Friday Trends and Indexes 10/9 (MLB, NHL, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel


Phoenix at Indiana
The Mercury look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games as a favorite between 5 and 9 1/2 points. Phoenix is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9

Game 609-610: Indiana at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.382; Phoenix 119.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 178
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet


Friday, October 9

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INDIANA (28 - 15) at PHOENIX (29 - 15) - 10/9/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel


BC at Edmonton
The Eskimos look to take advantage of a BC team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 meetings in Edmonton. The Eskimos are the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has Edmonton favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 9

Game 461-462: BC at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: BC 108.233; Edmonton 114.301
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 6; 56
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-4); Over


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 10

Game 463-464: Toronto at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 102.584; Saskatchewan 115.788
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-10 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 465-466: Calgary at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.735; Montreal 118.101
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+6 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Winnipeg at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.137; Hamilton 110.074
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 3; 43
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+6 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 15

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Friday, October 9
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 7) at EDMONTON (6 - 7) - 10/9/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
EDMONTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-4 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 10
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TORONTO (3 - 10) at SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 6) - 10/10/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
TORONTO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 134-102 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 12
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CALGARY (8 - 5) at MONTREAL (11 - 2) - 10/12/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-3 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (5 - 8) at HAMILTON (6 - 7) - 10/12/2009, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-Up


Week 15 CFL games

Friday, October 9

BC Lions (6-7) @ Edmonton (6-7)-- Lions (+3.5) beat Eskimos 40-22 in Week 3, passing for 411 yards; BC is 2-4 on road, 2-1 as road dog, with road losses by 4-12-4-9 points. Eskimos are 1-4 in last five games- they lost last two home games by combined total of four points- they're 0-4 as a home favorite, but do have eight INTs in last four games. Last six Lion games stayed under the total.


Saturday, October4 10

Toronto (2-11) @ Saskatchewan (7-6)-- Roughriders (+3) won 46-36 at Toronto in Week 2, leading 37-13 at the half- Argos turned ball over five times, had 17 penalties for 141 yards. Toronto lost its last nine games, is 3-4 as road dog, losing last four away games by 25-19-6-5 points. Riders are just 2-3 in last five home games, 1-2 as home favorite; they've got -5 turnover ratio last two games, and just two takeaways last three games.


Monday, October 12

Calgary (8-5) @ Montreal (11-2)-- Calgary lost its season opener 40-27 at home to Montreal, getting outrushed 176-54; both teams turned ball over three times in game. Stampeders won five of their last six games, are 3-3 on road, with losses by 12-3-7 points. Alouettes won their last four games, covered last three; they're 3-3 as home favorite, winning at home by 34-13-25-9-4-19. Five of last six Calgary games stayed under total.

Winnipeg (5-8) @ Hamilton (7-6)-- Bombers won last two games after a 1-4 skid; they're 4-2 as road dog, losing its away games by 2-12-8-15-19 points TiCats lost their last two games, scoring 8-14 points; they're 5-2 at home, 2-1 vs spread as a fave. Bombers (+1.5) lost 25-13 at Hamilton in Week 3, despite four turnovers- they threw for 325 yards. Last four Hamilton games stayed under the total.




CFL
Additional


Week 15


Refer to post #1 for Matchup Links to more trends/stats *


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Trend Report
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Friday, October 9

9:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Edmonton is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Edmonton is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing British Columbia


Saturday, October 10

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games at home


Monday, October 12

1:00 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

4:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Winnipeg's last 22 games
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg


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Canadian Bacon
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Friday, October 9

B.C. Lions at Edmonton Eskimos (-4, 53)

The Eskimos are a much better team than their 6-7 record indicates and this game will be played…in the snow. Edmonton has the second-best quarterback in this league in Ricky Ray and it leads for team passing, ahead of the Montreal Alouettes. But Pierce struggled against the Riders last week when he had only 188 yards passing and Jason Maas had to come in relief. He couldn’t seem to find an offensive rhythm, sustain drives or score points. The Eskimos have dropped four of their last five and they can’t afford to loose this one against the Lions, who won the first and only meeting between these divisional rivals earlier this season, in Edmonton by a score of 40-22. Buck Pierce was named Offensive Player of the Week after leading the Lions to a victory against the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The Lions also have another potent weapon in Martell Mallett, CFL’s top rusher who has run for 1086 yards so far this season. The Eskimos allowed only two touchdowns in the last two games but if you look at the stats, they are dead last in many defensive categories. Also give an edge to B.C. when it comes to special teams. It will be a closer game than last time but the end result should be the same.

Pick: B.C. +4


Saturday, October 10

Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-10.5, 50)

Good thing the Argos have one of the best defences in the league. Bettors just can’t imagine what it would be like if their defence was has inept has their offence. The Argos did not score a passing touchdown in their last five games, going back to August 28. No wonder QB Kerry Joseph is fed up with rookie head coach Bart Andrus, who will probably start Cody Pickett again. He described the situation in Toronto as a fiasco and he was right. It is said that Joseph and Andrus ironed out their differences. “I can understand the frustration” said Andrus to the media after Joseph’s outburst. If true, that may be reassuring for Argos fans since Joseph has had success against his former team since he was traded to Toronto two years ago. In three games against the Roughriders, he threw for 914 yards with nine touchdown passes. The Roughriders also have their own quarterback controversy, where Riders coach Ken Miller suggested this week he will probably alternate QB’s Darian Durant and Steven Jyles. But it is nothing next to the melodrama that has kept unfolding in Toronto since the start of the season.

Pick: Saskatchewan -10.5



Monday, October 12

Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-6, 51.5)

Will this be a preview of the next Grey Cup? It could very well be. The Alouettes will most likely play without RB Avon Cobourne (groin injury) but their running game should still be potent with backup Brendan Whittaker. Montreal’s Anthony Calvillo and Calgary’s Henry Burris are two of the best quarterbacks in the game. Both can throw to some of the best wide receivers in the business. But Burris has been a disappointment in his last three outings, with a QB rating of only 57.1. Calgary won a narrow 15-14 win against Hamilton last week without scoring a touchdown – the first since 1995. It will be tough for Burris to rebound against the tightest defence in the CFL. The last time these two teams met, the Alouettes won 40-27 in the season opener in Calgary. Despite Cobourne’s absence, the Als, at home, should once again prevail.

Pick: Montreal -6


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger Cats (-6, 47)

Veteran QB Kevin Glenn would sure like to face the team that rejected him after last season. But Quinton Porter is the No. 1 QB in Hamilton and, despite Glenn’s displeasure with that situation, nothing gives the impression that coach Marcel Bellefeuille has changed his mind. The Tiger Cats, after pulling a few upsets, have lost three of their last four games. This will be a game with much at stake. With a third win in a row, the Bombers would rise to second place in the East, tied with the Tiger Cats. These two teams will meet again on November 8 in the last game of the regular season. The Bombers have made peace with veteran linebacker Barrin Simpson, who returned to the practice field Wednesday but it is still unclear whether he will play or not on this Thanksgiving game. But the Bombers will be in need of a middle linebacker after Joe Lobendahn was injured last week against the Eskimos and I would be surprised if Simpson didn’t play Monday. Wide Receiver Terrence Edward, who missed the last two games due to a concussion, could also be back in the lineup. Import DE Gavin Walls missed Wednesday’s practice with a knee injury and may miss the game. Last time these two met in Hamilton, The Tiger Cats won 25-13. Expect a similar result.

Pick: Hamilton -6

(Last Week 3-1, season 29-23)

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[Udog]

Len's Top 5


TGIF everyone, here's my Top 5 for October 9, 2009 from Len Berman Sports.

1. Quick Hits

The Dodgers took a 2-games to none lead over St. Louis. The Rockies evened things with the Phillies one game apiece. The Angels beat the Red Sox 5-0 in game one in Anaheim.
Today's Schedule
Game 2 Minnesota @ Yankees 6:07pm ET TBS
Game 2 Boston @ Angels 9:37pm ET TBS
Are you really ready for Olympic golf and rugby? The IOC voted today to include them in the 2016 Olympics. Olympic golf? We don't have enough international competitions?

2. Sudden Death

Joe Torre used to say about the 1996 Yankees that "everyone wants to be the hero, but no one wants to talk about it." Left unsaid in sports, is that nobody wants to be the goat. Just ask Matt Holliday of St. Louis. He dropped the final out of a Cardinals win last night when he lost the ball in the lights. And the Dodgers took the gift and parlayed it into two runs in the bottom of the 9th. So instead of the series being tied at 1, the Dodgers have a two games to none stranglehold. Holliday's mid-season trade helped the Cards win the division. His error may have torpedoed their season. Somewhere Bill Buckner is smiling, or not.

3. Epic Collapse

When the Tigers lost that playoff game to the Twins they became the first team to blow a 3 game lead with 4 games to go. Well, not exactly true. As a couple of astute Top 5 readers pointed out, that's exactly what the Yankees did with the Red Sox in the 2004 playoffs.

4. Friday Mailbag

M.W. writes: " My wife and I were watching the Giants and Jets yesterday and noticed the pink cleats and she was touched by the gesture but wishes the NFL Players would just donate the money spent on the pink cleats and promoting them to breast cancer research."

As for various sports organizations banning handshakes for fear of spreading the swine flu, An Atlanta doctor, E.G. writes: "Len, the no-touching thing is amazingly stupid. I hope that there is no health care professional involved in the decision-making process...if they are, they'd be laughed right out of any professional association that I belong to. I think they should shake hands at center court, and then whip out their Purell pumps right there and schmear it all over themselves, and the ball!"
Editor's Note: Is schmear an official sports term?

And from R.B. "Rumor has it that since the Mets won't be in the playoffs, their players are auditioning for a new TV show...Dancing With the Scars."
Editor's Note: Ouch.

5. Athlete of the Week

They'll run the Chicago Marathon on Sunday. David Kuhn will in the race. He is legally blind after being struck by a drunk driver, so he needs a guide to run along with him. When his guide backed out, he put out the word asking if anyone could help him. Over 100 responded. He only needs one, but several will run along side anyway. He's running to raise money for homebound seniors. Talk about a win/win/win situation.

Happy Birthday: Mr. Hairdryer, Joe Pepitone of the Yankees. 69.
Bonus Birthday: John Lennon would also have been 69 today. His son, Sean Lennon, is 34 today.

Today in Sports: The Cincinnati Reds won the World Series against the Chicago "Black Sox." Several Chicago players "threw" the World Series. 1919.
Bonus Event: Cuddle up. The first electric blanket is sold in Virginia. (No wonder that state is for lovers.) 1946.