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Sunday Trends and Indexes 4/5 (NBA, MLB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NHL


    Sunday, April 5


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Atlanta Thrashers at Washington Capitals (-260, 6.5)

    The Atlanta Thrashers have been doing an excellent job of playing the role of spoiler down the stretch. It's too late for them to hurt the Washington Capitals' Southeast Division title hopes.

    After clinching their second straight division championship, the Capitals look to avoid a letdown against the surging Thrashers in the opener of a home-and-home series Sunday.

    There was a wild celebration last year after Washington finished at the top of the Southeast with a win in its final regular-season game.

    This season, the Capitals (47-23-8) were much more subdued after securing the division title despite losing to Buffalo 5-4 in overtime Friday night. Washington built a big early lead in the Southeast, earning the fifth division title in its history with four games to spare.

    "Before the season started, we said we were going to win, and we have one goal in mind," Capitals coach Bruce Boudreau said, "and we aren't there yet."

    Washington, trying to hold off New Jersey for second place in the Eastern Conference, plays its next two against an Atlanta team that continues to play hard even though it has been eliminated from playoff contention.

    The Thrashers (34-38-6) have won four straight and five of six, including wins over the top three contenders for the last playoff spot in the East. They beat Florida 3-1 on Friday night, Buffalo 3-2 in overtime two days earlier and the New York Rangers on March 26.

    "We don't have the playoffs, so April 11 is our last game of the season," Atlanta center Rich Peverley said. "I don't want to stop playing hockey, but we have to. We're just trying to make the most of it. It's too bad because we have a pretty good team going forward."

    The Thrashers have been competitive against the Capitals this season, winning two of four contests. Atlanta, though, is 0-2 at Washington, allowing the Capitals to convert 41.7 percent (5-for-12) of their power-play chances.

    Atlanta's penalty-kill unit ranks near the bottom of the league, stopping just 75.4 percent of its opponents' chances. Washington, meanwhile, has a chance to lead the league in power-play percentage for the first time in its history, taking advantage of 25.6 percent of its opportunities.

    The Capitals are 9-for-21 (42.9 percent) with the man advantage in their last four games.

    Pick: Over



    San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks (-120, 5.5)

    Facing the NHL-leading San Jose Sharks on their home ice and one of the league's best goaltenders proved no problem for the Anaheim Ducks and their high-powered top line.

    Looking to move closer to their fourth straight playoff berth, the surging Ducks will search for another victory over their short-handed Pacific Division rivals in Sunday night's finale of a home-and-home series.

    Anaheim (41-32-6) has charged up the Western Conference standings by scoring 42 goals while winning nine of its last 10. In seventh place with a two-point lead over Nashville and St. Louis, the Ducks will look to match their season high with a fifth straight win.

    Bobby Ryan has six goals during the Ducks' run, and he scored twice against Evgeni Nabokov in Saturday's 5-2 win in San Jose, becoming the team's first rookie to reach 30 in a season.

    A likely Calder Trophy candidate, Ryan has six goals and four assists during a five-game streak, and his 56 points also set a franchise rookie record.With Ryan, linemates Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry have helped the Ducks score at least three goals in 10 straight games and at least four in each of its past four wins.

    "They were flat-out dominant," Sharks coach Todd McLellan said of the Ducks' top line "They were the top players in the game. We had last change, we could have matched anybody we wanted, but it wouldn't have mattered. They were playing that well."

    The Ducks also have converted 42.1 percent of their power-play chances during that time, going 16-for-38 and scoring on the man advantage in six straight games.

    That has helped Jonas Hiller win each of his last seven starts, posting a 2.19 goals-against average. He recorded his first win in five lifetime appearances against the Sharks by stopping 28 shots Saturday.

    Despite a slew of injuries, San Jose has remained in the hunt for their first Presidents' Trophy, but have a one-point lead over Boston heading into Sunday's play. The Sharks (51-16-11) are close to clinching the West's top spot, holding a six-point advantage over Detroit with five games left for the Red Wings.

    With leading goal scorer and captain Patrick Marleau missing the last three games due to a lower-body injury, San Jose has managed just two goals in each, and 11 in the last five. The Sharks have also been without forwards Ryane Clowe (lower body), Mike Grier (knee) and Torrey Mitchell (fractured leg), but are 3-2-0 in their last five thanks to Nabokov.

    Despite missing 14 games, the San Jose netminder is second in the league with 40 wins and had given up 30 goals in his last 16 appearances before Saturday while going 12-2-1. The Ducks scored twice in the first 5:46 and had the game's final three goals.

    Pick: Under


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #17
      NBA
      Short Sheet



      Sunday, 4/5/2009

      SAN ANTONIO at CLEVELAND, 1:05 PM ET
      SAN ANTONIO: 4-13 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less to's
      CLEVELAND: 12-1 ATS off a road loss

      PHOENIX at DALLAS, 3:35 PM ET
      PHOENIX: 2-8 ATS revenging a home loss
      DALLAS: 9-4 ATS off a loss as a favorite

      NEW YORK at TORONTO, 6:05 PM ET
      NEW YORK: 13-4 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
      TORONTO: 10-21 ATS after 2+ consecutive wins

      CHARLOTTE at DETROIT, 6:05 PM ET
      CHARLOTTE: 7-1 ATS after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less
      DETROIT: 2-13 ATS on Sunday

      INDIANA at OKLAHOMA CITY, 7:05 PM ET
      INDIANA: 11-21 ATS after playing a home game
      OKLAHOMA CITY: 18-9 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3

      PORTLAND at HOUSTON, 7:05 PM ET
      PORTLAND: 9-1 ATS after a win by 20 points or more
      HOUSTON: 4-14 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

      DENVER at MINNESOTA, 7:05 PM ET
      DENVER: 20-9 ATS off a home
      MINNESOTA: 1-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 200 to 209.5

      UTAH at NEW ORLEANS, 7:05 PM ET
      UTAH: 6-14 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
      NEW ORLEANS: 23-8 ATS in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5

      PHILADELPHIA at NEW JERSEY, 7:35 PM ET
      PHILADELPHIA: 4-13 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4
      NEW JERSEY: 9-2 ATS after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7

      GOLDEN STATE at SACRAMENTO, 9:05 PM ET
      GOLDEN STATE: 3-10 ATS off a win as an underdog
      SACRAMENTO: 10-3 ATS vs. division opponents

      LA CLIPPERS at LA LAKERS, 9:35 PM ET
      LA CLIPPERS: 6-13 ATS in April
      LA LAKERS: 8-2 ATS after 6+ consecutive unders

      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

      Comment


      • #18
        NHL
        Short Sheet



        Sunday, 4/5/2009

        ATLANTA at WASHINGTON, 3:05 PM ET NBC
        ATLANTA: 10-4 SU after a 2 game unbeaten streak
        WASHINGTON: 15-28 SU at home after playing 3 consecutive home games

        PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA, 5:05 PM ET
        PITTSBURGH: 30-12 SU when playing 5 or less games in 14 days
        FLORIDA: 14-24 SU after playing a home game

        CHICAGO at COLUMBUS, 5:05 PM ET
        CHICAGO: 13-4 SU after 2 consecutive division games
        COLUMBUS: 4-14 SU on Sunday

        MINNESOTA at DETROIT, 5:05 PM ET
        MINNESOTA: 3-13 SU after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game
        DETROIT: 21-3 SU at home after 2 consecutive division games

        SAN JOSE at ANAHEIM, 8:05 PM ET
        SAN JOSE: 22-9 SU when playing on BB days
        ANAHEIM: 0-5 SU at home after 3+ consecutive overs

        COLORADO at VANCOUVER, 10:05 PM ET
        COLORADO: 11-5 SU after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals
        VANCOUVER: 0-5 SU at home after allowing 5+ goals

        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

        Comment


        • #19
          NBA
          Dunkel



          San Antonio at Cleveland
          The Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Southwest Division and face a San Antonio team that is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Cleveland is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

          SUNDAY, APRIL 5

          Game 501-502: San Antonio at Cleveland
          Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.323; Cleveland 128.512
          Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 176 1/2
          Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 181
          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Under

          Game 503-504: Phoenix at Dallas
          Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.383; Dallas 123.370
          Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 236 1/2
          Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 230
          Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Over

          Game 505-506: New York at Toronto
          Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.989; Toronto 118.888
          Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 211
          Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5 1/2; 219
          Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5 1/2); Under

          Game 507-508: Charlotte at Detroit
          Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 116.032; Detroit 120.025
          Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 4; 190
          Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 174
          Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Over

          Game 509-510: Indiana at Oklahoma City
          Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.013; Oklahoma City 118.111
          Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 214 1/2
          Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 212
          Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Over

          Game 511-512: Portland at Houston
          Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.590; Houston 126.699
          Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 177 1/2
          Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4; 185 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4); Under

          Game 513-514: Denver at Minnesota
          Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.498; Minnesota 116.586
          Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5; 211 1/2
          Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8; 208
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8); Over

          Game 515-516: Utah at New Orleans
          Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.636; New Orleans 119.646
          Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 195
          Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 192
          Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2 1/2); Over

          Game 517-518: Philadelphia at New Jersey
          Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.281; New Jersey 114.326
          Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 5; 199
          Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2; 197
          Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-2); Over

          Game 519-520: Golden State at Sacramento
          Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 111.539; Sacramento 116.599
          Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 5; 244
          Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 246
          Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-3); Under

          Game 521-522: LA Clippers at LA Lakers
          Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 108.515; LA Lakers 122.045
          Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 13 1/2; 200
          Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 18; 209
          Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+18); Under

          Comment


          • #20
            NHL
            Dunkel



            Pittsburgh at Florida
            The Penguins look to take advantage of a Florida team that is just 1-5 in its last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Pittsburgh is the underdog pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

            SUNDAY, APRIL 5

            Game 51-52: Atlanta at Washington
            Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 12.126; Washington 11.578
            Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
            Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-260); 6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+220); Over

            Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at Florida
            Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.594; Florida 11.471
            Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
            Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-120); 6
            Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Over

            Game 55-56: Chicago at Columbus
            Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.559; Columbus 11.138
            Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
            Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+100); Under

            Game 57-58: Minnesota at Detroit
            Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.687; Detroit 12.181
            Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
            Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-260); 5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-260); Under

            Game 59-60: San Jose at Anaheim
            Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.211; Anaheim 12.327
            Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6
            Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Over

            Game 61-62: Colorado at Vancouver
            Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.256; Vancouver 11.652
            Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
            Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-330); 5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-330); Over

            Comment


            • #21
              NBA


              Sunday, April 5

              Updated

              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Tips and Trends
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              San Antonio Spurs at Cleveland Cavaliers [ABC | 1 PM ET]

              Spurs: San Antonio is coming off a 126-121 loss at Indiana on Friday, which resulted in the most points the team has given up in a non-overtime game this season. The Spurs allowed the Pacers to score 40 points in the fourth quarter alone. “We’re trying to get some momentum going,” San Antonio All-Star Tim Duncan said. “We haven’t played well for the last 20 games. We’re in a heck of a race in the West. We’re just trying to hold onto our position and gain some confidence going into the playoffs.”

              Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
              The UNDER is 8-3 in San Antonio's last 11 games vs. Central Division.

              Key Injuries - C Fabricio Oberto (heart) is OUT.

              PROJECTED SCORE: 86

              Cavs (-6.5, O/U 181): Cleveland will look to avoid losing three straight games for the first time in more than a year after suffering consecutive losses for just the second time this season. Defense has been a major problem for the Cavs in those losses to Washington and Orlando, as they have surrendered an average of 112.5 points on 52.1 percent shooting. “It’s not about how many games you lose, it’s about how you lose them,” Cleveland star LeBron James said. “The last two games weren’t how we play the game of basketball.”

              Cavs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. Southwest Division.
              The UNDER is 5-2 in Cleveland's last 7 games overall.

              Key Injuries - C Ben Wallace (shin) is OUT.

              PROJECTED SCORE: 95 (Side Play of the Day)



              Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks [ABC | 3:30 PM ET]

              Suns: Phoenix is making one last run at the playoffs and can pull within two games of the final spot in the Western Conference with a victory at Dallas. The Mavs are currently three games ahead in eighth place, but the Suns have won eight of their last 11 games following a season-high six-game losing streak. Phoenix is coming off a 139-111 rout of Sacramento on Friday, tying a season high with 14 shots made from beyond the 3-point arc.

              Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
              The OVER is 8-3 in Phoenix's last 11 road games.

              Key Injuries - C Amare Stoudemire (eye) is OUT.

              PROJECTED SCORE: 115 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

              Mavs(-4, O/U 230): Dallas has won 20 of its last 23 home games while Phoenix has dropped eight of nine on the road. That difference in play home and away could very well be the deciding factor here. The home team has won six of the last nine meetings, and the Mavs will be looking to bounce back from a 107-102 loss at Memphis on Friday. “Every game from this point is going to count for us,” Dallas center Erick Dampier said. “We don’t just want to get in the playoffs, we want to move up. The only way we are going to do that is if we win games.”

              Mavs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
              The OVER is 7-2 in Dallas' last 9 home games.

              Key Injuries - F Josh Howard (wrist) is questionable.

              PROJECTED SCORE: 119


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #22
                NHL
                Write-Up


                Early Game


                Sunday, April 5

                Hot teams
                --

                Cold teams
                -- Red Wings lost four of their last five games. Minnesota is 0-6 in game after its last six wins..

                Totals
                -- Under is 6-0-2 is last eight Minnesota games.

                Back-to-Back
                -- Red Wings are 6-2 if they play again the next night.

                Series Records
                -- Red Wings won ten of last thirteen games against Minnesota.

                Comment


                • #23
                  NBA


                  Sunday, April 5


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  POWER INDEX
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  * more effective as a SU tool for ml parlays

                  Cleveland* 6½ over San Antonio
                  Dallas* 3½ over Phoenix
                  Toronto* 5½ over New York
                  Detroit* 2½ over Charlotte
                  Denver 5 over Minnesota*
                  Oklahoma City* 1½ over Indiana
                  New Orleans* 2 over Utah
                  KGW Houston* 3½ over Portland
                  New Jersey* ½ over Philadelphia
                  Sacramento* even with Golden State
                  L.A. Lakers* 17½ over L.A. Clippers


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NBA
                    Write-Up

                    Early Game


                    Sunday, April 5

                    Hot Teams
                    -- Spurs won four of their last six games.

                    Cold Teams
                    -- Cavaliers lost last two games, after winning previous 13 contests.

                    Totals
                    -- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total; five of last six Spurs' games went over.

                    Back-to-Back
                    --

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NHL
                      Write-up



                      Updated

                      Sunday, April 5

                      Hot teams
                      -- Thrashers won last four games, scoring 17 goals. Washington is 3-1 in its last four home games.
                      -- Panthers won three of their last four games. Penguins won six of their last eight contests.
                      -- Blackhawks won five of their last seven games.
                      -- Ducks won four in row, nine of last ten games. Sharks won three of their last four games.

                      Cold teams
                      -- Red Wings lost four of their last five games. Minnesota is 0-6 in game after its last six wins..
                      -- Blue Jackets lost three of their last four games.
                      -- Colorado lost last nine games; they scored five goals in last five games.
                      -- Canucks are 0-2 in April, allowing 11 goals.

                      Totals
                      -- Over is 8-3 in Atlanta's last eleven games.
                      -- Four of last five Florida games went over the total.
                      -- Under is 6-0-2 is last eight Minnesota games.
                      -- Lasr five Chicago games stayed under the total.
                      -- Five of last six Anaheim games went over the total.
                      -- Four of last five Colorado games stayed under the total.

                      Back-to-Back
                      -- Penguins are 6-1 if they played the night before.
                      -- Red Wings are 6-2 if they play again the next night.
                      -- Columbus is 5-8 if it played the night before.
                      -- Anaheim is 4-3 if they won a game the night before.
                      -- Canucks are 5-3 if they played the night before.

                      Series Records
                      -- Home side won six of last seven Atlanta-Washington games.
                      -- Penguins won seven of last nine games against Florida.
                      -- Red Wings won ten of last thirteen games against Minnesota.
                      -- Chicago is 5-3 in last eight games against Columbus.
                      -- Sharks won five of last seven vs Anaheim, but lost 5-2 to the Ducks yesterday in San Jose.
                      -- Canucks won last two games against Colorado, after losing previous six games against the Avalanche.

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NBA
                        Write-up



                        Updated

                        Sunday, April 5

                        Hot Teams
                        -- Spurs won four of their last six games.
                        -- Dallas won ten of its last eleven home games (7-4 vs spread). Suns won eight of their last eleven games.
                        -- Raptors won, covered their last six games.
                        -- Hornets won three of their last four games.
                        -- Portland won four in row, eight of last nine games.
                        -- Nuggets won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).
                        -- 76ers won three in row, six of last eight games.
                        -- Lakers won seven of their last nine games.

                        Cold Teams
                        -- Cavaliers lost last two games, after winning previous 13 contests.
                        -- Bobcats lost last two games by combined total of seven points; they are 7-3 vs spread in last ten games. Pistons lost six of last eight games.
                        -- Knicks lost four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
                        -- Jazz lost last three games, are 0-6 vs spread in last six.
                        -- Rockets lost three of their last four games.
                        -- Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games.
                        -- Nets lost six of their last seven games.
                        -- Pacers lost three of their last four road games. Thunder lost six of its last eight games.
                        -- Warriors lost their last eight road games (3-5 vs spread). Kings lost three in row, 10 of last 12 games; they allowed 282 points in their last two games.
                        -- Clippers lost four in row, seven of last eight games.

                        Totals
                        -- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total; five of last six Spurs' games went over.
                        -- Six of last eight Dallas games stayed under the total.
                        -- Eight of last eleven Detroit games went over the total.
                        -- Four of last five New York games stayed under the total.
                        -- Under is 8-4 in last dozen New Orleans games.
                        -- Last three Houston home games went over the total.
                        -- Three of last four Denver games went over the total.
                        -- Seven of last nine New Jersey games stayed under the total.
                        -- Eight of last ten Thunder games stayed under the total.
                        -- Five of last six Golden State games went over the total.
                        -- Last five Clipper games went over the total; last seven Laker games stayed under the total.

                        Back-to-Back
                        -- Pistons are 3-8 vs spread if they played the night before.
                        -- Knicks are 5-2-1 vs spread if they lost the day/night before.
                        -- Denver is 9-7 vs spread last 16 times they played night before.
                        -- Nets covered one of last five if they played the night before.
                        -- Clippers covered three of last four if they played night before.

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          MLB
                          Write-up



                          Sunday, April 5

                          Hot Pitchers
                          -- Lowe was 6-2, 1.59 in his last dozen starts LY.

                          Cold Pitchers
                          -- Myers was 2-3, 10.27 in his last five starts LY.

                          Pitcher vs Team
                          -- Lowe was 1-1, 4.41 in three starts vs Philly LY. Myers was 2-1, 3.79 against the Dodgers last season.

                          Hot Teams
                          -- Phillies are World Champs; that makes them hot, for now.

                          Cold Teams
                          -- Coming north from Florida/Arizona, damn near everyone is cold.

                          Totals
                          -- Seven of Lowe's last ten road starts went over the total.

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Comment

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