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NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (9/20 - 9/21)

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  • NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (9/20 - 9/21)





    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, September 20 – Monday, September 21

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    *************************************

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    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    NFL
    Short Sheet



    Sunday, 9/20/2009

    OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY
    , 1:00 PM ET
    OAKLAND: n/a
    KANSAS CITY: 17-6 ATS after allowing 35+ points

    HOUSTON at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
    HOUSTON: HOU 12-3 Over off a SU loss
    TENNESSEE: 8-0 ATS in September games

    NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
    NEW ENGLAND: 6-0 ATS Away vs. division
    NY JETS: 2-13 ATS at home 1st 2 wks of season

    CINCINNATI at GREEN BAY, 1:00 PM ET
    CINCINNATI: 22-43 ATS 1st month of season
    GREEN BAY: 8-2 ATS off home win

    MINNESOTA at DETROIT, 1:00 PM ET
    MINNESOTA: 6-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
    DETROIT: 0-6 ATS at home off road loss

    NEW ORLEANS at PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM ET
    NEW ORLEANS: n/a
    PHILADELPHIA: n/a

    CAROLINA at ATLANTA, 1:00 PM ET
    CAROLINA: 74-49 ATS as an underdog
    ATLANTA: 1-12 ATS at home off DD home win

    ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
    ST LOUIS: 0-9 ATS in September
    WASHINGTON: 6-0 Under as a favorite

    ARIZONA at JACKSONVILLE, 1:00 PM ET
    ARIZONA: 6-0 Over off an Under
    JACKSONVILLE: 0-6 ATS off division game

    SEATTLE at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:05 PM ET
    SEATTLE: 1-12 ATS off division win by 21+ points
    SAN FRANCISCO: 10-2 Over off underdog division win

    TAMPA BAY at BUFFALO, 4:05 PM ET
    TAMPA BAY: 27-7 Under 1st 2 wks of season
    BUFFALO: 0-4 ATS vs. NFC South

    CLEVELAND at DENVER, 4:15 PM ET
    CLEVELAND: 8-2 ATS after allowing 30+ points
    DENVER: 0-8 ATS as home favorite

    BALTIMORE at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
    BALTIMORE: 8-0 Under off cover as DD favorite
    SAN DIEGO: n/a

    PITTSBURGH at CHICAGO, 4:15 PM ET
    PITTSBURGH: 6-17 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
    CHICAGO: 6-0 ATS off division loss

    NY GIANTS at DALLAS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
    NY GIANTS: 15-3 ATS in road games
    DALLAS: 13-3 Over off ATS win


    Monday, 9/21/2009

    INDIANAPOLIS at MIAMI
    , 8:35 PM ET ESPN
    INDIANAPOLIS: 8-1 ATS off SU win/ATS loss
    MIAMI: 0-9 ATS at home off an Under

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL


      Week 2


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Sunday, September 20

      1:00 PM
      ARIZONA vs. JACKSONVILLE
      Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Jacksonville is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
      Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

      1:00 PM
      CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
      Carolina is 7-14-4 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
      Carolina is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
      Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
      Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

      1:00 PM
      CINCINNATI vs. GREEN BAY
      Cincinnati is 4-12-1 SU in its last 17 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
      Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
      Green Bay is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home

      1:00 PM
      HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
      Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
      Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
      Tennessee is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
      Tennessee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

      1:00 PM
      MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
      Minnesota is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
      Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
      Detroit is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

      1:00 PM
      NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
      New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      New England is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games on the road
      NY Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against New England
      NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against New England

      1:00 PM
      NEW ORLEANS vs. PHILADELPHIA
      New Orleans is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
      Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
      Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Orleans

      1:00 PM
      OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
      Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
      Oakland is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
      Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Kansas City is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games at home

      1:00 PM
      ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
      St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
      Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis

      4:05 PM
      SEATTLE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
      Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Seattle is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
      San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

      4:05 PM
      TAMPA BAY vs. BUFFALO
      Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
      Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
      Buffalo is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games
      Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

      4:15 PM
      BALTIMORE vs. SAN DIEGO
      Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
      San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

      4:15 PM
      CLEVELAND vs. DENVER
      Cleveland is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
      Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
      Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
      Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

      4:15 PM
      PITTSBURGH vs. CHICAGO
      Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
      Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

      8:20 PM
      NY GIANTS vs. DALLAS
      NY Giants are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games on the road
      NY Giants are 16-3 SU in their last 19 games on the road
      Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home



      Monday, September 21

      8:30 PM
      INDIANAPOLIS vs. MIAMI
      Indianapolis is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Miami
      The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 12 games when playing on the road against Miami
      Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
      Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL
        Long Sheet



        Week 2

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Sunday, September 20

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OAKLAND (0 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        KANSAS CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
        KANSAS CITY is 2-2 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
        TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW ENGLAND (0 - 0) at NY JETS (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW ENGLAND is 123-93 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        NY JETS are 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
        NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CINCINNATI (0 - 1) at GREEN BAY (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in September games since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at DETROIT (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DETROIT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
        DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW ORLEANS (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CAROLINA (0 - 1) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CAROLINA is 74-49 ATS (+20.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST LOUIS (0 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST LOUIS is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        ST LOUIS is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
        ST LOUIS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
        WASHINGTON is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 1:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        JACKSONVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
        JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SEATTLE (1 - 0) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 4:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SEATTLE is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a division game since 1992.
        SEATTLE is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN FRANCISCO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
        SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) at BUFFALO (0 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 4:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 4:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DENVER is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BALTIMORE (1 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 4:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN DIEGO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        BALTIMORE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
        SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 9/20/2009, 4:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PITTSBURGH is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
        CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY GIANTS (1 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 0) - 9/20/2009, 8:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DALLAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        NY GIANTS are 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
        DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Monday, September 21

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 1) - 9/21/2009, 8:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
        MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
        MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NFL
          Write-Up



          NFL Week 2 games

          Sunday, September 20

          Raiders (0-1) @ Chiefs (0-1)
          -- Road team won last five series games, with the Chiefs winning eight of last ten- Silver/Black won last two visits here, 20-17 and 23-8. Average total in last six series meetings is 30.3. Oakland has to travel off tough Monday loss, when they played their hearts out but lost 24-20 to Chargers; they had 148 rushing yards, beat San Diego up physically, but could not stop Bolts on last two drives. Ravens had 32 first downs against Chiefs in 38-24 Week 1 win; first two KC TDs came on blocked punt and 6-yard drive. Since 2002, Oakland is 3-12-1 vs spread as underdog of three or less points.

          Texans (0-1) @ Titans (0-1)-- Tennessee won seven of last eight series games, winning last four played here by 3-6-8-19 points; average total in the last three games here is 47. Titans have three extra days to prep for this after Thursday opener. Houston's only TD in ugly loss to Jets was scored by defense; they were outgained 462-183, had only 38 yards on 13 rushes-- Jets ran ball for 190 yards on 42 carries. Titans held Pittsburgh to 36 rushing yards, forced three turnovers, but Steelers had 11-yard edge in field position. Tennessee is 9-14 as a home favorite since '04. Houston is 25-29 as road dog in franchise history.

          Patriots (1-0) @ Jets (1-0)-- Pats travelling off close call in Monday opener; they've won eight of last 10 in series, winning last eight series games played here (last five wins by 16-10-7-24-9 points). Jets are just 5-10-1 vs spread at home last two years. 3-5 as home dog last three years, 2-6 as home dog vs its division rivals since 2003, but coach/QB combo of newcomers Ryan/Sanchez has invigorated franchise- they ran ball for 190 yds last week, converted 10-18 on third down. Pats threw the ball 53 times, ran it 23 times Monday- they're 16-8-1 vs spread as single digit favorite the last three years.

          Bengals (0-1) @ Packers (1-0)-- Cincinnati had brutal Week 1 loss, giving up an 87-yard TD pass on tipped ball in last minute, longest game-winning TD in last minute of 4th quarter in NFL history; Bengals threw two picks, ran ball for just 86 yards- their only TD came with 0:38 left. Green Bay got winning TD with 1:24 left to beat rival Bears- they were outgained by 66 yards, but picked Cutler off four times (+4 TO ratio). Packers are 11-7-1 vs spread as a single digit home favorite last three years. Bengals are 17-12 as road underdog since 2003, 6-4 as non-divisional road dog the last three seasons.

          Vikings (1-0) @ Lions (0-1)-- Since 2001, Vikings are 0-6 vs spread when they are double digit favorite. Lions had covered 10 of 11 as double digit dog before getting drilled in Superdome last week, as Brees tossed six TD passes. Vikes are 19-3 in last 22 series games, taking four of last five played here, but three of those four wins were by five points or less. Only twice in last ten series games have Vikings beaten the Lions by more than 10 points. Minnesota ran ball for 225 yards last week, as Peterson/Turner combo wore Cleveland down, but at some point, Favre will have to do more than 14-22/85 yards thru air.

          Saints (1-0) @ Eagles (1-0)-- McNabb has cracked rib, Vick isn't eligible yet, so could have Kolb getting start for Philly team that had seven takeaways and five sacks in 38-10 win at Carolina last week. Saints ran ball for 157 yards, passed for 358 vs Detroit last week, scoring 45 points despite turning ball over three times, so Eagles' new DC McDermott has his first real test after taking over for the late Jim Johnson. Philly is 4-12 as favorite of three or less points since '05, but they covered eight of last ten as a non-divisional home favorite. Saints are 5-8-2 vs spread as dog of three or less points since 2005.

          Panthers (0-1) @ Falcons (1-0)-- Visitor is 6-4 in last ten series games, with Panthers winning three of last four visits here, but Carolina was awful in 38-10 home loss last week, giving up an 85-yard punt return, turning ball over seven times- they had 70-yard TD drive first time they had ball, only scored three more points. Atlanta held Miami to 259 total yards, took ball away four times in 19-7 win- they had 25-yard edge in field position, starting five of their ten drives in Delphin territory. Panthers are 8-11-1 as single digit dog the last three years; Atlanta is now 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine games as single digit favorite.

          Rams (0-1) @ Redskins (0-1)-- Highlight of Rams' dismal 2-14 season LY was 19-17 upset of Redskins here in Week 6 (+13), when Skins outgained Rams 368-200, held them to 8 first downs but still lost on last second FG. St Louis got blanked 28-0 in Seattle last week, committing 10 penalties, two when the game was 0-0 and they had ball on Seattle 11-yard line. Washington looks to have shored up run defense (Giants ran ball for 31-103 last week) but gave up sack/fumble for TD and were down 17-0 before scoring first TD on a fake FG. Rams are 5-11 as road dog last 2+ years, but 4-2 when getting double digits.

          Cardinals (0-1) @ Jaguars (0-1)-- Both teams lost division games last week, so much urgency on both sides here. Jaguars lost home opener three of last four years, but they're 14-8-1 as non-divisional home favorite since 2003. Arizona is 23-38-3 as road dog this decade-- they outgained 49ers by 96 yards in 20-16 loss last week, holding SF to 21 yards on ground, but Warner looked immobile as Cards averaged just 5.5 per pass attempt and converted just 4 of 14 on 3rd down. Jaguars are 13-1 in last 14 home games vs NFC teams, but they passed for just 114 yards and were outgained 365-228 at Indy. Arizona in a sandwich between last week's opener and Monday night home game vs Colts next week.

          Seahawks (1-0) @ 49ers (1-0)-- Seattle won seven of last ten games vs 49ers, winning four of last five visits here, with wins by 15-2-20-21 points. Hawks are 12-19-1 vs spread on road since '05, 5-10-1 in last 16 games when spread was 3 or less points. Seattle is missing two starters on OL, but they're 8-2 vs spread in last 10 games as division favorite- they had 167 rushing yards, 279 thru air in easy win last week. Niners are 5-14-2 as dog of three or less points since '02; they went 3/out on eight of 13 drives last week, but held Redbirds to 40 yards rushing. Since '04, Niners are 4-6 vs spread as divisional home dog.

          Bucs (0-1) @ Bills (0-1)-- Buffalo had 11-point lead with 4:00 left Monday, snatched defeat from jaws of victory by fumbling kickoff in bitter loss to Pats, their 12th straight loss to NE. Now they come home to face young Buc team that gave up TD passes of 43-66-80 yards to TO-less Dallas (average of 12.3 yards/pass attempt, highest in NFL). Bucs did run ball for 174 yards, which is good sign; they're 7-11-1 vs spread as road dog since 2006, 6-15-1 as road dog in non-divisional games (since '02). Bills are 18-12 vs spread as single digit fave since '04, 7-4 as non-divisional home favorite since 2005.

          Browns (0-1) @ Broncos (1-0)-- Couple of ex-Belichick assistants meet here; Denver had miracle win in Cincinnati last week, holding Bengals scoreless for 59:00 before Cincy took short-lived lead with 0:38 left. Browns were riddled for 225 rushing yards by Vikings in 34-20 home loss; they're 9-6-1 as road dog in non-divisional games since '05, are 10-5 in last 15 games as single digit dog. Denver was 3-17-1 vs spread as home favorite in Shanahan's last three years; they're 8-24 vs spread as non-divisional home fave since '02. Quinn converted 3-12 on third down last week; Browns had two turnovers, allowed five sacks.

          Ravens (1-0) @ Chargers (1-0)-- San Diego showed guts in last 2:00 Monday night, driving 89 yards to score winning TD and escape Oakland with a 24-20 win. Baltimore had 32 first downs in win against Chiefs last week, after KC had grabbed 14-10 lead due to blocked punt and a turnover. Ravens were 10-17 on 3rd down, ran ball for 198 yards, passed for 303 as they outgained Chiefs 501-188. Baltimore is 15-22 as single digit dog since 2003. Since 2003, Bolts are 23-12-1 vs spread as home favorite; they're 13-8 as non-divisional home fave since '04. Chargers lost two offensive line starters to injury Monday nite.

          Steelers (1-0) @ Bears (0-1)-- Stat of the Week: Since 2002, Pittsburgh is 3-16 vs spread as favorite of three or less points; average total in their last four road openers is 25. Steelers are 2-7 as non-divisional road favorite since '06-- they have three extra days to prepare here, coming off Thursday's win. Cutler threw four picks in 21-15 loss at Lambeau; Bears are 5-3 as home dog since '05, 15-6 vs spread in game following last 21 losses. Chicago outgained the Pack by 126 yards, held Rodgers to 4.7 yds/pass attempt, but turnovers killed them-- they lost field position by 12 yards and went 3/out six times on their 13 drives.

          Giants (1-0) @ Cowboys (1-0)-- First real game in JerryDome; home field has not been big in this rivalry (home team just 6-5 last five years). Both sides had impressive wins last week; Manning averaged 8.3 yds/pass in 23-17 win over Redskins (was 17-7 at half, only Skin TD on fake FG), but Big Blue was weak in red zone (six points, three trips), struggled running in short yardage plays. Dallas showed explosiveness (TD passes of 42-80-66 yards) in 34-21 win at Tampa; their 12.3 yds/pass attempt led NFL last week. Giants are 7-3-1 as an underdog of three or less points since '06; Dallas is 6-0 as favorite of 3 points or less the last two seasons. Cowboys gave up 174 rushing yards in Tampa.


          Monday, September 21

          Colts (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1)
          -- Miami is just 3-12 vs spread at home the last two years; they had four turnovers last week in 19-7 loss at Atlanta-- defense held Falcons to 68 rushing yards, but lost field position by 25 yards. Fish are 8-12-2 vs spread as underdog of three or less points since '05. Colts are 7-4-1 vs spread as favorite of three or less points since '03; they're 14-7-1 as a road favorite in non-divisional games since '01. Indy outgained Jax 365-228 in 14-12 win last week, holding Garrard to 3.9 yds/pass attempt; they converted 8-14 on 3rd down, but turned ball over twice on nine drives. Indy won 16 of its last 20 prtimetime games.

          Comment


          • #6
            NFL


            Friday, September 18

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            NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 2 betting notes
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            Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-6.5)

            Why Panthers cover: The Falcons allowed almost five yards per carry to the Dolphins last week. Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams could chew up yardage and take the pressure off Jake Delhomme. Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.

            Why Falcons cover: Tony Gonzalez has given Matt Ryan another threat in the passing game. Both looked good in Week 1. Delhomme was terrible last week and could be pulled in favor of newly signed A.J. Feeley if he struggles. Panthers are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings in Atlanta.

            Total (43): Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Atlanta.

            St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (-10)

            Why Rams cover: Coach Steve Spagnuolo made a living by shutting down the Redskins as the Giants' defensive coordinator. Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.

            Why Redskins cover: Have won six of past nine meetings. Rams' offense was non-existent against Seattle and was kept off the scoreboard. Defense should dominate a porous Rams offensive line.

            Total (37): Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

            Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-6.5)

            Why Texans cover: Underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Depleted secondary could get a much needed lift with the return on Eugene Wilson, Jacques Reeves and Dunta Robinson. Steve Slaton has rushed for over 100 yards both times he has faced Tennessee.

            Why Titans cover: Have won seven of last eight meetings. Houston's offense bumbled its way through a 24-7 loss to the Jets in the opening week. Held Pittsburgh to 36 rushing yards in Week 1. Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings.

            Total (40 1/2): Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

            New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)

            Why Saints cover: Drew Brees threw for six scores last week as offense amassed over 500 yards. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Philly will likely start Kevin Kolb in place of the injured Donovan McNabb. Kolb has looked terrible every time he steps under center.

            Why Eagles cover: Have won seven of last nine meetings. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings. Defense dominated the Panthers in Week 1 by constantly putting pressure on the quarterback.

            Total (46): Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

            New England Patriots at New York Jets (+3.5)

            Why Patriots cover: Are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New York. Have won four of last five meetings. Tom Brady showed no signs of rust in his first game back, passing for 378 yards and two TDs. Favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Road team is 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 meetings.

            Why Jets cover: Mark Sanchez had a stellar NFL debut, passing for 272 yards and a score. New England barely squeaked out a win against Buffalo even though they were a 10.5-point fave. Pats will be without last year's Defensive Rookie of the Year, Jerod Mayo, who suffered a knee injury last week.

            Total (46 1/2): Over is 4-1 in Jets' last five home games and 7-1 in Patriots' last eight games overall.

            Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-3)

            Why Raiders cover: Are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Kansas City. Out played San Diego for most of last week's game. New Raider Richard Seymour suited up Monday night and dominated the Chargers with six tackles and two sacks. Road team is 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 meetings. Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

            Why Chiefs cover: Have won 10 of last 12 meetings. Matt Cassel could return from injury this week. If not, Brodie Croyle, who played well against Baltimore last week, would replace him. JaMarcus Russell still hasn't looked like an NFL QB, completing only 40 percent of his passes in Week 1.

            Total (38 1/2): Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

            Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3)

            Why Cardinals cover: Are 5-1 ATS in their last six games. Jaguars are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games. David Garrard had a disappointing first week, completing only 50 percent of his passes for 122 yards. He could be on the hot seat if he can't turn things around. Jacksonville will be without defensive captain Reggie Hayward, who is out for the season with a broken leg.

            Why Jaguars cover: Have won both previous meetings. Kurt Warner had to rely mostly on dump offs against the 49ers, as Arizona had trouble getting their vertical passing game going. The Cardinals don't play well visiting the East Coast.

            Total (42 1/2): Under is 5-1 in Jaguars' last six games overall.

            Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-9)

            Why Bengals cover: Defense held Broncos offense in check for most of last week's game. Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. Green Bay's offensive line had difficulty protecting Aaron Rodgers against Chicago.

            Why Packers cover: Have won three of last four meetings. Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Carson Palmer looked rusty last week after missing most of last season and this preseason with injuries.

            Total (42): Under is 5-0 in Bengals' last five games and 4-1 in Packers' last five games.

            Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (+10)

            Why Vikings cover: Are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. Have won 13 of past 14 meetings. Detroit allowed over 500 yards of total offense last week. Adrian Peterson and Brett Favre should have a field day.

            Why Lions cover: Calvin Johnson averaged over 80 yards and scored two TDs against Minnesota last season. Surprisingly, the Vikings struggled with the run last week. Detroit could pound the ball to control the clock and keep Minnesota's offense off the field.

            Total (46 1/2): Over is 7-2 in Vikings' last nine road games and 19-7-1 in Lions., last 27 games overall.

            Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-5)

            Why Buccaneers cover: Have won six of last seven meetings. Offense looked good in Week 1. Newcomers Byron Leftwich and Derrick Ward played well and Cadillac Williams (97 yards, TD) showed he has recovered from another knee injury. Buffalo's tendency to blow leads late in game continued last week. Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

            Why Bills cover: Buccaneers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Fred Jackson (140 total yards, TD) dominated New England in place of suspended Marshawn Lynch. The once-dominant Bucs defense is no more. Dallas put 462 yards against a team that obviously misses defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin.

            Total (42 1/2): Over is 9-3 in Buccaneers' last 12 road games.

            Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-1)

            Why Seahawks cover: Are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in San Francisco. Have won nine of last 12 meetings. Defense shut out Rams last week and could stonewall Frank Gore who averaged 1.4 yards per carry against Arizona. Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

            Why 49ers cover: Are 8-3 with Shaun Hill as starting QB and surprised NFC champion Cardinals 20-16 last week. Seahawks will be without starting linebacker Leroy Hill who has a groin injury. Seattle receivers T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Deion Branch are both banged up.

            Total (39 1/2): Under is 7-2-1 in Seahawks' last 10 games and 5-1 in 49ers' last six games.

            Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+3)

            Why Steelers cover: Are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Have won past three meetings. Jay Cutler looked lost throwing four interceptions against Green Bay. Passing game dominated Titans in opening week.

            Why Bears cover: Steelers' defense will suffer without catalyst Troy Polamalu who is out with a knee injury. Defense could get to Ben Roethlisberger who is constantly under pressure due to bad pass protection. Pittsburgh struggled running the ball last week, averaging 1.6 yards per carry.

            Total (37 1/2): Over is 5-2 in Steelers' last seven road games and 20-8 in Bears' last 28 home games.

            Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (-3)

            Why Browns cover: Denver's offense only managed 11 points versus the lowly Bengals, with seven coming off fluky tipped pass to Brandon Stokley to win the game. Broncos are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 home games.

            Why Broncos cover: Have won past eight meetings. Running game could rack up yardage against a Cleveland defense that allowed 180 yards and three TDs to Adrian Peterson last week. Browns are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games. Jamal Lewis is dealing with a neck injury that has limited him in practice this week.

            Total (37 1/2): Under is 5-1 in Broncos' last six home games.

            Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers (-3)

            Why Ravens cover: Have won three of last four meetings. Second-year players Joe Flacco and Ray Rice continued their maturation in Week 1 and look to dominate a Chargers' defense that couldn't stop the Raiders Monday night. LaDainian Tomlinson could be out with an ankle injury.

            Why Chargers cover: Usually-sound Baltimore defense struggled at times with a weak Chiefs' team. Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in San Diego.

            Total (40 1/2): Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

            New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

            Why Giants cover: Tony Romo injured his ankle against Tampa Bay and could have a hard time evading New York's pass rush. Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw could batter a Cowboys' defense that allowed 174 yards on the ground last week.

            Why Cowboys cover: Have won four of past five meetings. Romo could pick apart beat up Giants secondary that could be missing up to four defensive backs. Defense has a knack for getting to Eli Manning. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

            Total (43 1/2): Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Dallas.

            Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (+3)

            Why Colts cover: New blitz-heavy defensive scheme could prove too much for a Miami offense that turned the ball over four times last week. Tight end Dallas Clark could have a big day against a defense that had a hard time stopping Tony Gonzalez (73 yards, 14.6 average, TD). Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

            Why Dolphins cover: Have won four of past six meetings. With Marvin Harrison gone and Anthony Gonzalez injured, Indy will start an unproven wideout across from Reggie Wayne, who is sure to see multiple double teams. Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings. Underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings.

            Total (42): Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

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            Comment


            • #7
              NFL
              Dunkel Index



              Arizona at Jacksonville
              The Jaguars look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a road underdog between 1 and 3 points. Jacksonville is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Jaguars favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

              SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

              Game 205-206: Oakland at Kansas City
              Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 124.371; Kansas City 126.733
              Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
              Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 38 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3); Over

              Game 207-208: Houston at Tennessee
              Dunkel Ratings: Houston 132.988; Tennessee 136.809
              Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4; 39
              Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7; 40 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Under

              Game 209-210: New England at NY Jets
              Dunkel Ratings: New England 136.277; NY Jets 131.730
              Dunkel Line: New England by 4 1/2; 47
              Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: New England (-3 1/2); Over

              Game 211-212: Cincinnati at Green Bay
              Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 127.925; Green Bay 137.301
              Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 43
              Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9; 42
              Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-9); Over

              Game 213-214: Minnesota at Detroit
              Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 131.854; Detroit 122.630
              Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 9; 49
              Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10; 46 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+10); Over

              Game 215-216: New Orleans at Philadelphia
              Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 137.668; Philadelphia 141.656
              Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 4; 44
              Vegas Line: Pick; 46
              Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia; Under

              Game 217-218: Carolina at Atlanta
              Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 131.424; Atlanta 136.567
              Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 47
              Vegas Line: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 43
              Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+6 1/2); Over

              Game 219-220: St. Louis at Washington
              Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.293; Washington 129.639
              Dunkel Line: Washington by 8 1/2; 37 1/2
              Vegas Line: Washington by 10; 37
              Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+10); Over

              Game 221-222: Arizona at Jacksonville
              Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 129.561; Jacksonville 134.597
              Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 5; 44 1/2
              Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 42 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-3); Over

              Game 223-224: Seattle at San Francisco
              Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 128.202; San Francisco 128.607
              Dunkel Line: Even; 40
              Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 39 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1 1/2); Over

              Game 225-226: Tampa Bay at Buffalo
              Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.089; Buffalo 132.419
              Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 39
              Vegas Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2; 42
              Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-4 1/2); Under

              Game 227-228: Cleveland at Denver
              Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.898; Denver 127.463
              Dunkel Line: Even; 35
              Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 38
              Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under

              Game 229-230: Baltimore at San Diego
              Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 136.831; San Diego 142.454
              Dunkel Line: San Diego by 5 1/2; 36
              Vegas Line: San Diego by 3; 38
              Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-3); Under

              Game 231-232: Pittsburgh at Chicago
              Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 139.209; Chicago 136.904
              Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 40 1/2
              Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 37 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Over

              Game 233-234: NY Giants at Dallas
              Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.700; Dallas 139.948
              Dunkel Line: Dallas by 2; 42
              Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 44 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under


              MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 21

              Game 235-236: Indianapolis at Miami
              Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.704; Miami 133.365
              Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 37
              Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 42
              Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Under

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              Comment


              • #8
                NFL


                Sunday, September 20

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                Sunday Night Football: Giants at Cowboys
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                New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3, 45)

                Rivalry renewed

                This will be the sixth time the Giants and Cowboys will have met since the start of the 2007 season, with Dallas owning a slight 3-2 edge both SU and ATS.

                However, the Giants have won two of the last three meetings, last winning here in Dallas during the 2008 NFL Playoffs.

                Cowboys WR Patrick Crayton says that the rivalry is growing.

                “It's starting to be that way because there's not as much chitter-chatter between us and the Redskins and the Eagles,” Crayton said earlier this week. “There's respect there. We kind of don't respect the Giants. We respect them for what they do on the field, but I mean there's a lot of chitter-chatter.”

                Giants RB Brandon Jacobs had this to add.

                "Dallas doesn't like us, and a couple of guys on their team made that pretty clear earlier in the week," Jacobs said. "We have guys in this locker room who are going to make that clear as well. We don't like each other. It's a rivalry that has been going for a long time and I am really excited to be a part of it."

                Manning vs. Romo

                This game comes down to which quarterback can play mistake-free football.

                The Giants’ lack of depth at wide receiver was the talk of the town during the preseason, but it wasn’t an issue in Week 1.

                Manning hit seven different targets and threw for 256 yards in the Giants 23-17 win over the Redskins.

                He’ll have one less target to work with this week as Hakeem Nicks is out indefinitely due to a sprained foot suffered last Sunday.

                As for Romo, he had a huge day in Tampa, racking up 353 yards passing and three touchdowns.

                You could almost hear Romo breathing a sigh of relief when the Cowboys finally cut ties with Terrell Owens. Last week, he was finally able to spread the ball around without fear of a T.O. backlash.

                Patrick Crayton, Roy Williams and Jason Witten each caught at least three passes for a combined 292 yards.

                Injury concerns

                The Giants will be without defensive tackle Chris Canty Sunday and with Jay Alford already sidelined, that leaves them with just three defensive tackles.

                “It’s a situation where you’ve just got to keep your conditioning up because you know you’re not going to have that kind of rotation and hopefully it’s not too hot down there,” said DT Barry Cofield. “Thank goodness it’s a night game.”

                It may not seem like that big of a deal, but if the tackles are worn down and not generating a pass rush, Tony Romo could pick them apart.

                Nice digs

                Of course one of the biggest storylines this week is the opening of new Cowboys Stadium. There have already been two preseason games played here, but this will mark the regular season debut.

                The Cowboys hope that their recent success as hosts will carry over to their new home.

                They went 6-2 SU in Dallas a year ago. They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.

                They’ll be in tough against a Giants team that has covered in nine of its last 10 games as a road underdog and is 21-6 ATS in its last 27 games overall.

                Sharp total

                The over has cashed in three of the last five meetings in this series.

                The only two games to play under the total during that time featured totals set at 46.5 points or higher.

                We’re looking at a flat 45 for Sunday, up a full point since opening at 44.

                The money continues to pour in on the over, so don’t be surprised if this total hits 46 before kickoff.

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                Comment


                • #9
                  NFL


                  Sunday, September 20


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                  Tips and Trends
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                  Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers [4:15 PM ET]

                  Ravens: Defense has always been the Ravens’ strength. But with second-year quarterback Joe Flacco passing for 307 yards and three touchdowns, the Ravens piled up a franchise-best 501 total yards in beating the Chiefs last week, 38-24. Flacco is going to be passing more this season so Baltimore’s offense should be improved because it also has good running backs led by Ray Rice. The Ravens remain a top-notch defensive club with Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and Terrell Suggs. They helped Baltimore give up the second-fewest yards in the NFL last season, while forcing a league-best 34 turnovers. The Ravens haven’t allowed a running back to rush for 100 yards in 36 straight games, which also is a league-high. Baltimore is 13-4 against the spread since John Harbaugh became the coach last season. The Ravens have covered five of seven times as a road ‘dog under Harbaugh.

                  The Ravens are 9-2 ATS their past 11 games versus AFC foes.
                  The Over is 15-7 in the Ravens’ last 22 games against AFC competition.

                  Key Injuries - Defensive tackle Haloti Ngata (ankle) is questionable.

                  PROJECTED SCORE: 19 (Side of the Day)

                  Chargers (-3, O/U 40): The Chargers have won 22 of their last 27 home games, going 18-9 against the spread. However, they won’t have running back LaDainian Tomlinson and might not have two offensive line starters, including center Nick Hardwick. The Chargers rushed for just 77 yards on 23 carries in last Monday’s 24-20 road win against Oakland. The Chargers didn’t pull out that victory until Darren Sproles scored with 18 seconds left. Because of playing on Monday, the Chargers have had one less day to practice. San Diego had trouble stepping up in class last year during the regular season, losing to Atlanta at home, Indianapolis at home, Pittsburgh on the road, Miami on the road and Carolina at home. San Diego has failed to cover six of the past eight times it has been a favorite. The Chargers are 10-4 against the number as a home favorite, though.

                  The Chargers are 8-0 to the Over in their last 8 September games.
                  The home team in this series has covered 6 of the last seven times.

                  Keyf Injuries - Running back LaDainian Tomlinson (ankle) is out.
                  Center Nick Hardwick (knee) is doubtful.
                  Guard Louis Vasquez (foot) is questionable.

                  PROJECTED SCORE: 21



                  New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys [NBC | 8:20 PM ET]

                  Giants: The Giants have been the best road warriors in the NFL going 14-3 straight-up and 15-2 against the spread in their last 17 road outings. However, the Cowboys have defeated the Giants four of the past five times, including going 3-1 in their last four home contests. Dallas sacked Eli Manning eight times in the team’s last meeting in Dallas, which was a 20-8 Cowboys victory on Dec. 14. The Giants held the Redskins to 272 yards in a 23-17 opening-week victory last Sunday, forcing two turnovers and getting three sacks. The Giants get back suspended linebacker Michael Boley. However, they have a cluster injury problem in their secondary. Cornerback Aaron Ross is out. Cornerback Kevin Dockery missed last week, but is expected to play, while safeties Kenny Phillips and Michael Johnson are both banged-up. Tony Romo has torched the Giants for 1,370 yards and 12 touchdowns in his career.

                  The Giants are 16-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
                  The Under has cashed in 13 of the Giants’ last 19 road games.

                  Key Injuries - Cornerback Aaron Ross (hamstring) is out.
                  Running back Danny Ware (elbow) is out.
                  Wide receiver Hakeem Nicks (foot) is out.
                  Defensive lineman Chris Canty (calf) is doubtful.

                  PROJECTED SCORE: 21

                  Cowboys (-3, O/U 44.5): Excitement should fill the air for this Sunday night matchup as Dallas opens its new $1.15 billion dollar stadium. Tony Romo threw for three touchdowns and 353 yards opening week leading the Cowboys past Tampa Bay, 34-21. Roy Williams and Patrick Crayton gave early word that Dallas wouldn’t miss Terrell Owens as they accounted for 221 of the receiving yards. The Cowboys did surrender 450 yards to Tampa Bay, the most they’ve allowed in 36 games. The Buccaneers rushed for 174 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, while holding DeMarcus Ware to no sacks. The Cowboys still covered the spread pushing their mark to 6-1 against the number when favored. Dallas has a history of starting slow. The Cowboys have covered in eight of their past 10 September games. However, Dallas has struggled when meeting NFC East Division foes failing to cover in eight of their last 10 matchups.

                  Dallas is 4-9 ATS versus teams with a winning record.
                  The Under is 10-4 the past 14 times these two teams have met in Dallas.

                  Key Injuries - None

                  PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (OVER - Total of the Day)


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                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NFL


                    Monday, September 21

                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    What bettors need to know: Colts at Dolphins
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins (+3, 42)

                    Turnover story

                    Miami had a +17 turnover ratio last season which led the league and contributed to its run to the playoffs. This year the Dolphins are off to a bad start after fumbling three times and losing another on an interception against an average Atlanta defensive unit.

                    Holding the Line

                    Indianapolis has the horses to put pressure on Chad Pennington with Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis on the edges. Atlanta was able to get four sacks primarily against Miami second year OT Jake Long.

                    On the flip side, a lot of attention is being put on Colts LT Charlie Johnson who returned to practice on Friday after dealing with a back injury. Johnson managed to overtake third-year tackle Tony Ugoh, who had started there the past two seasons. Indy managed only 71 yards on 31 rushing attempts last week.

                    Help wanted

                    The Colts offense lost a valuable cog last week with Anthony Gonzalez going down with a knee injury. Hank Baskett was brought in to attempt to take the place of the former Ohio State wideout. Baskett was never higher than third or fourth on the depth chart while with the Eagles.

                    Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie will also attempt to fill the void, with the two combining for only nine career receptions in the NFL. Luckily for Indy, Peyton Manning still has Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. Wayne had 10 receptions in a 14-12 win over the Jaguars while Clark has caught the most touchdowns at the tight end position since 2007.

                    Monday night magic

                    The Dolphins have not been on Monday Night Football since November of 2007 when they lost 3-0 at Pittsburgh in a game that could’ve cure the worst case of insomnia. The current Dolphins are excited for their opportunity to showcase this year’s team.

                    "Monday night is one of the few regular-season games that mimic a playoff-style atmosphere, playoff tempo,'' quarterback Chad Pennington said. "It is always special to play on Monday nights.''

                    The Colts are used to the extra attention. They’ve played a MNF game every year since 1999.

                    Trends

                    The Dolphins are 1-5 over the past three seasons against the spread as a home underdog of three points or less. Miami has failed to cover in 13 of its last 16 games home games.

                    Indianapolis is 5-2 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the past three seasons. They’ve been in 15 MNF games since 1992 and are 10-5 in those games.

                    Nine of the 12 games played in Miami between these two teams have gone over the total since 1992.

                    Line Movement

                    The Colts opened up at -3.5 but the line has fallen to -3 at many places. The total opened up at 43 and has slowly dipped down to 42.

                    Weather

                    The weather may be a factor in this game. There’s a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms with the wind going east at 12 mph. The temperature will be 88 degrees and balmy.

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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NFL

                      Monday, September 21


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                      Tips and Trends
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                      Indianapolis Colts at Miami Dolphins [ESPN | 8:35 PM ET]

                      Ravens (-3, O/U 42): The Colts are going for their 11th consecutive regular-season victory. Led by Peyton Manning, the Colts are used to prime time. They have covered the past five times they’ve been a Monday night favorite of two or more points and have won seven of their past eight Monday night games. Indianapolis also is 7-0 against the number as non-division road chalk in September. Indianapolis is 18-3 straight-up during September since 2003. The Colts limited Jacksonville to 228 yards in posting a 14-12 victory last week despite not having star safety Bob Sanders, who remains out. Manning was 28-of-38 passing for 301 yards against the Jaguars while frequently targeting star wideout Reggie Wayne, who hauled in 10 balls for 162 yards and a touchdown. The Colts, though, lost No. 2 wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez meaning second-year pro Pierre Garcon and rookie Austin Collie are in line for increased playing time.

                      The Colts are 10-4 to the Under in their past 14 September games.
                      The road team is 8-2 ATS during the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

                      Key Injuries - Safety Bob Sanders (knee) is out.
                      Wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez (knee) is out.
                      Offensive tackle Charlie Johnson (back) is questionable.
                      Cornerback Jerraud Powers (groin) is questionable.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 23

                      Dolphins: Miami hasn’t played on Monday night since Christmas of 2006. The Dolphins’ revamped 3-4 defense held the Falcons to 68 yards on the ground last week and less than 300 yards of offense. However, the Dolphins committed four turnovers and lost 19-7 to the Falcons. The Colts have had problems with aggressive 3-4 defenses in the past. The key for the Dolphins is their running attack spearheaded by Ronnie Brown. Miami wants to play ball control to keep three-time Most Valuable Player Peyton Manning off the field. The Dolphins have lost and failed to cover in their first home game during each of the past three seasons. They also have failed to cover in their second game each of the past four years. Miami is 16-35-1 against the spread in its last 52 home contests. The Dolphins are 1-8-2 against the spread in their past 11 September games.

                      The Dolphins are 10-2 to the under in Week 2 the past 12 years.
                      The underdog in this series has covered 8 of the last nine times.

                      Key Injuries - Linebacker Akin Ayodele (back) is questionable.
                      Defensive end Matt Roth (groin) is out.

                      PROJECTED SCORE: 20 (OVER - Total of the Day)


                      Side of the Day is in MLB.


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                      Last edited by Udog; 09-21-2009, 11:08 AM.

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