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Monday's Baskets With A Biggie On A Total

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  • Monday's Baskets With A Biggie On A Total

    Decent day yesterday going 2-1 NFL, 3-0 CBB but dropping the only hockey play for a solid 5-2 day.

    Records finally updated.

    Really like the card tonight and it starts with a biggie.

    NBA

    701/702 Milwaukee/Washington Over 191 (-120) 5 Units
    I always buy the hook in a situation like this, hence the -120. Last 4 in this series have gone over and easily to boot. Both teams allow close to 100 ppg and score more than 90 which says to me this should be an offensive game yet the total is set at 191. They played a couple months ago and the total was set at 188 and both teams scored over 100. Vegas has adjusted the line upwards, but not enough in my opinion and I like this game to soar over the total. But creeping over it will work too.

    705 OKC +7 (-120) 4 Units
    NJ is a disaster at home at 4 games below .500 both SU and ATS. OKC, as bad as there record is, is a solid betting proposition (as GG has pointed out recently) as they are 6-32
    SU but 9 games above .500 ATS and even more impressively 8 games above on the road covering 13 of 18 road games and 22 of 32 as a dog. NJ on the other hand is 5 games above .500 on the season ATS, yet 4 games BELOW at home and 3 below as a favorite. So, NJ is solid road propositon, like OKC. But this game is in NJ and I am going with OKC to stay within the number.

    711/712 Indiana/Utah Over 220 2 Units
    8 of last 10 Indiana games have gone over the total. Of the two that didnt, 223 points were scored in one of them against a 223.5 total and in the other they played the Knicks, one of the most confusing teams in the league this season, IMO. Utah has gone over in 5 of 6 themselves. Indiana has played 12 overs in 14 non conference games and 17 overs in 26 games as an underdog. The over cashes over 70% in games involving Utah and Indiana in which the total is set a 210+. Its on the high side but I like the trends telling me to go over the total.


    NCAA

    106 C of C -14 2 Units
    Big spread but not big enough for Samford.

    108 The Citadel +3 2 Units
    Wrong team is favored here.

    111 Ten Mart -10 2 Units
    When SEMS loses, which is often, it is almost always by double digits.

    Lean towards AP State also but the reason it isnt a play is because Davidson is 6-0 ATS vs them over the last 3 seasons. I hate to bet against streaks like that so I am not going to but that number seems a bit high for me.

    No hockey tonight. Short card and I suck at it lately.

    Good luck everyone.
    "The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it." George Bernard Shaw

  • #2
    best o luck!
    Nothing is as far away as one minute ago.

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    • #3
      Good luck tonight
      jt4545


      Fat Tuesday's - Home

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      • #4
        Good Luck Rocks

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        • #5
          Good luck buddy! Solid write ups as usual

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          • #6
            BOL tonite Rocks nice job yesterday.
            Records listed in members records forum.

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            • #7
              GL on the action tonite Rocks

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              • #8
                Late Additions

                Going with my gut in the Davidson/Apple State game.

                My gut tells me to take Apple plus the points. On paper though, Davidson has covered the last 6 in this series at Apple and I hate betting against trends like that. But I am going with the school of thought that a couple of those ATS wins could have gone either way and this is the first time they are favored by double digits in that span. And oddly enough, App State can play them tough as they have covered the last two at Davidson, beating them SU one of those times. So I am going to take the "lean" tag off and go

                722 Appalachian State +12 2 Units

                Also, a college total. Only my 2nd college total on the season. Lost the first one.

                715/716 Texas/Oklahoma Under 138 2 Units
                No writeup. Just like it.


                Good luck everyone!
                "The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it." George Bernard Shaw

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                • #9
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