Sunday Trends and Indexes 8/2 (MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel


Indiana at Washington
The Mystics look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 2

Game 651-652: Indiana at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.714; Washington 114.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 146 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 150
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Connecticut at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 108.157; Detroit 114.162
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 6; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Over




WNBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, August 2

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INDIANA (14 - 4) at WASHINGTON (10 - 8) - 8/2/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
INDIANA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 170-215 ATS (-66.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 103-136 ATS (-46.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (9 - 8) at DETROIT (6 - 9) - 8/2/2009, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
DETROIT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-2 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA


Sunday, August 2

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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Indiana Fever at Washington Mystics (+1.5, 149)

The Fever are starting to heat up again. After dropping two of three in the middle of July, Indiana looks more like the team that rattled off a franchise-record 11-game win streak earlier this year, and less like the squad that was drilled by 19 at San Antonio last month.

The Fever have won two straight, including an 85-81 win over the Mystics on July 28. In the victory, Indiana forced 20 turnovers, shot an absurd, 47.4 percent from beyond-the-arc and made 28-of-36 free throws. The Fever were paced by guard Katie Douglas, who dropped a career-high 34 points on 9-of-19 shooting from the floor.

"It was like, 'I refuse to lose,'" Fever coach Lin Dunn said. “Thank goodness we have some players with that type of mentality. And it's contagious. She puts her head down and says, 'I'm going to the rim. You can't stop me.' "

Meantime, the Mystics have split their past two.

Pick: Fever


Connecticut Sun at Detroit Shock (-5, 149)

Good news for any fans watching this game – they are all but guaranteed to see some bonus basketball.

Each of the team’s two previous meetings this year went to overtime with the teams splitting the games by just a field goal difference each time. As would be expected, both contests easily topped the total, even though the Shock and Sun both are in the top eight in points allowed per game.

Overall, eight of Detroit’s past 10 games have surpassed the total.

The x-factor in the meetings was the play of Sun forward Sandrine Gruda, one of the best young centers in the league. In her team’s win, she scored 23 points and grabbed six rebounds. In the loss, she failed to score before fouling out with just three rebounds.

Gruda is averaging 12.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game and is coming off a 19-point, 10-rebound performance in her most recent outing. Look for her to build on her effort in a tight, high-scoring affair.

Pick: Over

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[Kaptain]

Thanks GUYS

Thanks fellows

[pm530]

Thanks Kaptain!
We look for you in any port in the seven seas,
wherever you may sail!
.

[pm530]

Sunday's List of 13: Analyzing the Pirates' last 14 trades......

7/30/09-- Freddy Sanchez for Tim Alderson-- Alderson isn't pitcher who gets many strikeouts, but he gets people out and is thought of highly by scouts who have seen him (8-2 in 19 AA starts, but batters are hitting .273 against him in AA, a minor red flag). Sanchez has been an All-Star more than once, so God forbid the Pirates actually keep him.

7/30/09-- Gorzellany/Grabow for Hart/Ascanio/Harrison-- This kind of makes sense, since Hart has shown promise with Cubs, while Grabow is a situational lefty and Gorzellany, who used to be good, was wallowing in minor leagues. They better not raise ticket prices in 2010, though.

7/29/09-- Wilson-Snell for Clement/Cedeno and three minor leaguers-- Nine years in the Steel City seemed like cruel and unusual punishment for good field/no-hit Wilson, so they dealt him and banished-to-minors pitcher Snell for Clement, a catcher who DHs all the time because he has bad knees, Cedeno, another good field/no hit SS, and three young guys.

7/22/09-- Adam LaRoche for three minor leaguers-- Red Sox took $7M off the Pittsburgh books with this trade, then turned around and flipped LaRoche to the Braves after they got Victor Martinez. You never know, maybe one of the young people they got will turn out to be a great player, but since we're talking about the Pirates, probably not.

6/30/09-- Eric Hinske for cash-- Can't fault them here, other they did the Bronx Bombers another favor. Bigger question would be, why did they have Hinske in the first place? This part of the fire sale makes sense.

6/30/09-- Morgan/Burnett for Hanrahan/Milledge--Plain stupid trade, as popular Morgan (was hitting .277 for Bucs, is batting .402 with Nats) and decent situational lefty were dealt for underachieving Milledge (.262 BA, 25 HRs in 900+ big league ABs) and failed closer Hanrahan (7.71 ERA in 32 IP for Washington). Morgan is little older, but is way better than the over-hyped Milledge.

6/3/09-- Nate McLouth for Charlie Morton-- McCuthchen came up as soon as they made this trade; apparently, there is a quota on how many good players Pirates can have in the lineup at one time. McLouth has hit for .263 average with six HRs for Braves. Morton is 2-3, 3.72 in eight starts for the Pirates.

5/16/09--Romulo Sanchez for Eric Hacker-- Swap of minor leaguers, but another trade with Bronx. International League hitters are batting .273 vs Sanchez this season (50 Ks/49.2 IP). Hacker is 4-5, 4.21 in 19 starts this year in minors, mostly in AAA.

4/15/09-- Picked up Delwyn Young from Dodgers-- Tremendous steal by Pirates, getting guy victimized by numbers game in LA. So far with Pirates this year, Young is hitting .311 as a utility player.

12/10/08-- Ronny Paulino for Jason Jaramillo-- Swap of backstops saw Paulino get traded twice in same day, from Pirates to Giants to Marlins. Players are putting up similar numbers in major leagues this season.

8/21-25/08-- Jose Bautista for Robinson Diaz-- Veteran Bautista is up in Toronto, hitting .243 in 66 games......Diaz hit .295 for the Pirates but got sent back down to AAA (.265) when Ryan Doumit came off the DL.

7/31/08-- Andy LaRoche, Brandon Moss and two minor leagues for Jason Bay-- Five days after helping the Bombers, Pittsburgh bails Red Sox out of the Manny Ramirez fiasco by sending them Bay. Terrific. Part of 3-way deal that saw Ramirez go out to LA; figures the other two teams get an All-Star, and Bucs get a LaRoche.

7/26/08-- Nady/Marte for Karstens, Ohlendorf and two minor leaguers-- Joining Scranton as the Bronx Bombers' other AAA farm team, Pirates send a useful OF and situational lefty for marginal pitching prospects. Nady/Marte are both hurt, so Ohlendorf's contributions give Bucs early lead in this deal, but premise of the trade was Pirates dumping salary.

From: Armadillo
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