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**Udog** · 09-29-2009, 10:42 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

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Sunday, October 4

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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (1 - 2) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 23-51 ATS (-33.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (0 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 3) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (3 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 2) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (0 - 3) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 45-73 ATS (-35.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (1 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) - 10/4/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 10/4/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (1 - 2) at MIAMI (0 - 3) - 10/4/2009, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (0 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 10/4/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 72-103 ATS (-41.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 77-104 ATS (-37.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 1) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/4/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN DIEGO (2 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 2) - 10/4/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 5

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GREEN BAY (2 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 0) - 10/5/2009, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 09-29-2009, 10:44 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Sunday, 10/4/2009

OAKLAND at HOUSTON, 1:00 PM ET
OAKLAND: 20-36 ATS off DD loss
HOUSTON: 6-0 Over at home off division game

TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 6-0 Under as a road favorite of 7 points or less
JACKSONVILLE: 0-6 ATS at home vs. conference

BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND, 1:00 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 17-5 ATS in all games
NEW ENGLAND: 24-11 Under at home off BB Unders

CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 5-1 ATS off SU dog win
CLEVELAND: 6-0 Under after a loss by 14+ points

NY GIANTS at KANSAS CITY, 1:00 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 17-3 ATS in road games
KANSAS CITY: 0-5 ATS vs. NY Giants

DETROIT at CHICAGO, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 1-9 ATS off SU home dog win
CHICAGO: 1-7 ATS as a DD favorite

TAMPA BAY at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 11-2 ATS Away off 3+ losses
WASHINGTON: 8-0 Under as a favorite

SEATTLE at INDIANAPOLIS, 1:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 2-9 ATS Away vs. AFC
INDIANAPOLIS: 9-1 ATS off road win by 21+ points

NY JETS at NEW ORLEANS, 4:05 PM ET
NY JETS: 10-2 Under off BB home wins
NEW ORLEANS: 9-1 ATS as a favorite

BUFFALO at MIAMI, 4:05 PM ET
BUFFALO: 5-10 ATS off an Under
MIAMI: 10-1 Over off road loss

ST LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:15 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-10 ATS 1st month of season
SAN FRANCISCO: 22-10 ATS vs. St. Louis

DALLAS at DENVER, 4:15 PM ET
DALLAS: 5-0 ATS as a road favorite of 3pts or less
DENVER: 1-8 ATS in home games

SAN DIEGO at PITTSBURGH, 8:20 PM ET NBC
SAN DIEGO: 10-3 Over if total is between 35.5 and 42
PITTSBURGH: 12-1 ATS at home off SU division loss as favorite

Monday, 10/5/2009

GREEN BAY at MINNESOTA, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
GREEN BAY: 6-0 Over in dome games
MINNESOTA: 0-6 ATS off home win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 09-29-2009, 10:48 AM

NFL

Week 4

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Trend Report
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Sunday, October 4

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NEW ENGLAND
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cincinnati

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. KANSAS CITY
NY Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Kansas City
NY Giants are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. HOUSTON
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
Houston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Seattle is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Indianapolis is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. WASHINGTON
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Washington is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. JACKSONVILLE
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

4:05 PM
BUFFALO vs. MIAMI
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo

4:05 PM
NY JETS vs. NEW ORLEANS
NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing New Orleans
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:15 PM
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

4:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis
San Francisco is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against St. Louis

8:20 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

Monday, October 5

8:30 PM
GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Green Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay

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**Udog** · 10-01-2009, 09:39 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 4

Tennessee at Jacksonville
Needing to break into the win column, the Titans look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Tennessee is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Titans favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 4

Game 201-202: Oakland at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 124.808; Houston 127.369
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Tennessee at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 139.521; Jacksonville 130.016
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 9 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under

Game 205-206: Baltimore at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 137.019; New England 139.992
Dunkel Line: New England by 3; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 1; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-1); Over

Game 207-208: Cincinnati at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.156; Cleveland 122.384
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 9; 36
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5 1/2); Under

Game 209-210: NY Giants at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.700; Kansas City 126.772
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 11; 39
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 8; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-8); Under

Game 211-212: Detroit at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 122.841; Chicago 134.669
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 12; 44
Vegas Line: Chicago by 10; 39
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10); Over

Game 213-214: Tampa Bay at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.089; Washington 128.684
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Washington by 7; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+7); Under

Game 215-216: Seattle at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 126.440; Indianapolis 141.816
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 15 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 10; 44
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-10); Over

Game 217-218: NY Jets at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 133.785; New Orleans 147.945
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 14; 42
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: Buffalo at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 129.419; Miami 132.122
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: St. Louis at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.071; San Francisco 133.626
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 14 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-9 1/2); Over

Game 223-224: Dallas at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 138.009; Denver 128.211
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 10; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Over

Game 225-226: San Diego at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.453; Pittsburgh 138.320
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 43
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+7); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 5

Game 227-228: Green Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 129.623; Minnesota 138.316
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Under

**Udog** · 10-01-2009, 09:56 AM

NFL
Write-Up

Week 4

Sunday, October 5

Raiders (1-2) @ Texans (1-2)-- Road team won Texans' first three games, as Houston lost both home tilts, 24-7/31-24, after losing goal-line fumble late in Jaguar loss- they struggle to stop the run, allowing 190-240-184 yards in first three games. Foes converted 50% on third down in first three games. Russell is horrible as Oakland's QB, completing 19 of 45 passes for just 141 yards the last two games. Raiders covered six of last nine as road underdog- they're 9-16 vs spread as non-division road dog since 2003. Texans won two of last three against the Raiders, with all three of those games played in Oakland.

Titans (0-3) @ Jaguars (1-2)-- Third road game in four weeks for a Tennessee squad that is 0-3 and desperate; they've outrushed foes 353-182, usually good indicator of success, but they turned ball over twice in kicking game last week, and have eight turnovers in three games (-3). Titans are also just 13-38 on third down, which contributes to them losing field position battle by 11-8-14 yards in three losses. Jags don't have much of home field edge- they're the only NFL team that won't sell out any of their home games. Road team is 6-4 in last ten series games. Titans 3-2 in last five visits here, winning last two, 13-10/24-14.

Ravens (3-0) @ Patriots (2-1)-- Red-hot Baltimore scored 38-31-34 points in first three wins, scoring 13 TDs on 32 drives; they've picked off six passes in last two games, have outrushed opponents 470-153, but they've played both Chiefs, Browns, two awful teams. Patriots ran ball for 168 yards vs Atlanta last week; they only have three takeaways (+1) and are really struggling in the red zone, with one TD, seven FGs on last RZ eight drives. They've converted 18 of 34 on 3rd down in their two wins, 5-15 in their loss. Pats are 14-18-1 in last 33 games as home favorite. Ravens covered six of last eight as underdogs.

Bengals (2-1) @ Browns (0-3)-- Can Bengals back up huge win vs Pitt with a win vs hapless Browns, who have one TD on 32 drives this year, outrushed 553-214 with a minus-7 turnover ratio? Cincy is 6-2 in last eight series games, winning three of last four here- they shut Browns out in last two wins here, lost 51-45 here in '07. Palmer makes huge difference for Bengals; they're 12-26 on 3rd down last two weeks, converted two 4th down plays on winning drive vs Steelers. Browns failed to cover last seven tries as single digit dog. Bengals are 1-5 as road favorite last two years; they're in a Steelers/Ravens sandwich.

Giants (3-0) @ Chiefs (0-3)-- Big Blue had glorified scrimmage in easy win at Tampa last week, have another one here, against KC club that is 7-36 on third down this year, losing first three games by 14-3-20 points. Upsets in games like this need turnovers by favorite- KC has only two takeaways so far in '09, Giants have no giveaways last two weeks. Chiefs are just 4-7 as home dog last two years; Giants are 12-4 in last 16 tries as road favorite, 9-3 in non-division games. Chiefs lost last seven at home- they're 4-10 in last 14 as non-divisional home dog. Third game in row on road for Big Blue, a historic NFL soft spot.

Lions (1-2) @ Bears (2-1)-- Detroit ended 19-game skid last week; they're 6-2 vs spread in last eight tries as road dog, but lost six of last eight series games, dropping three of last four here, losing by 32-27-4 points. Underdog covered four of last five series games here. Bears won last two games but they haven't run ball well this year (86-43-85 yards)- they haven't led at the half yet, but outscored foes 41-21 in second half. Since 2001, Lions are 7-19-2 vs spread in game after a win. Former Lion head coach Marinelli is an assistant with Bears. Detroit is 13-5 as a double digit dog, but 0-2 this year, losing by 18-14 points.

Bucs (0-3) @ Redskins (1-2)-- Washington lost to Lions last week after shaky 9-7 win vs Rams week before, so natives are restless, but Tampa is really bad, losing first three games by 13-13-24 points. Bucs were outrushed 244-85 last two weeks and now 2nd-year QB Johnson gets first NFL start in only second game action. Bucs are just 9-38 on 3rd down. Redskins are 5-11-1 as favorite at home since '06; they've been outscored 37-13 in first half, and have no TDs in first half of last two contests. Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Redskin games. Home side won four of last five series games, all decided by 7 or less points.

Seahawks (1-2) @ Colts (3-0)-- Indy off pair of primetime road wins, are just 2-6 in last eight games as home favorite, winning 14-12 in only '09 home game. Colts has big Monday night game at divisional rival Tennessee next week; they are 4-5 in last nine games as double digit fave, but 8-6 as non-divisional home fave. Seattle is live if Hasselbeck goes, off-limits if Wallace is QB- they're 8-14 as road dog since '04, 6-14-2 in last 22 games as non-divisional road dog. Bad news for Colts is pass rushing star Freeney is out. Manning is on top of game, averaging 12.3/10.8 ypp last two weeks; they're better without Harrison????

Jets (3-0) @ Saints (3-0)-- Two hot teams meet here; Jets have yet to give up more than 4.6 ypp this year, while Saints averaged 10.5/8.0/5.0 in first three games, while also running ball for 157-133-222 yards, so they're balanced more than previous years. NO won its first three games by 18-26-20 points- they've covered five of last six as home fave, but are just 6-10 as non-divisional home fave. Jets are 13-6 as road dog since '06; they are 9-14-1 vs the spread vs NFC teams since '03. Saints' WR Colston played college ball at Hofstra, where Jets used to train, but Jets didn't draft him. Over is 5-2 in last seven Saints' games.

Bills (1-2) @ Dolphins (0-3)-- Pennington is out for year, Henne gets his first NFL start vs Buffalo team that is 7-3 in last ten series games, but lost twice to Miami LY (25-16/16-3). Dolphins ran ball for 239-149 yards last two games, but haven't averaged 5.0 ypp yet- they have only one takeaway this year (-6). Saints ran ball down Buffalo's throat in 4th quarter last week (222 yards for game) would expect to see lot of Brown/Wildcat here. Buffalo is 6-3 as a road favorite since '04. Miami is 8-13 as home dog. Owens didn't catch pass in a game last week for first time in 12 years, expect Bills to get him involved early.

Rams (0-3) @ 49ers (2-1)-- Niners had brutal loss in Metrodome last week as Favre pulled game out with :02 left, but SF is much-improved team that is 6-2 in last eight series games, with only one win by more than seven points. Rams lost best WR Robinson last week, but got upgrade at QB when Bulger hurt his shoulder and Boller came in; they've been outscored 30-3 in second half, when defense gets worn down from being behind so much. Rams are 6-11 vs spread in last 17 games as road dog, 0-6 in last six division road games. Gore is out for 49ers, which hurts running game; they've only turned ball over twice in 2009.

Cowboys (2-1) @ Broncos (3-0)-- Road game on short work week for Dallas team missing two best RBs; despite that, Cowboys ran for 251-212 yards in last two games. Denver is off quickly, giving up 5.5 ppg (one TD/31 drives); after getting lucky in opener at Cincinnati, they crushed woeful teams the last two weeks, running ball for 401 yards. Cowboys are 10-7-1 as home favorite since '06, covering six of last seven as favorite of three points or less. Broncos are 3-1 as home dog this decade, 4-6 as dog of three or less points. Defending Romo this week is huge step up, after seeing Quinn/Russell in last two games.

Chargers (2-1) @ Steelers (1-2)-- Pitt not running ball as well this season (84.3 ypg this year); they lost last two games by FG each, failing to stop Bengals on pair of 4th down plays on final drive last week. Chargers are throwing it well with LY out (6.2/9.0/8.2 ypp) but they've also given up 148-130-149 yards on ground, so interesting to see if Pitt can keep ball away from Rivers. Steelers are 11-7 as home fave since '06, 9-6 in non-division games- they beat Bolts twice LY, 11-10/35-24. Chargers are 15-4-1 vs spread in last 20 games as a road dog, but lost 12 of last 14 to Steelers, with both wins coming in playoff games.

Monday, October 6

Packers (2-1) @ Vikings (3-0)-- Favre plays first game against team that made him famous; rivals split last eight series games, with two LY decided by total of six points. Vikings are 8-10 in last 18 games as home favorite, pulling out a dramatic win on last play last week, overcoming getting FG blocked for a TD. Pack is already +8 in turnovers, picking off seven passes- they allowed 151-149 yards on ground last two games, good news for Peterson, who was held under 100 last week. Vikes scored 34-27-27 points in first three games, taking all three games, despite trailing all three at halftime. Rodgers has been sacked 12 times in three games, not good.

**Udog** · 10-01-2009, 11:55 PM

NFL

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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 4
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Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-10.5)

Why Lions cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Detroit should have momentum from coming off its first win in 19 games.

Why Bears cover: They’ve won six of last eight meetings. Jay Cutler (483 yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT) has been much better since his miserable debut.

Total (38.5): Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+4.5)

Why Bengals cover: They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six games. They’ve won seven of last nine meetings. Browns will start Derek Anderson who threw three picks after replacing the ineffective Brady Quinn last week. Cleveland's QB situation is a major weakness. Cedric Benson has really carried the running game for Cincy.

Why Browns cover: Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Braylon Edwards has five receiving touchdowns in his last five games against the Bengals.

Total (38.5): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings and 8-2 in the last 10 dates in Cleveland.

Oakland Raiders at Houston Texans (-9.5)

Why Raiders cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. They’ve held Matt Schaub to 255 yards passing, zero TDs and one interception in two games against him. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Why Texans cover: They’re 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. They’ve won three of last four meetings. With four fumbles in only 41 carries, running back Darren McFadden is prone to turning over the ball. Oakland is averaging a pathetic 12 points per game.

Total (41.5): Under is 8-3-1 in Raiders' last 12 games.

Seattle Seahawks at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5)

Why Seahawks cover: They’ve won three of last four meetings. Seneca Wallace (261 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) played well last week against a tough Bears defense and will get the nod again. Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Colts won't have defensive end Dwight Freeney who is out with a quad injury.

Why Colts cover: Finally got their ground game rolling last week and get to face a Seahawks team that is allowing almost 140 rushing yards per game. Peyton Manning is making up for missing Marvin Harrison and Anthony Gonzalez by spreading the ball around and keeping defenses on their toes.

Total (44): Under is 8-3-1 in Seahawks' last 12 games and 4-1 in Colts' last five games.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3)

Why Titans cover: They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings and 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Jacksonville. NFL's second-ranked rush defense could limit Maurice Jones-Drew and make David Garrard shoulder the offensive load.

Why Jaguars cover: Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Kerry Collins (69.9 rating) has struggled so far this season. With 187 yards receiving in the last two games, Mike Sims-Walker has become Garrard's go to guy.

Total (41): Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Jacksonville.

New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs (+9.5)

Why Giants cover: They’re 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. They’ve won six of last seven meetings. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Chiefs' top receiving threat Dwayne Bowe not expected to play.

Why Chiefs cover: Held Eli Manning to 186 yards with one touchdown and one interception in their last meeting. New York is allowing an astounding 6.1 yards per rush. Look for a heavy dose of Larry Johnson.

Total (42.5): Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-1)

Why Ravens cover: They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Patriots are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games. Tom Brady has only completed 49 percent of his passes with one interception in two games against Baltimore.

Why Patriots cover: They’ve won all four previous meetings. AFC's third ranked defense will be first real test for second year QB Joe Flacco, who could struggle for the first time this season.

Total (44): Over is 4-1 in Patriots' last five home games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins (-7.5)

Why Buccaneers cover: They’ve won past three meetings. Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games and 1-7-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Skins look like they have given up already and coach Jim Zorn could be fired if they lose.

Why Redskins cover: Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in the last five games. Underachieving defense could redeem itself against second year QB Josh Johnson, who is making his first NFL start.

Total (37.5): Home team is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+1)

Why Bills cover: They’re 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. They’ve won four of past six meetings. Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. Bills get Marshawn Lynch back from suspension to complement super-sub Fred Jackson. Unproven Chad Henne will start at QB for Miami after Chad Pennington was lost for the season last week.

Why Dolphins cover: Terrell Owens has been a non-factor for Buffalo this season, and looks to be disgruntled after last week's poor offensive showing. Bills' secondary to be without both Leodis McKelvin and Donte Whitner, who are injured.

Total (36.5): Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings and 5-2 in the last seven trips to Miami.

New York Jets at New Orleans Saints (-6.5)

Why Jets cover: They’re 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Rex Ryan's Jets have the league's third ranked defense and could smother the Saints' high-flying offense. Mark Sanchez could pick apart New Orleans' suspect pass defense.

Why Saints cover: They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They’ve won four of past six meetings. Drew Brees and the Saints' explosive passing game have really opened up the ground game, evidenced by a whopping 170 yards per game average.

Total (46): Over is 12-1-1 in Saints' last 14 home games.

Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos (+3)

Why Cowboys cover: Broncos are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. League's third best offense will pose a challenge for a Denver defense that has yet to face a formidable offensive team.

Why Broncos cover: Have won past three meetings. Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Dallas could be without both Marion Barber and Felix Jones, which means Tashard Choice would handle the bulk of the rushing duties.

Total (42.5): Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-10)

Why Rams cover: Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. With offensive catalyst Frank Gore out, unproven rookie Glen Coffee will be the feature back for San Fran. Niners could be vulnerable coming of a game where they lost their top offensive player to injury.

Why 49ers cover: Have won six of past eight meetings. Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last nine meetings and 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings in San Francisco. St. Louis can't figure out how to score and is averaging only eight points per game.

Total (37.5): Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6)

Why Chargers cover: Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games. Willie Parker is dealing with a turf toe injury. Philip Rivers (991 pass yards) has been making up for an anemic running attack.

Why Steelers cover: Have won six of past seven meetings. Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. Chargers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings and 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh. Darren Sproles (2.4 average) has struggled to replace the injured LaDainian Tomlinson.

Total (42): Over is 6-2 in Chargers' last eight games and 46-20-2 in Steelers' last 68 home games.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Twins (-3)

Why Packers cover: They’re 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Minnesota. Underdog is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings. Road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups. Could get starting OT Chad Clifton back from injury.

Why Vikings cover: Brett Favre will be pumped up to face his old team for the first time since leaving Green Bay. Adrian Peterson could destroy the Pack's 23rd-ranked rush defense. In two games against Minnesota, Aaron Rodgers has only passed for 337 yards with one TD and one interception.

Total (46): Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings and 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Minnesota.

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**Udog** · 10-04-2009, 11:41 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 4

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What bettors need to know: Chargers at Steelers
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San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 43)

Line movement

Bettors will undoubtedly see some movement leading up to kickoff, but the line has held steady since opening.

Most books sent out a -6.5 and that’s where the number remains as of Saturday morning.

The total has had some substantial movement.

The number opened at 41, but has since been bet up a full two points to 43 at most books.

Consensus reports indicate that the majority of bettors are backing the Chargers plus the points.

Looking for revenge

The Chargers should be familiar with their surroundings, as they played at Heinz Field twice last season, losing 11-10 in the regular season and 35-24 in the playoffs.

The Steelers held a decisive edge in terms of total yardage, racking up 752 yards compared to the Chargers 503 over the two games.

Head coach Norv Turner knows what his team needs to do to be successful.

“You can move the ball, but if you’re going to be the type of football team we want to be, you’re going to have to run the football,” Turner told reporters. “If you look at the good teams and the type of teams we would like to be, you see them run the ball.”

San Diego last defeated Pittsburgh in 2006, 23-13 at Qualcomm Stadium.

Pittsburgh has won six of the last seven matchups in the series, going 5-2 ATS over that stretch.

Slumping Steelers

Since opening the season with a 13-10 overtime victory over the Titans, the Steelers have dropped back-to-back games.

Last week, Pittsburgh outgained Cincinnati by 100 yards and held an 11-point, fourth-quarter lead before allowing the Bengals to rally with two touchdowns in the game’s final 10 minutes.

The Steelers are now 0-3 ATS to start the season. You’ll remember they opened 1-3 ATS last season before going 10-5 ATS over their last 15 contests en route to a Super Bowl victory.

Mike Tomlin is confident that they can get things turned around back at home.

“We have some work to do and we have a top-quality, familiar opponent coming in here that is a playoff-caliber team, and has been one perennially,” Tomlin said earlier this week. “We respect that, and we are excited about doing it back at Heinz Field in front of our fans.”

Walking wounded

The Chargers appear to be the more battered team with a lengthy injury list filled with key cogs on both sides of the ball.

Shawne Merriman, LaDainian Tomlinson, Vincent Jackson, Antwan Applewhite, and Louis Vasquez are all listed as questionable.

Both Nick Hardwick and Jamal Williams will sit out this game and remain sidelined indefinitely

Willie Parker should be good to go for the Steelers, currently listed as probable with a toe injury. He had his best game of the young season last Sunday, running for 93 yards against the Bengals.

“It’s painful, but it’s something I can deal with, so we’ll take it day by day.” Parker said earlier this week.

Troy Polamalu is still recovering from an MCL sprain. His absence has had a direct impact on the defense over the last two weeks.

Trends and things

The Chargers are an impressive 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of between 3.5 and 10 points.

They also own an impressive 20-9-1 ATS record in their last 30 games against AFC opponents.

Steelers backers will welcome the arrival of October with open arms. Their team is a rock solid 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games in the 10th month of the year.

The over is 46-20-2 in the last 68 games played at Heinz Field.

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**Udog** · 10-04-2009, 11:47 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 4

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Eye on the skies: NFL Week 4 weather report
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Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+6, 37.5)

Maybe Browns quarterback Derek Anderson wants to go back to the bench. Anderson saw the Bengals defense play well against Pittsburgh last week and must also contend with winds blowing as hard as 18 mph. Meantime, the Bengals have found a running game behind Cedric Benson and shouldn’t be phased by the harsh gusts.

New York Giants at Kansas City Chiefs (+9, 42)

Like the Chiefs really need more adversity. They not only have the streaking Giants in town, they also must contend with a 10 mph wind. Quarterback Matt Cassel figures to get the nod, but he has a short leash with Brody Croyle hot on his heels. The Giants shouldn’t be fazed by the winds, however, since they have gotten their running game clicking.

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-1, 45)

This game could be a lot of things on Sunday, but one thing it won’t be is pretty. The forecast has a 40 percent chance of showers, a high of 70 degrees and a gusty, 11 mph wind. Both teams have no qualms about putting the game on the shoulders of their defenses and running games, and if the rain comes, this matchup should devolve into a rugby scrum.

St. Louis Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5, 37)

Hopefully, 49ers running back Glen Coffee got plenty of rest Saturday night. The rookie is expected to start in place of injured star Frank Gore and will shoulder the load of the team’s power attack. With winds expected in the 15 mph range, Coffee and St. Louis running back Steven Jackson should get plenty of carries.

Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos (+3, 42)

If Marion Barber is still hurting, Cowboys running back Tashard Choice better be ready to get the majority of carries. Dallas is going to need to rely on its ground game, as the forecast in the Mile High City calls for lots of wind in the 15 mph range. Denver touts the league’s top defense and also loves to pound the ball, so strong winds could mean a very low scoring afternoon.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins (+1, 37)

Things could get very messy at LandShark Stadium Sunday. The grass in Miami will be chewed up after Saturday night's Miami Hurricanes game. The field was resoded heading into the weekend and will have the middle logo Hurricanes' "U" cut out and replaced with grass with the Dolphins logo on it. On top of that, there is a chance of isolated showers in the area for game time. That mix of rain and shoddy turf could make things slick for the Dolphins' wildcard formation and the return of Bills RB Marshawn Lynch.

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**Udog** · 10-04-2009, 11:55 AM

NFL

Sunday, October 4

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Tips and Trends
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New York Jets at New Orleans Saints [4:05 PM ET]

Jets: Few thought the Jets would open 3-0. But the Jets have surrendered just 11 points per game in defeating Houston, New England and Tennessee. They are giving up 256 yards per game, while forcing seven turnovers. New York has permitted only two touchdowns. No team blitzes more than New York under new coach Rex Ryan. The Jets have been playing great defense without one of their better defensive players, suspended Calvin Pace. The Jets face a stiff test now going into a dome setting for the first time to meet the league’s top offense. The challenge will be tougher with the Jets probably missing injured cornerbacks Lito Sheppard and Donald Strickland. Mark Sanchez has lived up to his hype so far. Jerricho Cotchery has emerged as Sanchez’s go-to-guy with 18 receptions for 285 yards. The Jets have failed to cover in seven of their last eight October games.

The Under is 7-3-1 in New York’s past 11 road contests.

Key Injuries - Cornerback Lito Sheppard (quad) is doubtful.
Cornerback Donald Strickland (ankle) is doubtful.
Linebacker Calvin Pace (suspension) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 19 (Side of the Day)

Saints (-7.5, O/U 45): Led by Drew Brees, the Saints offense has been clicking on all cylinders averaging five touchdowns, 438 yards and 40 points per game. New Orleans is bidding to open 4-0 for the first time since 1993. The Saints have yet to trail this season. The Saints are 8-1-1 against the spread during their past 10 games.
This clearly is a case of a great offense matching up against a highly-promising defense. The Saints, though, are at home on carpet in a temperature-controlled climate. The Saints had to deal with windy conditions last week at Buffalo, so they turned to Pierre Thomas and a running attack that churned out 222 rushing yards in a 27-7 victory. Thomas rushed for 126 yards. The Saints won’t have two-time Pro Bowl offensive left tackle Jamaal Brown. He’s out for the season with a hip injury and sports hernia.

The Over is 12-1-1 in New Orleans’ last 14 home games.
The Over is 20-8-1 in the Saints’ last 29 games.

Key Injuries - Offensive left tackle Jamaal Brown (sports hernia) is out.
Running back Mike Bell (knee) is doubtful.
Wide receiver Lance Moore (hamstring) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 26

San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

Chargers: At 2-1 the Chargers are off to their best start in Norv Turner’s three seasons as coach. However, the Chargers have never won in 13 regular-season matchups in Pittsburgh. They have failed to cover in six of their last eight matchups versus the Steelers. San Diego ranks last in the AFC in rushing, averaging only 66.3 yards rushing. LaDainian Tomlinson is hoping to play after being out with an ankle injury. Scatback Darren Sproles is averaging just 2.4 yards per carry while filling in as the main ball-carrier for Tomlinson. Philip Rivers has taken up the slack helping San Diego rank second in the league in passing yards. Vincent Jackson is emerging as a top-five caliber wideout. He ranks second in the NFL averaging 105.7 yards per game. The Chargers are 19-7-3 against the spread the past 29 times they’ve been an underdog.

The Chargers have covered 16 of their last 22 games in October.
The Over is 7-3-1 in San Diego’s last 11 games as a road underdog.

Key Injuries - Nose tackle Jamal Williams (triceps) is out.
Center Nick Hardwick (knee) is out.
Linebacker Shawne Merriman (groin) is questionable.
LaDainian Tomlinson (ankle) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Steelers (-6.5, O/U 42.5): Pittsburgh is trying to avoid its first three-game losing streak in three seasons. The Steelers, like the Chargers, are having problems running the ball ranking 27th in rushing. Starting tailback Willie Parker has a toe injury and is not expected to play. Rashard Mendenhall will start with veteran Mewelde Moore also seeing action. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 71 percent of his throws, but has thrown more interceptions than touchdown passes and has been sacked seven times. The Steelers rank sixth in run defense, holding foes to 76.7 yards on the ground. Their secondary, though, is vulnerable to Philip Rivers without injured safety Troy Polamalu. Pittsburgh rarely loses at Heinz Field, having won 34 of its last 43 there. The Steelers are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games. Pittsburgh went 2-0 against the Chargers last season winning 11-10 at home and 35-24 in the playoffs at home.

The Steelers have gone Over in 14 of their last 19 games versus AFC opponents.
The Steelers are 46-20-2 to the Over in their last 68 home contests.

Key Injuries - Safety Troy Polamalu (knee) is out.
Running back Willie Parker (toe) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (UNDER - Total of the Day)

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**pm530** · 10-05-2009, 02:43 PM

NFL

Monday, October 5

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Tips and Trends
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Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

Packers: All the publicity is going to be about Brett Favre, who played 16 seasons for Green Bay. But the important factors for the Packers will be stopping Adrian Peterson first and protecting their own quarterback, Aaron Rodgers. The Packers’ offensive line hasn’t done the job allowing Rodgers to be sacked 12 times. Green Bay will be without its best pass blocker, left tackle Chad Clifton. He’s out with an ankle injury. Green Bay has excellent wide receivers headed by Greg Jennings and Donald Driver. The key is if Rodgers has time to find them. The Packers have covered five of the last six in the Metrodome. They are 5-1 straight-up in the last six overall games in the series. This is the first playoff foe the Packers are facing. Cornerback Charles Woodson is having another big season for Green Bay, but the Packers had trouble stopping Steven Jackson last week.

Green Bay is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 road games.
The Over is 10-3-1 in the Packers’ last 14 away contests.

Key Injuries - Offensive left tackle Chad Clifton (ankle) is out.
Safety Atari Bigby (knee) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

Minnesota (-3.5, O/U 45.5): Minnesota is bidding to open 4-0 for the first time since 2003. The Vikings entered this week ranked fourth in total defense, allowing 259.7 yards per game, while also recording eight sacks. Defensive end Jared Allen has two sacks and has forced two fumbles. But this matchup is all about Brett Favre going against his former team. Favre has thrown five touchdowns for Minnesota, while being intercepted just once. Adrian Peterson came into Week 4 leading the NFL in rushing with 357 yards and had scored four touchdowns. He is averaging 113 yards rushing and 6.3 yards per carry in four meetings against Green Bay. The Vikings have failed to cover in their last four games, needing a miracle touchdown pass from Favre to keep from being upset last week at home versus the 49ers. Minnesota is 3-11 against the spread following a victory.

The Over is 12-5-1 the past 18 times these teams have met.
The Over is 7-1-1 the last nine times the Vikings have hosted Green Bay.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 25 (Side of the Day)

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 4 (10/4 - 10/5)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 4 (10/4 - 10/5)

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