Friday Trends and Indexes 8/21 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Friday, August 21

The “Write-up” is late today, we will post when available.

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[pm530]

CFL
Dunkel Index


Winnipeg at BC
The Lions look to take advantage of a Winnipeg team that is 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. BC is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: BC (-7 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 21

Game 441-442: Saskatchewan at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 109.156; Montreal 124.352
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 15; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 12; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-12); Over

Game 443-444: Winnipeg at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 102.369; BC 112.602
Dunkel Line: BC by 10; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: BC by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-7 1/2); Over

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CFL
Long Sheet


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Friday, August 21
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SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 3) at MONTREAL (6 - 1) - 8/21/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 87-54 ATS (+27.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 77-48 ATS (+24.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (2 - 5) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (3 - 4) - 8/21/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in August games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-up

The CFL "Write-up" is late today, we will post when available.

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CFL


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Trend Report
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Friday, August 21

7:30 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. MONTREAL
Saskatchewan is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan

10:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Winnipeg is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
British Columbia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home

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CFL


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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 8 preview and picks
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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Montreal Alouettes (-12, 54.5)

The Alouettes dominated the first meeting in Regina by a score of 43-13. That outcome was greatly inflated by the turnovers.

The Roughriders, with a win, could take sole possession of first place in the West Division, at the mid-point mark of the 2009 season. That should be a source of motivation before their bye week. But will the QB duet of Darian Durant and Steven Jyles find the key to Montreal’s stout defence (fewest yards and points allowed in the CFL)?

The Alouettes also are head of the class in the CFL with 21 sacks. Keep in mind that the Roughriders are tied with Edmonton for the most points allowed which can’t be good news facing a QB like Anthony Calvillo who completed no less than 74.6 percent of his passes for a league-leading 2160 yards after seven games.

Pick: Montreal


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-7.5, 50.5)

Buck Pierce, who suffered a concussion in last week’s game, will sit out and Jarious Jackson will get his first start of the season for the B.C. Lions. Jackson led the Lions to two of their three victories so far this season.

Running back Martell Mallett, limited to 54 yards on 12 carries in Week 7, will face a solid Winnipeg defensive unit that ranks fourth against the run. Winnipeg’s defence also has a league-leading 16 interceptions while the Lions quarterbacks have combined for 13 interceptions.

Turnovers could make a difference in this game, although, the Blue Bombers seem incapable of passing and must rely on their running game.

You probably can’t find a more inept offence in the CFL right now and it is obvious head coach Mike Kelly doesn’t have a clue how to make things better. The Lions have a more balanced team and if they avoid senseless turnovers, they should win this one.

Pick: B.C.

Last Week 4-0, season 16-12

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[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Friday, August 21

Hot Pitchers
-- Martin is 2-0, 1.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Vazquez has 2.44 RA in his last ten starts (Braves 7-1 in last eight).
-- Sanchez is 2-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
-- Richard is 4-0, 3.16 in his last six starts.
-- Wolf is 2-0, 2.30 in his last two starts. Cubs won nine of last eleven Wells starts.

-- Pettitte is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
-- Nippert is 2-1, 3.18 in his last four starts.
-- Floyd is 2-1, 2.57 in his last five starts.
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Owings is 0-3, 11.68 in his last three starts. Morton is 0-4, 8.34 in his last five starts.
-- Looper is 1-2, 7.22 in his last five starts.
-- Pelfrey is 0-2, 4.91 in his last three starts. Hamels is 0-2, 7.16 in his last three outings.
-- Volstad has 6.92 RA in his last five starts (Marlins 4-1).
-- Cook is 0-2, 8.36 in his last three starts.
-- Petit is 0-2, 12.38 in his last couple starts. Oswalt allowed 11 runs in 11 IP in his two starts since coming off the DL.
-- Lohse is 1-4, 5.68 in his last eight starts.

-- Huff has an 8.71 RA in his last four home starts. French has 6.61 RA in three starts for the Mariners.
-- O'Sullivan is 0-1, 9.22 in his last three starts. Rzepczynski is 0-2, 5.76 in his last five starts.
-- Penny is 0-3, 7.54 in his last four starts.
-- Kazmir has a 7.02 RA in his last three starts.
-- Hochevar is 0-3, 8.59 in his last four starts. Blackburn is 0-4, 10.87 in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-4, 7.55 in his last five starts.
-- Tigers lost six of last seven Jackson road starts.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won their last three games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Phillies won their last four games, allowing six runs.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Astros won three of their last four games.
-- Rockies won six of their last eight games. Giants won three of four.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.

-- Angels won five of their last six games.
-- Bronx won eight of its last ten road games. Red Sox won their last three games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Tampa Bay won four of its last five games. Rangers won five of last seven road games.
-- White Sox won four of their last six games.
-- Tigers won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Reds lost five of their last six games.
-- Brewers lost their last four games, allowing 25 runs. Nationals lost six of their last nine games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost its last five games, allowing 43 runs.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games. Dodgers lost five of their last seven home games.

-- Indians lost four of last five home games. Mariners lost five of their last seven games overall.
-- Blue Jays lost last five games, allowing 37 runs.
-- Royals lost 21 of their last 27 home games. Twins lost six of last nine on foreign soil.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five road games.
-- Oakland lost five of its last seven home games.

Totals
-- Under is 5-1-2 in Cincinnati's last eight road games.
-- Four of last five Washington home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in Mets' last ten home games.
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona road games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-4-1 in Colorado's last twelve games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Cardinals' last eleven road games.
-- Over is 10-5-2 in last 17 Los Angeles home games.

-- Six of last seven Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 16-7-1 in Angels' last 24 road games.
-- Seven of last eight games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- 10 of last 14 Tampa Bay home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 12-1-2 in Minnesota's last fifteen road games.
-- Over is 7-4-1 in last eleven White Sox games.
-- Six of last eight Detroit road games went over the total.

[Udog]

CFL
Write-Up


Week 8 CFL games

Friday, August 21

Saskatchewan (4-3) @ Montreal (6-1)-- Alouettes outscored Riders 29-2 in second half of 43-10 (-4) rout in Regina five weeks ago; total yardage in game was 412-192 (both teams lost four fumbles in game). Riders won two of three road games- they're 3-0 if they allow less than 35 pts, 1-3 if they allow 35+. Saskatchewan has been outscored in second half in six of their seven games. Four of Montreal's last five games stayed under total.

Winnipeg (2-5) @ BC Lions (3-4)-- Bombers were +13 in turnovers the first five games, but are -4 the last two- they've picked off 15 passes in last six games, but lost four of last five. Underdog is 4-0 vs spread on the road (Bombers are 3-0 as road dog). Lions scored 35-36 pts in winning last two games after 1-4 start; they've lost two of three home games, and are 0-4 overall when they score less than 35 points. Three of last four BC games stayed under the total.