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  • Feedback please

    Guy's I hear TEASERS are losers. I have not done any research but it seems as though that is an old wives tale. Anyway, to my point-this is the bet I am considering and want all of your thoughts and comments on this potential bet.

    PHILLY/GIANTS OVER 30
    BALTIMORE +13
    CHARGERS +16[/COLOR][/SIZE]


  • #2
    Looks good to me

    Comment


    • #3
      marc, teasers have a large house edge (from 9-40%). It sounds crazy, but usually you don't need the extra points. The team will cover without them. So if you bet them straight up and split you only lose juice. But, if you tease you lose your bet. That being said, if you pass over the key numbers in the NFL (3 and 7) they can be valuable. I usually do it a couple times a year, especially in the playoffs when games are limited.
      Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
      Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

      2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

      2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

      2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
      +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

      2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
      +3.4 units

      2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
      +15.1 units

      2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
      +16.3 units

      2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
      +16.8 Units

      2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
      +14.7 Units

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by roccodean View Post
        marc, teasers have a large house edge (from 9-40%). It sounds crazy, but usually you don't need the extra points. The team will cover without them. So if you bet them straight up and split you only lose juice. But, if you tease you lose your bet. That being said, if you pass over the key numbers in the NFL (3 and 7) they can be valuable. I usually do it a couple times a year, especially in the playoffs when games are limited.
        That is the kind of feedback Im lookin for.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by roccodean View Post
          marc, teasers have a large house edge (from 9-40%). It sounds crazy, but usually you don't need the extra points. The team will cover without them. So if you bet them straight up and split you only lose juice. But, if you tease you lose your bet. That being said, if you pass over the key numbers in the NFL (3 and 7) they can be valuable. I usually do it a couple times a year, especially in the playoffs when games are limited.
          House edge is greater on parlays. I still say the teaser he posted is a winner.

          Comment


          • #6
            Teasers are great ... no matter what others think. I've done VERY WELL with them this year.

            Comment


            • #7
              yes, parlays have a bigger house edge (2 team parlay about 10% up to 18% for a 5 teamer). Wayne, would you agree that you would win regardless of the tease in many cases?
              Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
              Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

              2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

              2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

              2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
              +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

              2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
              +3.4 units

              2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
              +15.1 units

              2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
              +16.3 units

              2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
              +16.8 Units

              2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
              +14.7 Units

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by roccodean View Post
                yes, parlays have a bigger house edge (2 team parlay about 10% up to 18% for a 5 teamer). Wayne, would you agree that you would win regardless of the tease in many cases?
                Where are you getting these % from? Parlays have to be way higher hold for the book than that.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Teasers are great. I've had a great football season with them. In fact, I tail nearly all of Kap's football teasers and he's had a monster year. Go check out his record in his thread if you haven't already.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by roccodean View Post
                    yes, parlays have a bigger house edge (2 team parlay about 10% up to 18% for a 5 teamer). Wayne, would you agree that you would win regardless of the tease in many cases?
                    No, i have won many teasers that would have lost straight. That's why i play them. Last weekend alone i won teasers in the NFL that would have lost on straight wagers.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      i would think so also huge for books
                      rjeremy for my accounts manager/i love how he keeps numbers

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        rocco, Teasers are the ONLY bet i know of in which sometimes you can't lose no matter what. Can you name another wager that wins no matter which side or total you play? I can't.

                        Last weekend with Arizona and Atlanta. No matter which side you teased and which total you teased, you simply couldn't lose. Arizona and the under hit, arizona and over hit, Atl and under hit and Atl and over hit.

                        This happened this year on some sunday and monday night games too when no other games were being played. ALL the people in those games that hammered a teaser with either team and total won. Think about that. EVERY Teaser placed on those games was a winner. The books get absolutely KILLED when that happens and i can't think of any other wager where it is possible for Vegas to lose EVERY ticket placed on the game.

                        I've read many stories that said Vegas hates teasers, especially on days when there is one or two games because if they are near the spread and total, Vegas takes it up the ass bigtime.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          heres a chart for house edge on parlays

                          Parlay Bet House Edge
                          Pick Pays House Edge
                          2 2.5 12.5%
                          2 2.6 10%
                          2 2.7 7.5%
                          2 2.8 5%
                          2 2.9 2.5%
                          3 5 25%
                          3 6 12.5%
                          4 10 31.25%
                          4 11 25%
                          4 12 18.75%
                          4 13 12.5%
                          4 14 6.25%
                          5 25 18.75%
                          5 30 3.13%
                          6 30 51.56%
                          6 35 43.75%
                          6 40 35.94%
                          6 45 28.13%
                          6 50 20.31%
                          6 55 12.5%
                          6 60 4.69%
                          20 200000 80.93%
                          Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                          Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                          2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                          2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                          2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                          +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                          2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                          +3.4 units

                          2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                          +15.1 units

                          2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                          +16.3 units

                          2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                          +16.8 Units

                          2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                          +14.7 Units

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            true wayne, but i think in the long run if you take your games separate you would end up winning more.
                            Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                            Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                            2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                            2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                            2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                            +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                            2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                            +3.4 units

                            2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                            +15.1 units

                            2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                            +16.3 units

                            2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                            +16.8 Units

                            2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                            +14.7 Units

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by roccodean View Post
                              heres a chart for house edge on parlays

                              Parlay Bet House Edge
                              Pick Pays House Edge
                              2 2.5 12.5%
                              2 2.6 10%
                              2 2.7 7.5%
                              2 2.8 5%
                              2 2.9 2.5%
                              3 5 25%
                              3 6 12.5%
                              4 10 31.25%
                              4 11 25%
                              4 12 18.75%
                              4 13 12.5%
                              4 14 6.25%
                              5 25 18.75%
                              5 30 3.13%
                              6 30 51.56%
                              6 35 43.75%
                              6 40 35.94%
                              6 45 28.13%
                              6 50 20.31%
                              6 55 12.5%
                              6 60 4.69%
                              20 200000 80.93%
                              Have a poster on my other site whose parlay record is below:
                              Parlays
                              118-933 +70.40

                              Comment

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