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Saturday Trends and Indexes 8/1 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    MLB
    Write-Up



    Guys,
    It looks like Armadillo will need a while for the ump trends. We'll post what's up so we can go ahead with WNBA. When, or if, ump trends are in, we'll post them.


    Saturday, August 1

    Hot Pitchers

    -- Rodriguez is 4-0, 0.75 in his last five starts. Carpenter is 4-0, 1.75 in his last five starts.
    -- Braves won Lowe's last four starts (3-0, 2.63). Wolf has a 2.84 RA in his last five starts.
    -- Arizona won Scherzer's last three starts (1-0, 3.00).
    -- Cubs won last four Zambrano starts (3-0, 3.51). Badenhop won his only '09 start, allowing two runs in six IP at Philly May 27.
    -- Blanton is 3-0, 1.42 in his last five starts. Lincecum is 5-1, 1.88 in his last seven starts.
    -- Richard was 2-0, 1.13 in his last two starts for the White Sox.

    -- Bronx won Burnett's last six starts (5-0, 2.23).
    -- Niemann is 5-1, 3.08 in his last eight starts.
    -- DHernandez is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts. Beckett is 5-1, 2.35 in his last seven starts.
    -- Swarzak is 2-1, 2.52 in his last four starts.
    -- FHernandez is 5-1, 2.42 in his last nine starts. Hunter is 3-0, 1.11 in his last four starts.
    -- Cecil is 2-0, 0.45 in his last three starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Vasquez is 0-5, 7.04 in his last five starts. Stammen is 2-3, 4.43 in his last seven starts.
    -- Bailey is 1-2, 7.22 in his last five starts. Rockies are 2-9 in Jimenez' last 11 road starts.
    -- Perez is 1-2, 7.29 in his last seven starts.
    -- Burns is 2-3, 7.92 in five starts this season.

    -- Danks has a 5.60 RA in his last three starts.
    -- Chen is 0-5, 6.67 in six starts this season.
    -- Sowers is 2-4, 5.19 in his last six starts. Porcello is 1-3, 10.12 in his last four starts.
    -- Saunders is 0-2, 9.98 in his last six starts.
    -- Cahill is 1-4, 8.90 in his last six starts.

    Hot Teams
    -- Cubs won seven of their last nine games. Marlins won eight of ten .
    -- Mets won five of their last seven games. Arizona is 14-9 in its last 23 games.
    -- Colorado is 9-6 since the All-Star break.
    -- Braves won 10 of their last 13 home games.
    -- Cardinals won eight of their last ten home games.
    -- Padres won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
    -- Giants won four of their last five games. Phillies won five of seven.

    -- Orioles are 11-8 in their last 19 home games.
    -- Rangers won 10 of their last 12 games.
    -- Angels won 15 of their last 18 games. Twins won four of their last five games.
    -- Bronx Bombers are 11-4 since the All-Star break.
    -- A's won three of their last four games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Nationals lost 14 of their last 18 road games. Pirates lost four of their last six games, getting shut out three times.
    -- Reds lost 13 of their last 16 games.
    -- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.
    -- Astros lost six of their last seven games.
    -- Brewers lost 11 of their last 15 road games.

    -- Red Sox lost five if their last six road games.
    -- Indians lost 12 of their last 17 home games. Tigers lost eight of their last nine on the road.
    -- Royals lost 14 of their last 17 road games. Rays lost four of their last six home games.
    -- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.
    -- White Sox lost six of their last nine games.
    -- Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games.

    Totals
    -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Pittsburgh games.
    -- Under is 13-6-1 in Cincinnati's last 20 home games.
    -- Six of last nine Cub games went over the total.
    -- Under is 13-3 in Arizona's last sixteen road games.
    -- Four of last five Dodger road games stayed under the total.
    -- Nine of last ten Cardinal home games stayed under the total.
    -- Over is 13-5-1 in Milwaukee's last 19 road games.
    -- Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies' last six road games.

    -- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Baltimore games.
    -- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Cleveland home games.
    -- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Tampa Bay games.
    -- Under is 7-1-1 in Seattle's last nine games.
    -- Six of last seven Angel games went over the total.
    -- Five of last six White Sox home games stayed under the total.
    -- Six of last eight Toronto road games stayed under the total.

    Umpires
    -- Hst-StL-- Meals
    -- LA-Atl-- Hallion
    -- Wsh-Pitt-- Johnson
    -- Colo-Cin-- Schroeber
    -- Az-NY-- Reynolds
    -- Chi-Fla-- Foster
    -- Phil-SF-- Hoye
    -- Mil-SD-- Campos

    -- NY-Chi-- Fletcher
    -- KC-TB-- Vanover
    -- Det-Clev-- Guccione
    -- Bos-Balt-- Kellogg
    -- LA-Min-- Gorman
    -- Sea-Tex-- Cousins
    -- Tor-A's-- Dimuro

    Comment


    • #17
      WNBA
      Dunkel



      San Antonio at Seattle
      The Storm look to bounce back from their defeat at San Antonio on Tuesday and build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 games following a SU loss. Seattle is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

      SATURDAY, AUGUST 1

      Game 601-602: New York at Atlanta

      Dunkel Ratings: New York 107.571; Atlanta 118.099
      Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 158 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 154
      Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-5); Over

      Game 603-604: Phoenix at Minnesota
      Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 111.873; Minnesota 114.819
      Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 187 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 185 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Over

      Game 605-606: Connecticut at Chicago
      Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 110.109; Chicago 111.471
      Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 150 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 146 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3); Over

      Game 607-608: Los Angeles at Sacramento
      Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 111.531; Sacramento 109.523
      Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 142 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 146
      Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+3); Under

      Game 609-610: San Antonio at Seattle
      Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 106.598; Seattle 115.518
      Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 9; 131 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 140
      Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2); Under




      WNBA
      Long Sheet



      Saturday, August 1

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW YORK (6 - 11) at ATLANTA (9 - 10) - 8/1/2009, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
      ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      NEW YORK is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
      ATLANTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
      NEW YORK is 6-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHOENIX (14 - 6) at MINNESOTA (10 - 9) - 8/1/2009, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
      PHOENIX is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
      MINNESOTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      PHOENIX is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      10 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      CONNECTICUT (9 - 8) at CHICAGO (9 - 10) - 8/1/2009, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CONNECTICUT is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      CONNECTICUT is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
      CONNECTICUT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
      CHICAGO is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
      CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHICAGO is 5-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
      CONNECTICUT is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LOS ANGELES (5 - 10) at SACRAMENTO (5 - 15) - 8/1/2009, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LOS ANGELES is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
      LOS ANGELES is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
      SACRAMENTO is 136-89 ATS (+38.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
      SACRAMENTO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in August or September games since 1997.
      SACRAMENTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
      SACRAMENTO is 46-27 ATS (+16.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
      SACRAMENTO is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games since 1997.
      SACRAMENTO is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
      SACRAMENTO is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      SACRAMENTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a division game this season.
      SACRAMENTO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LOS ANGELES is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      LOS ANGELES is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN ANTONIO (8 - 9) at SEATTLE (11 - 7) - 8/1/2009, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN ANTONIO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
      SEATTLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      WNBA

      Saturday, August 1


      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Los Angeles Sparks at Sacramento Monarchs (-3, 145.5)

      As the Sparks conclude a seven-game road trip a short drive from their own gym, they learned an important lesson: They aren’t a good road team.

      Los Angeles is just 2-9 on the road this season and has dropped four of six away games heading into the final test of its trip. The problem for the Sparks has been finding consistent scoring. With an injury to center Lisa Leslie and Candace Parker not fully in game shape as she returns from pregnancy leave, the club has struggled with veteran Tina Thompson as its most reliable player.

      But help is on the way. Parker has led the team with double-digit rebounds each of the past two games. When her MVP shooting stroke returns, the Sparks should again be considered contenders.

      For now, they must focus on a Monarchs team they already beat by 20 once this season. Sacramento has lost three of its past five games.

      Pick: Sparks


      San Antonio Silver Stars at Seattle Storm (-6.5, 140)

      Home teams haven’t just held an edge when these two squads tangle – they dominate.

      Since 2006, the home team has won eight of 10 meetings between these two sides, including splitting a pair of games won by the host team this year. But then again, the Storm are a tough opponent for any visiting club.

      Seattle is 7-2 in its own gym this year, winning those games by an average of 8.5 points per game. The Silver Stars figure to have a slight mental edge over the Storm after beating them, 74-71 in Texas on Tuesday. San Antonio, however, won the game on a last-second, 21-foot three, and the Silver Stars are unlikely to shoot 41.4 percent from down town again.

      Pick: Storm

      -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #18
        MLB
        Write-up


        UPDATE - Umpire trends

        Saturday, August 1

        Umpires

        -- Hst-StL-- Three of last four Meals games stayed under the total.
        -- LA-Atl-- Last five Hallion games all stayed under the total.
        -- Wsh-Pitt-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Johnson games; underdog is 8-4 in his last dozen games behind the dish.
        -- Colo-Cin-- Underdog is 7-5 in last twelve Schrieber games.
        -- Az-NY-- Favorites won last four Reynolds games.
        -- Chi-Fla-- Five of last seven Foster games stayed under the total.
        -- Phil-SF-- Five of last six Hoye games stayed under the total.
        -- Mil-SD-- Four of last five Campos went over the total.

        -- NY-Chi-- Under is 15-4-2 in last 21 Fletcher games.
        -- KC-TB-- Under is 10-4 in Vanover's last fourteen games.
        -- Det-Clev-- Favorites are 13-3 in last 16 Guccione games.
        -- Bos-Balt-- Six of last seven Kellogg games stayed under the total.
        -- LA-Min-- Under is 13-3-3 in last 19 Gorman games; underdogs won six of his last seven games behind plate.
        -- Sea-Tex-- Eight of last nine Cousins games stayed under the total.
        -- Tor-A's-- Last five Dimuro games stayed under the total.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #19
          Weekend six-pack

          Today we take a look at the Big 12 South

          -- Texas-- 88-15 since 2001, Longhorns have 16 starters back, a senior QB and four starters back on OL. They play Oklahoma October 17. Texas hasn't been an underdog in a game since 2005.

          -- Oklahoma-- Four new starters on OL; they open with BYU down in Dallas, they visit Miami before Texas. Lost four of last five bowls, but Sooners have covered 13 of their last 17 as a home favorite.

          -- Oklahoma State-- Don't hit road until Oct. 10, but Georgia opener is acid test. Senior QB has made 24 starts; both guards are new. Host the Longhorns on Halloween.

          -- Texas Tech-- Nine straight winning years, but LY's 11-2 was enough to make Leach a wanted man elsewhere. Tech got wise and kept him as their coach. Now Leach has break in seven new starters on offense.

          -- Baylor-- Haven't been to bowl since '94, but with 16 starters back and dynamic QB Griffin, this could be the year. Allowed only 3.6 yds/ rush LY, their stingiest mark in last seven years.

          -- Texas A&M-- 10 starters back on offense, cupcakes in September mean Aggies will rebound from their worst season since '72. Four road games in five-week stretch (10/17-11/14) will make or break them.

          ----------------------------------------------------------------------

          Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff for a summer Saturday

          13) Been a tough few days for Indian fans, dumping Lee/Martinez for a pack of 11 players, nine of whom are pitchers; eight of the guys they got are 23 years old or younger. Dumping a 30+ catcher is one thing, but its depressing to deal a superior pitcher like Lee.

          12) Cleveland GM Shapiro spouted some nonsense about trying to bring a championship to Cleveland; please, if he was honest, he'd admit their only realistic goal is simply making playoffs. Then, anything can happen but talking championship during a salary dump is insulting.

          11) Speaking of Lee, he paid immediate dividends for the Phillies when he threw a complete game win against the Giants in San Francisco. Now the Phillies don't have any room in their rotation for Pedro Martinez.

          10) Matt Holliday is 17 for his first 29 with the Cardinals.

          9) Eric Hinske has seven hits for Bronx Bombers; five of them are HRs.

          8) Toronto spent lot of Friday night refuting claims that Roy Halladay vetoed a trade to the Rangers; fact that Texas didn't make any trades is a hint that maybe they did have something working with the Blue Jays.

          7) I had forgotten that Jeffrey Loria owned the Expos, so his trade for Nick Johnson Friday makes perfect sense; Johnson played for Expos/ Nationals for six years. Cantu moves to third and the speedy Bonifacio becomes a utility guy, giving Marlins more punch in their lineup.

          6) Do you think the Red Sox will retire Adam LaRoche's number 23?

          5) Bud Selig should strongly hint that all outfield fences be 8-9 feet high; so many great catches are made, robbing guys of home runs, it makes the game more exciting, rather than watching a ball ping off a 20-foot fence.

          4) Red Sox are just 10-18 against the AL West this season.

          3) Mike Hampton has an 11.50 ERA in the first inning this season.

          2) Orlando Cabrera is now on his sixth team since 2004.

          1) Most of our high school students weren't alive the last time Pirates had a winning season; when those high schoolers graduate college, it is still doubtful Pittsburgh will have had a winning year.

          From: Armadillo
          ----------------------------------------------------------------------

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