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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:31 AM

Daily Sports Roundup

Sunday, March 29

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The NCAA Tournament determines its last two Final Four teams, and the Sprint Cup Series takes to the track at Martinsville.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

San Antonio will be in New Orleans on Sunday night in just one of the notable matchups on the NBA schedule. The Spurs and Hornets last met on January 31, with San Antonio rolling to a 106-93 home win as a 7.5-point favorite. Tony Parker had 25 points for the Spurs in that contest, while Manu Ginobili picked up 22 points. Chris Paul had a big game for the Hornets with a game-high 38 points.

The other two marquee contests on the Sunday NBA slate are Dallas at Cleveland and the Lakers at Atlanta, while the Celtics will be gunning for an easy victory when they play host to Oklahoma City. Rounding out the schedule: New Jersey at Minnesota, Philadelphia at Detroit, Phoenix at Sacramento, and Washington at Indiana. The Wizards edged the Pacers 119-117 on February 8.

On the road to the Final Four . . .

It'll be No. 2 Michigan State vs. No. 1 Louisville at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis in the first of two Elite Eight matchups at the NCAA Tournament on Sunday afternoon. The Spartans came back to defeat No. 3 Kansas 67-62 in their Sweet 16 game on Friday night, with Goran Suton picking up 20 points. Top-seeded Louisville had an easier time with No. 12 Arizona, winning 103-64.

Meanwhile, No. 2 Oklahoma will take on No.1 North Carolina at FedExForum in Memphis later on Sunday to complete the Elite Eight. Blake Griffin poured in 30 points and grabbed 14 rebounds on Friday night to lead the Sooners to an 84-71 win over No. 3 Syracuse. The Tar Heels had no trouble with No. 4 Gonzaga, getting 24 points from Tyler HanXXXough as they rolled to a 98-77 victory Friday.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

Two of the Eastern Conference's top clubs will hit the ice in Philadelphia on Sunday night when the Flyers host the Bruins. Those two teams met in Boston on March 3, with Philly pulling out a 4-2 road win. Simon Gagne scored twice for the Flyers in that victory, while Mike Knuble had a goal and two assists. Patrice Bergeron and Stephane Yelle had the markers for the Bruins in that losing cause.

Nashville will be in Detroit for one of the six other games on the NHL's schedule for Sunday, with St. Louis at Columbus, Ottawa at Tampa Bay, Vancouver at Chicago, Colorado at Anaheim, and Minnesota at Edmonton. The division rival Wild and Oilers both need to get some points on Sunday to stay in the th-ick of the Western playoff hunt. Minnesota blanked Edmonton 3-0 back on March 22.

Rounding out the Roundup . . .

Jimmie Johnson and Kyle Busch are the 5/1 co-favorites to win Sunday's Sprint Cup Series event, the Goody's Fast Pain Relief 500 at Martinsville Speedway. Johnson has won four of the past five races at Martinsville, including the Goody's Cool Orange 500 in 2007. Denny Hamlin is the defending champion at the annual spring race at Martinsville, and he's next at 7/1 odds to win this weekend.

Mark Martin and Jeff Gordon are both sitting at 8/1 odds to visit victory lane at Martinsville. Gordon holds a 76-point lead on Kurt Busch in the current driver standings, and he's 79 points up on third-place Clint Bowyer. Kurt Busch is back at 15/1 odds to win on Sunday, where he's tied with Dale Earnhardt Jr., Matt Kenseth, and Tony Stewart. Bowyer is farther behind at 30/1 odds to get the win.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:34 AM

Sunday's List of 13: Making sense out of numbers.........

The guru of all baseball statistics is the great Bill James, so when the Bill James Gold Mine comes in the mail, its a big day. Here are some of the nuggets I found on my first take thru the 2009 Gold Mine.

13) In a team sense, batting average is overrated stat; Atlanta Braves hit .270 as a team last year, but finished 70-90. Tampa Bay Rays hit .260, 21st in all of major leagues, but won an American League title.

12) Kevin Slowey pitched 160 innings LY; because he is mainly a fly ball pitcher, only one batter all year reached base on an error.

11) Kelly Johnson hit .391 when his plate appearance was less than four pitches, .186 when it lasted four or more pitches.

10) Melvin Mora's 92 singles LY knocked in 41 runs; Ichiro Suzuki's 180 singles knocked in 17 Seattle teammates.

9) Its no wonder the Orioles were terrible LY: they were -87 in runs scored, -49 stolen bases and -154 in walks.

8) From 2002-08, Todd Helton fouled off 47% of pitches he swung at, most in the major leagues. It takes a dedicated human to keep tabs on obscure stats like that, but that is a lot of extra pitches the pitcher has to make when facing Helton and the Rockies.

7) Speaking of Colorado, they were +12 in homers, + 55 in steals, but -75 in runs scored, and runs are the only thing that ultimately count.

6) Cubs scored 56 more runs than any other National League team.

5) The last two seasons, against pitchers with 3.50 or better ERA, so against the better pitchers, David Ortiz hit .193/.182.

4) Cincinnati Reds started games terribly LY; they trailed 72 games after the second inning, led only 44. They're going to try and run in 2009, which is why they added Willy Taveras; it would be better if their pitchers gave up less home runs.

3) White Sox hit 79 more HR's than they allowed, but were an awful 9-31 in games when they didn't hit a homer.

2) Arizona was 44-23 LY when Webb/Haren started, 36-57 with all their other starters, including 0-7 with top prospect Scherzer.

1) If you stopped every Cleveland game after the fifth tinning, Tribe would have been 83-62 (17 games were tied), yet Indians were just an 81-81 team at season's end, which is why they added Kerry Wood to close games for them this season.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:35 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 29

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DALLAS (43 - 29) at CLEVELAND (59 - 13) - 3/29/2009, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 214-169 ATS (+28.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 115-82 ATS (+24.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (58 - 14) at ATLANTA (42 - 31) - 3/29/2009, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
ATLANTA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 94-78 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (35 - 38) at TORONTO (27 - 45) - 3/29/2009, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (30 - 42) at MINNESOTA (20 - 53) - 3/29/2009, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-70 ATS (-22.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (37 - 34) at DETROIT (34 - 37) - 3/29/2009, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-7 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 9-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (17 - 56) at INDIANA (30 - 42) - 3/29/2009, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (20 - 52) at BOSTON (55 - 19) - 3/29/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 105-76 ATS (+21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 81-65 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 30-57 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (48 - 24) at NEW ORLEANS (44 - 27) - 3/29/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 67-51 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 221-175 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-8 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 11-6 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (40 - 32) at SACRAMENTO (15 - 56) - 3/29/2009, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 30-41 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 192-236 ATS (-67.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:36 AM

NBA
Write-up

Sunday, March 29

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won last eleven games, covered two of last eight.
-- Lakers won last five games, covered last four.
-- Bulls won seven of their last eight games. Toronto won, covered their last three games.
-- Philadelphia won three of its last four games.
-- Celtics won five of their last six games.
-- Spurs won their last three games, by 1-10-13 points.

Cold Teams
-- Mavericks lost three of their last four road games.
-- Hawks lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost last seven games, covered one of last five. Nets lost last three games, by 8-11-8 points.
-- Pistons lost six of their last eight games.
-- Pacers lost six of their last eight games. Wizards lost six of last seven.
-- Thunder lost six of their last eight games.
-- Hornets lost last two games, covered two of last seven.
-- Suns lost six of their last seven road games. Kings lost seven of their last eight games overall.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games went over the total; five of Lakers' last six games stayed under.
-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Minnesota games.
-- Three of last four Chicago road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Oklahoma City games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Phoenix road games.

Back-to Back
-- Nets are 9-6 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Bulls covered six of last seven if they played the day/night before.
-- Pistons are 3-8 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Indiana is 6-10 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Suns are 5-2 vs spread if playing second night in row on the road.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:37 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 29

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Trend Sheet
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1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Dallas is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago

3:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. ATLANTA
LA Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Atlanta
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

3:30 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. MINNESOTA
New Jersey is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Minnesota is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home

6:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BOSTON
Oklahoma City is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. INDIANA
Washington is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indiana is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. SACRAMENTO
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:37 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 29

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Pick ‘n’ Roll: NBA best bets
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Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors (-2, 209)

It's been a little over two years since the Chicago Bulls won five straight games. That happened to come during their last playoff season.

The surging Bulls hope to equal that winning streak and further solidify their playoff position Sunday when they visit the Toronto Raptors, who are looking for a season-high fourth straight win.

Chicago (36-38) beat Indiana 112-106 at home Saturday for its seventh victory in eight games. The Bulls are tied with Detroit for seventh place in the Eastern Conference.

The Bulls are trying for their first five-game winning streak since Dec. 11-19, 2006. Chicago made its most recent playoff appearance that season, losing to the Pistons in the second round.

The club's recent play on the road has helped their playoff push. The Bulls are 12-26 on the road, but hope to match a season high with their third consecutive win away from home. Chicago won three straight away from the United Center from Jan. 28-31.

The Bulls play consecutive games on the road before playing five of their last six at home.

While the Raptors (27-45) won 114-94 at Chicago on Jan. 23 in the teams' most recent contest, the Bulls avoided a third straight loss at Toronto with a 102-98 victory on Jan. 14.

Chicago didn't have John Salmons in either of those contests, and he could be the difference in this one.

Salmons scored 22 points and hit two late 3-pointers to help the Bulls beat Indiana. Salmons is averaging 20.3 points in 19 games since being acquired from Sacramento.

"The best trade of the year,'' Pacers coach Jim O'Brien said of the Bulls landing the underrated swingman.

Though Toronto will miss the playoffs for the first time in three seasons, it's won three in a row heading into the finale of a five-game homestand that opened with a 102-89 loss to Charlotte on March 20.

Though its last three victories have come against the Los Angeles Clippers, Milwaukee and the Thunder, Toronto is averaging 109.0 points while allowing 92.7 during that span.

Pick: Over

San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Hornets (+1, 178.5)

At this point in the season, the San Antonio Spurs are typically in sync and gearing up for the playoffs. That strategy was derailed as they were plagued by injuries, meaning the final 10 regular-season games will be vital for improving their chemistry.

After an easy win over one of the league's worst teams in the first game for San Antonio's Big Three since the All-Star break, the Southwest Division-leading Spurs expect a much tougher test Sunday night against a New Orleans Hornets club that's in the ***** of the Western Conference playoff race.

With Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili on the court together for the first time since a 91-89 loss at Toronto on Feb. 11, San Antonio (48-24) defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 111-98 on Friday. The game was not as close as the final score indicated, as the Spurs led by 27 in the third quarter when coach Gregg Popovich began to empty his bench.

San Antonio is seeking its second consecutive division title and seventh in nine years, an impressive feat considering Duncan, Parker and Ginobili have missed a combined 48 games.

Ginobili had 14 points on 5-of-7 shooting and added seven assists Friday after finishing with only two points on 1-of-7 shooting in Wednesday's 102-92 win at Atlanta - his first game since scoring 32 versus the Raptors.

"We're back, but we aren't back," said Ginobili, averaging 19.5 points on 51.9 percent shooting in two games versus the Hornets (44-27) this season. "These 10 games are going to be different than the previous ones we've had heading into the playoffs."

The Hornets have the league's fourth-best scoring defense (93.5), but they've allowed an average of 102.0 points in losing their last two.

New Orleans, which was eliminated by the Spurs in seven games in last season's conference semifinals, dropped 3 1/2 games back of San Antonio in the division with Friday's 103-93 loss at New York. The Hornets led 49-42 at halftime but things quickly fell apart as they were outscored 35-16 in the third quarter and hit with two technicals and an ejection in the fourth.

"I just think if we would have come out with that type of passion in the third quarter, then we would have won the game," said coach Byron Scott, adding it was a "terrible" loss for a team trying to make the playoffs.

Pick: San Antonio

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:39 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

When additional games and trends become available, we will update.

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Sunday, March 29
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MICHIGAN ST (29 - 6) vs. LOUISVILLE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2009, 2:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA (30 - 5) vs. N CAROLINA (31 - 4) - 3/29/2009, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, March 30
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UTEP (22 - 12) at OREGON ST (16 - 17) - 3/30/2009, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTEP is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTEP is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games this season.
UTEP is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
UTEP is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTEP is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
OREGON ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 86-123 ATS (-49.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OREGON ST is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, March 31
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BAYLOR (23 - 14) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (26 - 9) - 3/31/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
BAYLOR is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NOTRE DAME (21 - 14) vs. PENN ST (25 - 11) - 3/31/2009, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
NOTRE DAME is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OLD DOMINION (24 - 10) vs. BRADLEY (21 - 14) - 3/31/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BRADLEY is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
BRADLEY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:40 AM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 29th

NCAA Tournament

Michigan State vs. Louisville, 2:20 ET
Michigan State:
13-4 ATS on neutral court
17-7 ATS vs. non-conference

Louisville:
9-22 ATS off 3+ non-conf games
22-38 ATS on neutral court

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina, 5:05 ET
Oklahoma:
12-4 Under as underdog
35-15 Under off BB DD wins

North Carolina:
24-8 ATS vs. non-conference
15-5 ATS off BB ATS wins

Monday, March 30th

CBI Tournament - Championship Series - Best of 3 - Game 1

UTEP at OREGON STATE, 10:05 PM ET
UTEP: 6-0 Over when the total is 130 to 139.5
OREGON ST: 7-0 ATS as home dog of 6pts or less

Tuesday, March 31st

NIT Tournament - Semifinals - New York, NY

BAYLOR vs. SAN DIEGO STATE, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
BAYLOR: 4-11 ATS as favorite
SAN DIEGO ST: 13-2 Under off 3 non-conf games

NOTRE DAME vs. PENN STATE, 9:20 PM ET ESPN2
NOTRE DAME: 9-0 Under as neutral court favorite
PENN STATE: 1-8 ATS off SU dog win

CIT Tournament – Championship

OLD DOMINION vs. BRADLEY, 8:05 PM ET FSN
OLD DOMINION: 1-11 ATS off 10+ point conference win
BRADLEY: 6-0 ATS off BB Home wins

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:41 AM

NCAAB
Write-up

Sunday, March 29

NCAA tournament

First-ever Izzo-Pitino coaching matchup; Pitino is 32-4 against a lower-seeded opponent in this tournament, best mark of all the active coaches. Louisville won last 13 games, covering 10 of the 13- they lost 70-64 to Minnesota on neutral court, in only game vs Big 11 foe this year. State is 9-1 in last 10 games, 3-2 vs spread as an underdog- they were down 11 to Kansas early in game Friday, rallied to win despite shooting 39% for night. The #1 seed is 5-1 in regional finals this season and last.

North Carolina was simply too quick for Gonzaga, scoring 98 points on 11-19 shooting from arc, with only nine turnovers; we have pick on this game in box below. Oklahoma beat Syracuse because they got huge game (28 points) from Crocker; if Blake Griffin/HanXXXough cancel each other out, which side wins 4-on-4 game? Sooners will need huge game from its supporting cast to advance to Detroit- they're 1-2 as an underdog so far this season, losing at Texas/Missouri, beating Purdue on neutral floor.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:42 AM

NCAAB

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Trend Sheet
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Sunday, March 29

2:20 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Michigan State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Louisville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

5:05 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Oklahoma is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
North Carolina is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games

Monday, March 30

10:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. OREGON STATE
Texas El Paso is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games

Tuesday, March 31

7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Baylor is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
San Diego State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. BRADLEY
Old Dominion is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 6 games
Bradley is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Bradley is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:30 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. PENN STATE
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Penn State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 7 games

Wednesday, April 1

10:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 7 games at home

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:43 AM

NCAAB

We will update when added info and projected scores are available.

Sunday, March 29

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Tips and Trends
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Midwest Region Final: #2 Michigan St. vs. #1 Louisville [CBS | 2:20 PM ET]

Michigan State:

Michigan State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 10-4 in Michigan State's last 14 games overall.

Key Injuries - F Raymar Morgan (nose) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

Louisville (-6.5, O/U 138):

Louisville is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games overall.
The OVER is 9-4 in Louisville's last 13 games as a favorite.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

South Region Final: #2 Oklahoma vs. #1 N. Carolina [CBS | 5:05 PM ET]

Oklahoma:

Oklahoma is 3-0 SU & ATS in its last 3 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Oklahoma's last 10 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

North Carolina (-7, O/U 164):

North Carolina is 3-0 SU & ATS in its lsat 3 games overall.
The UNDER is 3-1 in North Carolina's last 4 games overall.

Key Injuries - PG Ty Lawson (toe) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: TBD

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:44 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 29

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NASHVILLE (36-30-0-8, 80 pts.) at DETROIT (49-17-0-9, 107 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 17-9 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 17-9-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
14 of 25 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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ST LOUIS (35-30-0-9, 79 pts.) at COLUMBUS (39-28-0-7, 85 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 39-35 ATS (+92.6 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 22-15 ATS (+3.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 35-39 ATS (+86.2 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-16 ATS (+41.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 9-6 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 4-13 ATS (+20.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 11-17 ATS (+32.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLUMBUS is 11-20 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 11-8 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 11-8-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)

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OTTAWA (32-31-0-10, 74 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (24-34-0-17, 65 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 75-84 ATS (-46.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 37-49 ATS (-32.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-19 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-51 ATS (-42.1 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-46 ATS (+77.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 12-24 ATS (+46.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-25 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-6 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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BOSTON (46-16-0-11, 103 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (40-23-0-10, 90 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 18-18 ATS (-16.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+64.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

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VANCOUVER (40-25-0-9, 89 pts.) at CHICAGO (40-23-0-10, 90 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 37-41 ATS (-16.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 24-17 ATS (+44.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 31-31 ATS (+75.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-5 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 7-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 7-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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MINNESOTA (35-31-0-8, 78 pts.) at EDMONTON (36-30-0-9, 81 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 77-80 ATS (-51.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 44-37 ATS (-0.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 14-5 ATS (+20.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 20-14 ATS (+34.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 14-7 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 14-7-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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COLORADO (31-42-0-2, 64 pts.) at ANAHEIM (37-32-0-6, 80 pts.) - 3/29/2009, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 16-37 ATS (+61.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-20 ATS (+28.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLORADO is 16-24 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLORADO is 4-15 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 2-6 ATS (-8.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ANAHEIM is 7-10 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ANAHEIM is 1-5 ATS (-8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 7-4 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 7-4-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:44 AM

NHL
Write-up

Sunday, March 29

Hot teams
-- Red Wings won five of their last seven games.
-- Columbus is 7-1 in game after its last eight losses. Blues won their last four games, allowing total of seven goals.
-- Bruins won four of their last six games. Flyers won four of last five.
-- Blackhawks won last three games, scoring 13 goals.
-- Canucks won six of their last eight games.
-- Ducks won five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Nashville lost five of its last eight road games.
-- Senators lost five of their last seven road games. Lightning lost five of last six games overall.
-- Oilers lost three of their last four games. Minnesota lost three in row, eight of last ten games.
-- Avalanche lost last seven games, scoring total of 13 goals.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Columbus games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Ottawa games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Boston games.
-- Six of last nine Vancouver games went over the total.
-- Three of their last four Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Anaheim games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Nashville lost six of last seven if it played the night before.
-- Columbus is 5-8 if it played the night before.
-- Ottawa is 4-5 on road if it played the night before.
-- Bruins are 8-1 if they won the day/night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-8 if it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Predators lost their last five visits to Detroit.
-- Blues are 3-0 vs Columbus this season: 5-2/4-2/4-3so.
-- Senators won three of last four games against Tampa Bay.
-- Bruins won four of last seven games against Philadelphia.
-- Chicago won three of last four games against the Canucks.
-- Home side is 14-1 in last fifteen Montreal-Edmonton games.
-- Ducks won six of last eight games against Colorado.

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**pm530** · 03-29-2009, 04:45 AM

NHL

Sunday, March 29

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Trend Sheet
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5:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. DETROIT
Nashville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games at home

5:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. COLUMBUS
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Columbus is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis

6:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. TAMPA BAY
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 4-12-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. CHICAGO
Vancouver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vancouver's last 9 games
Chicago is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. ANAHEIM
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. EDMONTON
Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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Announcement

Sunday Trends and Indexes 3/29 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday Trends and Indexes 3/29 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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