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Let's finish the season with a bang! Will also have props later.
1*: .66-.75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit (6% of bankroll)
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Arizona +7.5 over Pitt (-120,bought half)-probable upgrade
The big game is here and I think the Cards get it done!!! The key to this game is Kurt Warner. If his line could give him time he will dominate the game. The way I saw the O line handle the Panthers and the Eagles the last couple of weeks I think they will be able to protect him. Warner is one of the smartest QB's in the league and he can recognize the blitz. When the Eagle came after him he was able to throw quit slants and keep moving the chain. Though Arizona has not run the ball for many yards (only 3.3 YPR in the postseason) they have sticked with it and this has helped the passing game. It's no secret Warner has been very good this year averaging 7.7 YPPA during the regular season and an astounding 8.4 YPPA this postseason. Pittsburgh defense is strong allowing only 3.3 YPR during the regular season (2.4 this postseason) and 5.4 YPPA. But, I think their secondary can be exposed. Pittsburgh offense is not impressive. Their running game is weak averaging only 3.7 YPR (29th during the regular season) and a 3.1 YPR this postseason. Big Ben also doesn't scare me. He is actually better outside of the pocket. I think Whisenhunt knows Ben in and out since he coached him in the past and will bring various packages to get pressure and not let him out of the pocket. Ben only averaged 7.1 YPPA during the regular season (20th in NFL). Ward is banged up and I think this will hurt the Steelers offense. Arizona's run D is very good allowing 4 YPR in the regular and postseason (11th during the regular season). Against the pass they allow 7.2 YPPA, which is average, but as I said Ben does not concern me. I think that Arizona has a good shot at winning this game outright so I am taking the money line at +250 for 0.2 units.
1*: .66-.75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit (6% of bankroll)
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Arizona +7.5 over Pitt (-120,bought half)-probable upgrade
The big game is here and I think the Cards get it done!!! The key to this game is Kurt Warner. If his line could give him time he will dominate the game. The way I saw the O line handle the Panthers and the Eagles the last couple of weeks I think they will be able to protect him. Warner is one of the smartest QB's in the league and he can recognize the blitz. When the Eagle came after him he was able to throw quit slants and keep moving the chain. Though Arizona has not run the ball for many yards (only 3.3 YPR in the postseason) they have sticked with it and this has helped the passing game. It's no secret Warner has been very good this year averaging 7.7 YPPA during the regular season and an astounding 8.4 YPPA this postseason. Pittsburgh defense is strong allowing only 3.3 YPR during the regular season (2.4 this postseason) and 5.4 YPPA. But, I think their secondary can be exposed. Pittsburgh offense is not impressive. Their running game is weak averaging only 3.7 YPR (29th during the regular season) and a 3.1 YPR this postseason. Big Ben also doesn't scare me. He is actually better outside of the pocket. I think Whisenhunt knows Ben in and out since he coached him in the past and will bring various packages to get pressure and not let him out of the pocket. Ben only averaged 7.1 YPPA during the regular season (20th in NFL). Ward is banged up and I think this will hurt the Steelers offense. Arizona's run D is very good allowing 4 YPR in the regular and postseason (11th during the regular season). Against the pass they allow 7.2 YPPA, which is average, but as I said Ben does not concern me. I think that Arizona has a good shot at winning this game outright so I am taking the money line at +250 for 0.2 units.
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