Sunday Trends and Indexes 8/16 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[Kaptain]

From another site


some of these may have changes, and not include double headers......caution on pitchers in games.....may be changes.......?

Starting pitcher rankings for August 16, 2009

Rk Team Name T W-L ERA WHIP K/9 OPSA Opp OPS CT%

1 Javier Vazquez R 10-7 2.90 1.04 9.91 .618 PHI .782 79.2%

2 Rich Harden R 7-7 4.30 1.30 10.54 .748 PIT .711 79.4%

3 Roy Oswalt R 6-4 3.87 1.20 6.91 .719 @MIL .764 77.3%

4 J.A. Happ L 8-2 2.75 1.16 6.62 .653 @ATL .748 81.7%

5 Matt Garza R 7-8 3.80 1.24 7.96 .685 TOR .768 83.1%

6 John Danks L 10-8 4.04 1.32 7.61 .714 @OAK .713 81.7%

7 Randy Wolf L 6-6 3.43 1.17 6.56 .685 @ARI .757 77.6%

8 Jorge De La Rosa L 10-8 4.78 1.38 9.07 .767 @FLA .745 77.6%

9 Chris Volstad R 8-9 4.71 1.32 6.11 .780 COL .787 77.6%

10 Kyle Lohse R 5-7 4.34 1.30 5.59 .741 SD .701 78.7%

11 John Lannan L 8-9 3.58 1.35 3.82 .755 @CIN .694 79.8%

12 Chad Gaudin R 5-10 5.03 1.52 9.06 .724 @SEA .716 81.2%

13 Doug Davis L 7-10 3.62 1.44 6.86 .736 LAD .763 81.0%

14 Mike Pelfrey R 8-8 4.88 1.51 5.09 .757 SF .697 79.0%

15 Nick Blackburn R 8-7 3.99 1.41 3.68 .767 CLE .772 77.8%

16 Armando Galarraga R 6-10 5.23 1.54 5.73 .850 KC .715
80.3%

17 Aaron Laffey L 6-3 3.25 1.40 4.88 .659 @MIN .769 80.8%

18 Clayton Richard L 6-3 4.57 1.44 6.69 .758 @STL .745 81.2%

19 Marc Rzepczynski L 1-3 4.38 1.35 9.00 .712 @TB .797 76.9%

20 Trevor Cahill R 6-12 5.06 1.51 4.59 .855 CHW .753 81.2%

21 Jonathan Sanchez L 5-10 4.61 1.43 9.48 .730 @NYM .732 83.5%

22 Sean O'Sullivan R 3-1 5.12 1.40 5.12 .879 @BAL .743 82.6%

23 Ross Ohlendorf R 10-8 4.30 1.32 4.83 .797 @CHC .740 77.9%

24 Kyle Davies R 4-8 6.11 1.57 6.32 .813 @DET .744 79.6%

25 Braden Looper R 10-6 4.99 1.46 5.06 .838 HOU .739 82.9%

26 Jeremy Guthrie R 7-12 5.43 1.41 5.23 .835 LAA .802 81.8%

27 Doug Fister R 0-0 0.00 1.00 6.43 .377 NYY .839 82.3%

28 Junichi Tazawa R 1-1 4.05 1.50 10.80 .792 @TEX .770 76.7%

29 Dustin Nippert R 3-1 3.62 1.24 8.35 .615 BOS .788 79.5%

30 Justin Lehr R 2-0 1.80 1.35 2.25 .617 WAS .761 77.9%




Rk.: The author's ranking of that pitcher for that day only. T: Pitcher throws left-handed or right-handed. W-L: Pitcher's win-loss record. ERA: Pitcher's earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher's average number of walks plus hits surrendered per inning. K/9: Pitcher's average number of strikeouts per nine innings. OPSA: Pitcher's on-base plus slugging percentage surrendered to opponents. OPS: Pitcher's opponent's composite team on-base plus slugging percentage. CT%: Pitcher's opponent's success rate putting the ball in play (versus striking out).

[Udog]

MLB
Write-Up


Early Games

Sunday, August 16

Hot Pitchers
-- Lehr is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts for the Reds.
-- Sanchez is 3-2, 3.35 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado won nine of last twelve Cook starts. Vanden Hurk is 1-0, 3.27 in his two home starts.

--

Cold Pitchers
-- Lannan is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-4, 6.28 in his last five starts.

-- Galarraga is 1-2, 8.47 in his last three starts. Davies has a 9.35 RA in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-4, 6.75 in his last four starts. O'Sullivan has 6.97 RA in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-2, 5.06 in his last seven starts. Rzepczynsi is 0-2, 7.11 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven games. Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won last three games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Cubs won first two games of this series by combined score of 20-3.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona is 13-6 in its last 19 home games.

-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Indians are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Tigers won 10 of their last 13 home games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last six games. Texas is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.
-- White Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 23-6 since All-Star break.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost nine of their last 13 games. Giants are 6-11 in their last 17 road games.
-- Reds lost 12 of their last 17 games. Washington is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
-- Pirates lost 21 of their last 25 road games.
-- Padres lost their last three games, allowing 28 runs.
-- Astros are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
-- Dodgers are 7-13 in their last 20 games.

-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Rays lost five of their last six games. Toronto is 7-17 in its last 24 road games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Twins lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- A's lost their last three home games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2-2 in Pirates' last ten away games.
-- 13 of last 18 Washington road games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 11 Florida games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in last 12 games played at Citi Field.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in Phillies' last thirteen road games.
-- 10 of Brewers' last 12 home games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in Cardinals' last seventeen home games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona home games.

-- Over is 10-3-1 in Angels' last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 16-8-3 in Royals' last 27 road games.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-5 in Boston's last seventeen road games.
-- Over is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Cleveland road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Cooper
-- Phil-Atl-- Wendelstedt
-- LA-Az-- Guccione
-- Col-Fla-- Favorites won last four Drake games. Six of the last eight Carlson games stayed under the total.
-- Hst-Mil-- BWelke
-- Wsh-Cin-- Five of last seven Campos games went over the total.
-- SF-NY-- Over is 4-1-1 in Crawford's last six games.
-- SD-StL-- Meals

-- Chi-A's-- Hohn
-- Cle-Min-- Foster
-- KC-Det-- Over is 4-1-1 in Nauert's last six games.
-- LA-Balt-- Favorite won seven of last eight Iassogna games.
-- Tor-TB-- Eight of last ten Joyce games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Tex-- Barksdale
-- NY-Sea-- Everitt

[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Updated

Sunday, August 16

Hot Pitchers
-- Lehr is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts for the Reds.
-- Sanchez is 3-2, 3.35 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado won nine of last twelve Cook starts, 10 of last 12 starts by de la Rosa. Vanden Hurk is 1-0, 3.27 in his two home starts.
-- Harden is 3-1, 2.43 in his last six starts. Ohlendorf is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Oswalt is 3-1, 2.76 in his last eight starts.
-- Richard is 4-0, 2.70 in his last five starts.
-- Petit is 2-1, 2.00 in his last three starts. Wolf has 3.26 RA in his last eight starts.
-- Vazquez is 6-1, 2.14 in his last nine starts. Happ is 3-2, 2.20 in his last six starts.

-- Laffey is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.
-- Nippert is 1-1, 3.24 in his last three starts.
-- Danks is 3-1, 2.57 in his last five road starts.
-- Bronx won last five Chamberlain starts (4-0, 2.76). Fister tossed six shutout innings in his first '09 start.

Cold Pitchers
-- Lannan is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Pelfrey is 1-4, 6.28 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad has an 8.14 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 1-4, 5.23 in his last seven starts.
-- Brewers lost Looper's last three home starts (0-2, 9.00).

-- Galarraga is 1-2, 8.47 in his last three starts. Davies has a 9.35 RA in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-4, 6.75 in his last four starts. O'Sullivan has 6.97 RA in his last four starts.
-- Garza is 1-2, 5.06 in his last seven starts. Rzepczynsi is 0-2, 7.11 in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn is 0-3, 9.64 in his last five starts.
-- Tazawa allowed three runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first '09 start.
-- Cahill is 0-4, 7.71 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won seven of their last eight games. Colorado won 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven games. Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won last three games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Cubs won first two games of this series by combined score of 20-3.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona is 13-6 in its last 19 home games.

-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Indians are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Tigers won 10 of their last 13 home games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last six games. Texas is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.
-- White Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 23-6 since All-Star break.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost nine of their last 13 games. Giants are 6-11 in their last 17 road games.
-- Reds lost 12 of their last 17 games. Washington is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
-- Pirates lost 21 of their last 25 road games.
-- Padres lost their last three games, allowing 28 runs.
-- Astros are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
-- Dodgers are 7-13 in their last 20 games.

-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Rays lost five of their last six games. Toronto is 7-17 in its last 24 road games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last eleven road games.
-- Twins lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- A's lost their last three home games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2-2 in Pirates' last ten away games.
-- 13 of last 18 Washington road games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 11 Florida games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in last 12 games played at Citi Field.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in Phillies' last thirteen road games.
-- 10 of Brewers' last 12 home games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-3-1 in Cardinals' last seventeen home games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona home games.

-- Over is 10-3-1 in Angels' last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 16-8-3 in Royals' last 27 road games.
-- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-5 in Boston's last seventeen road games.
-- Over is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Cleveland road games.
-- Nine of last twelve Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Six of last seven Cooper games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Atl-- Underdog is 11-8 in last nineteen Wendelstedt games.
-- LA-Az-- Favorites won last eight Guccione games.
-- Col-Fla-- Favorites won last four Drake games. Six of the last eight Carlson games stayed under the total.
-- Hst-Mil-- Underdog won five of last six BWelke games.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Five of last seven Campos games went over the total.
-- SF-NY-- Over is 4-1-1 in Crawford's last six games.
-- SD-StL-- Three of last four Meals games stayed under the total.

-- Chi-A's-- Four of last five Hohn games went over the total.
-- Cle-Min-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Foster games.
-- KC-Det-- Over is 4-1-1 in Nauert's last six games.
-- LA-Balt-- Favorite won seven of last eight Iassogna games.
-- Tor-TB-- Eight of last ten Joyce games stayed under the total.
-- Bos-Tex-- Favorites won last eleven Barksdale games.
-- NY-Sea-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Everitt games.

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[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Sunday, August 16

National League

WASHINGTON at CINCINNATI, 1:10 PM ET
LANNAN: WAS 10-4 in August
LEHR: CIN 13-28 in the second half of the season

SAN FRANCISCO at NY METS, 1:10 PM ET
SANCHEZ: SF 26-11 when the money line is -100 to -150
PELFREY: NYM 42-28 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA, 8:05 PM ET
HAPP: PHI 16-9 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
VAZQUEZ: ATL 13-4 OVER when playing on Sunday

HOUSTON at MILWAUKEE, 2:05 PM ET
OSWALT: 32-8 TSR in August
LOOPER: MIL 14-23 in day games

SAN DIEGO at ST LOUIS, 2:15 PM ET
RICHARD: SD 11-3 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200
LOHSE: 9-17 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5

PITTSBURGH at CHICAGO CUBS, 2:20 PM ET
OHLENDORF: PIT 9-33 in August
HARDEN: CHC 29-11 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

LA DODGERS at ARIZONA, 4:10 PM ET
WOLF: LAD 27-9 when the total is 9 to 9.5
PETIT: 7-0 OVER at home after a win

COLORADO at FLORIDA, 5:05 PM - *** Doubleheader Game #2 ET
DE LA ROSA: COL 23-13 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150
VANDENHURK: FLA 25-15 against left-handed starters


American League

KANSAS CITY at DETROIT, 1:05 PM ET
DAVIES: KC 14-29 after 2+ consecutive losses
GALARRAGA: 14-3 TSR in day games

LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE, 1:35 PM ET
O'SULLIVAN: LAA 21-10 against AL East
GUTHRIE: BAL 9-26 at home in August

TORONTO at TAMPA BAY, 1:38 PM ET
RZEPCZYNSKI: TOR 28-15 UNDER against division opponents
GARZA: 16-23 TSR as a favorite

BOSTON at TEXAS, 2:05 PM ET
TAZAWA: BOS 11-19 against AL West
NIPPERT: TEX 19-7 at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

CLEVELAND at MINNESOTA, 2:10 PM ET
LAFFEY: CLE 25-16 in August
BLACKBURN: MIN 16-26 in day games

CHI WHITE SOX at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
DANKS: CHW 29-20 after one or more consecutive overs
CAHILL: OAK 24-15 OVER in the second half of the season

NY YANKEES at SEATTLE, 4:10 PM ET
CHAMBERLAIN: NYY 30-11 in the second half of the season
FISTER: SEA 18-7 UNDER after 5+ consecutive home games


Added Game

COLORADO at FLORIDA, 1:35 PM - *** Doubleheader Game #1 ET
COOK: COL 20-6 after a loss by 2 runs or less
VOLSTAD: FLA 10-2 OVER in August

TSR = Team Start Record
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[pm530]

WNBA
Dunkel Index


New York at Washington
The Liberty look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. New York is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 601-602: New York at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.214; Washington 110.687
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 138 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Under

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WNBA
Long Sheet

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Sunday, August 16
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NEW YORK (8 - 15) at WASHINGTON (12 - 11) - 8/16/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEW YORK is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 171-219 ATS (-69.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 108-141 ATS (-47.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 107-139 ATS (-45.9 Units) after a division game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Sunday, August 16

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bet
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New York Liberty at Washington Mystics (-4.5, 150.5)

Tied for second in the tight Eastern Conference, the Mystics are gunning for their first playoff berth in three years, and Lindsey Harding is a big reason.

Playing in the shadow of All-Star Alana Beard, Harding is finally living up to the billing of being the top overall pick in the 2007 draft. The guard was traded to Washington after two injury-plagued seasons in Minnesota and has given the Mystics the boost that they needed.

Harding leads the WNBA in minutes played, averaging 36.0 per game. She is averaging 13.3 points and five assists while shooting 46 percent from the field - all career highs - while averaging 3.9 rebounds.

At home vs. the Liberty on July 18, Harding scored 23 points, including two free throws with 8.2 seconds left that gave the Mystics a 68-67 win. She added seven rebounds and five assists.

Pick: Washington -4.5

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[pm530]

CFL
Dunkel Index


Updated with write-up

Hamilton at Saskatchewan
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 5-0 ATS streak. Hamilton is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Saskatchewan favored by just 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+5 1/2).

SUNDAY, AUGUST 16

Game 407-408: Hamilton at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 108.868; Saskatchewan 112.156
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+5 1/2); Under

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