Originally posted by jmarty6969
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Coverboy, GGreek and others
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I wouldn't bet it huge, only because Tarvaris Jackson is, shall we say, the "EQUALIZER." I respect those that are on the Vikings today, and I agree that they are a good bet at +3.....
But Tarvaris Jackson does not handle pressure very well. He can't throw a deep ball unless it's a quick drop and just hang it up down the sideline and hope and pray the defense didn't blitz AND there's no safety on the side he throws it. So that narrows things for him. He can't see further than 7 yards down field, so he dumps it off to the slow, fat, white TE or the slow, fat, white FB for a 1 yard gain too often. I say this because Philly's defense will be aware of this. Sure, every once in a while he'll roll and throw to Shiancoe, but he usually doesn't do too much either. Notice how I am not mentioning any WRs. They catch, on average, about 1.5 balls apiece when T Jax QBs.
With all that said, I still think that man for man, and at home with the points, and with a trend as powerful as CoverBoy unearthed, it's still a good bet. Just don't go crazy.Please don't question my record or I will leave!!!!
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Originally posted by bcmoats View Postthose of you who all played minny+3 today........
I love minny today as well.
Actually i love'em so much i wanna do something crazy.
I seriously want everybody's opinion on this.
I have this private stash of cash that no one knows about.
I've saved it over the years and vowed to use it once in any wager i want or a wager that i feel is gods gift to all gamblers.
In my eyes, minny +3 is gods gift to all gamblers.
One question for all..........
Do i unload this private stash now on minny?
Are you all as confident as me?
Please answer respectfully as this will be a life changing moment for me if minny ****** the 3
hellzzz no !!!!
Unless u are a millionaire ..then go for it
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The Eagles Blitz more than any other team in the NFC and the Vikings have the worst QB Rating in the NFL against the blitz. Tarvaris Jackson is a QB i couldn't use in my "Biggest Bet Ever" category. This defense (IMO) will fuck with him all day long and force him into mistakes. Samuel locks up Berrian and Philly will run blitz all day. I'm even worried about Peterson cause Philly is 4th in the NFL giving up less than 100 yards rushing per game. If they can't run and they need Jackson to win it with his arm, Good Luck with that against this 3rd ranked pass defense.
I know the public/sharps are on Minny but they lose sometimes too. One of the Williams boys is doubtful leaving the middle open, Minny has been horrible ats at home (3-7) L10 and Philly is (6-2) Ats last 8 vs NFC and (10-4) Ats in their last 14 road games. This was borderline GOY material for me but i backed off that a tiny bit. Can you win with Minny? Sure, you never know but i REALLY like the Eagles today.
GL with whatever you do.
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every one on here has given you good advice. I hope you listen. i have been gambling for 30 years and it is NEVER good to do what you are thinking. It leads to chasing and believe me I've "been there, done that"
Be smart and bet smart and enjoy the day. Always live to see another day.
Just me and my goats opinion !!!jc Wishes He Can Get A Goat
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There are too many factors to unload on one game. Turnovers are 75% unpredictable and the team that wins turnovers win the game 90% of the time. Even your best pick only has 65-70% chance to cover. I would wager only 25% of your roll if you really love it.Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks
2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units
2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)
2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
+9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)
2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
+3.4 units
2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
+15.1 units
2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
+16.3 units
2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
+16.8 Units
2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
+14.7 Units
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never ever never ever never ever bet your entire bankroll on one game. The absolute most I would put on it would be 50% but the safer bet is 25%. Win great, lose and you still have 3/4 (minus juice) of your bankroll for that next bet of a lifetime
Good luck Homer
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