Announcement

**Udog** · 09-02-2009, 08:45 PM

NFL
Preseason
Dunkel Index

Detroit at Buffalo
The final week of the preseason starts Thursday night with the Lions visiting Buffalo. The Bills are the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has Buffalo favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 3

Game 101-102: Detroit at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.810; Buffalo 124.679
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5; 30
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 33
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-3); Under

Game 103-104: Philadelphia at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 118.773; NY Jets 123.094
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Under

Game 105-106: NY Giants at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 121.337; New England 120.829
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 34
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3); Under

Game 107-108: Washington at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 115.722; Jacksonville 123.920
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 8; 34 1/2
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 5; 35
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-5); Under

Game 109-110: Baltimore at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 121.431; Atlanta 123.467
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under

Game 111-112: Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 115.508; Cincinnati 120.542
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3 1/2); Over

Game 113-114: Pittsburgh at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 120.717; Carolina 121.481
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 1; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Cleveland at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.866; Chicago 121.298
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over

Game 117-118: Miami at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.426; New Orleans 125.812
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over

Game 119-120: Green Bay at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.127; Tennessee 126.537
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.201; St. Louis 121.980
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 5; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over

Game 123-124: Arizona at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 117.433; Denver 120.604
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 39
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 125-126: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.336; Seattle 126.628
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 137-138: Houston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.952; Tampa Bay 122.776
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 32
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3); Under

Game 139-140: Dallas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.929; Minnesota 123.156
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 141-142: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 121.453; San Diego 125.668
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 41
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+4 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 09-02-2009, 08:46 PM

NFL
Preseason
Long Sheet

Week 4

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Thursday, September 3
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DETROIT (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY JETS (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
NY JETS are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.
NY JETS are 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (1 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1993.
NY GIANTS are 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993.
WASHINGTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing on a Thursday since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (3 - 0) at ATLANTA (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1993.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in dome games since 1993.
ATLANTA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (2 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home lined games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in dome games since 1993.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at TENNESSEE (2 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (0 - 3) at DENVER (0 - 3) - 9/3/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1993.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, September 4
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HOUSTON (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 2) - 9/4/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (1 - 2) at MINNESOTA (3 - 0) - 9/4/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 0) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) - 9/4/2009, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 09-02-2009, 08:47 PM

NFL
Preseason
Short Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, 9/3/2009

DETROIT at BUFFALO, 6:30 PM ET
DETROIT: 12-4 Under last week of preseason
BUFFALO: 28-13 Under vs. NFC

(TC) PHILADELPHIA at NY JETS, 7:00 PM ET NFL
PHILADELPHIA: 1-8 ATS vs. NFC
NY JETS: 23-7 ATS last two weeks of preseason

NY GIANTS at NEW ENGLAND, 7:30 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 9-22 ATS last two weeks of preseason
NEW ENGLAND: 13-4 Over at home last two weeks of preseason

WASHINGTON at JACKSONVILLE, 7:30 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 1-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
JACKSONVILLE: 7-1 ATS off loss by 6 pts or less

BALTIMORE at ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 0-6 ATS off non-conf game
ATLANTA: 6-0 Under playing with 6 or less days rest

INDIANAPOLIS at CINCINNATI, 7:30 PM ET
INDIANAPOLIS: 11-2 Over Away off an Under
CINCINNATI: 6-1 ATS vs. AFC South

PITTSBURGH at CAROLINA, 8:00 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: 1-4 ATS in road games
CAROLINA: 18-7 Over if total is 35 or less

CLEVELAND at CHICAGO, 8:00 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 7-0 ATS if scored 3 pts or less in the 1st half last game
CHICAGO: 4-14 ATS at home last two weeks of preseason

MIAMI at NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 8-2 Under in all preseason games
NEW ORLEANS: 3-12 ATS at home off an ATS win

GREEN BAY at TENNESSEE, 8:00 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 4-0 ATS off BB games w/ TO margin of +2 or better
TENNESSEE: 9-0 Under at home off SU loss

KANSAS CITY at ST LOUIS, 8:00 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 0-7 ATS off SU loss
ST LOUIS: 14-4 Under at home off non-conf game

ARIZONA at DENVER, 9:00 PM ET
ARIZONA: 11-5 Over last week of preseason
DENVER: 8-0 ATS off home loss

OAKLAND at SEATTLE, 10:00 PM ET NFL
OAKLAND: 21-8 Under off home game
SEATTLE: 7-0 ATS in all preseason games

Friday, 9/4/2009

HOUSTON at TAMPA BAY, 7:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 2-9 ATS off an Under
TAMPA BAY: 7-1 ATS off Thursday game

DALLAS at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET NFL
DALLAS: 3-10 ATS off home loss
MINNESOTA: 11-5 ATS last week of preseason

SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO, 10:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 7-0 Under Away off BB SU wins
SAN DIEGO: 5-1 Under playing with 6 or less days rest

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 09-03-2009, 09:48 PM

NFL
Preseason

Friday, September 4

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What bettors need to know: Friday's NFL preseason action
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Houston Texans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 34)

Bring on the backups

A new offensive coordinator will be at the controls for the Bucs after the surprise firing of first-year coach Jeff Jagodzinski Thursday. Quarterbacks coach Greg Olson will take over the offense.

First-round pick Josh Freeman will start at quarterback for the Bucs, which ranks 19th in total offense and 31st in passing during the preseason. Josh Johnson is expected to relieve. Neither Byron Leftwich, who was named the team’s regular season starter this week, nor Luke McCown are expected to play.

The Bucs will also be wading deep in the running back depth chart as Earnest Graham, Derrick Ward and Cadillac Williams are all expected to be held out.

The Texans will be back on the field just four days after losing to the Minnesota Vikings 17-10 Monday night. Starting quarterback Matt Schaub will not play. In his place under center will be Dan Orlovsky, Rex Grossman and Alex Brink.

Grossman will be seeing his first action since straining a hamstring in the Texans’ preseason opener vs. the Chiefs.

Linebacker Brian Cushing, the Texans’ first-round pick who has not played a snap this preseason because of a sprained knee, will again be held out despite practicing and proclaiming himself 100 percent fit.

Trends

The Bucs are 1-2 ATS and the over/under is 2-1 under first-year coach Raheem Morris. The Texans are 7-6-2 ATS and the over/under is 10-5 under fourth-year coach Gary Kubiak.

Weather

The forecast for Tampa calls for scattered thunderstorms with a high of 87 degrees.

Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (-3, 36)

Reserve the Right

The Cowboys’ reserves have struggled throughout the preseason, but they’ll get a chance to right the ship this week. Coach Wade Phillips said he plans to hold the starters out, but that could prove easier said than done given the number of injuries to the Cowboys rookie class.

The Cowboys reserves were outscored, 28-3, in the preseason opener at Oakland after the starters presented them with a first-quarter lead. Last week, the starters handed the reserves a 10-3 first-half lead vs. the San Francisco 49ers, but the backups responded by allowing San Francisco to score 10 points in the final 5:30 of a 20-13 loss.

Minnesota Coach Brad Childress also indicated the Vikings starters will not play, which includes Brett Favre. Despite his late arrival to training camp, Childress believes Favre is ready for the season opener. Tarvaris Jackson, John David Booty and Sage Rosenfels will split time under center.

The Vikings are 3-0 ATS this preseason and have had at least 350 yards of total offense in each game.

Line Movement

The line has held steady at Minnesota -3, but the total has been bet down from 38 to 36.

Trends

The Vikings are 10-5 ATS and the over/under is 6-9 under Childress. The Cowboys are 4-7 ATS and the over/under is 7-4 under Phillips.

San Francisco 49ers at San Diego Chargers (-4, 37)

California Love

Starting quarterback Shaun Hill and the rest of the first-unit is expected to play briefly for the 49ers, which are 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS this preseason. Alex Smith and Nate Davis will take most of the snaps for San Francisco.

The 49ers are the top rushing team in the league this preseason in large part to the significant contributions of third-round pick Glen Coffee (38 carries, 230 yards) and free agent Kory Bid (33 carries, 144 yards and 3 TD).

San Diego will rest its starters, coach Norv Turner said this week. The biggest position battle for the Chargers appears to be at running back, where veteran Michael Bennett, fourth-round rookie Gartrell Johnson and fullback Mike Tolbert are all fighting for roster spots. Bennett has had a particularly strong preseason with touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ previous three games.

Defensive tackle Travis Johnson, a former first-round pick who was obtained from the Texans in a trade earlier this week, will not play because of a sports hernia he has been battling all preseason.

Line Movement

The Chargers opened as 3.5-point favorites and are now -4 at most betting shops. The total has held steady at 37 at most books.

Trends

The Chargers are 6-4-1 ATS and the over/under is 6-5 under third-year coach Norv Turner. The 49ers are 1-2 ATS and the over/under is 1-2 under Mike Singletary.

Weather

The forecast for San Diego calls for sunny skies with a high of 83 degrees.

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Preseason Week 4 (9/3 - 9/4)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Preseason Week 4 (9/3 - 9/4)

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