Monday Trends and Indexes 3/23 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[pm530]

NCAAB
Dunkel Index

NCAA Basketball Picks
Oakland at Bradley
The Golden Grizzlies (23-12 SU) are 3-0 ATS in lined games this season and face a Bradley team that is 6-11 ATS against teams with a winning record. Oakland is the underdog pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has Bradley favored by just 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 23

Game 615-616: Kentucky at Creighton
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 62.686; Creighton 64.155
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+2)

Game 617-618: Davidson at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 58.286; St. Mary's (CA) 66.556
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 4
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-4)

Game 625-626: College of Charleston at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 56.773; Richmond 63.253
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 4
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-4)

Game 627-628: Stanford at Wichita State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 64.967; Wichita State 63.555
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+1)

Game 629-630: Northeastern at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.800; UTEP 66.965
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 10
Vegas Line: UTEP by 7
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-7)

Game 631-632: Vermont at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 60.031; Oregon State 64.206
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 4
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-1)

Game 633-634: James Madison at Liberty
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 50.630; Liberty 53.332
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Liberty by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+3 1/2)

Game 635-636: Belmont at Old Dominion
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.728; Old Dominion 61.187
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 6
Dunkel Pick: Belmont (+6)

Game 637-638: Oakland at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 60.427; Bradley 61.975
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 3
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3)

Game 639-640: Idaho at Pacific
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.388; Pacific 58.844
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 9
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+9)

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[pm530]

NHL
Dunkel Index

Detroit at Calgary
The Red Wings look for their fifth straight win against a Calgary team that has dropped five of its last seven. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 23

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.380; Philadelphia 12.371
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 3-4: Carolina at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.211; Florida 10.887
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-105); Under

Game 5-6: Detroit at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.485; Calgary 10.961
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over

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[pm530]

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, March 23

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MINNESOTA (20 - 50) at ATLANTA (41 - 29) - 3/23/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 101-128 ATS (-39.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 54-68 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games this season.
MINNESOTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (32 - 38) at WASHINGTON (16 - 55) - 3/23/2009, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (17 - 52) at MIAMI (37 - 32) - 3/23/2009, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 66-84 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-66 ATS (-21.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 65-84 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 29-46 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
MIAMI is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (51 - 18) at NEW YORK (28 - 41) - 3/23/2009, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
NEW YORK is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (17 - 53) at BOSTON (53 - 18) - 3/23/2009, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (45 - 25) at PHOENIX (38 - 31) - 3/23/2009, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (35 - 33) at PORTLAND (44 - 26) - 3/23/2009, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

NHL
Long Sheet


Monday, March 23

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NEW JERSEY (47-22-0-3, 97 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (39-22-0-10, 88 pts.) - 3/23/2009, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 47-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 26-10 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 11-3 ATS (+7.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
NEW JERSEY is 18-11 ATS (+6.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-41 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 82-82 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 16-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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CAROLINA (39-28-0-7, 85 pts.) at FLORIDA (35-27-0-10, 80 pts.) - 3/23/2009, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 16-7 ATS (+24.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
FLORIDA is 11-4 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+8.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 98-112 ATS (+223.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 14-7 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 14-7-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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DETROIT (48-15-0-9, 105 pts.) at CALGARY (41-24-0-6, 88 pts.) - 3/23/2009, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 232-241 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 23-12 ATS (+35.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-2 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-21 ATS (+16.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 11-6 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 11-6-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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[pm530]

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, March 23

MINNESOTA at ATLANTA, 7:05 PM ET
MINNESOTA: 17-6 ATS AWAY after 4+ consecutive losses
ATLANTA: 50-69 ATS after one or more consecutive overs

CHICAGO at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
CHICAGO: 10-2 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
WASHINGTON: 6-16 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days

MEMPHIS at MIAMI, 7:35 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 4-11 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog
MIAMI: 5-1 ATS at home when the total is between 190 and 194.5

ORLANDO at NEW YORK, 7:35 PM ET
ORLANDO: 11-2 ATS AWAY when the total is greater than or equal to 200
NEW YORK: 5-14 ATS at home the total is greater than or equal to 210

LA CLIPPERS at BOSTON, 7:35 PM ET
LA CLIPPERS: 1-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
BOSTON: 13-6 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days

DENVER at PHOENIX, 10:05 PM ET
DENVER: 18-7 ATS after 3+ consecutive overs
PHOENIX: 0-10 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5

PHILADELPHIA at PORTLAND, 10:05 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 9-23 ATS after a combined score of 205+ in 3 straight
PORTLAND: 15-7 ATS after a DD win

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[pm530]

NHL
Short Sheet


Monday, March 23

NEW JERSEY at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 11-3 SU when playing their 3rd game in 4 days
PHILADELPHIA: 0-7 SU revenging a loss where team got shut out

CAROLINA at FLORIDA, 7:35 PM ET
CAROLINA: 10-3 SU revenging 2 straight losses
FLORIDA: 15-23 SU at home when the money line is -100 to -150

DETROIT at CALGARY, 9:35 PM ET
DETROIT: 12-2 SU AWAY after a non-conference game
CALGARY: 24-30 SU after a loss by 1 goal in their previous game

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[pm530]

NCAAB
Short Sheet


Monday, March 23

NIT Tournament - Second Round

KENTUCKY at CREIGHTON, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
KENTUCKY: 33-17 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest
CREIGHTON: 11-3 Over in home games

DAVIDSON at ST MARYS-CA, 11:30 PM ET ESPN2
DAVIDSON: 11-1 ATS as an underdog
ST MARYS-CA: 6-0 Under off BB DD wins
CBI Tournament – Quarterfinals

COLL OF CHARLESTON at RICHMOND, 7:00 PM ET
COLL OF CHARLESTON: 13-6 Under off SU win
RICHMOND: 12-3 ATS off home game

STANFORD at WICHITA ST, 8:00 PM ET
STANFORD: 8-1 Over as underdog
WICHITA ST: 6-0 ATS in tournament games

NORTHEASTERN at UTEP, 10:00 PM ET
NORTHEASTERN: 11-6 ATS in road games
UTEP: 13-4 Over when the total is 130 to 139.5

VERMONT at OREGON ST, 10:00 PM ET
VERMONT: 7-0 Under in March
OREGON ST: 9-19 ATS in home games
College Insider Tournament – Quarterfinals

JAMES MADISON at LIBERTY, 7:00 PM ET
JAMES MADISON: 7-1 Under off DD win
LIBERTY: 5-1 Under when the total is 140 to 149.5

BELMONT at OLD DOMINION, 7:00 PM ET
BELMONT: 7-0 Over off non-conf game
OLD DOMINION: 5-12 ATS off SU win

OAKLAND at BRADLEY, 8:00 PM ET
OAKLAND: 4-0 ATS in all games
BRADLEY: 14-5 Over off BB ATS losses

IDAHO at PACIFIC, 10:00 PM ET
IDAHO: 9-2 ATS Away off ATS win
PACIFIC: 13-25 ATS off ATS win


Tuesday, March 24

NIT Tournament - Quarterfinals

BAYLOR at AUBURN, 7:00 PM ET
BAYLOR: 2-9 ATS if underdog last game
AUBURN: 11-3 ATS in home games

PENN ST at FLORIDA, 9:00 PM ET
PENN ST: 14-5 ATS if home fave L2 games
FLORIDA: 6-1 Under in March

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[pm530]

NCAAB


Monday, March 23

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College funds: NCAAB best bets
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Monday's best NIT bets

Kentucky Wildcats at Creighton Bluejays (-2, 139.5)

The grumblings in Lexington must be white noise to Kentucky coach Billy Gillispie by now. Since taking the job at UK, Wildcats fanatics have vocally disagreed with everything Gillispie has done with the program.

"I would say there have probably been a few rumors," he told the media. "I don't worry about it much. I worry about the things that I can control. And what we can control is how we prepare for Creighton."

Kentucky is coming off a solid win over UNLV in the opening round of the NIT. The Wildcats got regular production from their big two of Pat Patterson and Jodie Meeks but also got help from role players Perry Stevenson and Ramon Harris, who combined for 16 points, 14 rebounds and six assists.

“It feels great to be able to advance and to know we get to play another game,” Patterson told reporters. “We’re having fun playing together and we don’t want it to end.

“Hopefully we keep this going and play well in the next game.”

This is a big game for the Bluejays. They have the rare chance of hosting a powerhouse program like Kentucky. Creighton wasn't impressive in its opening round win over Bowling Green. It feel behind quickly on the scoreboard and needed some late-minute magic to escape a letdown loss.

Pick: Kentucky +2



Davidson Wildcats at St. Mary's Gaels (-4, 143)

Usually the break between the NCAA opening weekend and Sweet 16 is unbearable for college hoop heads. And while the NIT is there, it always falls short of quenching that thirst. But not Monday.

It might read Davidson versus St. Mary's on the ticket stub but its Stephen Curry versus Patty Mills on the court. The two guards won't be defending each other but will go bucket for bucket when the game is on the line.

''There are a lot of parallels between Mills and Steph because of their ability to not only manufacture points for themselves but their ability to manufacture points for their team, and their ability to make their team better,'' Davidson coach Bob McKillop told the press.

Mills is healthy after missing a good chunk of the regular season with a broken right hand. Since returning in the WCC tournament, the junior from Australia is averaging just under 16 points per game including a 27-point performance against Washington State in the opening round.

Curry scored 32 points against South Carolina Tuesday, dropping 5-of-9 shots from beyond the arc. He scored all but two of his team's final 13 points of the game but needs more from his teammates.

The Wildcats bench had the same number of points as they did personal fouls (seven) versus the Gamecocks and, as a team, Davidson shot just 53 percent from the foul line. Curry was 9-for-10 from the stripe.

Pick: St. Mary's -4

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