Thursday Trends and Indexes 9/3 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

WNBA
Dunkel Index


Seattle at Washington
The Storm look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games versus the Eastern Conference. Seattle is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

Game 601-602: Seattle at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 114.076; Washington 110.518
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 3 1/2; 140 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2); Under

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WNBA
Long Sheet

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Thursday, September 3
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SEATTLE (19 - 11) at WASHINGTON (14 - 15) - 9/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 174-222 ATS (-70.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, September 3

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bet
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Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics (-2, 143)

The big story in the lone Thursday WNBA matchup is about who won’t be playing. Storm center and former WNBA MVP Lauren Jackson hasn’t played the last two games and isn’t expected to play against Washington because of a stress fracture in her back.

Other Seattle players are stepping up in Jackson’s absence. The club has won six straight (5-0-1 against the spread) and is hot on the Mercury’s heels for top spot in the Western Conference.

“Our goal is still to win the conference,” Seattle coach Brian Agler said after his club’s most recent victory. “Even though we’re in (the playoffs), we’re still trying to fight for position out in the West. We still feel like we have a chance to get first place.”

The Mystics aren’t going to catch the Fever for the top seed in the East, but they could end up as high as second if they finish strong.

The chances of a late run may have disappeared after All-Star guard Alana Beard had to be helped off the floor in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s game against Minnesota.

“She’s playing through a lot of pain right now,” Mystics coach Julie Plank told the Washington Times. “I know she would give anything to be out there. The most important thing for our team is that they’re 100 percent.”

Plank sounded optimistic about her star’s availability for Thursday’s game, but if she does play it might be limited.

Pick: Storm

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[pm530]

Looking to this week’s CFL games for Friday, Sunday and Monday.
More info should be provided in tomorrow’s thread.


CFL
Dunkel Index


Montreal at BC
The Lions look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 meetings in BC. BC is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: BC (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 401-402: Montreal at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 117.670; BC 112.602
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+6 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 6

Game 403-404: Winnipeg at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 108.150; Saskatchewan 112.885
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+7); Over


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

Game 405-406: Toronto at Hamilton
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 104.226; Hamilton 111.289
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 7; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 109.127; Calgary 115.943
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5 1/2); Under

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CFL
Long Sheet


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Friday, September 4
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MONTREAL (7 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 5) - 9/4/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 6
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WINNIPEG (3 - 5) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 4) - 9/6/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 7
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TORONTO (2 - 6) at HAMILTON (4 - 4) - 9/7/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (5 - 3) at CALGARY (4 - 4) - 9/7/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-up


Week 10 CFL

Friday, September 4

Montreal (7-1) @ BC Lions (3-5)-- Lions are 3-0 when they score 35+ points, 0-5 when they don't- they've lost three of four home games, are 2-2 vs spread as a dog. BC is -11 in turnovers last five games, coughing ball up 17 times. Als are 3-1 on road, with 13 points closest win- they outscored last three foes 37-11 in second half. Lions gave up 393 yards on ground to Winnipeg in last game. Four of Als' last five stayed under.

Sunday, September 6

Winnipeg (3-5) @ Saskatchewan (4-4)-- Bombers ran ball for 393 yards, outscored BC 17-0 in second half of last game. Riders are 3-0 when they allow 25 or less points, 1-4 when they don't; they're 2-2 at home- this is just second time they're favored this season (0-1). Riders were outscored 54-24 in second half of last three games. Underdog covered all five road games for Winnipeg, with Blue Bombers 4-0 as a road underdog.

Monday, September 7
Toronto (2-6) @ Hamilton (4-4)-- Argos (-2) won season opener here 30-17, leading 30-3 at half; they're 1-6 since then, losing last four games by average score of 24-15. Hamilton won last three home games since the opener, allowing 17.3 ppg- they covered six of last seven games, but allowed 33-31 points in losing last two games. All four Hamilton home games stayed under total, as did five of last six Argonaut games.

Edmonton (5-3) @ Calgary (4-4)-- Eskimos won four of last five games, taking last two by combined total of four points- they allowed 30+ pts in five of last seven games. Stampeders (+1) lost 38-35 to Eskimos three weeks ago, despite 30-45/460 passing day for Burris; Stamps are 2-2 at home; they're 3-1 when they score 31+ points, 1-3 otherwise. Five of last seven Edmonton games went over the total.

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CFL


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Trend Report
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Friday, September 4

10:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games


Sunday, September 6

4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 12 games


Monday, September 7

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
Hamilton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing Edmonton

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[pm530]

Len’s Top Five


Thursday, September 3

Len's Top 5

Happy Thursday everyone, here's my Top 5 for September 3, 2009 from Len Berman Sports.

1. Quick Hits

* Senator Schilling. Former Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling has some interest in Teddy Kennedy's Senate seat. So do I.

* Who knew the Canadian Football League had standards? Winnipeg says they are not pursuing Pacman Jones. They want good athletes "on and off the field."

* The big names all cruised at the U.S. Open. Next up for Roger Federer, Lleyton Hewitt in the third round.

* Jason Giambi's first hit as a Colorado Rockie, a pinch hit two run single, is the game winner against the Mets. The Rockies lead the Giants by one game for the National League wild card.

* Welcome to fall. College football season begins tonight.

2. Joe Fan

If the average fan wants to go to the World Series at Yankee Stadium he can kiss his wallet goodbye. Only 735 tickets out of 50,000 will be available to the "general public" per game. Season ticket holders and Major League Baseball get the rest. So you wanna take Johnnie to his first World Series game? Get ready to pay the scalper. Hey, you think they made the World Series and Super Bowl for regular people?

3. Thursday Night Football

The final pre-season games are tonight and tomorrow. They get them out of the way early so the teams can heal up for the regular season next week. While many eyes and ears will be on Michael Vick in the Meadowlands facing the Jets, I'll be thinking of a player who won't see action. Giants wide receiver David Tyree won't play with a hamstring injury. 19 months ago he made arguably the greatest catch in Super Bowl History. The helmet catch. Without it, the Giants don't upset the Patriots. That is the last catch he made in a Giants uniform. He'll likely be cut. What have you done for me lately?

4. Turf Toe

The 0-16 Detroit Lions have a little quarterback competition going. But one of the contenders, Daunte Culpepper, injured his toe requiring stitches. He stubbed it on his carpet at home. Is that what they mean by piling on?

5. Descend it like Beckham

A California sperm bank is setting up shop in New York. They feature samples of famous lookalikes. Do you want your offspring to look like David Beckham or Manny Ramirez? They can help. Of course they don't guarantee that traits will be passed on. And I'm thinking given the vagaries of conception, do you really want your daughter looking like Manny Ramirez?

Happy Birthday to a couple of Olympians: The Flying Tomato, snowboarder Shaun White. 23. And softball pitcher Jennie Finch. 29
Bonus Birthday: Actor Charlie Sheen. 44

Today in Sports: Ty Cobb gets his 4,191st and last career hit. His record would be eventually eclipsed by Pete Rose. 1928.
Bonus Event: The Yankees stall at Fenway Park hoping that a Sunday curfew will end the game. Fans become irate and litter the field with garbage. The Red Sox forfeit the game. The Commissioner later overrules the forfeit and fines the Yankees for their tactics. 1939.

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