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I posted this Friday night. Hope it helps.
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We spend a lot of time worrying about lines in the NFL. The fact is, they don't really matter. The winner of the game so far this season is 98-14-2 (86%). Here's the data STD (season to date):
Week Ending (winner of the game):
9-7 14-1
9-14 14-1-1
9-21 13-1
9-28 11-2-1
10-5 9-5
10-11 12-2
10-19 12-1
10-26 13-1
I may be off by a game or so but the fact is if you can pick the winner of the game, you'll cover.
Now the problem is when AZ beats SF or the Giants beat MN. But when you have a clearly better team going against a lessor opponent, you're better off going with who you think will win the game (TN v Jacksonville, Miami v SD, etc).
Hope this helps.
GL
Must See NFL Trends
We spend a lot of time worrying about lines in the NFL. The fact is, they don't really matter. The winner of the game so far this season is 98-14-2 (86%). Here's the data STD (season to date):
Week Ending (winner of the game):
9-7 14-1
9-14 14-1-1
9-21 13-1
9-28 11-2-1
10-5 9-5
10-11 12-2
10-19 12-1
10-26 13-1
I may be off by a game or so but the fact is if you can pick the winner of the game, you'll cover.
Now the problem is when AZ beats SF or the Giants beat MN. But when you have a clearly better team going against a lessor opponent, you're better off going with who you think will win the game (TN v Jacksonville, Miami v SD, etc).
Hope this helps.
GL
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