Dancing with the Kaptain DAY 8

[Kaptain]

Record after day 7....
22-15...........+204.50 units
5* 3-7
10* 7-6
20* 9-2
30* 3-0

Todays Games are, and my lines from S B G....

Louisville - 6 1/2/137 1/2
UN Car. -7/164....

Lets look at the first Game....Figures rounded off..
LOUIS/Mi St
Louis avgs 74 ppg......Mich St 72
Turn Overs....even...14 ea
Rebounds..Mich St 2 more PG
Assts....16 ea....even
Blk Shts....Louis 3 more PG
Steals Louis 3 more PG
FG %...Louis 48....Mi St 49...even
3 pointer %..Louis 36...M St 35....even
Free Throw %...Mi St 69....Louis 64....edge Mi St....
Against RPI top 25 teams...Mi St 6-2....Louis 9-1...edge Louis

Simply put...too close to call for me....I have a tendency to lean to M St + the points, but my Kapping style says no.....

UNC/OK
Ok avgs 79 ppg, UNC 90
Turn Overs UNC 1 less PG
Rebounds UNC...3 more PG
Assists UNC 4 more PG
Blk Shts UNC 1 more PG
Steals UNC 2 more PG
FG %...Ok 49...U NC 48
3 pointers % UNC 37....OK 35
FT % OK 67....UNC 76...Big difference here...

Simply put.....By the stats above, UNC should prevail, but by 7 ?????OK has Griffin and they can get hot on 3's, and they never give up....

Too close to call for me...

Here's what I'm doing today.....S B G Teaser style and payout.....

Teaser Type Odds Football Points Basketball Points Totals Allowed
2 Team Special 110/100 6 5 2
2 Team Special 120/100 6.5 5.5 2
2 Team Special 130/100 7 6 2
3 Team Special 110/100 10 7 2
4 Team Special 110/100 12 9 NONE

Teaser Bets Push or Tie
Example Tie: Example Juice:
tie + loss = loss Risk Win
tie + win = push 110 100

30****
2 team 6 pt teaser 130/100

Louisville - 1/2
U N C -1


I won't be having any more plays on the NCAA today, as this is a tough one for me to cap.....

Tempted to middle this with a teaser going the other way, which would be Identical teams, taking dogs....

Mich St +12 1/2
ZOkla +13.....

Sorry I don't have more fellows, I just don't have a good feeling for the spread in these games....

GL on whatever you do.....

[drockromero1977]

Any leans on the totals Kaptain?

[Three Jack]

Love the call here Kappy...was hoping this was the way you would go! BOL!

[Spark]

Good Luck YOF!!!

[ravenmaniac]

BOL Kapt. Looks like a winner

[Kaptain]

Money Line Parlay at -300 and -310 would pay about 1 for .765.....

Same bet basicly, if you can't get the 6 pt teaser, the do the ML Parlay.....

[bigjimt]

GL as always Kaptain.

[Kaptain]

#2 Today, 10:41 AM
drockromero1977
Registered User

asked...

any leans on the totals Kaptain....



REPLY from the Kapt.....
No....too tough to call for me, but if forced to in a pool lets say, where I had to choose, I'd take both OVERS.....More inclined to believe OVERs than UNDERS, in both games

[elevenblack301]

gl Kapt

[Kaptain]

Papi

Good Luck YOF!!!

thanks....please delete the other Thread for me....I already transposed the one reply in there.....


Old MaGoo eyes, and shaky hands are getting to me....course it has nothing to do with AGE....

[weazel079]

I agree Kapt. I like UNC to win today, but do they cover 7? I lean to Michigan St + the points although. I think there rebounding advantage will keep them in the game. Kaylin Lucas play and taking care of the ball will be key.

[bryce]

Good luck Kaptain!!

[IMALLABOUTMONEY]

Keep it up Kaptin you been HOTTTTTTTT

[The Money Train]

gl Kapt

[drockromero1977]

Thanks Kaptain. BOL.