Originally posted by molta02
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Hedging Opporutunities.......
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Originally posted by mavskidd02 View PostI was thinking the same thing, but it only pays about +130... I'm gonna let it ride!"It ain't what you don't know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain't so." -Mark Twain
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Originally posted by bryce View PostI would hedge to make sure I made money...I am for real a low risk taker and when I can hedge...I do..GL whatever you decide!
ps hope you are getting better buddy. that sucks about how they are treating you at work2013 NCAA POD Record
8-3ATS +3.80 units
2013 NFL POD Record
1-2 ATS -4.50 units
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Originally posted by 10DimeBry View Postlow risk taker? whats the point of gambling then?? Go knit or something lmao
ps hope you are getting better buddy. that sucks about how they are treating you at work
Thanks again about the work thing...yep it sux and I will deal with it!!
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Guys I agree with your opinions on why it is smart to hedge, but I just have a feeling in me that I am making a good call. Thank you for your opinions and inputs, I looked at every possible angle, and just feel like this is the right play in this spot. None of the plays are real big, and losing them will not kill me, however winning, even one, will put a help to my bankroll."CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"
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After seeing the catastrophe in the Mizzou game, getting so close taking the lead, and still losing, I decided to hedge this Nova game, being the fact that it was so close and its a very simple way for a guaruntee. Couldn't take the chance on making nothing with OU being a decent dog tomorrow too.
I know who cares? Just giving an update to those of you who pushed me toward hedging. I literally hedged seconds before the tip. Can't lose money now, feels good."CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"
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Someone once told me that hedging for the most part is not necessarily a mathematically smart idea in reference to long term investment. His points were something about the fact that when you hedge you are giving juice back to the great odds that you earned to get to that point. I wish I could remember exactly how he broke it down but it made a lot of sense as myself, like a lot of people in this thread, used to say hedge to ensure profit always. However apparently this is not necessailry the best thing to do from what I have been told.SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!
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Originally posted by Chado1 View PostSomeone once told me that hedging for the most part is not necessarily a mathematically smart idea in reference to long term investment. His points were something about the fact that when you hedge you are giving juice back to the great odds that you earned to get to that point. I wish I could remember exactly how he broke it down but it made a lot of sense as myself, like a lot of people in this thread, used to say hedge to ensure profit always. However apparently this is not necessailry the best thing to do from what I have been told.
What you are saying sounds like the idea against MIDDLING, where when you middle you are simply selling back juice against a better line that has moved against you.
Example:
Knicks+7
Bobcats -7
You have Knicks +7
Now it is Bobcats -4
So you take it........
You sold back a better line + the juice. And are in the long term not making a smart decision
Is that what you were thinking of? Or am I way off?"CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"
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Originally posted by Chado1 View PostSomeone once told me that hedging for the most part is not necessarily a mathematically smart idea in reference to long term investment. His points were something about the fact that when you hedge you are giving juice back to the great odds that you earned to get to that point. I wish I could remember exactly how he broke it down but it made a lot of sense as myself, like a lot of people in this thread, used to say hedge to ensure profit always. However apparently this is not necessailry the best thing to do from what I have been told.
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Originally posted by mavskidd02 View PostI've heard the same as well. But I think you are thinking of this ( I may be wrong)........
What you are saying sounds like the idea against MIDDLING, where when you middle you are simply selling back juice against a better line that has moved against you.
Example:
Knicks+7
Bobcats -7
You have Knicks +7
Now it is Bobcats -4
So you take it........
You sold back a better line + the juice. And are in the long term not making a smart decision
Is that what you were thinking of? Or am I way off?
Middling can be good only prior to the game where you only have a 10 cent differential that can be lost. I have always been told dont middle a play at half when the original bet is in good shape because if it doesnt come through that yes you would have just thrown away the profit you would have made on the original one that was already looking like an easy winner. Hard to say there are always to points of view to both hedging and middling..SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!
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Yeah, I made a decision today to hedge, it didn't quite work out. I hedged the wrong game, I let Mizzou ride..... lost. And let Nova hedge, won, but not as much.
It's funny though, I have a 4 team parlay going, paying 11:1 a real small play, last play was GS +12. They were down 9 at half and playing bad. 2H line was 3.5 I hedged it and am now looking at an absolutely NO LOSE situation. This could be the 2nd time today hedging works against me, I guess time will tell."CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"
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Originally posted by Chado1 View PostNo middling is another story for another day..
Middling can be good only prior to the game where you only have a 10 cent differential that can be lost. I have always been told dont middle a play at half when the original bet is in good shape because if it doesnt come through that yes you would have just thrown away the profit you would have made on the original one that was already looking like an easy winner. Hard to say there are always to points of view to both hedging and middling..
Option A:
Win 5 units or lose 0 units
Option B: Win 6.2 units or lose 1 unit.
I chose option A, won less money, but was able to sit through the game without a few heart attacks and TV punchings"CFB YTD: 5-8-1 -16.2"
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