Thursday Trends and Indexes 7/2 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[pm530]

MLB


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The Best and Worst Pitchers for the Month of July
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Just about every pitcher has his good months and bad months and for some, it’s the same from year to year. Below is the list of arms to watch throughout the month of July.

Note that the W-L records are those of the team in which the listed pitcher started over the previous three seasons.

July good month pitchers:

Eric Bedard 11-1 Seattle, John Danks 7-3 White Sox, Jon Garland 11-4 Arizona, Tim Hudson 12-3 Atlanta, John Lackey 14-3 Anaheim, Jon Lester 9-3 Boston, Gil Meche 13-5 Kansas City ,Johan Santana 11-5 NY Mets, Chien-Ming Wang 9-2 NY Yankees, Carlos Zambrano 15-2 Cubs.

July bad month pitchers:

Mark Buehrle 5-11 White Sox, Mark Hendrickson 3-9 Baltimore, Tim Redding 3-7 NY Mets, Andy Sonnanstine 2-8 Tampa Bay

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[pm530]

MLB


Thursday, July 2

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
ARIZONA vs. CINCINNATI
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

12:35 PM
NY METS vs. PITTSBURGH
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

3:35 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN DIEGO
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
San Diego is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

7:15 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 9 games when playing Baltimore

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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


NY Mets at Pittsburgh
The Pirates look to build on their 11-3 record in Paul Maholm's last 14 starts as a home favorite. Pittsburgh is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-145). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 2

Game 951-952: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 13.764; Cincinnati (Harang) 15.407
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-135); Over

Game 953-954: Houston at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.745; San Diego (Correia) 15.328
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+110); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Happ) 14.263; Atlanta (Vazquez) 15.529
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under

Game 957-958: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.894; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 15.496
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (McClung) 14.741; Cubs (Dempster) 16.256
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); N/A

Game 961-962: Seattle at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 16.709; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.066
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-300); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+250); Over

Game 963-964: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 14.949; Kansas City (Chen) 15.075
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Under

Game 965-966: Baltimore at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.954; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.625
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under

Game 967-968: NY Mets at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Redding) 14.242; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.563
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-145); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, July 2

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ARIZONA (31 - 47) at CINCINNATI (38 - 38) - 12:35 PM
DOUG DAVIS (L) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 31-47 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-42 (-14.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-26 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 50-66 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-29 (-16.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 35-42 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 31-47 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 78-94 (-31.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIS is 15-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 15-27 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 55-39 (+19.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 225-262 (-68.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 80-103 (-31.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DAVIS is 6-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 10-5 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-4.2 units)

AARON HARANG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
HARANG is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.66 and a WHIP of 0.939.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-0. (+8.0 units)

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HOUSTON (37 - 39) at SAN DIEGO (34 - 43) - 3:35 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 11-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 22-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 22-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 23-15 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 123-114 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-60 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-30 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 119-112 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 91-86 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-56 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-42 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 97-141 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-33 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 97-141 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 51-70 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.192.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CORREIA is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (39 - 36) at ATLANTA (37 - 40) - 7:10 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-14 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-19 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-11 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-9 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-37 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-40 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 11-16 (-10.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 37-40 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 74-89 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
VAZQUEZ is 110-128 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
VAZQUEZ is 7-17 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 (+4.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAPP is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.868.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 11-7 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 13-12 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-14. (-6.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (42 - 35) at ST LOUIS (42 - 38) - 7:15 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. TODD WELLEMEYER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-35 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 42-35 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 686-579 (+84.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-86 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-14 (+6.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+3.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZITO is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 2.030.
His team's record is 0-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

TODD WELLEMEYER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WELLEMEYER is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (42 - 36) at CHICAGO CUBS (37 - 38) - 8:05 PM
SETH MCCLUNG (R) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DEMPSTER is 64-37 (+28.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 32-15 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 32-21 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-38 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 534-483 (-108.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-38 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 734-771 (-131.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 482-510 (-120.2 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
DEMPSTER is 5-11 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 5-11 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

SETH MCCLUNG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
DEMPSTER is 9-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.277.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-5. (+3.5 units)

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SEATTLE (39 - 38) at NY YANKEES (45 - 32) - 7:05 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 100-139 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-78 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-35 (-21.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 92-128 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 64-97 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 23-53 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 75-43 (+20.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 7-17 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.8 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 38) at KANSAS CITY (33 - 44) - 8:10 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 47-40 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHEN is 31-19 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-43 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 123-91 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-45 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-109 (-35.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-60 (-27.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 21-35 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-37 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 4-4 (+0.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 19-8 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 27-11 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 19-18. (-0.6 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CHEN is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.10 and a WHIP of 1.355.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (35 - 43) at LA ANGELS (42 - 34) - 10:05 PM
JEREMY GUTHRIE (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 42-34 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 65-35 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 40-17 (+17.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 19-7 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 16-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 39-28 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 97-71 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-37 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 84-87 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 93-93 (-56.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LACKEY is 10-17 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 0.522.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LACKEY is 6-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.7 units)

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NY METS (38 - 39) at PITTSBURGH (36 - 42) - 12:35 PM
TIM REDDING (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 47-58 (-26.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 65-64 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 13-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 22-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 15-9 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 22-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

TIM REDDING vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
REDDING is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.596.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.8 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. NY METS since 1997
MAHOLM is 3-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.378.
His team's record is 4-2 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet



Thursday, 7/2/2009

National League

ARIZONA at CINCINNATI, 12:35 PM ET
DAVIS: ARI 11-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
HARANG: CIN 9-24 after allowing 1 run or less

HOUSTON at SAN DIEGO, 3:35 PM ET
RODRIGUEZ: HOU 14-5 against NL West
CORREIA: SD 19-33 in July

PHILADELPHIA at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
HAPP: PHI 9-4 as an underdog of +125 to +175
VAZQUEZ: 4-9 TSR as a favorite

SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS, 7:15 PM ET
ZITO: 0-10 TSR against NL Central
WELLEMEYER: STL 14-4 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

MILWAUKEE at CHICAGO CUBS, 8:05 PM ET
MCCLUNG: MIL 9-1 AWAY in July
DEMPSTER: 5-11 TSR in all games

American League

SEATTLE at NY YANKEES, 7:05 PM ET
VARGAS: SEA 11-35 AWAY when the total is 9 to 9.5
SABATHIA: NYY 52-26 after allowing 2 runs or less

CHI WHITE SOX at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
BUEHRLE: CHW 14-5 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175
CHEN: KC 6-22 as a home underdog of +125 or more

BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
GUTHRIE: BAL 10-4 after 3 consecutive division games
LACKEY: 10-17 TSR as a home favorite of -150 to -175

Write-In Game

NY METS at PITTSBURGH, 12:35 PM - ** Write-In Game ET
REDDING: 10-4 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
MAHOLM: PIT 19-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

MLB


Thursday, July 2

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Tips and Trends
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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs [8:05 PM ET]

Brewers: The Brewers are playing their first road game in 11 days. They have been all or nothing hitting during their past six games, getting shut out twice while averaging seven runs in the other four contests. Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder have combined to drive 131 runs, the most of any teammates in the majors. However, the Brewers haven’t received consistency from the rest of their hitters. They’ll take on the Cubs having won 16 of their last 21 games during the first game of a series. Seth McClung (3-1, 3.55 ERA) starts. McClung allowed three runs on six hits in four innings on Saturday against the Giants in his first start of the season. McClung didn’t factor in the decision, a 7-6 Milwaukee victory. The right-hander has made 10 relief appearances against the Cubs. He is 1-0 with a 2.55 ERA versus them in 17 2/3 innings of work.

The 2 teams are 13-6-2 to the Over in their last 21 head-to-head meetings.

Key injuries - Richie Weeks (wrist) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-$1.45, O/U 9): The Cubs ranked first in the National League in pitching during June with a 3.18 ERA. Still the Cubs went 11-14 during the month, their worst month since August of 2007. The problem for the Cubs is lack of scoring. They’ve scored seven runs in their last four games being shut out twice during this span. That could change once Aramis Ramirez returns to the lineup, which could come Monday. Cubs starter Ryan Dempster (4-5, 4.09 ERA) is off his second-shortest stint of the season. The right-hander gave up five runs on eight hits over five innings in an 8-7 road loss to the White Sox last Saturday. The Cubs are 0-5 in Dempster’s last five outings and 0-6 in his last six starts versus National League Central Division foes. Dempster hasn’t won on the road since April 12, but is 3-1 with a 4.14 ERA at Wrigley Field.

The Under has cashed 17 of the past 25 times the Cubs have faced a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - Aramis Ramirez (shoulder) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side of the Day)



Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels [10:05 PM ET]

Orioles: The Orioles have not fared well versus American League West clubs, especially when facing the Angels. Baltimore has lost 20 of its past 27 meetings with the Angels. The Orioles are 5-16 in their last 21 games when meeting AL West teams. Baltimore is 29-28 when playing at night. The Orioles’ record is so bad because they are a major-league worst 6-15 during day games. The Orioles have lost 10 of the last 14 times Jeremy Guthrie (6-7, 5.11 ERA) has taken the mound. Guthrie, though, hasn’t given up more than three earned runs in any of his last four starts. He beat Washington in his previous outing on Saturday, 6-3, surrendering three earned runs and five hits in five innings. Center fielder Adam Jones expects to play after missing Wednesday’s game because he was shaken up on Tuesday following a collision with the wall.

The Orioles are 14-38 in their last 52 games as a road underdog.
The Over is 7-2 in Guthrie’s last nine road starts versus a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - Adam Jones (head) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Angels (-$1.60, O/U 9.5 under -$1.15): Closer Brian Fuentes has been good, but the Angels have the worst bullpen in the majors with an ERA of 5.41. That means right-hander John Lackey (2-3, 5.06 ERA) probably is going to need to pitch well against an Orioles lineup laced with dangerous left-handers. The Angels have been favored in each of Lackey’s last five home starts – and have lost each time. Los Angeles is 5-11 in Lackey’s past 16 overall starts. Lackey, however, is off his best start of the season. The 31-year-old held Arizona to no runs on five hits in seven innings pitching on the road last Saturday. Lackey struck out nine and walked three, but didn’t factor in the decision. Lackey looked strong late in the game punching out six of the last seven batters he faced. Lackey is 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA in 10 career meetings against the Orioles.

The Over is 10-3-1 the past 14 times the Angels have been favored.

Key Injuries - None.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (OVER - Total of the Day)


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel


Connecticut at Indiana
The Fever are coming off a 63-54 win over New York and look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Indiana is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 2

Game 601-602: Connecticut at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 109.931; Indiana 117.765
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-4 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Detroit at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 108.550; New York 115.722
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7; 150
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 144
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Over

Game 605-606: Sacramento at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 107.032; Minnesota 113.603
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 159
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

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Thursday, July 2
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CONNECTICUT (4 - 3) at INDIANA (6 - 2) - 7/2/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (2 - 5) at NEW YORK (2 - 6) - 7/2/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (1 - 8) at MINNESOTA (7 - 3) - 7/2/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA


Thursday, July 2

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets
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Sacramento Monarchs at Minnesota Lynx (-6.5, 159.5)

Yes, the Monarchs are that bad.

The worst team in the league continues its shuffle toward the top draft pick by taking its 1-8 record on the road. Sacramento is 0-6 on the road this season and is allowing a staggering 79.1 points per game as it has topped the total five times in nine games.

Minnesota (7-3), which sits alone atop the Western Conference standings, has a ridiculous 9-1 over/under mark as it averages 85.3 points per game, second-best in the league. There will be plenty of points in this game, but don’t look for Sacramento to be scoring them.

Pick: Over


Detroit Shock at New York Liberty (-3.5, 143.5)

When these two teams meet tonight there will be a title on the line: the loser gets crowned worst team in the Eastern Conference.

The Shock have battled suspensions and injuries but have floundered to a 2-5 record as they have lost four of five and are averaging a horrendous 72 points per game. It doesn’t get much prettier for the Liberty, which at 2-6, has failed to bounce back from losing its first three games because of a dreadful offense. And if you think the Shock can’t score, wait until you see New York’s feeble attempts to hit its hideous, 70.4-point average.

Pick: Liberty


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[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel


Update

Winnipeg at Edmonton
The Bluebombers look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games in Week 1. Winnipeg is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Edmonton favored by only 8. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+9 1/2).

[Udog]

Len's Top 5


Happy Thursday everyone, here's my Top 5 for July 2, 2009 from Len Berman Sports.

1. Quick Hits

The Wimbledon semi-finals are set. Roger Federer gunning for a record 15th Grand Slam title vs. Tommy Haas. And a couple of Andys. Home country favorite Andy Murray vs. Andy Roddick.
The Women's semis are today, the Williams sisters against a couple of Russians.
Former boxing champ and Mayor of Managua, Alexis Arguello, was found shot to death at his home in Nicaragua. It was reportedly suicide. He was 57.

2. The Conquered Hero?

Something new in baseball tomorrow night. A superstar returns after a 50-game in season suspension for drugs. Manny Ramirez is eligible to play for the Dodgers in San Diego. So how do you react to a cheat? They'll boo in San Diego, and boo some more in New York next week when he plays the Mets. But when he returns to Dodger Stadium on July 16th expect a standing ovation. That's the way it goes. Just like Barry Bonds in San Francisco. He's a creep, but he's our creep.
By the way, the Dodgers are bringing back the left field promotion called Mannywood when Ramirez returns. Shouldn't they call it Mannyroid?

3. A Matter of Time

Thanks to subscriber Eric H. for passing this along. A 13-year old football player has "committed" to play at Tennessee. His older brother is a star for the Vols. While the "commitment" isn't actually legal, where is this going to lead?
It calls to mind the movie City Slickers as Bruno Kirby's character dates younger and younger women. Quips Billy Crystal's character, "soon, you'll be dating sperm."

4. Not so Sweet Lou

Sports Illustrated asked players which Manager they would least like to play for. The winner, or loser, Lou Piniella of the Cubs. Wow. How could you not want to play for Lou? Isn't he passionate? Doesn't he kick and throw bases with the best of them? Didn't he make one of the great "saves" in baseball with his play in right during the playoff game at Fenway Park in 1978? I guess none of that matters. I'm just partial. I once sat at the same table with Lou at a bar mitzvah, and there's not another sports figure I can say that about.

5. Touchdown Cowboys!

Butch Franklin lives near Dallas. He is mentally challenged and makes about $30 a week doing odd jobs. Thieves recently broke into his apartment stealing his TV, PlayStation and Dallas Cowboys memorabilia. Friends replaced what they could, but how do you replace sports memorabilia? Easy. A couple of Dallas Cowboys showed up bringing tons of signed stuff not only from the players but from their famed cheerleaders. Very cool.

Happy Birthday: Steroids whistle blower Jose Canseco. 45.
Bonus Birthday: Actress Lindsay Lohan. 23.

Today in Sports: Billie Jean King wins the first of her six Wimbledon Titles. 1966.
Bonus Event: The Air Force says a weather balloon crashed near Roswell New Mexico. We all know it was really an alien spaceship. 1947.