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Went 0-1 on locks last week, with Louisville on Monday night and didn't have any other POD's because of the hole I was in after Monday and Tuesday. POD record now stands at 2-2 and looking to start a nice little run with:
POD: Pitt -7 (BH)
Pitt comes into this game with arch-rival West Virginia having won 3 straight games by 13 or more points, having scored 93, 92, and 92 points in those 3 games since a road loss at Villanova. As a matter of fact, PITT has won all 14 of their home game by 13 points or more and is 46-4 at home over the past 3 seasons. In home games this season, Pitt is averaging 83 ppg on 50% shooting and holding opponents to only 62 ppg on 40% shooting and has a huge edge on the boards, 40 to 29. In conference home games, Pitt is averaging 84 ppg on 49% shooting while limiting opponents to 67 ppg on 44% shooting. Led by Big East POY candidate, 6-7, Soph F DeJuan Blair (15.7 ppg, 12.7 rpg) and 6-6 Sr. F Sam Young (17.8 ppg, 5 rpg), who scored 22 points @ West Virginia in the teams' first meeting, Pitt is 11-6 ATS overall, 9-5 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 ATS this season and 5-2 ATS the past 3 seasons as a home favorite of 6.5-9 points, 5-3 ATS this season and 21-14 the past 3 seasons in home games, 2-0 ATS when playing with 1 or less days of rest, and 9-5 ATS this season and 38-29 the past 3 seasons vs. teams with a winning record
Pitt's home dominancecan't be good news for West Virginia (16-7 SU, 9-11 ATS), seeing as how Pitt already won @ WV on Jan. 25th, 79-67. In that game, WV had no answer for Pitt, as the Panthers shot 53% from the field and held WV to only 41% from the field and now WV must travel to Pittsburgh where they are only 1-7 since 1997 and 0-2 over the past 3 seasons. Let's look at WV on the Big East road. They are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS averaging 68 ppg and 41% shooting and allow 68 ppg on 45% shooting. Outside of two blowout wins at Seton Hall (92-66) and Georgetown (75-58), they haven't been very good. In the other 3 games, they are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS losing at Syracuse 74-61, at Louisville 69-63 (a game they were losing by more than 20 points), and at Marquette 75-53. I want to look at these losses, because I don't expect them to win SU and I want to see how they performed in their losses. In these 3 losses, WV averaged 62 ppg on only 35% shooting and allowed 72 ppg on 45% shooting. If they play in Pitt like they did in those 3 losses, which I expect them to, they are going to get hammered. WV is 1-4 ATS after scoring 80 or more points, 2-8 ATS vs. teams scoring 77+ points per game, 8-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, 0-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest, 4-4 ATS this season and 11-15 ATS over the last 3 seasons on the road
I'll take the dominant home team here.
POD: Pitt -7
Good Luck,
Metsfan
POD: Pitt -7 (BH)
Pitt comes into this game with arch-rival West Virginia having won 3 straight games by 13 or more points, having scored 93, 92, and 92 points in those 3 games since a road loss at Villanova. As a matter of fact, PITT has won all 14 of their home game by 13 points or more and is 46-4 at home over the past 3 seasons. In home games this season, Pitt is averaging 83 ppg on 50% shooting and holding opponents to only 62 ppg on 40% shooting and has a huge edge on the boards, 40 to 29. In conference home games, Pitt is averaging 84 ppg on 49% shooting while limiting opponents to 67 ppg on 44% shooting. Led by Big East POY candidate, 6-7, Soph F DeJuan Blair (15.7 ppg, 12.7 rpg) and 6-6 Sr. F Sam Young (17.8 ppg, 5 rpg), who scored 22 points @ West Virginia in the teams' first meeting, Pitt is 11-6 ATS overall, 9-5 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 ATS this season and 5-2 ATS the past 3 seasons as a home favorite of 6.5-9 points, 5-3 ATS this season and 21-14 the past 3 seasons in home games, 2-0 ATS when playing with 1 or less days of rest, and 9-5 ATS this season and 38-29 the past 3 seasons vs. teams with a winning record
Pitt's home dominancecan't be good news for West Virginia (16-7 SU, 9-11 ATS), seeing as how Pitt already won @ WV on Jan. 25th, 79-67. In that game, WV had no answer for Pitt, as the Panthers shot 53% from the field and held WV to only 41% from the field and now WV must travel to Pittsburgh where they are only 1-7 since 1997 and 0-2 over the past 3 seasons. Let's look at WV on the Big East road. They are 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS averaging 68 ppg and 41% shooting and allow 68 ppg on 45% shooting. Outside of two blowout wins at Seton Hall (92-66) and Georgetown (75-58), they haven't been very good. In the other 3 games, they are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS losing at Syracuse 74-61, at Louisville 69-63 (a game they were losing by more than 20 points), and at Marquette 75-53. I want to look at these losses, because I don't expect them to win SU and I want to see how they performed in their losses. In these 3 losses, WV averaged 62 ppg on only 35% shooting and allowed 72 ppg on 45% shooting. If they play in Pitt like they did in those 3 losses, which I expect them to, they are going to get hammered. WV is 1-4 ATS after scoring 80 or more points, 2-8 ATS vs. teams scoring 77+ points per game, 8-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record, 0-1 ATS when playing with one or less days rest, 4-4 ATS this season and 11-15 ATS over the last 3 seasons on the road
I'll take the dominant home team here.
POD: Pitt -7
Good Luck,
Metsfan
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