Weazels March Madness

[Ldawg]

gl weazzie

bracket sez Marquette ..... bol

[weazel079]

vs
Prediction: Xavier 67, Portland St 62
Pick: Portland St +10.5 -110


vs
Prediction: Wisconsin 64, Florida St 58
Pick: Wisconsin +2.5 -110

[weazel079]

Playing two plays tomorrow and upgrading them each to 2 units. Texas should play right along with Duke tomorrow. Texas gets great guard play and plays much better D than Duke.

Texas +7.5 -110 (2.2 units to win 2)
ML Parlay: Memphis/Gonzaga/Oklahoma (2.6 units to win 2)

[weazel079]

Good day yesterday. Playing these for 2 units again.

Cleveland State +2.5 -110 (2.2 to win 2)
Dayton +8 -110 (2.2 to win 2) *My strongest play of the tourney)
ML Parlay: Louisville/Pitt/Mich St (2 units to win 2.03)

[Deano]

G.L.
d

[tech fan]

Good luck buddy

[weazel079]

Tournament Update: (8-5) +3.23 units

[mavskidd02]

good job so far weazel

[weazel079]

Sweet 16 Play
ML Parlay: North Carolina -400/Pitt Panthers -305 (3.01 units to win 2)

These moneylines have nowhere to go except up so I will play them now. I strongly feel these are the two best teams in the tournament and they will both meet in the final four. Both teams have shown the ability to beat good teams on the road. Both teams have great guard play and rebounding. North Carolina's defense is better then many think. They can step up when they need a stop. North Carolina also has depth and is solid from the free throw. Most balance team in the nation and I will ride them to the Championship. Although I'm not going to lay 8.5 points to a solid Gonzaga team.

Here's the weaknesses I see in the remaining teams.

Louisville - rebounding, free throw shooting
Arizona - defense (although they have picked it up in the tourney. We'll see if that last against Louisville), guard play

Kansas - showed no ability to beat good teams on the road
Michigan St - no star player that can take over a game. I think if they get by Kansas, they will pound Louisville on the boards and possibly take them down.

UCONN - Think the loss of Dyson will catch up to them. Perimeter shooting is weak.
Purdue - rebounding, guard play

Missouri - showed no ability to beat a good team on the road, free throw shooting
Memphis - free throw% is average. Overall pretty solid other than their weak conference. Think they make it to the championship once again.

Pitt - free throw shooting, depth in the front court
Xavier - guard play

Nova - guard play
Duke - defense, guard play
(Nova is worth a look here ATS)

North Carolina - none
Gonzaga - very solid balanced team. Just don't have the talent and starts like that on North Carolina

Cuse - inconsistent play at times, free throw %, rebounding. Flynn is impressive
Oklahoma - Youth of stars. Warren and Griffin are the main contributers and they are both young. Freshman and sophmore.

[weazel079]

adding money line parlay:
Pitt -300/UCONN -300/Louisville -500/UNC -400 (1 unit to win 1.67 units)

I don't think any of the 4 teams facing the #1 seeds are going to get it done. I do think we lose 1 or 2 #1 seeds in the elite 8, but not this round. Purdue's weakness is rebounding which is UCONN's major strength. Pitt really has no weakness other than free throw shooting. Don't think Xavier has the guard play to get it done, but they do have the size to slow down Pitt some. They might cover the spread. Lousiville's major weakness is rebounding. Good thing Arizona is no powerhouse in that category either. Lousiville should be able to slice and dice the Zona "D". And what I think will be the best game in the sweet 16 is UNC/Zaga. Both teams have no major weaknesses. UNC has been my pick to win the tourney from the start so I will ride them. I think 8.5 points is a bit too high as I see UNC winning by 4-5 points. Will probably have a play on Zaga.

Here is a strong stat: Since 1998 in the sweet 16, favorites of more than 5 points are 37-2 straight up.

[weazel079]

vs
Prediction: Duke 75, Villanova 69
Pick: Duke -2.5 -110

[mavskidd02]

good luck weazel, I like the calls tonight

[bryce]

GL tonight Weaz...nice thread buddy!

[tech fan]

Gl today buddy i think we are the only 2 on duke tonight

[weazel079]

Memphis -4 -110

Prediction: Memphis 80, Missouri 72

Over looks good but too many on it.