Wednesday Trends and Indexes 4/29 (NBA, MLB, Misc.)

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, April 29

Good Luck on day #119 of 2009!

At this time the sports menu in this thread consists of the NBA, MLB, and the NHL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted here.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Wednesday, April 29

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Nuggets can knock out the Hornets, the Hawks are locked up with the Heat, and the Royals send their ace to the mound.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

The Nuggets can finish off the Hornets on Wednesday night in one of just two games on the NBA postseason slate. Denver demolished New Orleans 121-63 on the road on Monday night to take a commanding 3-1 lead in that best-of-seven Western Conference series. Carmelo Anthony led the way with 26 points for the Nuggets in that victory, while Chauncey Billups picked up 17 points and eight assists. Chris Paul was held to just four points for the Hornets on that day.

The other matchup on tap for Wednesday has Miami at Atlanta, with the Heat and Hawks knotted up at two games apiece in that Eastern Conference series. Atlanta came out on top in Game 4 on the road on Monday night, getting a team-high 15 points from Mike Bibby in an 81-71 victory. Joe Johnson added 14 points for the Hawks in the win, while Josh Smith had 13 points and seven boards. Dwyane Wade picked up 22 points for the Heat, and Jermaine O'Neal scored 20.

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

Red-hot righthander Zack Greinke will be looking to keep his spotless stats line intact on Wednesday night when his Royals play host to the Blue Jays. Greinke is 4-0 already on the season, and he's yet to give up an earned run through 29 innings of work (fanning 36 and walking just six). The Blue Jays will counter Greinke with lefthander Brian Tallet, who is 1-0 with a 2.95 ERA so far this year.

There are six other games on the American League schedule for Wednesday including matinee matchups between the Angels and Orioles in Baltimore, and the Mariners and White Sox in Chicago. As well, it'll be the Yankees at Detroit, Boston at Cleveland, Oakland at Texas, and Tampa Bay at Minnesota. Rays lefthanded starter Scott Kazmir is 3-1 with a 3.97 ERA to date after four outings.

Making up the National League slate for Wednesday: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee, Florida at the Mets, San Diego at Colorado, the Cubs at Arizona, Washington at Philadelphia, St. Louis at Atlanta, Houston at Cincinnati, and the Dodgers at San Francisco. The Giants will send ace righthander Tim Lincecum to the mound in that last contest; Lincecum has a 1-1 record with a 2.96 ERA over his four starts.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Wednesday

Sporting News did a study of the NFL Drafts from 2004-08; here are some of their findings......

-- Tennessee Titans had 51 picks in those drafts, more than any of the teams, yet still came up with only seven starting players.

-- Of the 44 Cincinnati draft picks from 2004-8, 17 (38.6%) aren't in the NFL anymore; thats three more than any other team.

-- There are 13 ex-Buccaneers on other teams; the most draft picks of any team to still be in the league with other franchises.

-- Giants had only 33 draft picks, least in NFL, but only four of the 33 are out of the NFL, also the lowest figure in the league.

-- Lions (five starters/36 picks), Vikings (5/34) drafted least amount of starters in those five drafts.

-- San Diego drafted 14 of its starters, more than any other team.

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Late Night Update

-- Reliever Javier Lopez dropped a throw at first, allowing winning run to score, as Indians overcame 5-1 deficit and beat Boston 9-8, ending the Red Sox' 11-game winning streak.

-- Carolina scored twice in last 1:20 to upset the Devils in Jersey; Washington scored with 4:59 left to oust the Rangers 2-1 in a pair of NHL Game 7's.

-- Celtics beat Chicago in OT, the third overtime game out of five in that series; Dallas put the Spurs out of their misery, winning by 13, while Orlando grabbed a 3-2 series lead over Philly, and the Blazers stayed alive, beating Houston at home, forcing Game 6 in Texas.

-- Ethier doubled, Kemp tripled in ninth inning as Dodgers won 5-3 in San Francisco. Both runs Sanchez allowed were unearned.

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Wednesday's List of 13: Tale of the Tape: MLB vs the NFL

Bud Selig still likes to refer to baseball as our national pastime, but in reality, the NFL is our most popular sport. Hell, the NFL Draft gets a ton of publicity; lets take a look at the Tale of the Tape........

Item: Salary cap
MLB-- Refuses to use one, creating competitive imbalance.
NFL-- Has had one for years, creating unpredictable exciting sport.
Edge-- NFL-- Ask the people in Pittsburgh what they like better.

Item: Pay-pre-view package
NFL-- Available only if you have DirecTV and are in treeless area.
MLB-- Available to all cable customers, though it has flaws too.
Edge-- MLB-- Don't get me started on the Saturday afternoon part of the MLB package-- at least I can get Extra Innings with digital cable.

Item: Coaches' attire
NFL-- Golf shirt, pullovers, mock turtlenecks.
MLB-- Think Tommy Lasorda in doubleknits.
Edge-- NFL-- Plus, they get nitwits like me to buy the stuff coaches are wearing on the sidelines, increasing their already-huge profits.

Item: Helmets
NFL-- QBs' and one defensive player's helmet have a radio in them; some have eye visors, all of them have facemasks.
MLB-- Most have only one earflap; they look like bowling balls.
Edge-- MLB. Anything that looks like a bowling ball wins here.

Item: Cheerleaders
NFL-- They don't lead cheers, they pose for cameras while dressed like hookers, and we mean that in the finest possible way.
MLB-- Some teams have them, but they just get in the way.
Edge-- NFL. Never did figure out why cheerleaders smile even when their team is getting crushed; maybe its because they're oblivious.....

Item: Length of schedule
NFL-- 16 games, with one Sunday off out of seventeen.
MLB-- 162 games in 182 days, with three days off in middle.
Edge-- MLB. The daily routine of baseball is its strongest point.

Item: Foul weather procedures
NFL-- They play in everything but lightning storms.
MLB-- They put a tarp on the field when it rains.
Edge-- NFL. Bad weather games actually get better TV ratings.

Item: Opening Day
NFL-- I'm usually bleary-eyed for 1:00 games after watching college football for fourteen hours the day before.
MLB-- Symbolizes the end of winter, the start of spring/summer.
Edge-- MLB-- There's still something special about Opening Day.

Item: Oldest, most famous stadiums......
NFL-- Lambeau Field-- Frozen tundra, home of Vince Lombardi
MLB-- Wrigley Field-- Ivy-covered walls-- no champs since 1908
Edge-- NFL, Bears used to play at Wrigley, Patriots at Fenway.

Item: New Jersey, the Garden State
NFL-- Jets, Giants play there but don't admit it, calling themselves "New York". Both have training camp at state universities in NY.
MLB-- Only minor league baseball is played in New Jersey.
Edge-- MLB. If you play in the state, call yourself "New Jersey".

Item: Players playing through pain
NFL-- Jack Youngblood played in Super Bowl with a broken leg.
MLB-- Rocco Baldelli missed 500 days with a tweaked hamstring.
Edge-- Pain builds character. Guaranteed contracts create wimps.

Item: Minor leagues
NFL-- Unless Arena League comes back, football is without one.
MLB-- As Bill Murray once said, "What this world needs are less mental hospitals and more minor league baseball."
Edge-- MLB. Owning a minor league team is a terrific investment.

Item: Commissioner
NFL-- Roger Goodell is the son of a US Senator.
MLB-- Bud Selig is a used car dealer from Milwaukee.
Edge-- NFL; used car dealers are actually less trustworthy than the lawyers of this world, and that's saying something.

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[pm530]

Len’s Top Five


Wednesday, April 29

Len's Top 5

Happy Wednesday everyone, here's my Top 5 for April 29, 2009 from len berman sports

1. Quick Hits

Yankees slash some high end ticket prices, and give extra seats to expensive season ticket holders. I guess it's better than hiring vagrants to be seat-fillers.
Mr. Aprils. There are 5 NBA and NHL teams in the New York City area. All have been eliminated before May. The Rangers and Devils both losing game 7s last night.
The San Antonio Spurs were ousted from the NBA playoffs in 5 games by Dallas.
Florida high school pitcher Patrick Schuster yielded a double in the third inning yesterday thus ending his hopes for a 5th straight no-hitter. His team lost the playoff game.
Here's how to get publicity. The Albany Firebirds offered Michael Vick a contract. They're a minor league Arena Football League team.
The gimmick worked. They got mentioned in the Top 5.

2. Return of the Conquering Hero

Barry Bonds surfaced at the Giants game the other night. The crowd gave him a big ovation and he spent some time in the radio booth. The scene will not be repeated anywhere else on earth. He says he's not retired. And during that radio appearance I'm sure they asked him about..... nah!
(I wrote that last line on Twitter... and Tweeter Joe suggested, swine flu?)

3. One Step ahead of the Law

The IOC has found 6 more drug cheaters from Beijing, two of them won medals. How come? They keep samples for 8 years and can test for new stuff that they figure out the cheaters might have used. So now we find out about CERA, an endurance booster. The IOC won't identify the cheaters, but answers only stimulate more questions. What other illegal drugs were being used? Will we ever find out about them? Is anything clean?

4. College Requirements

Now that the NFL draft is over, it's never too early to start thinking about future drafts. Ole Miss has a 340 pound defensive tackle named Jerrell Powe. How well can he read what the other team's offense is doing? Well apparently he can't read, period. When police tried to give him a citation for a noise violation he told the cop he couldn't sign the citation because he doesn't know how to read. His coach says he was joking. Others aren't sure. What's this world coming to? It's hard enough playing football in college, ya have to know how to read too?

5. Athlete of the Week

Alan Perrin did something I'm sure I'll never do. A hole in one. He used a 7 iron from 160 yards. Alan retired from the British Marines after a horrible training accident. He is blind in one eye, and can't use one arm. Yup, that was a one-eyed, one-armed ace!

Today's Birthday: Andre Agassi. 39.
Bonus Birthday: Actress Uma Thurman. 39.
Another Bonus Birthday: Jerry Seinfeld. 55.

Today in Sports: That poor skier goes splat. The debut of ABC's Wide World of Sports: 1961.

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[pm530]

NBA
Dunkel Index

New Orleans at Denver
The Nuggets look to close out the series and build on their 23-5-1 ATS record in their last 29 games as a home favorite from 5 to 10 1/2 points, while the Hornets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog by the same margin. Denver is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 29

Game 551-552: Miami at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.976; Atlanta 122.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+5 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: New Orleans at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.142; Denver 126.153
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 13; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 10 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10 1/2); Under

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[pm530]

NBA
Long Sheet


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Wednesday, April 29
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MIAMI (45 - 41) at ATLANTA (49 - 37) - 4/29/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 75-91 ATS (-25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 46-38 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 10-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (50 - 36) at DENVER (57 - 29) - 4/29/2009, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 8-7 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 8-7 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Thursday, April 30
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BOSTON (65 - 22) at CHICAGO (43 - 44) - 4/30/2009, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 8-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (62 - 25) at PHILADELPHIA (43 - 44) - 4/30/2009, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-7 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 11-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (56 - 31) at HOUSTON (56 - 31) - 4/30/2009, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 9-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 11-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Wednesday, April 29th


Western Conference Playoffs - Round One
Game Five
Series Tied, 2-2
Miami at Atlanta, 8:05 ET

Miami:
12-26 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3
4-15 ATS AWAY revenging SU loss as favorite

Atlanta:
10-2 ATS at home after 2+ consecutive unders
19-9 ATS after a combined score of 175 points or less

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round One
Game Five
Denver Leads, 3-1
New Orleans at Denver, 10:35 ET

New Orleans:
6-16 ATS against Northwest division
7-16 ATS as an underdog

Denver:
23-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12
16-5 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

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[pm530]

NBA
Write-up


Wednesday, April 29

First round, NBA playoffs

None of the four Miami-Atlanta games has been close; teams are 1-1 in each arena-- Heat scored 64-71 points in two losses, 108-107 in the two wins-- they shot under 38% in both losses (8-39 from arc), 56-47% in wins (27-49). Atlanta had 18 shots blocked in its two losses, only eight in its wins. Three of four series games stayed under the total.

Denver won 17 of last 20 games, crushing Hornets 121-63 in last game, tying an NBA record for most onesided playoff loss. New Orleans lost nine of last 12 games- whatever they have left in the tank you'll get here, but after losing by 58 it might not be much. Nuggets won the first two series gamea at home, 113-84/108-93, making 20-37 from arc, shooting 50%+ in both games. Hornets had 26 turnovers in Game 4 humiliation.

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[pm530]

NBA


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Trend Sheet
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Wednesday, April 29

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Atlanta
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

10:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DENVER
New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans


Thursday, April 30

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
Philadelphia is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Orlando

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
Boston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Chicago is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

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[pm530]

NBA


Wednesday, April 29

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Tips and Trends
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New Orleans Hornets at Denver Nuggets [TNT | 10:35 PM ET]

Hornets: New Orleans' 58-point Game 4 loss matched the most lopsided loss in NBA playoff history. "The pressure is on them to close us out," Hornets All-Star David West said. "We have to go up there with the mind-set that we have to do everything in our power to keep the game close." Like they did in Game 3, which they won by two points. The banged-up and browbeaten Hornets scrapped their practice plans Tuesday. The Hornets dropped the first two games in this series in Denver by 29 and 15 points. Both of those games went over the posted total.

The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The Hornets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog.

Key Injuries - G Chris Paul (back) is PROBABLE.

PROJECTED SCORE: 91

Nuggets (-10.5, O/U 197.5): Chris Andersen said the Nuggets have already put their big 121-63 win in the rearview mirror. "It's a new game. It's 0-0," he said. "Even though we're not facing elimination, we got to kind of act like it," Chauncey Billups suggested. "It's a hard game because the team that you're facing knows that they have to do every single thing that they can to try to stay alive," Billups said. "And any time you're in a desperate situation, it's a dangerous situation." Denver stifled Chris Paul (4 points, 6 assists) with double teams that led to 6 turnovers. Karl said he won't change his strategy much for Game 5.

The Under is 21-6 in the Nuggets' last 27 Conference Quarterfinals games.
The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 101 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

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[pm530]

NBA


Wednesday, April 29

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Pick ‘n’ Roll: NBA best bets
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Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks (-5.5, 180)

Thankfully for the Atlanta Hawks, the franchise appears to have the memory of a goldfish.

Just a day removed from a near 30-point beating in Game 3, the Hawks washed their hands of a poor defense performance and locked the Heat down for just 71 points on 38 percent shooting.

More notably, Atlanta contained Miami guard Dwyane Wade to 22 points on 9-of-26 shooting including a 1-for-9 count from behind the arc. The gritty effort evened the first round series at 2-2 and now heads back to Atlanta for Game 5 Wednesday.

“We played defense like we did in Game 1,” forward Josh Smith told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. “We just got after them the whole game. We took control of the game from the tip and we had to do that to get the fans out of it early. Fighting through adversity shows the character of this team. That was a big win for us.”

The win didn’t come without a price. Many players were dinged up in the grueling defensive struggle including perimeter threat Joe Johnson, who hurt his right foot and was seen getting treatment on the injury after the game.

Johnson has struggled to find his stroke in the first round of the playoffs. He’s averaging under 14 points in the series after putting up more than 20 points per game in the regular season. Johnson is just 2-for-9 from 3-point range and hasn’t hit a triple in the past two games.

Pick: Under 180



New Orleans Hornets at Denver Nuggets (-10.5, 197.5)

The Denver Nuggets took 15 years of first-round frustrations out on the Hornets Monday, by way of a 58-point blowout.

The Nuggets scored 121 points on nearly 57 percent shooting and cashed in 10-of-20 3-point attempts. All but one player got on the score sheet and seven of those guys notched double figures including Carmelo Anthony, who scored 26 points in 36 minutes.

"It's a focus thing," guard Chauncey Billups told the Denver Post. "I think the guys have been extremely focused at the start of games and the start of halves, knowing that the first five minutes of the first and third are vital to the outcome.

"You let teams make a run in those early parts of the game and it has a huge effect. We talk a lot about that."

If suffering an NBA-record stomping in front of their home fans wasn’t enough, the Hornets must now return to Denver where they lost the first two games of this series. New Orleans was outscored 221-182 in those contests.

Pick: Denver -10.5

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[pm530]

MLB
Dunkel Index


Chicago Cubs at Arizona
The Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Doug Davis' last 5 starts as an underdog, while the Cubs are just 1-6 in Ryan Dempster's last 7 road starts with the total between 9 and 10 1/2. Arizona is the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120). Here are all of today's games

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 29

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 16.445; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.409
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+180); Under

Game 953-954: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.079; NY Mets (Santana) 13.904
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+175); Over

Game 955-956: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 13.851; Colorado (Cook) 14.752
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Dempster) 14.200; Arizona (Davis) 14.646
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 959-960: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Olsen) 15.214; Philadelphia (Myers) 15.015
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-185); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175); Over

Game 961-962: St. Louis at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.465; Atlanta (Vazquez) 15.368
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Under

Game 963-964: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Paulino) 15.115; Cincinnati (Volquez) 15.339
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Stults) 14.022; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.438
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-155); Over

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Loux) 14.241; Baltimore (Uehara) 15.750
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Over

Game 969-970: Seattle at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Bedard) 14.754; White Sox (Floyd) 15.693
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.746; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.602
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.179; Detroit (Porcello) 16.042
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+140); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Outman) 16.482; Texas (Padilla) 15.479
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 11
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Over

Game 977-978: Toronto at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.215; Kansas City (Greinke) 16.133
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-170); Over

Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.084; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.966
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Under

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[pm530]

MLB
Long Sheet


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Wednesday, April 29
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PITTSBURGH (11 - 9) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 10) - 1:05 PM
IAN SNELL (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

IAN SNELL vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SNELL is 4-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

YOVANI GALLARDO vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GALLARDO is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

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FLORIDA (12 - 8) at NY METS (9 - 11) - 1:10 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SANTANA is 145-68 (+41.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 96-85 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 46-45 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 52-36 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 30-21 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 95-83 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
JOHNSON is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 12-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
JOHNSON is 14-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 20-28 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 79-73 (-25.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 63-64 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. NY METS since 1997
JOHNSON is 5-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. FLORIDA since 1997
SANTANA is 5-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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SAN DIEGO (11 - 9) at COLORADO (7 - 12) - 3:10 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 74-107 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 4-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 5-23 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 74-107 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 34-20 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 89-83 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CORREIA is 14-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 80-101 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 35-51 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 21-35 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 80-101 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 50-77 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-59 (-21.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. COLORADO since 1997
CORREIA is 1-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.2 units)

AARON COOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
COOK is 11-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 11-7 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-4.8 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (10 - 9) at ARIZONA (8 - 12) - 3:40 PM
RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 967-1018 (-187.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 282-324 (-89.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-201 (-59.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 910-934 (-165.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 467-498 (-120.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 479-455 (-100.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DAVIS is 17-6 (+10.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 60-59 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 104-96 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 37-26 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 91-84 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 25-39 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 91-92 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-18 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 91-89 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 61-66 (-19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 36-49 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
DEMPSTER is 1-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.669.
His team's record is 3-7 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIS is 8-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.229.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.4 units)

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WASHINGTON (4 - 15) at PHILADELPHIA (11 - 8) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT OLSEN (L) vs. BRETT MYERS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 63-117 (-34.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-66 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-114 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-82 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-48 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-80 (-34.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-62 (-28.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-16 (+22.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MYERS is 16-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 36-47 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 31-35 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SCOTT OLSEN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
OLSEN is 4-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.666.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+1.0 units)

BRETT MYERS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MYERS is 8-7 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 9-11 (-7.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-0.8 units)

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ST LOUIS (14 - 7) at ATLANTA (10 - 10) - 7:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. JAVIER VAZQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 100-83 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 40-26 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 32-20 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 100-83 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-51 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 18-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 18-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 20-30 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 82-100 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 81-98 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-67 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 3-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

JAVIER VAZQUEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VAZQUEZ is 2-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

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HOUSTON (9 - 12) at CINCINNATI (10 - 10) - 7:10 PM
FELIPE PAULINO (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
VOLQUEZ is 14-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 95-87 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 93-86 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 70-62 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-40 (+18.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-11 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 17-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-69 (-22.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 33-47 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-3 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

FELIPE PAULINO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PAULINO is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.37 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (14 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (9 - 10) - 10:15 PM
ERIC STULTS (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 664-561 (+79.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 154-92 (+40.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

ERIC STULTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
STULTS is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LINCECUM is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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LA ANGELS (8 - 11) at BALTIMORE (9 - 12) - 12:35 PM
SHANE LOUX (R) vs. KOJI UEHARA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 109-76 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 53-37 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 33-15 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 103-66 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 150-104 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 34-19 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 473-517 (-110.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 14-38 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 473-517 (-110.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 223-284 (-90.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SHANE LOUX vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

KOJI UEHARA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (13 - 8) at CHI WHITE SOX (10 - 10) - 2:05 PM
ERIK BEDARD (L) vs. GAVIN FLOYD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 74-109 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 31-47 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 67-100 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-77 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-0 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-34 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-8 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 93-67 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLOYD is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLOYD is 12-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 37-33 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 87-65 (+30.1 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BEDARD is 3-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.147.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

GAVIN FLOYD vs. SEATTLE since 1997
FLOYD is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 9.88 and a WHIP of 1.975.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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BOSTON (13 - 7) at CLEVELAND (8 - 13) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. FAUSTO CARMONA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 48-20 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 106-61 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 36-17 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 34-12 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 28-10 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 25-37 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-28 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

JON LESTER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LESTER is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.343.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. BOSTON since 1997
CARMONA is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.067.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (10 - 10) at DETROIT (11 - 9) - 7:05 PM
JOBA CHAMBERLAIN (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 33-39 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 43-52 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 85-97 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 41-49 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 79-83 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 54-62 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-73 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JOBA CHAMBERLAIN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

RICK PORCELLO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

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OAKLAND (7 - 11) at TEXAS (10 - 10) - 8:05 PM
JOSH OUTMAN (L) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 48-33 (+15.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 154-162 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 67-65 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PADILLA is 22-11 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 9-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 16-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 12-3 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOSH OUTMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
OUTMAN is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PADILLA is 5-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-3. (+3.8 units)

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TORONTO (15 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 10) - 8:10 PM
BRIAN TALLET (L) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 40-29 (+23.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 8-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 76-57 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

BRIAN TALLET vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK GREINKE vs. TORONTO since 1997
GREINKE is 1-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

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TAMPA BAY (8 - 13) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) - 8:10 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 60-34 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-36 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 69-55 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-39 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-5 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 113-86 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 65-34 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 69-39 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 84-50 (+30.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KAZMIR is 2-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BLACKBURN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 40.60 and a WHIP of 6.767.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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[pm530]

MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, April 29

National League

PITTSBURGH at MILWAUKEE, 1:05 PM ET
SNELL: PIT 22-11 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200
GALLARDO: MIL 58-30 at home in the first half of the season

FLORIDA at NY METS, 1:10 PM ET
JOHNSON: 8-2 TSR as an underdog
SANTANA: NYM 19-5 OVER when playing on Wednesday

SAN DIEGO at COLORADO, 3:10 PM ET
CORREIA: 14-6 TSR against division opponents
COOK: COL 38-62 in the first half of the season

CHICAGO CUBS at ARIZONA, 3:40 PM ET
DEMPSTER: 43-21 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150
DAVIS: ARI 10-18 when playing on Wednesday

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
OLSEN: 15-3 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
MYERS: 3-9 TSR at home when the total is 10 or higher

ST LOUIS at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
WAINWRIGHT: STL 9-2 when the money line is +125 to -125
VAZQUEZ: ATL 16-32 against NL Central

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
PAULINO: HOU 10-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150
VOLQUEZ: CIN 50-69 against right-handed starters

LA DODGERS at SAN FRANCISCO, 10:15 PM ET
STULTS: LAD 41-26 in April
LINCECUM: SF 24-10 when playing with a day off


American League

LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE, 12:35 PM ET
LOUX: LAA 25-16 as a road underdog
UEHARA: BAL 14-38 in day games

SEATTLE at CHI WHITE SOX, 2:05 PM ET WGN
BEDARD: SEA 19-35 when the money line is -100 to -150
FLOYD: CHW 11-0 as a home underdog of +100 to +125

BOSTON at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
LESTER: 28-10 TSR in night games
CARMONA: CLE 2-7 in night games

NY YANKEES at DETROIT, 7:05 PM ET ESPN
CHAMBERLAIN: NYY 72-52 as a favorite
PORCELLO: DET 22-42 as an underdog

OAKLAND at TEXAS, 8:05 PM ET
CAHILL: OAK 14-27 AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
PADILLA: 9-2 TSR against division opponents

TORONTO at KANSAS CITY, 8:10 PM ET
TALLET: TOR 11-23 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
GREINKE: 8-1 TSR in April

TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
KAZMIR: 21-6 TSR as a favorite
BLACKBURN: MIN 14-28 against AL East

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[pm530]

MLB
Write-up


Wednesday, April 29

Hot Pitchers
-- Gallardo is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Snell is 1-1, 2.50 in his last three outings.
-- Johnson is 2-0, 2.20 in four starts this season. Santana is 3-1, 1.40.
-- Davis has 3.15 RA in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts. Vazquez is 2-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Paulino has 3.00 RA in two starts this season.
-- Lincecum is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts. Dodgers are 3-0 in Stults starts (2-0, 3.52).

-- Uehara has 2.63 RA in his last two starts.
-- Bedard is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 0.00 in 29 IP this year (one unearned run allowed). Tallet is 1-0, 1.64 in his two starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 0.75 in two road starts. Blackburn is 1-0, 3.29 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Colorado is 0-4 in Cook starts (0-1, 8.35). Correia is 0-1, 4.50 in his three starts this season.
-- Dempster has a 5.50 RA in his last three starts.
-- Olsen is 0-3, 6.33 in four starts this season.
-- Myers is 1-1, 4.91 in four starts this season.
-- Volquez is 0-2, 7.71 in two home starts.

-- Loux is 0-2, 6.61 in three starts this season.
-- Floyd has 7.71 RA in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-3, 7.77 in four starts this season.
-- Chamberlain is 0-0, 5.63 in three starts this year. Porcello is 1-2, 5.00 in his first three big league starts.
-- Outman is 0-0, 8.64 in two starts this season. Padilla is 1-1, 8.27 in his four starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last five games, scoring 48 runs.
-- Astros won their last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last twelve games. .
-- Brewers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants won seven of their last ten games.

-- Tigers won five of their first seven home games.
-- Blue Jays are 8-4 on the road this season.
-- Red Sox won eleven of their last twelve games.
-- Twins won four of their last five home games.
-- Mariners are 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates are 4-6 in their last ten road games.
-- Braves lost four of their last five home games.
-- Nationals are 1-10 on the road, outscored 81-51.
-- Marlins lost seven of their last eight games. Mets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Reds are 4-6 in their ten home games this season.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games. Rockies lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven games. Arizona are 6-10 in their last sixteen games.
-- Dodgers are 7-7 in their last fourteen road games.

-- Orioles lost ten of their last thirteen games. Angels are 2-5 on road.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last five games.
-- Indians are 5-6 at home so far this season.
-- Royals lost six of their last nine games.
-- Rays lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Oakland lost its last five road games.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Washington road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Cincinnati games.
-- Five of last six Florida games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Seven of eight Colorado home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Arizona games; seven of last nine Cub games went over.
-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Dodger games.

-- Over is 11-5 in Orioles' last sixteen games.
-- Four of last six Bronx road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total. 11 of last 14 Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-4 in Kansas City home games.
-- Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games went over the total.
-- Eight of ten Texas home games went over the total.

Umpire stats
-- Wsh-Phil-- There isn't enough data for umpire Tichenor yet.
-- StL-Atl-- Four of five Montague games went over the total.
-- Hst-Cin-- There isn't enough evidence on umpire Causey yet.
-- Fla-NY-- Underdog won two of three Barry games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Favorite won all three Foster games.
-- SD-Colo-- Three of four Crawford games went over the total.
-- Chi-Ariz-- Road team won four of five Kellogg games.
-- LA-SF-- Underdog won four of five McClelland games, with three of last four going over the total.

-- NY-Det-- Both Runge games stayed under the total, with underdogs winning both games.
-- Bos-Clev-- All six Davis games this season went over the total.
-- LAA-Balt-- Average total in BWelke's three games this year: 10.3.
-- A's-Tex-- There isn't enough data for umpire Campos yet.
-- Tor-KC-- Favorite won all three Winters games.
-- TB-Minn-- Underdog won two of three Dreckman games.
-- Sea-CWS-- Road team won two of three Tschida games this year.

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