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Monday Trends and Indexes 9/7 (MLB, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    MLB
    Short Sheet



    Monday, 9/7/2009

    National League

    CHICAGO CUBS at PITTSBURGH
    , 12:35 PM ET
    LILLY: CHC 82-41 as a favorite of -125 to -175
    MCCUTCHEN: PIT 13-31 in day games

    ST LOUIS at MILWAUKEE, 2:05 PM ET
    CARPENTER: STL 16-1 as a favorite of -175 to -250
    BUSH: MIL 12-20 in September

    PHILADELPHIA at HOUSTON, 2:05 PM ET
    HAPP: PHI 7-11 as a favorite of -175 to -250
    MOEHLER: HOU 20-9 at home against NL East

    CINCINNATI at COLORADO, 3:10 PM ET
    BAILEY: CIN 5-0 in September
    JIMENEZ: 6-13 TSR in day games

    LA DODGERS at ARIZONA, 3:40 PM ET
    PADILLA: LAD 32-11 when the total is 9 to 9.5
    SCHERZER: ARI 10-20 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

    SAN DIEGO at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:05 PM ET
    RICHARD: SD 21-47 as a road underdog of +125 to +175
    PENNY: 9-0 TSR on Mondays

    American League

    TAMPA BAY at NY YANKEES
    , 1:05 PM ET - *** Doubleheader Game #1
    GARZA: 1-7 TSR AWAY when the total is 9 to 9.5
    SABATHIA: NYY 18-5 after 6+ consecutive road games

    TAMPA BAY at NY YANKEES, 7:05 ET PM - *** Doubleheader Game #2
    SONNANSTINE: TB 20-10 UNDER as an underdog
    BURNETT: 15-5 UNDER when working on 5 or 6 days rest

    MINNESOTA at TORONTO, 1:07 PM ET
    MANSHIP: MIN 30-15 OVER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
    RICHMOND: TOR 21-37 when the total is 9 to 9.5

    BOSTON at CHI WHITE SOX, 2:05 PM ET
    BECKETT: 11-1 TSR as a road favorite of -125 to -150
    BUEHRLE: 20-6 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125

    LA ANGELS at KANSAS CITY, 2:10 PM ET
    SANTANA: LAA 30-11 in day games
    DAVIES: KC 6-22 as a home underdog

    TEXAS at CLEVELAND, 6:05 PM ET
    HUNTER: TEX 11-3 after a loss by 6+ runs
    CARRASCO: CLE 11-21 after 2+ consecutive unders

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Comment


    • #17
      CFL
      Dunkel Index



      Edmonton at Calgary
      The Stampeders look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win. Calgary is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2).

      MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

      Game 405-406: Toronto at Hamilton

      Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 104.226; Hamilton 111.289
      Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 7; 39 1/2
      Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5 1/2; 47
      Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5 1/2); Under

      Game 407-408: Edmonton at Calgary
      Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 109.127; Calgary 115.943
      Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7; 54 1/2
      Vegas Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 60 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2); Under

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



      CFL
      Long Sheet


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Monday, September 7
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (2 - 6) at HAMILTON (4 - 4) - 9/7/2009, 4:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      TORONTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (5 - 3) at CALGARY (4 - 4) - 9/7/2009, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



      CFL
      Write-up


      Week 10 CFL

      Monday, September 7

      Toronto (2-6) @ Hamilton (4-4)-- Argos (-2) won season opener here 30-17, leading 30-3 at half; they're 1-6 since then, losing last four games by average score of 24-15. Hamilton won last three home games since the opener, allowing 17.3 ppg- they covered six of last seven games, but allowed 33-31 points in losing last two games. All four Hamilton home games stayed under total, as did five of last six Argonaut games.

      Edmonton (5-3) @ Calgary (4-4)-- Eskimos won four of last five games, taking last two by combined total of four points- they allowed 30+ pts in five of last seven games. Stampeders (+1) lost 38-35 to Eskimos three weeks ago, despite 30-45/460 passing day for Burris; Stamps are 2-2 at home; they're 3-1 when they score 31+ points, 1-3 otherwise. Five of last seven Edmonton games went over the total.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------



      CFL


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Monday, September 7

      4:00 PM
      TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
      Toronto is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Hamilton
      Toronto is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Hamilton
      Hamilton is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
      Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

      7:30 PM
      EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
      Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
      Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
      Calgary is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Edmonton
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Edmonton

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      CFL


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Canadian bacon: CFL Week 10 preview and picks
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Monday, September 7

      Toronto Argonauts at Hamilton Tiger Cats (-6, 47.5)

      The Tiger Cats have been playing disciplined football and, within the limits of their talent, it has proven positive since the start of the season. The Argos, despite the fact they seem more talented on paper, have found ways to shoot themselves in the foot and it becomes more obvious each week that their head coach Bart Andrus is no Marc Trestman and that he struggles to master the subtleties of 3-down football. Kevin Glenn and Quinton Porter have proved more accurate than Kerry Joseph, rookie DeAndra’ Cobb is a better running back than Jamal Robertson and defensively, the Tiger Cats play with more cohesion. It won’t be easy, it won’t be pretty but Hamilton should again take advantage of their opponent’s mistakes to steal a victory. The six points, however, is another story.

      Pick: Toronto +6


      Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders (-6, 60)

      Ricky Ray has been on fire in the past month and the Eskimos are finally playing to their potential, having won four of their last five - three of them after trailing late in a game. This team has character, no doubt about it. Arkee Whitlock, who had a tough start, is becoming a solid and versatile running back. He rushed for 302 yards in his last two games, scoring three touchdowns for the Eskimos. But can they beat the Stampeders at McMahon Stadium? They only did so once in their last four visits in Calgary. The Eskimos are, in my humble opinion, the best team in the West. But when they meet their Alberta rivals, in Calgary, logic doesn’t prevail.

      Pick: Calgary -6

      (Last Week 2-0, season 19-13)

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