Umpire Report Tuesday, April 7

[frankb03]

Time permitting I'll post the top umpires from the Baseball Capping Thread
http://www.bettorschat.com/forums/al...ml#post1619565

Homer Umps
Reds - Angel Hernandez

UNDER Umps
Marlins - Brian Gorman


Yesterday's Results
Homer Umps
Gary Cederstrom W
Tim McClelland L

Road Umps
Jerry Crawford L

The Umpire system doesn't work for the first game in the series. In game 1 the umpires are unknown.

[kbsooner21]

Thanks Frank! This will be a good tool. How ya been?

[frankb03]

Thanks Frank! This will be a good tool. How ya been?

All is well. Works been keeping me very buys. How are you?

[frankb03]

Homer Umps
Reds - Angel Hernandez

Reds game is tomorrow

[kbsooner21]

All is well. Works been keeping me very buys. How are you?

Work and school keeping me busier than I'd like, but I can't complain with the way everything else is. Better than bitching about not finding work I know for sure.

[KazDog]

Thanks Frank! This will be a good tool. How ya been?

You are an expert on tools!

KAZ

[frankb03]

Homer Umps
Reds - Angel Hernandez

Homer Umps
White Sox - Gary Darling
Red Sox - Tim Tschida

The above are the game 1 home plate umps favoring Home team. I didn't list Tim Tschida in the other thread but he's 95-75 +1030.

[mavskidd02]

Frank, I know you are a stats junkie, and you would really be helping me out with this one. If it's too hard to find out, or you don't have it, its not a problem. Just a quick question

What percentage of games are decided by exactly one run ( either team) say over the last three-five years? I will take whatever info you have on this.

Thanks in advance.

[frankb03]

Frank, I know you are a stats junkie, and you would really be helping me out with this one. If it's too hard to find out, or you don't have it, its not a problem. Just a quick question

What percentage of games are decided by exactly one run ( either team) say over the last three-five years? I will take whatever info you have on this.

Thanks in advance.

Since 2004

in 12,311 games 3,427 have been decided by 1 run

The home team has won 6696 games. 2098 were by 1 run.

Away team has won 5615 games. 1329 were by 1 run.

[mavskidd02]

Thank you very much, I am trying something new with plus run lines, and this information is very useful

[frankb03]

Thank you very much, I am trying something new with plus run lines, and this information is very useful

Plus lines as in Dogs +1 1/2?

IMO never bet dogs on the RL and never bet the Home Favorite on the RL.

Over the last 2 season all Home Dogs:

ML 687-800 +2,255
RL 810-660 -3,510

The cost to buy the 1 1/2 runs is too great.

Home favorites have won 4,710 games. 1411 are 1 run victories.

Over the last 2 seasons May Home Favorites 354-218 +3670

The same favorites on the RL 245-327 +2,315

Most bettors play big favorites on the RL

ML favorites more than -200 28-8 +940
on the RL 20-16 +200

[mavskidd02]

What I'm trying and so far working well ( not too many so far), but taking teams I really like, then depending on the line taking them on the alternate RL, at -200 or so, and parlaying them with another game i like at -200 or so.

For example today:
Parlay: CHW +1.5 (-201)/Boston +1.5 (-208)
Pays a little more than even money.

So far its been decent, but not enough plays to tell.

How do you think, based on trends and history, something like this may fare?