getting tired; in last three games, they've allowed 34-37-33 points. If not for screwup by Arizona coaches last week, Washington would've lost last three games.

Other games

-- Ohio State won five of last six games vs Purdue, taking last two 16-3/ 23-7, but Buckeyes split last four visits here. State is 4-0 vs spread since the USC loss. Purdue lost last five games (1-3 vs spread in last four).
-- Ball State is 0-6 but covered three of last four games. Bowling Green allowed 42.7 ppg in last three games, but won 36-35 last week, thanks to 22 catches for 270+ receiving yards by Barnes. BG is 0-3 as a favorite.
-- Visitor won six of last eight Northwestern-Michigan State games, with Wildcats scoring 48-49 points in winning last two visits here. Spartans are 14-25 as home fave since '01. Wildcats covered last four as road dog.
-- Underdog covered last four Maryland-Virginia games; Cavaliers won last two meetings, 18-17/31-0. Virginia won last two games 16-3/47-7, after dreadful 0-3 start that included a loss to a I-AA team.
-- Iowa State scored 59 points in last two games but lost both by total of six points; Cyclones are 16-9 as home favorite this decade. Baylor has a freshman 3rd-string QB playing; they're 5-2 in last seven as road dog.

-- Ole Miss got roughed up by Alabama last week, tries UAB this week; Rebels are 5-2 in last seven tries as home favorite, but scored total of 36 points last three games. UAB covered three of last nine as a road dog.
-- Georgia won its last six visits to Vanderbilt by average score of 29-14, covering four of the six. Dawgs are just 3-3, gaining 274-241 yards last two weeks. Vandy lost to Army last week, is 7-11 as a home dog.
-- Kentucky is 0-3 in SEC, allowing 35.7 ppg, losing by 34-18-2 points. Auburn lost its first game last week, but has allowed average of 178 yds on ground last five games. Wildcats are 4-2 in last six as a road dog.
-- Temple won its last three games, scoring 28.3 ppg with a +9 turnover ratio. MAC favorites are 1-8 vs spread in non-league games, 0-4 at home Army upset Vanderbilt last week, is 5-2 in last seven as road dog.
-- Central Michigan won last five games, scoring 41.3 ppg in last three; they're 1-5-1 as road favorite under Jones. Western Michigan is 1-3 vs spread as dog this season; they're 2-10-1 as home dog since 2001.

-- Wyoming won last three games, scoring 32.3 ppg, converting 24-50 on third down; they're 4-11 as road dog since 2006. Air Force lost by three points each to Navy, TCU last two weeks; they're 4-1 as road favorite.
-- Miami OH is 0-6, with no losses by less than 10 points; they're 4-6 in last 10 games as road dog. Ohio scored a special teams TD in each of last three games; Bobcats are 4-2 as home favorites since 2006.
-- Nevada ran ball for 904 yards in winning its last two games after 0-3 start; they're 2-6 in last eight games as road favorite. Utah State is 3-1 as underdog this season; they're 8-11 in last 19 games as home dogs.
-- Marshall is 7-16 as road dog under Snyder, but they're improved 4-2 team so far this year, winning last two road games (Memphis/Tulane). West Virginia is 18-8-1 as a road favorite since 2002.
-- Houston won, covered last six games vs Tulane, winning last three in Superdome by 24-21-3 points; they're 0-3 as home dog this year, losing by 24-51-21 points. Dogs are 4-0 vs spread in Houston games this year.

-- Texas A&M allowed 47-36 points in losing last two games; this is the first true road game in '09 for Aggies, who are 3-0 as road faves since '06. Kansas State is 0-4 as a home underdog the last 2+ seasons.
-- East Carolina is 8-5 as home favorite since 2006. Rice is 0-6 this year, 1-5 vs spread, with every loss by 17+ points; they gave up 471 rushing yards in hideous 63-14 loss to Navy last week.
-- Buffalo is 1-4 vs D-I teams; they're 2-4 in last six games as favorite at home. Akron is 0-4 vs I-A teams this year, losing by 17-17-27-12 pts; they're 13-12-1 as a road underdog under Brookhart.
-- TCU is 5-0, has big game with BYU on deck after hard-fought win at Air Force last week. Horned Frogs won last five games vs Colorado St. by average score of 26-8. State is 0-4 as a road dog under Fairchild.
-- New Mexico State lost three of four to Louisiana Tech, losing last two visits to Ruston, 22-21/34-14. Aggies are 10-18 as road dog since 2004. Bulldogs are 2-3 as home favorites under Dooley.

-- Eastern Michigan is 0-5, with only one loss by less than 12 pts; they were outscored 114-26 in first half this year, are 3-7 as a home dog since 2006. Kent State is 1-4 vs D-I teams, beating only winless Miami, O.
-- 5-1 Idaho becomes bowl eligible with win here; Vandals won last four games, scoring 32 ppg, but this is first time they're favored in '09. Idaho is 0-5 vs Hawai'i, and hasn't come within 24 points of the Warriors.
-- BYU is 10-7 as road favorite under Mendenhall; they've won seven of last eight vs San Diego State, covering four of their last five visits here. Aztecs are 9-6 vs spread in last 15 games as home dog.
-- Illinois has major QB issues, completing 44-94 passes last three games all losses, by 30-18-10 points. Indiana was down 30-0 to Virginia at half last week. Illini are 3-6 as a road favorite since 2002.
-- Memphis won four of last five games vs Southern Miss, with all four wins by six or less points. Southern Miss lost last three games, allowing 30 ppg, and is dealing with death of walk-on punter who died in hunting accident last week.

-- Average total in Toledo's five games (other than the Ohio State game) this year is 79.6. Northern Illinois covered both its road games, winning 28-21 at Purdue (+12), losing 28-20 at Wisconsin (+16).
-- Louisville lost three of last four games, allowing 29.8 ppg; Cardinals have only two takeaways in last three games, allowed last three foes to gain 400+ yards. UConn is 14-9-1 in last 24 games as home favorite.
-- Colorado led 14-10 at half in Austin last week, lost 38-14, then coach benched his QB, who is also his son. Buffs are 5-7 in last 12 games as a home dog. Kansas is 5-0, but allowed 28-36 points last two games.
-- Central Florida covered its last four games, beating Buffalo, Memphis at home, but this is major step up in competition, vs Miami team that has Clemson on deck. C-USA home dogs are 2-5 against the spread.
-- Expect to see backup QB Brantley some as Florida tries to get Tebow past concussion issues; Gators have given up just 9.8 ppg in four games vs I-A foes. Arkansas scored 41+ in three of its four I-A games.
-- Classic pass/run matchup; Navy racked up 471 rushing yards in 63-14 win at Rice last week; only teams to beat 4-2 Middies are Ohio St/Pitt. Improved SMU is 3-2, but allowed 405 rushing yards in last two games.

-- UNLV shows signs of tanking, allowing 122 points, 850 yards on the ground last two games; they were outscored 77-21 in second half. Utah is 7-9 as road favorite under Whittingham, 0-2 this season.
-- Fresno State is 11-1 in last dozen games vs San Jose State; favorites covered last six in series. Spartans are 0-4 vs I-A teams this year, losing by 53-10-25-4 points. Bulldogs lost three of four vs I-A opponents.
-- UL-Lafayette needed four takeaways to beat North Texas 38-34 last week; Cauns covered three of last four as road favorite. WKU is 0-5 this year, losing 35-13 to South Florida (+24), 37-20 to FIU (+5) at home.
-- Troy had ESPN win last week, now hits road to face FIU squad that scored 31-35-37 points last three games, but is still just 1-4. Troy beat FIU the last four years by 5-13-18-10 points (1-3 vs spread).
-- North Texas lost last four games, allowing 39.8 ppg, with all four tilts going over total. Florida Atlantic is 0-4, losing its last two games by two points each. Sun Belt home teams are 3-5 against the spread this year.
-- Mississippi State lost non-SEC games to Ga Tech/Houston last two weeks, now visits Middle Tennessee squad that won three of last four games, including win at Maryland. SEC road favorites are 4-2 vs spread in non-conference games.

**Udog** · 10-14-2009, 07:20 PM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 15

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Game of the Day
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Cincinnati Bearcats at South Florida Bulls (+2.5, 49)

Line movement

The line movement has been heavy, as Cincinnati opened as a slight underdog but it has been bet in the other direction as South Florida is now getting a field goal in some places.

The total has moved up slightly as is the case with most Thursday night games. It likely has not peaked yet but that could all depend on the weather.

Injuries

The big injury to speak of is that South Florida will be without quarterback Matt Grothe. This will be the third game that B.J. Daniels has started in his place.

Weather

There will be a chance of a thunderstorm with a high in the low 80’s.

Inside info

South Florida defensive coordinator Joe Tresey had the same role at Cincinnati the past two seasons but was fired after last year, despite his team having the 31st ranked overall defense and 25th ranked scoring defense. His defense was a big part of Cincinnati's last two wins against South Florida.

The big reason he was let go was that Bearcats head coach Brian Kelly caught wind that Tresey was interviewing at Miami. Tresey then decided to take the position with the Bulls in what can be largely considered a payback situation.

There has been no public ill will between Kelly and Tresey but the latter knows there might be an edge.

“The nice thing is I am familiar with personnel. I am familiar with some of the things they do, there's no question,” said Tresey.

Senior revenge

This is actually a huge revenge game for South Florida. Cincinnati has won the last three meetings and no team has ever beaten the Bulls four years in a row. That means the seniors want no part of another loss to the Bearcats.

“It is kind of personal,” defensive end George Selvie said. “I know we've beaten Cincinnati, but I've never had a chance to actually beat Cincinnati myself. This is my senior year, and I want to go out with a win. It's a real big game for me, and I want to win this one.”

Revenge is always easier said than done but when triple revenge comes into play, it tends to rally the troops even more.

Big East big bust?

The winner of this game will join West Virginia and Pittsburgh as the remaining undefeated teams in Big East action. Most importantly, the winner will remain as the only undefeated team overall and will be the only likely team that will have a chance at the BCS Championship.

Even if South Florida or Cincinnati does in fact run the table and finish undefeated, it is not likely to get a shot in the championship game simply because the conference is considered too weak. People tend to forget that West Virginia was a win away from playing in the BCS Championship just two years ago.

According to Jeff Sagarin, who provides power rankings to many different media outlets, the Big East Conference is actually the fourth ranked conference in the country, ranking ahead of the Big 12 and Big Ten. That certainly doesn’t seem like much of a bust.

Strength against strength

Cincinnati enters with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the nation, averaging 42.0 ppg while South Florida features the fifth ranked scoring defense, allowing just 9.4 ppg. The Bearcats are also sixth in passing offense while the Bulls are ninth in passing defense.

Turnovers could play a very big role in this game as we will have two teams who are very advantageous with taking care of the ball.

Cincinnati is third in the country in turnover margin at +1.6 per game while South Florida is eighth at +1.4 per game. The weather could have something to do with the results of this angle on Thursday, so that is something that should be looked at.

Bottom line

Cincinnati has the edge when each of these teams play against the better teams. It is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games against a team with a winning record, while the Bulls are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.

However, the Bulls are 8-3 ATS at home against Big East foes over the last three years.

The rushing results from both teams could call for a low scoring game as Cincinnati is 12-3 to the ‘Under’ in its last 15 games after outrushing its last opponent by 125 or more yards while South Florida is 17-3 to the ‘Under’ in its last 20 games against teams that are allowing 120 ypg on the ground.

The Bearcats have covered five straight meetings in the series.

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**pm530** · 10-15-2009, 05:59 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17

Game 109-110: Oklahoma vs. Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 111.922; Texas 113.144
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Texas by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+3 1/2); Over

Game 111-112: NC State at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 85.309; Boston College 93.812
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 8 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Boston College by 2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-2); Over

Game 113-114: Ohio State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.791; Purdue 90.075
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 13; 48
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-13); Over

Game 115-116: Bowling Green at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 77.285; Ball State 72.912
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-2 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Northwestern at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 80.094; Michigan State 97.224
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17; 45
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13 1/2); Under

Game 119-120: Iowa at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 94.680; Wisconsin 98.556
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4; 42
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-3); Under

Game 121-122: Virginia at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 93.213; Maryland 84.753
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Virginia by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-3); Over

Game 123-124: Wake Forest at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 93.162; Clemson 93.873
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+7 1/2); Over

Game 125-126: Baylor at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 84.887; Iowa State 88.953
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 4; 62
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-2); Over

Game 127-128: UAB at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 76.085; Mississippi 95.467
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 19 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 22; 50
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+22); Under

Game 129-130: Georgia at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 91.262; Vanderbilt 82.438
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 9; 39
Vegas Line: Georgia by 7 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-7 1/2); Under

Game 131-132: Kentucky at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 84.948; Auburn 100.370
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 15 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Auburn by 13 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-13 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Army at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Army 74.305; Temple 82.489
Dunkel Line: Temple by 8; 42
Vegas Line: Temple by 10; 39
Dunkel Pick: Army (+10); Over

Game 135-136: Central Michigan at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 85.499; Western Michigan 80.003
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 5 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+6 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Wyoming at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 76.406; Air Force 91.626
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15; 37
Vegas Line: Air Force by 10 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: Miami (OH) at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 65.864; Ohio 83.699
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 18; 43
Vegas Line: Ohio by 13 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-13 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Nevada at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 89.062; Utah State 77.363
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Nevada by 8; 61
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-8); Under

Game 143-144: Minnesota at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 87.070; Penn State 107.548
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 20 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Penn State by 16; 49
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-16); Over

Game 145-146: Marshall at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.675; West Virginia 98.991
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 20 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-20 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: South Carolina at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 92.861; Alabama 112.294
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 19 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Alabama by 17; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-17); Under

Game 149-150: USC at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: USC 107.403; Notre Dame 95.457
Dunkel Line: USC by 12; 53
Vegas Line: USC by 10; 48
Dunkel Pick: USC (-10); Over

Game 151-152: California at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: California 89.199; UCLA 96.147
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 7; 37
Vegas Line: California by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4); Under

Game 153-154: Houston at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 89.540; Tulane 76.041
Dunkel Line: Houston by 13 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Houston by 17; 64
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+17); Under

Game 155-156: Texas Tech at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 102.737; Nebraska 111.121
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 8 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+10 1/2); Under

Game 157-158: Texas A&M at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 82.572; Kansas State 81.991
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 1; 67
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 159-160: Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 103.841; Georgia Tech 98.772
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3); Over

Game 161-162: Missouri at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 94.554; Oklahoma State 104.094
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 9 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 57
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-7); Over

Game 163-164: Rice at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 67.549; East Carolina 82.643
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 15; 53
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 18; 55
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+18); Under

Game 165-166: Akron at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 70.343; Buffalo 79.520
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 9; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-7 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: Colorado State at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 81.680; TCU 100.904
Dunkel Line: TCU by 19 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: TCU by 22; 50
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+23 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 59.363; Louisiana Tech 86.916
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 27 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 20; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-20); Over

Game 171-172: Kent at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 74.704; Eastern Michigan 63.932
Dunkel Line: Kent by 9; 56
Vegas Line: Kent by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-7); Over

Game 173-174: Hawaii at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 72.678; Idaho 82.006
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 9 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Idaho by 8 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-8 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: BYU at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 94.128; San Diego State 78.888
Dunkel Line: BYU by 15 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: BYU by 17; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+17); Under

Game 177-178: Stanford at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 91.516; Arizona 99.413
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 8; 61
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 52
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-4); Over

Game 179-180: Illinois at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 86.962; Indiana 82.291
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 4 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-1 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Memphis at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 74.854; Southern Misissippi 81.288
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 14 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+14 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: Northern Illinois at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 85.646; Toledo 74.182
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 11 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: Louisville at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 78.560; Connecticut 95.452
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 17; 44
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 13 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-13 1/2); Under

Game 187-188: Kansas at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 99.973; Colorado 84.401
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 15 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Kansas by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-9 1/2); Under

Game 189-190: Miami (FL) at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 99.592; Central Florida 81.118
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 18 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 14; 47
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-14); Under

Game 191-192: Arkansas at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.582; Florida 117.361
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 51
Vegas Line: Florida by 26; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+26); Under

Game 193-194: Navy at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.794; SMU 77.389
Dunkel Line: Navy by 10 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Navy by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-7 1/2); Under

Game 195-196: Washington at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 90.583; Arizona State 92.407
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 2; 43
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Utah at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 94.903; UNLV 73.595
Dunkel Line: Utah by 21 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Utah by 16; 59
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-16); Over

Game 199-200: San Jose State at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 74.780; Fresno State 95.638
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 21; 58
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 19; 54
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-19); Over

Game 201-202: UL Lafayette at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 71.581; Western Kentucky 66.667
Dunkel Line: UL Lafayette by 5; 56
Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 7 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+7 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Troy at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 84.314; Florida International 75.418
Dunkel Line: Troy by 9; 58
Vegas Line: Troy by 10; 56
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+10); Over

Game 205-206: Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 67.317; North Texas 70.828
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 3 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: North Texas by 1; 59
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-1); Over

Game 207-208: Mississippi State at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 86.538; Middle Tennessee State 80.052
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-3 1/2); Under

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**pm530** · 10-15-2009, 11:18 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 15

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Tips and Trends
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Cincinnati at South Florida [ESPN | 7:45 PM ET]

Cincinnati (-3, O/U 49.5): The Bearcats have the quarterback edge in this battle of 5-0 Big East Conference teams. Senior Tony Pike is a pro prospect. He’s thrown for 1,493 yards and 13 touchdowns this season, while completing 67 percent of his passes. He’s thrown a touchdown pass in 15 straight starts. The Bearcats are averaging 43.2 points per game, third-best in the country. The Bearcats ranked 31st in defense last year under defensive coordinator Joe Tresey, who was fired following the season by Cincinnati head coach Brian Kelly. Tresey is now the defensive coordinator for South Florida. The Bearcats rate 37th in total defense, allowing an average of 316 yards per game. Cincinnati defeated South Florida, 24-10, last Oct. 30 as slight underdogs. Pike hit on 20 of 28 passes for 281 yards and two touchdowns in the victory. The Bears have covered the past five times they’ve met South Florida.

Cincinnati is 7-15-1 ATS as a road favorite.
The Under is 13-3-1 in Cincinnati’s last 17 October games.

Key Injuries - Defensive end Curtis Young (knee) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 26

South Florida: New defensive coordinator Joe Tresey has continued South Florida’s strong defensive tradition. The Bulls are fifth in scoring defense giving up 9.4 points per game and 10th in yards allowed yielding 263 per game. They also have forced 16 turnovers. South Florida didn’t give up a passing touchdown until surrendering two in their fifth game, a 34-20 victory against Syracuse. This will be redshirt freshman quarterback B.J. Daniels’ third start since replacing injured senior Matt Grothe, perhaps the best quarterback in the Big East last year. Daniels has thrown for 423 yards and run for another 158 yards in leading the Bulls to victories against Florida State and Syracuse. The Bulls have failed to cover nine of the last 12 times they’ve faced a team with a winning record. However, they are 5-0 against the spread the past five times they’ve been an underdog.

The Under has cashed 7 of the last eight times the Bulls have been an underdog.
South Florida has covered 6 of its last seven games.

Key Injuries - Quarterback Matt Grothe (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

Note: Today’s “Tips and Trends” Side of the Day is in MLB.

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**Udog** · 10-15-2009, 10:33 PM

NCAAF

Week 7

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College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 7
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Arkansas at No. 1 Florida (-24.5, 56.5)

Will the Hogs catch Florida in a letdown from the big LSU win? UF coach Urban Meyer has said that Arkansas is playing better than LSU right now. Indeed, the Razorbacks are No. 1 in the SEC in passing and average more yards through the air than LSU does overall.

Can Florida and Tim Tebow take advantage of a Hogs’ pass defense, ranked last in the SEC? Florida’s pass game hasn’t been a strength. Meyer has warned his players this isn’t the same Arkansas team that the Gators beat 38-7 last season.

No. 18 Oklahoma vs. No. 2 Texas (-3, 51)

It appears that Sooners WR Ryan Broyles will return this week after sitting out most of the past two weeks with a fractured shoulder blade. The OU receivers struggled without Broyles against Baylor last week, combining for 11 dropped passes, including three in the Baylor end zone.

The Longhorns would seem to have the edge in special teams. D.J. Monroe has returned two kickoffs for TDs, while Jordan Shipley has returned two punts for scores. OU hasn’t given up a return TD yet, however. Horns RBs Tre' Newton (mild concussion) and Vondrell McGee (left shoulder) are in question.

No. 22 South Carolina at No. 3 Alabama (-17, 46.5)

Good news for Gamecocks: They have not allowed an opposing back to rush for 100 yards this season. Bad news: South Carolina State put up 170 on the ground two weeks ago and Kentucky added 205 last week. USC has only won once at Alabama in its history.

Alabama’s ground game is among the best in the country, with tailback Mark Ingram averaging 156 yards in the past two games. He is one of three backs nationally with a rushing average of 100 yards or more and at least 10 touchdowns.

No. 4 Virginia Tech at No. 20 Georgia Tech (+3, 51.5)

Virginia Tech has won four of its last six road games when the home team is ranked in the AP Top 25 and is 17-4 in road games all-time. The Hokies are 4-1 vs. Georgia Tech since they joined the ACC.

The Jackets’ option might open up big-play possibilities through the air. Virginia Tech's defense has been susceptible to long gains, allowing 22 plays of 20 yards or more. Jackets WR Demaryius Thomas has 11 receptions for 20 yards or more this season, including four for 50 yards or more

No. 5 Southern Cal at No. 25 Notre Dame (+10, 49)

One of USC’s issues has been a weak group of receivers outside of Damian Williams, who has 24 catches. The other three receivers who have seen time have 14 total catches. Thus, the return of starting WR Ronald Johnson from a broken collarbone could be huge for Matt Barkley.

The Irish are due, having lost seven straight to USC, six of those by 20 or more points. For the first time in years, Notre Dame has the edge at QB in the series with Jimmy Clausen (179.3 rating, 12 TDs). The Irish are the smallest underdogs they have been against USC with Charlie Weis as coach.

No. 7 Ohio State at Purdue (+13.5, 48)

The Buckeyes go for a Big Ten record-tying 17th straight conference road win. Purdue, which has lost 19 straight to ranked opponents, might be the perfect tonic for a struggling OSU offense as the Boilermakers allow more than 30 points per game.

Purdue gets a shorthanded Buckeye team as both starting RB Dan Herron and DT Dexter Larimore are out for OSU. Look for the Boilermakers make Terrelle Pryor beat them through the air, as Ohio State ranks 108th in the nation in passing.

Colorado State at No. 8 Texas Christian (-22, 49.5)

The Rams haven’t won at a ranked team since 1998. But they did lose just 13-7 at home to TCU last year, which included two dropped TD passes for CSU. Air Force ran for 229 yards last week against TCU, giving Colorado State hope it can find gaps in that defense with Leonard Mason.

TCU is one of the most dominant home teams in the land. In their last 17 home games, the Frogs have outscored their opponents 643-160 (an average margin of 38-9). In their two home games this season, the Frogs have allowed a total of 14 yards rushing on 42 attempts.

No. 11 Miami at Central Florida (+14, 47)

The Canes will be shorthanded for this one. Starting end Eric Moncur won’t play Saturday, and he’s just the latest of several players out on the D-Line. In addition, UM safety Randy Phillips is likely out.

UCF had a bye week to prepare and hung close with Miami last year, losing 20-14. But the Knights are 0-19 against Top 25 foes since joining I-A and just 2-40 against teams from BCS conferences.

No. 12 Iowa at Wisconsin (-2.5, 48)

The Hawkeye offense is near the bottom of the Big Ten, but the defense leads the conference with 20 takeaways including 12 interceptions. Iowa is living dangerously, winning three of its six games by a total of six points.

Badgers coach Bret Bielema's record against ranked teams is 3-7, including 1-6 in Big Ten play. But if the UW defense plays like it did in limiting Ohio State to eight first downs last week, Wisconsin, which is 34-3 in its past 37 at home, will be in great shape.

Minnesota at No. 13 Penn State (-17.5, 50)

Hard to figure how the Gophers are 2-1 in the Big Ten, as they are last in the conference in offense and ninth in defense. Here’s why: The Gophers are the only Big Ten team ranking in the top four in every major special-teams category (kick and punt returns and coverage).

Penn State has the Big Ten’s best offense (by yards) and the defense, which is Top 10 nationally, should have its best player back as well, as LB Sean Lee practiced this week after missing the past three games with a sprained left knee.

No. 24 Missouri at No. 14 Oklahoma State (-7, 57)

Mizzou had a few extra days to prepare off that loss in the rain against Nebraska Thursday night when the Tigers gave up 27 fourth-quarter points. That weather made it tough to determine how good the Tigers are on both sides of the ball. Missouri has won its past four in Stillwater.

It looks like the Cowboys, who won in Missouri last year, will be without two of their biggest stars on offense with WR Dez Bryant still suspended indefinitely and RB Kendall Hunter still hobbled with an injury. Hunter had a big game in the 28-23 win over the Tigers in 2008.

No. 15 Kansas at Colorado (+10, 56.5)

This could be a trap game for the Jayhawks with Oklahoma visiting Lawrence next week. KU has won four in a row in the series and QB Todd Reesing (315.8 passing ypg) should do well against a CU defense that’s second to last in the Big 12.

The 1-4 Buffs are making a change at QB. Out is three-year starter Cody Hawkins, the coach’s son, and in is sophomore Tyler Hansen, who is a bigger threat to run than Hawkins. The Buffs figure to pound the ball against a suspect KU run defense.

Texas Tech at No. 17 Nebraska (-10.5, 61.5)

Who will the high-flying Red Raiders start at QB? As of this writing, coach Mike Leach hadn’t decided between Taylor Potts, who led the nation in passing the first four weeks but then got hurt, or Steven Sheffield, who threw seven TDs last week and is completing better than 75 percent of this throws. TTU hasn’t lost to the Huskers since 2001.

The Nebraska defense should be tested, but that unit ranks No. 2 nationally in scoring defense, No. 13 in total defense and No. 1 in the Big 12 in passing defense. No opponent has scored on Nebraska this season following a Husker turnover.

No. 19 BYU at San Diego State (+17, 55.5)

The Cougars are rolling again, putting up a season-high 59 points last week. Under coach Bronco Mendenhall, BYU is 37-4 when leading at halftime and 35-1 when taking a lead into the fourth quarter. A win Saturday would be the 500th in the program’s history.

SDSU has dropped 21 in a row against ranked opponents. The Aztecs have lost seven of eight in this series and in the losses, SDSU has given up an average of 46 points.

No. 23 Houston at Tulane (+17, 65.5)

The Cougars have won six in a row in this series by an average of 22.5 points. Houston leads the nation in total offense, while Tulane’s total defense is ranked at 89th in the country and allowing nearly 400 yards a game.

The Green Wave defense, while ranking low overall, has been solid against the pass. Tulane is the only C-USA team allowing fewer than 200 yards per game through the air. Coach Bob Toledo plans to run the ball and keep it away from Houston’s offense.

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**Udog** · 10-15-2009, 10:36 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, October 16

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 1) at RUTGERS (4 - 1) - 10/16/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/13 - 10/17)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (10/13 - 10/17)

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