Very intresting TOTAL trend for NBA Elimination games

[GOLDENGREEK]

STOLE THIS FROM ANOTHER PLACE:


LOOKS LIKE THE UNDER IS SOLID IN GAMES WHEN A TEAM IS FACING ELIMINATION

SO FAR THIS YEAR ITS 2-1 TO THE UNDER

HERE IS A BREAKDOWN OF PAST YEARS-- THE UNDER IS THE FIRST TOTAL SHOWN IN THE RECORDS



Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated (based on opening lines & regulation scores) for all Elimination games* total results are as follows:


Overall

All Elimination Games: U/O 53-34-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 20-18-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 33-16-1


1st Round of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 25-19-1

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 14-10-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 11-9




2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 28-15-1

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 6-8
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 22-7-1


Clearly the prime spot to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing % of only .233), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.

The one team to prove the exception (whose results I haven't incl. in the above figures) is - no suprise - Phoenix....

Phoenix Suns

Elimination games they win SU: O/U 7-1
Elimination games they lose SU: O/U 2-3

For Phoenix it doesnt matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they're playing in, or the Round they're playing it in, in relation to the final total result: it's down to their SU performance.

Take away Phoenix sice the are not in the playoffs and the records for unders above improves dramatically

[GOLDENGREEK]

Under in the new orleans game

3-1 now this year

[frankb03]

The UNDERS in elimination games have been on a good run.

6-13 last 19
9-22 last 31

Long term the UNDER has been marginally profitable. 69/80 Since 2003

The OU record has the identical ATS record during the same stretch 69-80-1 for teams facing elimination.

[GOLDENGREEK]

the unders in elimination games have been on a good run.

6-13 last 19
9-22 last 31

long term the under has been marginally profitable. 69/80 since 2003

the ou record has the identical ats record during the same stretch 69-80-1 for teams facing elimination.

thanks frank

[frankb03]

The UNDERS in elimination games have been on a good run.

6-13 last 19
9-22 last 31

Long term the UNDER has been marginally profitable. 69/80 Since 2003

The OU record has the identical ATS record during the same stretch 69-80-1 for teams facing elimination.

CORRECTION to the above stats. I included games where the series was tied 3-3. In these games OU 7/11 since 2003.

In games were a team is facing elimination and not a game 7
OU 55/58 since 2003.

Last season 6/13
7/18 last 25