Tweet
ANSWER:
A road favorite has covered a wild card round game.
I don't like to give out my technical info but this one isn't a big secret and is the reason for radical line movement in the Arizona and San Diego games.
Road faves are very uncommon in the wildcard round: only 11 of the last 90 games (pick 'em games are not included).
In those nine games, the home dog is 9-2 ATS.
I'm not playing either of Saturday's games as Norv Turner is the most unreliable coach to play in the league and Arizona was lousy down the stretch. In both cases, the line has moved three points to the home team and both games now have the home team favored or at pick.
This means the above system DOES NOT apply to either Saturday game.
Both Sunday games still have three point road favorites.
A road favorite has covered a wild card round game.
I don't like to give out my technical info but this one isn't a big secret and is the reason for radical line movement in the Arizona and San Diego games.
Road faves are very uncommon in the wildcard round: only 11 of the last 90 games (pick 'em games are not included).
In those nine games, the home dog is 9-2 ATS.
I'm not playing either of Saturday's games as Norv Turner is the most unreliable coach to play in the league and Arizona was lousy down the stretch. In both cases, the line has moved three points to the home team and both games now have the home team favored or at pick.
This means the above system DOES NOT apply to either Saturday game.
Both Sunday games still have three point road favorites.