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NFL Week 17 Trends and Indexes 12/28

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  • NFL Week 17 Trends and Indexes 12/28





    NFL
    Long Sheet



    Week 17


    Sunday, December 28


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (4 - 11) at TAMPA BAY (9 - 6) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (0 - 15) at GREEN BAY (5 - 10) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GREEN BAY is 5-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    GREEN BAY is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (9 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 6 - 1) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 125-88 ATS (+28.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 48-26 ATS (+19.4 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
    PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (12 - 3) at MINNESOTA (9 - 6) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY GIANTS are 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
    NY GIANTS are 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
    NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    NY GIANTS are 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in dome games since 1992.
    NY GIANTS are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NY GIANTS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (9 - 6) at HOUSTON (7 - 8) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CAROLINA (11 - 4) at NEW ORLEANS (8 - 7) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games in December games since 1992.
    NEW ORLEANS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (2 - 13) at ATLANTA (10 - 5) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
    ST LOUIS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (2 - 13) at CINCINNATI (3 - 11 - 1) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    JACKSONVILLE (5 - 10) at BALTIMORE (10 - 5) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    JACKSONVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
    JACKSONVILLE is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    JACKSONVILLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
    BALTIMORE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TENNESSEE (13 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 4) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
    TENNESSEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
    TENNESSEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    TENNESSEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    TENNESSEE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
    TENNESSEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    TENNESSEE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    TENNESSEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TENNESSEE is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    TENNESSEE is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (4 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (11 - 4) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (10 - 5) at NY JETS (9 - 6) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 49-72 ATS (-30.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    MIAMI is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in December games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 4-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    NY JETS is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ENGLAND (10 - 5) at BUFFALO (7 - 8) - 12/28/2008, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in December games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (4 - 11) at ARIZONA (8 - 7) - 12/28/2008, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
    SEATTLE is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in December games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 3-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 3-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    WASHINGTON (8 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 9) - 12/28/2008, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (8 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (7 - 8) - 12/28/2008, 8:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    DENVER is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    DENVER is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    DENVER is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    DENVER is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    SAN DIEGO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN DIEGO is 5-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN DIEGO is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    NFL
    Short Sheet



    Week 17


    Sunday, December 28th

    Oakland at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
    Oakland: 0-7 ATS vs. NFC
    Tampa Bay: 18-6 Under off DD home loss

    Detroit at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
    Detroit: 19-8 Over off BB losses
    Green Bay: 5-0 ATS vs. Detroit

    (TC) Dallas at Philadelphia, 4:15 ET
    Dallas: 8-0 ATS if the line is +3 to -3
    Philadelphia: 14-5 Under as home favorite

    NY Giants at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
    NY Giants: 5-1 ATS off home win
    Minnesota: 18-35 ATS off SU loss as favorite

    Chicago at Houston, 4:15 ET
    Chicago: n/a
    Houston: 6-1 Over off SU loss

    Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
    Carolina: 8-2 Over after allowing 450+ total yards
    New Orleans: 6-0 ATS off road game

    St. Louis at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
    St. Louis: 9-2 Over at Atlanta
    Atlanta: 0-7 ATS off BB SU wins

    Kansas City at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
    Kansas City: 9-2 ATS Away vs. conference
    Cincinnati: 2-9 ATS vs. conference

    (TC) Jacksonville at Baltimore, 4:15 ET
    Jacksonville: 4-11 ATS this season
    Baltimore: 11-4 ATS this season

    Tennessee at Indianapolis, 8:15 ET
    Tennessee: 4-0 ATS in dome games
    Indianapolis: 10-23 ATS last 2 weeks of the regular season

    Cleveland at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
    Cleveland: 1-8 ATS off DD loss as favorite
    Pittsburgh: 8-3 Over vs. conference

    (TC) Miami at NY Jets, 4:15 ET
    Miami: 49-72 ATS vs. division
    NY Jets: 9-2 Over after scoring 14 points or less

    New England at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
    New England: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
    Buffalo: 5-1 Over off SU win as road underdog

    Seattle at Arizona, 4:15 ET
    Seattle: 0-6 ATS Away off DD home win
    Arizona: 6-0 ATS at home off TO margin of -2 or worse

    Washington at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
    Washington: 10-0-1 Under L11 games
    San Francisco: 7-16 ATS vs. NFC

    Denver at San Diego, 8:15 ET NBC
    Denver: 3-14 ATS vs. division
    San Diego: 9-2 ATS off BB SU wins

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    Comment


    • #3
      NFL


      Week 17


      Sunday, December 28


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Sheet
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      1:00 PM CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
      Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
      New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
      New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina


      1:00 PM CHICAGO vs. HOUSTON
      Chicago is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Chicago is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
      Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
      Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


      1:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. PITTSBURGH
      Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Cleveland is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
      Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


      1:00 PM DETROIT vs. GREEN BAY
      Detroit is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
      Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit


      1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. CINCINNATI
      Kansas City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
      Cincinnati is 3-11-1 SU in its last 15 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games


      1:00 PM NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
      New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
      New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
      Buffalo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
      Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home


      1:00 PM NY GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA
      NY Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
      Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


      1:00 PM OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
      Oakland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
      Oakland is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
      Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland


      1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
      St. Louis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
      St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
      Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games


      1:00 PM TENNESSEE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
      Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
      Tennessee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Indianapolis
      Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home


      28, 4:15 PM DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
      Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Dallas is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
      Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
      Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas


      4:15 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. BALTIMORE
      Jacksonville is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
      Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
      Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
      The total has gone OVER in 12 of Baltimore's last 17 games when playing Jacksonville


      4:15 PM MIAMI vs. NY JETS
      Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      NY Jets are 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Miami
      NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Miami


      4:15 PM SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
      Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Seattle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
      Arizona is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Seattle


      4:15 PM WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
      Washington is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
      Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
      San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
      San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


      8:15 PM DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
      Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
      Denver is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Diego
      San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
      The total has gone UNDER in 16 of San Diego's last 24 games when playing at home against Denver


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        National Football League – Write up

        NFL
        Write-up

        Week 17 games

        Sunday, December 28

        Raiders (4-11) @ Buccaneers (9-6)-- Bucs need win, then need Eagles to beat Dallas to make playoffs; they've lost last three games, allowing 31 ppg (nine TDs on 32 drives)- they're 6-1 at home, 4-3 as home favorite, after losing to Chargers last week. Kiffin's leaving for Tennessee cannot be helping Buc defense. Oakland is 4-3 as road dog, losing away games by 1-31-19-2-27 points. NFC South home favorites are 9-6 vs spread; AFC West road dogs are 9-7. Under is 10-1 in last 11 Oakland games. Bucs' only Super Bowl win came against Raiders, Gruden's former team.

        Lions (0-15) @ Packers (5-10)-- Detroit will be the first-ever 0-16 NFL team if they lose to Packer team that lost in OT at Chicago late Monday night, their fifth loss in row. Packers beat Detroit 48-25 in Week 2 (-3), blowing 21-3 halftime lead, then scoring last 24 points of game. Detroit covered its last five road games, losing by 2-7-4-9-10 points. Lions gave up 31+ points in six of last seven games- they've scored only six TDs on their last 52 drives in last six games. Six of last eight Detroit games went over the total. NFC North favorites are 7-4 vs spread, 4-3 at home.

        Cowboys (9-6) @ Eagles (8-6-1)-- Philly is eliminated if Tampa beat the Raiders in 1:00 game, but hatred level for Dallas is high enough that they will still give top effort here. Cowboys won first meeting 41-37 in Week 2 (-6.5), as Romo averaged 10.4 yds/pass attempt, but this is December and Dallas is once again struggling, losing two of last three games- they're 1-4 in last five road games, losing to Cards, Rams, Steelers, Giants and beating Redskins 14-10. Philly had three-game win streak snapped last week by Redskins- they're 5-2 at home, winning by 35-9-13-28-20 pts.

        Giants (12-3) @ Vikings (9-6)-- Big Blue clinched home field thru NFC playoffs last week with dramatic OT win, ending two-game skid. Vikes need win to clinch NFC North title after fumbling seven times in 24-17 home loss to Falcons. No way will Giants have same intensity as last week, when they ran ball for 301 yards in dramatic setting-- key point is going to be how long Coughlin plays key starters (especially Jacobs, the key to their ground game). Minnesota won five of its last six at home. NFC North home favorites are 5-6 vs spread out of division; NFC East road underdogs are 0-3.

        Bears (9-6) @ Texans (7-8)-- Chicago needs win and Minnesota loss to win NFC North; Bears won last three games, but lost three of last four on road, with only win at lowly St Louis. Chicago failed to cover its last three tries as an underdog. Houston had won four in row before bad loss in Oakland last week; they won five of last six at home after they blew home opener to Colts. Last five Houston games stayed under the total, as did five of last seven Chicago games. NFC North road underdogs are 10-5 vs spread out of the division; AFC South home favorites are 5-12.

        Panthers (10-5) @ Saints (8-7)-- Carolina needs win to clinch its divsion and get first-round bye; Saints are trying for winning season, and to get Brees 5,000-yard passing season. Panthers crushed New Orleans 30-7 in first meeting (-3), outscoring Saints 17-0 in second half. This is the first NFC South divisional game this year where road team is favored- New Orleans is 5-1 in Superdome, losing only to Vikings- their home wins are by 4-14-31-22-4 points. Over is 6-1-1 in Saints' last eight games, 5-1 in last six Carolina games. Panthers get a week off if they win this game.

        Rams (2-13) @ Falcons (10-5)-- Atlanta wins division, gets first round bye if they win here and Saints upset Carolina; Falcons won four of last five games, but their last four games were all decided by seven points or less. Rams lost last nine games, are 2-5 as road dog this season, tanking in most games, with road losses by 35-24-44-19-24 points. Falcons are 4-2 vs spread as favorite this season. In their last five non-division tilts, Rams allowed an average of 175.6 rushing yards/game, simply pathetic. NFC West road dogs are 6-12 vs spread; NFC South home faves, 9-6.

        Chiefs (2-13) @ Bengals (3-11-1)-- Cincinnati won its last two games, giving up one TD on 21 possessions- they were favored in three of first four games this season, but lost all three SU, and haven't been favored in any game since. Chiefs lost last three games, all by seven or less points; they covered three of last four games, also covered their last four games on foreign soil, with road losses by 7-24-34-4-1-7 points. AFC North home favorites are 5-5 vs spread in its non-divisional games. AFC West road dogs are 9-7 vs spread. Last three Bengal games stayed under total.

        Jaguars (5-10) @ Ravens (10-5)-- Baltimore makes playoffs with a win here; they won four of last five games, are 4-1 as home favorite, winning at home by 7-18-19-29-14 points (lost at home to Titans and Steelers). Jaguars fired personnel guy (former NFL QB) Harris, making him prime scapegoat for dreadful season- they lost seven of last nine games, are 2-2 as road dog- only three of their ten losses are by more than ten points. AFC North home favorites are 5-5 vs spread outside its division; AFC South road dogs are 6-3. Six of Ravens' seven road games stayed under.

        Titans (13-2) @ Colts (11-4)-- Indy won its last eight games, but with playoff game at AFC West champ next week, Dungy is likely to sit out many starters, maybe even Manning, which would explain Titans being road favorite here. Tennessee clinched home field through playoffs last week, but Fisher has said he'll keep playing hard, and he has next week off to rest. Colts scored 35-31-31 points in last three games vs terrible teams (Bengals-Lions-Jaguars)- they're 2-1 as underdog this year, 5-2 at home, winning last five. Titans are 5-1 against spread as a road favorite.

        Browns (4-11) @ Steelers (11-4)-- Pittsburgh struggled last two weeks, scoring 13-14 points (three TDs/23 drives); they're 5-2 at home, winning by 21-3-1-17-7 points (3-4 as home favorite). Steelers beat Browns 10-6 in Week 2 (-6), forcing the Browns to go 3/out five times on nine drives. Browns have three QBs hurt, so newly-acquired Gradkowski could get a start, or they could use Cribbs at QB and run Wildcat. Cleveland lost its last five games, seven of last eight; they're 4-3 as road dog, losing away games by 18-3-19-20 pts. Overall, they covered two of last eight games.

        Dolphins (10-5) @ Jets (9-6)-- Miami clinches AFC East with win; they won four in row, eight of last nine games, winning 38-31 in coldest game in franchise history at Kansas City last week. Pennington is returning to Swamp to face his old former team that beat Miami 20-14 (+3) in season opener. Jets lost three of last four games; vultures are out, call for head of Mangini if Jets lose here. Gang Green makes playoffs if they win and either Ravens/Patriots lose- good luck. AFC East home favorites are 1-7 against the spread. Seven of last nine Miami games stayed under total.

        Patriots (10-5) @ Bills (7-8)-- New England needs win, lot of help to get in playoffs; they won last three games, scoring average of 40 ppg (they scored 13 TDs on last 31 drives). Pats beat Buffalo 20-10 (-3.5) in first meeting, outrushing Bills 144-60, converting 11-18 on third down, and voercoming 9-yard deficit in starting field position. Bills lost seven of last nine games- they lost last three games in Buffalo, by 9-2-7 points. Underdogs are 8-2 vs spread in AFC East games, 1-1 at home. Last six New England games all went over the total. Patriots ran ball for 277-183 yards in their last two games, drubbing Raiders, Cardinals.

        Seahawks (4-11) @ Cardinals (8-7)-- Arizona has first home playoff tilt in desert next week, but they've lost four of last five games, and lost big in last two, trailing 28-0/31-0 at half, so they need sharp effort to ready for next week's game, against either Carolina/Atlanta. Seattle won its last two games- they lost 26-20 at home in first meeting vs Arizona, a game Redbirds outgained Seattle 458-196. Four of Seattle's last five losses are by six points or less- they're 3-3 as road dog, with road losses by 24-38- 10-2-25 points (won at 49ers, Rams). Over is 9-3 in last 12 Card games.

        Redskins (8-7) @ 49ers (6-9)-- Niners are 4-3 under Singletary, but lets face it; they trailed Rams 16-3 with 5:00 left last week, before St Louis snatched defeat from jaws of victory; one thing for sure, 49er defense is much better lately, allowing average of 11.8 ppg in last four games (five TDs allowed on opponents' last 40 drives). Washington lost five of last seven games, snapping its three-game skid by upsetting Philly last week. Redskins are 4-3 on road, losing 24-10/20-13 on last couple road trips. Under is 10-0-1 in Washington's last 11 games, 3-1 in 49ers' last four.

        Broncos (8-7) @ Chargers (7-8)-- Winner here gets AFC West title, as Denver lost last two games, are 5-7 since 3-0 start- they gave up 30-30 points to Panthers/Bills last two games- they've lost field position battle in seven of last nine games. Chargers won last three games to rise from dead, scoring 34-22-41 points (10 TDs on last 34 drives). First meeting was the game when Denver got inadvertant whistle that kept clinching sack/fumble from counting, allowing Broncos to escape with 39-38 win. Rivers averaged 11.7 yards/pass attempt in first meeting, as they rallied from 31-17 halftime deficit to take lead, before Broncos won it late.

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        • #5
          NFL
          Dunkel



          New England at Buffalo
          The must-win situation for New England, the Patriots will look to build on their 5-2 ATS record on the road this season and take advantage of Buffalo's 2-4 ATS record at home. New England is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

          SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28

          Game 301-302: Oakland at Tampa Bay
          Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 119.616; Tampa Bay 135.929
          Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 16 1/2; 35
          Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 13; 39
          Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-13); Under

          Game 303-304: Detroit at Green Bay
          Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.925; Green Bay 130.667
          Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7; 45 1/2
          Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 43
          Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+9 1/2); Over

          Game 305-306: Dallas at Philadelphia
          Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 139.263; Philadelphia 139.443
          Dunkel Line: Even; 45
          Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 42 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+1 1/2); Over

          Game 307-308: NY Giants at Minnesota
          Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 135.733; Minnesota 143.940
          Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 8; 40
          Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 42
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under

          Game 309-310: Chicago at Houston
          Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 132.906; Houston 133.803
          Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 50
          Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 47
          Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2 1/2); Over

          Game 311-312: Carolina at New Orleans
          Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 138.315; New Orleans 139.087
          Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 1; 56
          Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 53
          Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+3); Over

          Game 313-314; St. Louis at Atlanta
          Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 120.586; Atlanta 134.011
          Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 13 1/2; 47
          Vegas Line: Atlanta by 14 1/2; 44
          Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+14 1/2); Over

          Game 315-316: Kansas City at Cincinnati
          Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 124.337; Cincinnati 129.417
          Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 32
          Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 38
          Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3); Under

          Game 317-318: Jacksonville at Baltimore
          Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 128.039; Baltimore 144.405
          Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 16 1/2; 32
          Vegas Line: Baltimore by 12 1/2; 35 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-12 1/2); Under

          Game 319-320: Tennessee at Indianapolis
          Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 144.096; Indianapolis 139.395
          Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 5; 35
          Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 38
          Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under

          Game 321-322: Cleveland at Pittsburgh
          Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.089; Pittsburgh 135.300
          Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 30
          Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 32
          Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+10 1/2); Under

          Game 323-324: Miami at NY Jets
          Dunkel Ratings: Miami 129.352; NY Jets 135.269
          Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 6; 47
          Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2 1/2; 42
          Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-2 1/2); Over

          Game 325-326: New England at Buffalo
          Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.860; Buffalo 128.451
          Dunkel Line: New England by 9 1/2; 39
          Vegas Line: New England by 6 1/2; 42 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: New England (-6 1/2); Under

          Game 327-328: Seattle at Arizona
          Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 126.299; Arizona 128.212
          Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 37
          Vegas Line: Arizona by 6; 45 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6); Under

          Game 329-330: Washington at San Francisco
          Dunkel Ratings: Washington 130.475; San Francisco 130.467
          Dunkel Line: Even; 41
          Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 37
          Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

          Game 331-332: Denver at San Diego
          Dunkel Ratings: Denver 132.115; San Diego 136.771
          Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4 1/2; 53
          Vegas Line: San Diego by 8 1/2; 50
          Dunkel Pick: Denver (+8 1/2); Over

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          • #6
            National Football League - Tips & Trends

            NFL


            Sunday, December 28

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            Tips and Trends
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            Sunday, December 28

            Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

            Cowboys: Dallas has lost five straight December games to Philadelphia and simply needs a win here to get into the playoffs. The Cowboys have faced the NFL's top two defenses the last couple weeks and now have to play the league's third-ranked unit. “It’s all just part of a full season,” Dallas QB Tony Romo said. “We’ve got to find a way to grind it out and get into the tournament. If you get in, you have a chance. It’s a matter of doing the things it takes to get you in position.”

            Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 December games.
            Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC East.

            Key Injuries - RB Marion Barber (toe) is questionable.
            S Ken Hamlin (foot) is questionable.
            TE Jason Witten (ankle) is questionable.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 23 (Side Play of the Day)

            Eagles (-1.5, O/U 43): Philadelphia's fate could be decided before the team takes the field, as losses by Tampa Bay and Chicago or Minnesota could leave a spot in the postseason open. Regardless, the Eagles would love nothing more than to knock out the Cowboys in the regular-season finale, which could also be QB Donovan McNabb's last game in Philly. “You can’t worry about all the different things that you can’t control,” Eagles head coach Andy Reid said. “You just have to go play, that’s the important thing.”

            Favorite is 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
            The UNDER is 6-2-1 in Philadelphia's last 9 home games.

            Key Injuries - WR Hank Baskett (knee) is questionable.
            WR Kevin Curtis (calf) is questionable.
            DE Victor Abiamiri (foot) is doubtful.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 20



            Miami Dolphins at New York Jets [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

            Dolphins: Former Jets QB Chad Pennington will get the opportunity to stick it to his old team in the regular-season finale and get Miami into the playoffs as AFC East champs. The Dolphins simply need to win this game at the Meadowlands to complete an unbelievable turnaround from 1-15 a year ago. “This is the only way fate would have it, right?” Pennington said. “I just don’t think it would happen any other way. There wouldn’t be any other scenario. This is how sports works.”

            Dolphins are 7-21-2 ATS in their last 30 games vs. AFC East.
            The OVER is 8-0 in Miami's last 8 Week 17 games.

            Key Injuries - CB Will Allen (groin) is questionable.
            LB Channing Crowder (knee) is probable.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 27 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

            Jets (-3, O/U 42): Future Hall of Fame QB Brett Favre was brought to New York to get this team into the playoffs, and he will need some help to make that happen. The Jets need to win this game and have the Patriots lose at Buffalo in order to make it to the postseason following a loss at Seattle last week. “I’m disappointed, as everyone else in this building is disappointed,” Favre said. “The opportunities that were presented to us, we couldn’t have asked for a better opportunity. I’m disappointed because we didn’t capitalize on that, as our fans are, as everyone else is.”

            Jets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Week 17 games.
            The OVER is 6-2-1 in New York's last 9 games overall.

            Key Injuries - DE Bryan Thomas (shoulder) is questionable.
            OT Wayne Hunter (shoulder) is questionable.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 28



            Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

            Broncos: Denver is in a very tough position after looking like it would easily win the AFC West. Now the Broncos have to go on the road against one of the preseason favorite to win the Super Bowl with the division title on the line. “Unfortunately we’re not going to be able to go up there and take it easy,” Denver WR Brandon Marshall said. “We’re going to have to go up there in their back yard and prove to them that we’re better than them. They’re a good team, they’re playing better now, and they’ve got all the momentum.”

            Broncos are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. AFC West.
            The OVER is 9-3 in Denver's last 12 games vs. AFC West.

            Key Injuries - LB Spencer Larsen (groin) is questionable.
            CB Marlon McCree (ankle) is questionable.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 21

            Chargers (-8, O/U 50.5): San Diego will get the opportunity to avenge a 39-38 loss at Denver in Week 2 that featured a blown call by referee Ed Hochuli and make the playoffs at home. The Chargers have outscored the Broncos 71-23 in the last two home meetings. “We were 4-8 - we could have shut it down,” San Diego TE Antonio Gates said. “Honestly, you know, we could have said, ‘You know what, Denver ain’t going to lose three in a row.’ We could have taken that mind-set. But it was more about the San Diego Chargers and what we were trying to accomplish. Eventually that gave us a chance to sit here and play.”

            Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 December games.
            The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

            Key Injuries - LB Anthony Waters (hamstring) is questionable.
            WR Malcom Floyd (abdominal) is doubtful.

            PROJECTED SCORE: 30

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