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Run line 1.5, teams % winning by 2

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  • Run line 1.5, teams % winning by 2

    I have a question for the stat junkies in this forum. I was talking to my bookie at Leroys(ticket taker) and he was wondering what the % was of -1.5 run line favorites actually win by 2 runs or more.
    Thanks
    2013
    MLB
    DOGS: 3-6
    1ST 5: 9-6-1
    FULL GM:15-9
    OV/UN: 10-5

  • #2
    Frank may be able to help you on that as he has a lot of stats. I don't know what the % is, but most teams are in the negative money wise -1.5 runs.

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    • #3
      Thanks
      2013
      MLB
      DOGS: 3-6
      1ST 5: 9-6-1
      FULL GM:15-9
      OV/UN: 10-5

      Comment


      • #4
        I had the same question in April. About how often a game is decided by one run. Here was the response

        Originally posted by frankb03 View Post
        Since 2004

        in 12,311 games 3,427 have been decided by 1 run

        The home team has won 6696 games. 2098 were by 1 run.

        Away team has won 5615 games. 1329 were by 1 run.
        "CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"

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        • #5
          So the following is this:
          Since 2004
          8,884 team has won by 2 runs or more (72%)
          4,598 HT has won by 2 runs or more (69%)
          4,286 AT has won by 2 runs or more (76%)

          Thanks
          2013
          MLB
          DOGS: 3-6
          1ST 5: 9-6-1
          FULL GM:15-9
          OV/UN: 10-5

          Comment


          • #6
            sounds like pretty good odds...

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