Tweet
NFL YTD 22-26 -9.55 units
2* 3-5 -5.2 units
1* 19-21 -4.35 units
I was 2-2 yesterday, winning with the Seahawks and Titans and losing with the Bucs and Chiefs. Tonight's play is my strongest so far of the NFL season, a season that needs a massive turnaround.
3* Bears -3 (-130)
Weird as it seems, Green Bay has played badly in cold weather for a year and a half. The frigid conditions should help the Bears as Green Bay simply can't stop the run. The Packers are worn down by a series of close defeats and may be ready to toss in the towel. The Bears have extra motivation because of Minnesota's loss yesterday. I posted this play Sunday and made a double point buy as I strongly expect the line to go up before game time and I may try to hedge back for a middle if the line gets to -5. In a game like this, points mean a lot and I would do the buydown (although many disagree with this tactic).
CFB YTD 31-27 -0.7 units
Bowls 0-1 -0.1 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 0-1 -3.3 units
2* 8-4 +7.2 units
1* 23-21 -0.3 units
I lost my only bowl play so far on BYU.
Wednesday:
The following play was posted last week at the line I obtained at the time. It has since moved two full points but I still consider this a very strong play.
3* Notre Dame +1
This is one of the most bogus lines I've ever seen (even with the movement to ND being favored). Yeah, I know the Irish went only 6-6 and their offense was anemic. But the talent differential here is staggering. Hawaii hasn't beaten a decent team all year and was an also ran in an inferior conference. They're worse than Fresno, Nevada and Louisiana Tech and all of those teams are weak. Notre Dame has a lot to prove here and won't treat this game as a vacation. Charlie Weis' credibility as a coach is on the line. I think all of this points to a supreme effort by a fairly decent team against a lousy opponent that is happy just to have made a bowl and would probably be done for the year if this game wasn't played in Honolulu.
Previously posted:
1* North Carolina pk
1* Vanderbilt +4
3* Penn State +10 (my favorite play of the bowls)
1* Mississippi +5 1/2
1* UConn -4
2* Ohio State +10
2* Tulsa +3
2* 3-5 -5.2 units
1* 19-21 -4.35 units
I was 2-2 yesterday, winning with the Seahawks and Titans and losing with the Bucs and Chiefs. Tonight's play is my strongest so far of the NFL season, a season that needs a massive turnaround.
3* Bears -3 (-130)
Weird as it seems, Green Bay has played badly in cold weather for a year and a half. The frigid conditions should help the Bears as Green Bay simply can't stop the run. The Packers are worn down by a series of close defeats and may be ready to toss in the towel. The Bears have extra motivation because of Minnesota's loss yesterday. I posted this play Sunday and made a double point buy as I strongly expect the line to go up before game time and I may try to hedge back for a middle if the line gets to -5. In a game like this, points mean a lot and I would do the buydown (although many disagree with this tactic).
CFB YTD 31-27 -0.7 units
Bowls 0-1 -0.1 units
4* 0-1 -4.4 units
3* 0-1 -3.3 units
2* 8-4 +7.2 units
1* 23-21 -0.3 units
I lost my only bowl play so far on BYU.
Wednesday:
The following play was posted last week at the line I obtained at the time. It has since moved two full points but I still consider this a very strong play.
3* Notre Dame +1
This is one of the most bogus lines I've ever seen (even with the movement to ND being favored). Yeah, I know the Irish went only 6-6 and their offense was anemic. But the talent differential here is staggering. Hawaii hasn't beaten a decent team all year and was an also ran in an inferior conference. They're worse than Fresno, Nevada and Louisiana Tech and all of those teams are weak. Notre Dame has a lot to prove here and won't treat this game as a vacation. Charlie Weis' credibility as a coach is on the line. I think all of this points to a supreme effort by a fairly decent team against a lousy opponent that is happy just to have made a bowl and would probably be done for the year if this game wasn't played in Honolulu.
Previously posted:
1* North Carolina pk
1* Vanderbilt +4
3* Penn State +10 (my favorite play of the bowls)
1* Mississippi +5 1/2
1* UConn -4
2* Ohio State +10
2* Tulsa +3
Comment