Friday Trends and Indexes 3/27 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, March 27

Good Luck on day #86 of 2009!

At this time the sports menu in this thread consists of the NBA, College Basketball, and the NHL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted here.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.
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[pm530]

Daily Sports Roundup

Friday, March 27

Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The second day of the Sweet 16 offers up action in Indianapolis and Memphis, and the Hawks get a visit from the Celtics.

Tipping off on the hardwood . . .

Twenty teams will hit the hardwood around the NBA on Friday night as the league ends the work week with 10 matchups on the schedule. The top matchup on the slate will take place in Atlanta, where the Celtics will meet the Hawks. Boston edged the Hawks 88-85 in Atlanta on December 17, failing the cover the 4-point spread on the road. The Celtics also won a November matchup 103-102.

Also on tap for Friday: Oklahoma City at Toronto, Charlotte at Philadelphia, Milwaukee at Orlando, the Lakers at New Jersey, New Orleans at New York, Denver at Dallas, the Clippers at San Antonio, and Memphis at Sacramento. As well, LeBron James and his Cavaliers will play host to the lowly Timberwolves; those teams met with predictable results on December 17 - a 93-70 Cavs romp.

On the road to the Final Four . . .

The Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament concludes on Friday night, with games in the Midwest and South regions. Overall top seed Louisville is one of four Midwest teams in action at Indianapolis' Lucas Oil Stadium, and they've been listed as a 9-point favorite against No. 12 Arizona (with the total for the game sitting at 139.5 points). The other Midwest contest is No. 3 Kansas vs. No. 2 Michigan State, with the Spartans 1.5-point favorites and the total at 138 points.

In South region action at FedExForum in Memphis on Friday it'll be No. 3 Syracuse vs. No. 2 Oklahoma and No. 4 Gonzaga vs. No. 1 North Carolina. The Orange/Sooners matchup opened as a pick'em, but Oklahoma had moved to a 1-point favorite by mid-week (with the total at 153 points). The top-seeded Tar Heels are favored by 8.5 points in their game against the Bulldogs to cap off the Sweet 16, while the oddsmakers have pegged the total for that matchup at 162.5.

Taking a trip around the rink . . .

The NHL offers up six games on Friday night, including an East/West clash between the Devils and Blackhawks in Chicago. New Jersey hasn't played since Monday night, when they were doubled up 4-2 by the division-rival Flyers in Philadelphia. The Devils and Hawks met in New Jersey on March 17, with Martin Brodeur leading his team to a 3-2 win as a -150 home favorite on the moneyline.

Washington will host Tampa Bay in one of the other five games on the ice on Friday night. As well, it'll be Toronto at Buffalo, the Islanders at Detroit, Vancouver at Colorado, and Edmonton at Anaheim. The Oilers and Ducks haven't met since December 19 in Edmonton, when Anaheim picked up a 3-2 victory. Both of those teams need Friday's win in their hunt for a playoff position.

Rounding out the Roundup . . .

The NCAA Tournament's Elite Eight will take place on Saturday (Glendale and Boston) and Sunday (Indianapolis and Memphis), with the Final Four set for April 4 and the tourney championship on April 6 (all at Detroit's Ford Field). The other three college hoops postseason events will wrap up next week; the National Invitational Tournament will stage its semifinals on March 31 and its championship on April 2, the CollegeInsider.com tourney will conclude on March 31, and the CBI finishes with a three-game set on March 30, April 1, and April 3.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Friday

-- Villanova made Duke look like a Patriot League team.

-- Mike Anderson is the last coach to beat Memphis in Conference USA game; last night, he snapped Memphis' 27-game win streak in an impressive 102-91 spanking out in Arizona.

-- Pitt is now first-ever #1 seed to win its first three tourney games by 10 or less points; they simply survive and advance, but the shot Fields hit to put Pitt up 55-54 couldn't have been one they wanted in that situation. It went in though, and Panthers move on.

-- UConn rubbed out Purdue, will now prepare for West regional final while the NCAA prepares to investigate the Husky program.

-- Hasheem Thabeet dominates games, forcing teams to try and beat UConn either from perimeter or in transition, which is harder to do in a domed stadium, where shooting backgrounds aren't as good.

-- From everything you read, Kentucky and Billy Gillispie will be parting ways Friday, ending a bizarre two-year coaching tenure for Gillispie in Lexington. Where do they turn next? Who knows.

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[pm530]

Friday's List of 13: Hall of Fame Tale of the Tape......

Curt Schilling retired this week; there has been lot of speculation on whether he is a Hall of Famer or not. Bert Blyleven isn't in the Hall yet; here is a comparison of their career statistics.........

-- Place of birth: Schilling: Alaska.....Blyleven: Netherlands.
-- Years in big leagues: Blyleven 22, Schilling 20.
-- Won-lost record: Schilling 216-146; Blyleven 287-250.
-- Complete games/shutouts: Blyleven 242/60......Schilling 83/20

-- Innings pitched: Blyleven 4,970.....Schilling 3,261
-- Hits allowed: Blyleven 4,632.......Schilling 2,998
-- Walks/strikeouts: Schilling 711/3,116.......Blyleven 1,322/3,701

-- ERA: Blyleven 3.31......Schilling 3.46
-- All-Star Games: Schilling: 6.......Blyleven 2
-- World Series rings: Schilling 3, Blyleven 2.

--Postseason pitching records:
Schilling-- 11-2, 2.23 in 19 starts
Blyleven-- 5-1, 2.47 in eight games.

My bottom line on this is that I think they both should get into the Hall of Fame, but either they go in together, or Blyleven goes first. He pitched for small market teams in an era when starting pitchers had to do more than they do now, and that has to count in his favor.

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[pm530]

NBA
Write-up


Friday, March 27

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won five of last six games (0-3 vs spread in last three).
-- 76ers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Raptors won three of their last four home games.
-- Hawks won six of their last eight games. Celtics won four of last five.
-- Cavaliers won last ten games, covered one of last six.
-- Lakers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Hornets won three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games. Nuggets won six of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Bobcats lost three of their last four road games.
-- Thunder lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost its last six games (1-3 vs spread in last four).
-- Nets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Knicks lost their last six games (2-3 vs spread in last five).
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games. Spurs are 0-5 vs spread in last five home games.
-- Memphis lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread). Sacramento lost six of its last seven games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Charlotte games stayed under the total; four of 76ers' last five games went over.
-- Last six Oklahoma City games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Last seven Dallas home games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Memphis road games stayed under the total.

Back-to Back
-- Milwaukee is 7-4 vs spread the last 11 games, when they had a game the next night.
-- Bobcats covered six of last seven if they play again the next night.
-- Minnesota is 4-2 vs spread on road if it has home game next night.
-- Lakers are 5-1 vs spread playing second consecutive night on road.
-- Knicks are 3-6 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Denver is 7-4-1 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Clippers are 5-3 vs the spread when playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Memphis is 1-5 vs spread on road if it plays again the next night.

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[pm530]

NBA


Friday, March 27

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. TORONTO
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 10-1-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW JERSEY
LA Lakers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. NEW YORK
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New York is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New Orleans

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. DALLAS
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Denver is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Clippers are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 7 games
San Antonio is 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

10:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SACRAMENTO
Memphis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at hom

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[pm530]

NBA


Friday, March 27

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Pick ‘n’ Roll: NBA best bets
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Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks

The old adage is that a team is most likely to lose the first or last game of a road trip.

Friday’s game in Dallas is the finale of a three-game trip for Denver, which lost at Phoenix Monday but won in New Orleans Wednesday.

Denver beat the Hornets without Nene, who was suspended for two games following an altercation against the Suns.

Nene head butted the Suns' Louis Amundson Monday. When Nene was leaving the court, it then appeared he had contact with official Bill Spooner. Still, coach George Karl said he was “shocked” that Nene even got one game.

Johan Petro started in Nene’s place against the Hornets, but Nene’s loss will be felt more against the Mavs, who are 4-1 ATS in their past five at home.

With Kenyon Martin still not 100 percent from his back injury, the Mavericks should be able to attack the middle and even win the rebounding battle. Plus the Mavs, who are just 1-6 ATS in the past seven with Denver, are desperate to hang on to that No. 8 spot with the Suns surging behind them.

Pick: Dallas



L.A. Clippers at San Antonio Spurs (-11.5, 191)

The league’s worst franchise goes up against arguably its model team. How can you pick against the latter?

You can’t.

The Spurs got a major boost with Manu Ginobili returning from injury in Wednesday night’s win in Atlanta, one in which Tony Parker went off. San Antonio pulled off the upset (it was a 6.5-point dog) despite Tim Duncan getting the night off to rest his knees.

Ginobili had been out since Feb. 11 with an ankle injury and played just 14 minutes, going 1-for-7 from the field with two rebounds.

There will be some rust but the Spurs will be geeked to have their Big 3 on the floor together for the first time in more than a month, especially in front of the home folks.

Something has to give here. The Clips are 0-5 ATS in their past five vs. the West while San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its past five home games. But the Spurs have beaten the Clips by 28 and 22 points in the past two meetings, respectively.

Pick: San Antonio

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Dunkel Index

When added info is available, we will update.

FRIDAY, MARCH 27

Game 871-872: Arizona vs. Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 70.021; Louisville 76.199
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6
Vegas Line: Louisville by 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+9)

Game 873-874: Kansas vs. Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 69.819; Michigan State 72.475
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State

Game 875-876: Gonzaga vs. North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 70.019; North Carolina 79.193
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-7)

Game 877-878: Syracuse vs. Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 74.460; Oklahoma 72.005
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Long Sheet


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Friday, March 27
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ARIZONA (21 - 13) vs. LOUISVILLE (30 - 5) - 3/27/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
LOUISVILLE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (27 - 7) vs. MICHIGAN ST (28 - 6) - 3/27/2009, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against Big 12 conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
KANSAS is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GONZAGA (28 - 5) vs. N CAROLINA (30 - 4) - 3/27/2009, 9:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GONZAGA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 160 to 169.5 since 1997.
GONZAGA is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 1-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (28 - 9) vs. OKLAHOMA (29 - 5) - 3/27/2009, 7:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games this season.
SYRACUSE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Friday, March 27

Arizona vs. Louisville, 7:05 ET
Arizona:
47-28 ATS as an underdog
18-9 ATS off an Under

Louisville:
21-38 ATS on neutral court
19-9 Under off an Over


Kansas vs. Michigan State, 9:35 ET
Kansas:
15-5 Under Away off BB non-conf games
15-6 Under Away off BB ATS wins

Michigan State:
6-0 ATS as neutral court favorite of 6pts or less
6-0 ATS vs. Big 12


Gonzaga vs. North Carolina, 9:55 ET
Gonzaga:
9-0 ATS when the total is 160 or higher
22-10 ATS as neutral court underdog

North Carolina:
9-18 ATS off SU win
17-8 Over off an Under


Syracuse vs. Oklahoma, 7:25 ET
Syracuse:
22-10 ATS as a neutral court dog
7-1 ATS in tournament games

Oklahoma:
16-4 Under Away off BB covers as a favorite
9-2 Under Away playing only their 2nd game in a week

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Write-up


Friday, March 27

NCAA tournament

#12 seeds are 3-7 vs spread in this round since 1994, but Arizona isn't your ordinary #12 seed; Wildcats are 12-3 out of conference, 3-1 as an underdog- they start three guys who will play in NBA, but they won't leave game, because they have no depth. Louisville won twelve games in row (9-3 vs spread) but struggled vs thin Siena squad Sunday, trailing in second half. Cardinals are 11-3 out of Big East, but they're 1-8 vs spread in their last nine non-conference games, all as a favorite.

Kansas (+6.5) was down 37-18 at half, lost 75-62 at Michigan State Jan 10, in game where both point guards scored 20+ points. Jayhawks have gotten lot better since then, winning 16 of 19 since Michigan State loss. Kansas is 12-2 outside the Big 12. Spartans won eight of last nine games are also 12-2 in non-league games. Key is whether Spartans' frontcourt, which is deep, can offset more talented but thinner Kansas frontcourt. Suton better shoot better than 1-10, which he did in their USC win.

Syracuse won nine of last ten games, with only loss to Louisville when they were playing fourth night in row; Orangemen beat Kansas 89-81 in OT in Kansas City Nov 25, in their only game vs Big 12 foe. Since 1998, underdog is 9-6 vs spread in games with 2-3 seeds playing. Oklahoma is 4-4 in last eight games after 25-1 start, but Blake Griffin missed most of the losses with a concussion- he was clearly the difference in Sooners' 73-63 win vs Michigan. Orangemen are more diverse team on offense.

Gonzaga beat North Carolina in preseason NIT couple of years back in NYC; Zags won last ten games, are 2-0 vs the spread as dog this season. Gonzaga is just 9-5 outside the WCC, losing by 5 to Arizona, 5 in OT to UConn, 18 to Memphis (also lost to Portland State, Utah). Lawson back in Tar Heel lineup gives UNC open court spark they previously lacked; Carolina is 16-2 in last 18 games, but is 3-6-1 vs spread in last 10 games as a favorite. #1 seeds are 1-4 vs spread in last five games vs #4-seeds.

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[pm530]

NCAAB


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Trend Sheet
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Friday, March 27

7:07 PM
ARIZONA vs. LOUISVILLE
Arizona is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Arizona is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Louisville is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:27 PM
SYRACUSE vs. OKLAHOMA
Syracuse is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Syracuse is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Oklahoma is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 6 games

9:37 PM
KANSAS vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Kansas is 15-3-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Kansas is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Michigan State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

9:57 PM
GONZAGA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
North Carolina is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games


Monday, March 30

10:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. OREGON STATE
Texas El Paso is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oregon State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games


Tuesday, March 31

7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Baylor is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Baylor is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
San Diego State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

9:30 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. PENN STATE
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Notre Dame is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Penn State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 7 games


Wednesday, April 1

10:00 PM
OREGON STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Oregon State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 7 games at home

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[pm530]

NCAAB


Friday, March 27

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Tips and Trends
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Midwest Region: #12 Arizona vs. #1 Louisville [CBS | 7:07 PM ET]

Arizona: The Wildcats weren't supposed to make it this far as one of the final teams to make the NCAA tournament field. But they're here in the Sweet 16 and now have the chance to knock out the top overall seed. “Just the opportunity to walk through this journey this year is incredible - it’s stretched me, it’s forced me to think outside the box," Arizona interim head coach Russ Pennell said. "It’s very unconventional what we’ve gone through. If this is the only opportunity, so be it. Life goes on.”
Arizona is 3-1 SU & ATS in its last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 NCAA tournament games.

Key Injuries - G Nic Wise (ankle) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 67 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Louisville (-9, O/U 139): Cardinals head coach Rick Pitino owns a career record of 8-0 in regional semifinals but realizes he is facing a similar opponent defensively in Arizona. “It’s the closest I’ve ever seen two teams in the type of pressure (defense) they apply,” Pitino said. “They do one thing different - they bring their center out to the corner sometimes. But it’s almost identical to what we’re trying to accomplish.” One possible distraction for Louisville is that Pitino is rumored to possibly replace Pennell at Arizona or Billy Gillispie at Kentucky if he is in fact fired.

Louisville is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games overall.
The OVER is 4-2 in Louisville's last 6 NCAA tournament games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 76



South Region: #4 Gonzaga vs. #1 North Carolina [CBS | 9:57 PM ET]

Gonzaga: The Bulldogs upset North Carolina 82-74 three years ago in the semifinals of the Preseason NIT after losing star Adam Morrison to the NBA, so they know they can play with the Tar Heels. Still, Gonzaga is relishing the role of the underdog again and can't wait to prove the oddsmakers wrong. “It’s kind of nice to be the underdog,” Gonzaga's Josh Heytvelt said. “Most of the season we’ve had the bull’s-eye on our back - through our conference and a lot of preseason games. There’s a lot of hype for Carolina. The fans don’t expect anything but a championship from those guys.”

Gonzaga is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games overall.
The OVER is 8-2 in Gonzaga's last 10 games overall.

Key Injuries - G Matt Bouldin (knee) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 79 (Side Play of the Day)

North Carolina (-8.5, O/U 162.5): Wayne Ellington has led the Tar Heels with 48 points in two NCAA tournament games so far, but there's no doubt this team is much more dangerous with Ty Lawson running the offense. Lawson has helped open things up for Ellington, who made 3-of-6 shots from beyond the arc in an 84-70 win over LSU in the second round. “I feel like it’s that time of year where I think everybody should be elevating their game,” Ellington said. “I’ve just been stepping up to the challenge.”

North Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
The UNDER is 4-1 in North Carolina's last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - PG Ty Lawson (toe) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 83

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[pm530]

NHL
Write-up


Friday, March 27

Hot teams
-- Maple Leafs won four of their last five games.
-- Red Wings won five of their last six games.
-- Chicago won its last two games, 4-1/6-5so, after losing six of previous seven games.
-- Canucks won five of their last seven games.
-- Ducks won last five games, outscoring foes 22-10.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost four of their last five games. Washington lost four of its last five home games.
-- Sabres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Islanders lost last three games, allowing 16 goals.
-- New Jersey lost three of its last four games.
-- Colorado lost last six games, having been outscored 30-10.
-- Edmonton lost its last three games, outscored by total of 9-4.

Totals
-- Three of last four Tampa Bay road games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Buffalo games all went over the total.
-- Five of last six Islander games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Chicago home games went over the total; under is 10-5-1 in New Jersey's last sixteen games.
-- Three of last four Colorado games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Anaheim home games went over the total; Oilers' last three games stayed under.

Back-to-Back
-- Lightning are 4-7 if they played the night before.
-- Buffalo is 4-7 if it plays again the next night.
-- Islanders are 4-7 if they play again the next night.
-- Devils are 8-5 if they play again the next night.
-- Canucks are 4-3 if they played night before, 2-0 if they lost.
-- Oilers are 0-4 if they lost the night before.

Series Records
-- Lightning lost eight of last nine games against Washington.
-- Sabres won six of last eight games against Toronto.
-- Avalanche won eight of last nine games against Vancouver.
-- Oilers are 4-3 in their last seven visits to Anaheim.

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[pm530]

NHL


Friday, March 27

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. WASHINGTON
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. DETROIT
NY Islanders are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BUFFALO
Toronto is 8-15-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
New Jersey is 10-0-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Jersey

9:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. COLORADO
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Vancouver

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. ANAHEIM
Edmonton is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Edmonton

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