Mlb 4/16

[ChangingMyLuck3]

hey guys, nothing interested me in the earlier games and like I said, i'm not just going to bet a game to have action on it, im going to bet them because I do believe they will win and for the various reasons I have done my research. Last year, I was too frivilous with betting and felt that hey theres an afternoon game i have to pick a side... well.. more often than not, I'd lose and it wasnt a good way to continue betting a full season of baseball. With that said...

Updated record through last night is

MLB 09' 13-10 +102.23

Excited that 23 games into the betting mlb season we are ahead. let's stay in the plus. A few games im watching the lines for tonight that we may go in on. 95% sure we are going to get San Fran at an awesome price tonight and bring them home for victory. I love Barry Zito and career wise against the current LA Dodgers he has done great! They are just 55-238 vs Zito which is .231. All of San Frans hitters havent seen Stults but Aurilla, Renteria, Uribe, Burriss, Molina, Lewis, Rowand Winn and Schierholz have and are 15-25 collectively vs him or .600! I'm sorry but LA Dodgers as hot as they are, and the hitters that they have and how much Barry Zito "sucks" should not be favored -173 with Stults on the mound. No frickin way. Again not an offical play as its a late game I dont see this line dipping I see it going up and us getting more value for the $50 we would wager on it. Will let you know. Leans right now are San Fran, LA Angels, San Diego and Minnesota. Offical plays, none yet.

[ChangingMyLuck3]

ok no play on San Diego. I had originally found out that the Mets were lifetime .261 (the current hitters on the team,) which wasnt that good but now seeing the starting lineup, they are 23-80 or .288 against Peavy. The hitters for San Diego are 4-23 off Maine with no real success. Mets at home, cant bet against them and cant bet for them against Peavy so it's a no play for me but will remain a lean if you want to jump on it for any of the above reasoning. Still looking at San Fran (heavily) and LA Angels and the 8:10 matchup Minnesota. Will keep you guys posted..

[ChangingMyLuck3]

ok... plays for tonight...

MLB MINNESOTA to Win Even(+127)
TORONTO (R HALLADAY) vs MINNESOTA (F LIRIANO)
$ 50.00 wagered to win $ 63.50 at 04/16/2009 19:08
Pitching Option :Listed

My reasoning for this play is Minnesota has got to salvage one game of the set vs Toronto and now theyve waited till the last game of the series vs the most difficult to beat pitcher on Toronto. Ive bet a few times against Halladay and have won. Minnesota's starting lineup tonight is 10-40 lifetime vs Halladay which is .250. Isnt great but on the other end Bautista, Scutaro, Hill, Barajas, Lind, Wells, Rios and Millar are a combined 1-13 lifetime vs Francisco Liriano. Hometown support and really needing a win... let's bring this one in...

MLB SAN FRANCISCO to Win Even(+158)
SAN FRANCISCO (B ZITO) vs LOS DODGERS (E STULTS)
$ 50.00 wagered to win $ 79.00 at 04/16/2009 19:09
Pitching Option :Listed

I explained already the reasoning with the San Fran plan. Stults shouldnt be favored by that much and Barry Zito shouldnt be counted out of this game. Without seeing the starting lineup yet, im not too worried. The current Dodger hitters are batting 55-238 against him or .231. San Fran (those that have seen Stults,) have been mighty successful vs the guy 15-25 lifetime, thats .600. I know LA Dodgers are hot, & theyve got great hitters but remember, this is the major leagues and anytime can win the ball game. Zito prevails tonight...

MLB LA ANGELS to Win Even(-138)
LA ANGELS (J SAUNDERS) vs SEATTLE (C JAKUBAUSKAS)
$ 69.00 wagered to win $ 50.00 at 04/16/2009 19:09
Pitching Option :Listed


To me... LA Angels are a steal at this price. Jakubauskas has a tough task in starting his first game. A hungry LA Angels lineup that will whack him around a bit and you got Saunders who you know will keep you in the game. Seattle has won the first two but dont think LA Angels arent hungry for a win.. I see them getting it tonight. Oh and shall I mention lifetime against Saunders the current hitters on Seattle are 22-98, .224.

Best of luck to those who follow.

[Kaptain]

gl tonight

[mavskidd02]

good luck to ya CML

[ChangingMyLuck3]

MLB 09' 13-11 +52.23 *includes loss with Minnesota.

Still 2 pending wagers.

[ChangingMyLuck3]

MLB 09' 14-11 +102.23 *includes loss with Minnesota + win with LA Angels

[ChangingMyLuck3]

MLB 09' 14-12 +52.23 through Thursday nights games.

1-2 on the day.

[MR Pain]

ok... plays for tonight...

MLB MINNESOTA to Win Even(+127)
TORONTO (R HALLADAY) vs MINNESOTA (F LIRIANO)
$ 50.00 wagered to win $ 63.50 at 04/16/2009 19:08
Pitching Option :Listed

My reasoning for this play is Minnesota has got to salvage one game of the set vs Toronto and now theyve waited till the last game of the series vs the most difficult to beat pitcher on Toronto.

Best of luck to those who follow.

I learned a valuable lesson tonight, i followed but minnesota won on tuesday when perkins pitched, thanks for the angels.

[ChangingMyLuck3]

I learned a valuable lesson tonight, i followed but minnesota won on tuesday when perkins pitched, thanks for the angels.

Pain Man,

I noticed that after it was too late to edit it and I wasnt by a computer. I would have bet the game anyways... seemed too good to be true with a line so low on a team that Halladay has dominated over his career (after last night, still undefeated,) however... Liriano did just what I thought he'd do. He kept it close. Guerrier is trash, as soon as he came it, it was over. Hey can't win em all... ill be back tonight possibly a play on the St Louis game this afternoon. stay tuned.

MLB 09' 14-12 +$52.23