NFL Week 16 Trends and Indexes 12/18 through 12/22

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 16


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Thursday, December 18

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INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 9) - 12/18/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 20

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BALTIMORE (9 - 5) at DALLAS (9 - 5) - 12/20/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 21

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PITTSBURGH (11 - 3) at TENNESSEE (12 - 2) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
TENNESSEE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TENNESSEE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (9 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 12) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
MIAMI is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (8 - 6) at NEW ENGLAND (9 - 5) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (2 - 11 - 1) at CLEVELAND (4 - 10) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 5 - 1) at WASHINGTON (7 - 7) - 12/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 125-87 ATS (+29.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 9) at ST LOUIS (2 - 12) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (9 - 5) at MINNESOTA (9 - 5) - 12/21/2008, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (7 - 7) at DETROIT (0 - 14) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (11 - 3) at NY GIANTS (11 - 3) - 12/21/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NY GIANTS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (9 - 5) at SEATTLE (3 - 11) - 12/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-38 ATS (-25.8 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (7 - 7) at OAKLAND (3 - 11) - 12/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 71-97 ATS (-35.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (6 - 8) at DENVER (8 - 6) - 12/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
DENVER is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
DENVER is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (6 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (9 - 5) - 12/21/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 22

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GREEN BAY (5 - 9) at CHICAGO (8 - 6) - 12/22/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 16


Thursday, December 18th

Indianapolis at Jacksonville, 8:15 ET NFL
Indianapolis: 14-3 ATS off BB double-digit wins
Jacksonville: 2-8 ATS vs. AFC




Saturday, December 20th

Baltimore at Dallas, 8:15 ET NFL
Baltimore: 1-5 ATS off home loss
Dallas: 18-6 Over off ATS win




Sunday, December 21st

Pittsburgh at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 9-1 Under Away off division road win
Tennessee: 16-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less

Miami at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Kansas City: 6-0 Over after being outgained by 100+ total yards

Arizona at New England, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 20-6 Over as road underdog
New England: 6-0 Over off DD road win

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 1-9 ATS vs. AFC
Cleveland: n/a

(TC) Philadelphia at Washington, 4:15 ET
Philadelphia: 10-5 ATS at Washington
Washington: 9-0-1 Under L10 games

San Francisco at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 5-1 ATS 2nd half of season
St. Louis: 2-9 ATS vs. division

(TC) Atlanta at Minnesota, 4:15 ET
Atlanta: 7-0 Under off home win
Minnesota: 16-4 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less

New Orleans at Detroit, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 6-0 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points
Detroit: 1-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Carolina at NY Giants, 8:15 ET NBC
Carolina: 10-4 Under off BB DD wins
NY Giants: 8-2 ATS vs. NFC

NY Jets at Seattle, 4:05 ET
NY Jets: 10-2 ATS Away 2nd half of season
Seattle: 16-38 ATS off division win

Houston at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Houston: 0-7 ATS Away off SU win as home dog
Oakland: 6-0 Under if the total is between 42.5 and 49

Buffalo at Denver, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 1-5 ATS off road game
Denver: 22-10 Over off ATS loss

(TC) San Diego at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 5-1 Under off BB Division games
Tampa Bay: 5-1 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points




Monday, December 22nd

Green Bay at Chicago, 8:30 ET ESPN
Green Bay: 9-1 ATS off non-conference game
Chicago: 17-4 Over as home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NFL


Week 16


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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, December 18

8:15 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis



Saturday, December 20

8:15 PM BALTIMORE vs. DALLAS
Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games



Sunday, December 21

1:00 PM ARIZONA vs. NEW ENGLAND
Arizona is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Arizona's last 19 games on the road
New England is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games


1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati


1:00 PM MIAMI vs. KANSAS CITY
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami


1:00 PM NEW ORLEANS vs. DETROIT
New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home


1:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. TENNESSEE
Pittsburgh is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home


1:00 PM SAN DIEGO vs. TAMPA BAY
San Diego is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego


1:00 PM SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco


4:05 PM BUFFALO vs. DENVER
Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


4:05 PM HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games


4:05 PM NY JETS vs. SEATTLE
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Seattle is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets


4:15 PM ATLANTA vs. MINNESOTA
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games


4:15 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:15 PM CAROLINA vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games on the road
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games
NY Giants are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games



Monday, December 22

8:30 PM GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games at home


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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Thursday, December 18

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Tips and Trends
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Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Colts (-6, O/U 44): Indy has won seven straight games following a 3-4 start and can lock up a playoff spot as the #5 seed with a victory here. “At 3-4, we knew what the problems were,” Colts head coach Tony Dungy said. “A lot of it was ourselves and our execution. That’s what we focused on, more so than pointing the finger at someone or figuring out who was to blame. A lot of that gets back to the players really listening to the coaches.”

Road team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - S Bob Sanders (knee) is questionable.
RB Joseph Addai (shoulder) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Jaguars: Jacksonville has a couple players looking to step up as starters due to injuries down the stretch. Maurice Jones-Drew scored two touchdowns in a 20-16 win over Green Bay last week filling in for RB Fred Taylor, who is out for the rest of the season due to a thumb injury. Now team captain Mike Peterson will get an opportunity to shine because LB Daryl Smith was placed on injured reserve with a groin injury on Tuesday. Peterson has been in the doghouse for several weeks following alleged "insubordination" stemming from a team meeting in early November.

Jaguars are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
The OVER is 9-3 in Jacksonville's last 12 December games.

Key Injuries - LB Daryl Smith (groin) is OUT.
WR Jerry Porter (groin) is OUT.
RB Fred Taylor (thumb) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (Side Play of the Day)

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[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel


Week 16

Indianapolis at Jacksonville
The Jaguars look to take advantage of an Indianapolis team that is just 1-4 ATS over the last three seasons as a road favorite between 3 1/2 and 7 points. Jacksonville is the underdog pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cots favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 18

Game 101-102: Indianapolis at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.131; Jacksonville 130.700
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+6 1/2); Over



SATURDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 103-104: Baltimore at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 137.805; Dallas 144.263
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 6 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Over



SUNDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 105-106: Pittsburgh at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 142.511; Tennessee 143.242
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+2 1/2); Under

Game 107-108: Miami at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.551; Kansas City 127.835
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 40
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+4); Over

Game 109-110: Arizona at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.575; New England 137.396
Dunkel Line: New England by 9; 42
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-7 1/2); Under

Game 111-112: Cincinnati at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 121.924; Cleveland 128.895
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 7; 29
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 32
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Under

Game 113-114: Philadelphia at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 135.569; Washington 132.188
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); Under

Game 115-116: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 124.976; St. Louis 120.819
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4; 47
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+5 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Atlanta at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 137.140; Minnesota 138.032
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Over

Game 119-120: New Orleans at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 129.495; Detroit 123.925
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7); Over

Game 121-122: Carolina at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 139.532; NY Giants 141.733
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 2; 32
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Under

Game 123-124: NY Jets at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 132.123; Seattle 128.613
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 5; 44
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5); Under

Game 125-126: Houston at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 132.017; Oakland 127.975
Dunkel Line: Houston by 4; 41
Vegas Line: Houston by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+7); Under

Game 127-128: Buffalo at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 128.172; Denver 132.598
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Denver by 7; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+7); Over

Game 129-130: San Diego at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 132.154; Tampa Bay 138.776
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 6 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over



MONDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 131-132: Green Bay at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 129.413; Chicago 136.605
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Chicago by 4; 41
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Under

[Udog]

NFL


THURSDAY NIGHT
BETTING TRENDS

INDIANAPOLIS
Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

JACKSONVILLE
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

[BettorsChat]

Fading Favorite:
Play against any NFL road favorite that has failed to cover in three
consecutive games.


Pointspread Record Since 1998:
35-18 (66%)


This week’s application:
Seattle Seahawks (play against New York Jets)

Too Fat and a Little Happy
: Play against any NFL team going into Game 15
leading their division by more than 2 games not coming off of 2+ wins.


Pointspread Record Since 1990:
14-5 (73.6%)


This week’s application:
New England Patriots (play against Arizona)

Home Sweet Home:
Play on any NFL home team off a Thursday straight up home
win.


Pointspread Record since 1980:
14-6-1 (70%)


This week’s application:
Chicago Bears

[Udog]

NFL

Sunday, December 21


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Tips and Trends
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans [CBS | 1 PM ET]

Steelers (-2, O/U 34): Pittsburgh will be going for its sixth straight win and can put itself within a victory of clinching home-field advantage throughout the playoffs by beating Tennessee. The Steelers guaranteed themselves a first-round bye and at least one home game in the playoffs with a 13-9 win at Baltimore last Sunday. Still, Pittsburgh realizes it will be a tough road no matter what happens. “We would love to have that No. 1 spot, and try to get the easiest path there,” Steelers WR Hines Ward said. “But in the AFC, I don’t think there is any easy way.”

Steelers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
The OVER is 10-3 in Pittsburgh's last 13 games vs. AFC.

Key Injuries - OT Marvel Smith (groin) is doubtful.
DE Brett Keisel (knee) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Titans: Tennessee will be without a couple valuable defensive players for the rest of the regular season in DT Albert Haynesworth and DE Kyle Vanden Bosch. The Titans suffered a costly 13-12 loss to Houston last week, but they have won six of seven at home against Pittsburgh. “I think we were on vacation this week, knowing we got a bye and whatever other good stuff happened for us last week,” Tennessee LB Keith Bulluck said. “But I know as a team we need to come out and play football. Pittsburgh is playing for way more than us.”

Titans are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Key Injuries - DT Albert Haynesworth (knee) is OUT.
DE Kyle Vanden Bosch (groin) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20




Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Falcons: The NFL's top two rushers will be meeting in Atlanta's Michael Turner and Minnesota's Adrian Peterson. Turner ran for 152 yards in a 13-10 overtime win against Tampa Bay last week and has rushed for a league-high 15 touchdowns, including six in the last four games. Meanwhile, Peterson had 165 yards last week in a 35-14 victory at Arizona. “It’s going to be great,” Turner said regarding his meeting with Peterson. “The top two rushers in the league going at it.”

Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. teams with a winning record.
The OVER is 11-5 in Atlanta's last 11 games vs. NFC.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Vikings (-3, O/U 43): Minnesota can clinch the NFC North with a victory or Chicago loss to Green Bay on Monday night. The Vikings are dealing with a couple key injuries to QB Gus Frerotte and NT Pat Williams, but backups Tavaris Jackson and Fred Evans will take their place. Jackson threw a career-high four touchdowns in a 35-14 win at Arizona last week. “It’s a good dynamic,” Minnesota head coach Brad Childress said. “They all push each other and they understand they all have roles and some of their roles change week to week; but they all want to improve and get better.”

Vikings are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall.
The OVER is 6-2 in Minnesota's last 8 games overall.

Key Injuries - RB Adrian Peterson (ankle) is probable.
QB Gus Frerotte (back) is OUT.
NT Pat Williams (arm) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23




Carolina Panthers at New York Giants [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Panthers: Carolina can wrestle away the top seed in the NFC from New York with a victory here, as both teams enter this key conference matchup with identical 11-3 records. “The games do get better. That’s the NFL,” Panthers QB Jake Delhomme said. “That’s part of it. That’s what you want. You live to play in these situations.” Carolina has scored at least 28 points in five straight games, going 4-1 during that stretch.

Panthers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
The OVER is 9-4 in Carolina's last 13 December games.

Key Injuries - DT Maake Kemoeatu (ankle) is questionable.
OG Keydrick Vincent (groin) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 14

Giants (-3, O/U 37.5): New York is in danger of losing three straight games for the first time since 2006 after falling at home to Philadelphia two weeks ago and then losing at Dallas last week. Still, the Giants simply need a victory here to put themselves in position to host a couple playoff games in defense of their Super Bowl championship. “My motto has always been, ‘to be the best you have to beat the best,’ and right now Carolina is probably the best team in the NFL,” New York DE Justin Tuck said. “They look that good to me. We know we have our hands full, but we feel as though when we play Giants football we can handle anybody and that is what we have to get back to doing.”

Giants are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. teams with a winning record.
The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

Key Injuries - RB Brandon Jacobs (knee) is probable.
WR Domenik Hixon (foot) is probable.
WR Plaxico Burress (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24 (Side Play of the Day)


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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 16 games

Colts (10-4) @ Jaguars (5-9)-- Seems like long time ago Indy lost 23-21 at home to Jags (Week 3); Jax had 236 rushing yards, averaged 7.6 yards per pass, were 8-14 on 3rd down and had a defensive TD, but they have lost six of last eight games, with four of last five staying under the total. Colts won last seven games, are 5-2 on road, winning by 3-4-4-3-4 pts. Indy is 3-8 against spread as a favorite this season. Jaguars are 2-1 as an underdog, but 0-4 vs spread in game following a win. AFC South home teams are 4-5 vs spread in division games.

Ravens (9-5) @ Cowboys (9-5)-- Health of Romo major concern for the hosts, who are 4-1 since their bye, allowing one TD on opponents' last 33 drives, with two takeaways in each of last four games. Dallas won its last five home games, covering last four. Ravens completed less than half their passes in three of last four games; they've won seven of last nine after tough loss vs Steelers last week. NFC East home favorites are 11-4 vs spread. AFC North road dogs are 10-7 vs spread out of its division. Baltimore covered five of its seven road games this season.

Steelers (11-3) @ Titans (12-2)-- Van den Bosch, Haynesworth, Titans' two best defensive linemen, are out here, so with the top seed in AFC on line here, Steelers visit shorthanded Titans off huge win at Baltimore, in which Pitt scored winning TD with 0:43 left. Titans split last four games after 10-0 start- they're 4-2 as home favorite- their defense allowed just two TDs on foes' last 35 drives. Pitt held last five opponents to 13 or less points, giving up four TDs on last 57 drives. AFC North road clubs are 10-7 vs spread out of division. AFC South home teams are 6-12.

Dolphins (9-5) @ Chiefs (2-12)-- KC CEO Peterson quit this week, so lot of distractions for Chief club that blew game to Chargers last week, losing 22-21 after it led Bolts 21-3 in third quarter. Miami hasn't allowed TD in last three games, all against bad teams (28 drives); they're 4-2 on road, but 1-6 vs spread when favored. Chiefs have only two wins, but they've covered three in row, six of last eight games- they've trailed at the half in only two of those eight. AFC East road favorites are 3-5 vs spread; AFC West underdogs are 10-13, 2-6 at home.

Cardinals (8-6) @ Patriots (9-5)-- Arizona hasn't travelled well in 2008 (0-4 in EST, 1-3 vs spread, losses by 7-21-4-28 points), but the prolific Cardinal offense is tough matchup for slowish Patriot D. New England is 2-5 as home favorite, losing last two SU- their home wins are by 7-34-7 10 points. Patriots need this game more than Redbirds. Patriots' last five games all went over the total. NFC West road dogs are 6-11 vs spread out of its division; AFC East home favorites are 6-12. Arizona lost three of last four games, giving up 35+ points in all three losses.

Bengals (2-11-1) @ Browns (4-10)-- Cincinnati is 2-1-1 when it allows less than 20 points; in their last four games, Cleveland scored 6-6-9-10 points (no offensive TDs on last 40 drives). Browns won first matchup 20-12 in Week 4 (+3.5) in Queen City, with five takeaways reversing a 6-3 halftime deficit. Total offense in that game was 261-211, Cleveland. Browns are on short work week after losing at Philly Monday; they are 1-6 at home, with only win against the Giants. Bengals are 0-7 on road, with losses by 7-3-9-12-29-17-32 points. Not much to choose from.

Eagles (8-5-1) @ Redskins (7-7)-- Two teams going opposite directions, as Philly won last three games, scoring 32.7 ppg, while Redskins are 1-5 in last six games, with three straight losses. Eagles are 33-50 in last three games on third down, have run ball for 153.3 ypg, after having had one game before that all season with more than 108 rushing yards. Redskins (+6.5) won first meeting 23-17 in Week 5, running ball for 203 yards in game Eagles led 14-9 at half. Home teams are 3-6 vs spread in divisional games in NFC East play. Over is 4-1-1 in Philadelphia's last six games.

49ers (5-9) @ Rams (2-12)-- St Louis is horrible, losing last eight games, but last two at home were 16-12/23-20, when they held Jackson out on last drive on potential game-tying/winning drives. 49ers won 35-16 out at Candlestick in first meeting (-6)- it was 35-3 at half. Rams don't even cover; they're 1-6 vs spread in last seven games. Niners are 2-5 on road, scoring one TD on 18 drives in last two road games. NFC West home dogs are 0-4 vs spread in division games. Under is 5-2-1 in Rams' last eight games, 3-0 in San Francisco's last three contests.

Falcons (9-5) @ Vikings (9-5)-- Minnesota won four in row, six of last seven games, averaging 7.4+ yards/pass in last three, as Jackson's return under center has been success; if they win out, can still get a first-round bye, which is obviously huge. Falcons need to win to keep hopes alive to make playoffs- they're 3-4 on road, but 5-2 in last seven games SU, losing 24-20 to Denver, 29-25 at Sants. Over is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven games, 2-5 in Atlanta's road games. NFC South road dogs are 8-4 vs the spread; NFC North home favorites are 9-5 against the number.

Saints (7-7) @ Lions (0-14)-- New Orleans had three extra days to get ready for this, trying to avoid being Lions' first victim of year. Bush is done for year, though. Saints are 2-6 away from home, winning by 10 at Arrowhead, by 5 in London vs Chargers on neutral field. Detroit is 1-6 vs spread at home- bad teams don't have home field edge, losing at home by 23-27-8-24-18-37-4 points. Over is 5-1-1 in Saints' last seven games, 7-1-1 in Detroit's last nine. NFC South road favorites are 4-1 vs spread, NFC North road dogs are 2-7. Lions are 1-6 as a home dog this season.

Panthers (11-3) @ Giants (11-3)-- Carolina won three in row, seven of last eight games; Giants lost last two, with one offensive TD on last 20 drives, so pressure here squarely on Big Blue, as winner here gets home field throughout NFC playoffs. Since its bye, Carolina has run ball for average of 189.3 ypg, so they're well-suited for a possible bad weather game. You don't think of Panthers as offensive team, but they've scored 28+ points in last five games. Giants ran ball for 88.8 ypg their last four games- they need Jacobs back. NFC road dogs are 8-4 against spread.

Jets (9-5) @ Seahawks (3-11)-- Jets were headed to third straight loss a week ago, before defense scored TD with 1:54 left to keep then in 3-way tie for first in AFC East; they're 0-3 on west coast, and facing Seahawks in Holmgren's last home game. Hawks snapped 6-game skid last week, in game they trailed 17-7 at half; they're 1-6 at home, losing last three home games by 6-3-3 points. AFC East road favorites are 3-5 vs spread out of division; NFC West dogs are 11-18, 5-7 at home. Over is 9-2-1 in Jets' laat dozen games. Jets and Miami can't look ahead to Week 17 meeting.

Texans (7-7) @ Raiders (3-11)-- Houston on four-game win streak, with last two wins by combined total of four points; they're 2-5 on the road, winning 16-6 at Cleveland, 24-21 at Packers. Oakland lost six of seven at home, beating Jets- their home losses are by 27-10-24-11-7-23 points. Texans are 2-3 vs spread as favorite; Raiders are 5-8 as dog, 1-5 at home. AFC South road favorites are 6-3 vs spread; AFC West dogs are 10-13, 2-6 at home. Last four Texan games stayed under total, as did nine of the last ten Raider games. Oakland is 10 for last 38 on third down.

Bills (6-8) @ Broncos (8-6)-- Buffalo gets starter Edwards back at QB here, they've lost three in row, eight of last ten after 4-0 start, losing the game last week in Swamp on colossal blunder, which put Jauron's job in jeopardy. Bills are on road for fourth time in last five weeks, counting their "home" game in Toronto. Denver is 1-3 in last four home tilts, 0-6 vs spread as a home favorite- their home wins this season are by 1-2-3-7 points. AFC East road dogs are 7-3 vs spread. AFC West home faves are 2-7. Four of last five Denver games stayed under the total. Broncos clinch AFC West if they win.

Chargers (6-8) @ Buccaneers (9-5)-- Not sure how much of distraction Kiffin's announcing his departure to Tennessee is; Bucs lost the last two games, giving up 299-175 rushing yards, so their defense has issues, but at home, Bucs are 6-0, winning by 15-9-24-10-6-3 points. Chargers can still make playoffs, but they need win here, and Buffalo to upset Denver Five of six Tampa home games stayed under total, as have five of last six San Diego games. AFC West road dogs are 8-7 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 9-5. Garcia sat out last week; unsure of status here.

Packers (5-9) @ Bears (8-6)-- Chicago won three of last four games, has extra prep time after beating Saints Thursday; they'll be out to avenge a 37-3 loss at Lambeau in Week 11, when Pack had 200 rushing yards, but thats last game Green Bay won. Packers lost last four games, giving up average of 32.3 ppg- opponents scored 17 TDs on 44 drives in last four Packer games. Five of seven Chicago home games went over total; faves are 7-4 vs spread in NFC North games this season. Check weather if you are interested in investing in total; can get dicey on Lake Michigan.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Monday, December 22

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Tips and Trends
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Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears [ESPN | 8:30 PM ET]

Packers: Green Bay's defense has been a major disappointment this year, overshadowing what has been a solid yet unspectacular year for QB Aaron Rodgers in replacing living legend Brett Favre. Charles Woodson pointed to one particular situation that occurred in the team's 20-16 loss at Jacksonville last week, as LB Brady Poppinga and CB Al Harris were seen arguing after a 35-yard pass play. “When you see what you saw today, you know how bad it is,” Woodson said. “When you have two players on the field arguing with each other, you have them on the sideline arguing with each other, then you know it’s bad.”

Packers are 0-4 SU & ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 9-2-1 in Green Bay's last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Brandon Jackson (wrist) is probable.
S Atari Bigby (shoulder) is doubtful

PROJECTED SCORE: 21 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Bears (-4, O/U 41): Chicago has revenge on its mind after suffering a 37-3 loss at Lambeau Field back on November 16th. The Bears have not been swept by the Packers under head coach Lovie Smith but has split the last four meetings at Soldier Field. "They did whup on us pretty good the last time we met,” Chicago WR Devin Hester said. “We still have it in the back of our heads. We have a long week to prepare - a couple extra days - and we’ll prepare for them, and hopefully this week come out ready to play them.”

Bears are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Chicago.
The OVER is 20-7 in Chicago's last 27 home games.

Key Injuries - RB Matt Forte (toe) is probable.
WR Marty Booker (ribs) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

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[Udog]

NFL


Saturday, December 20

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Tips and Trends
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Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys [NFL | 8:15 PM ET]

Ravens: Baltimore QB Joe Flacco sounds like anything but a rookie heading into the last couple games of his first season in the NFL as his team looks to clinch a playoff berth. “We’ll be fine,” Flacco said. “We’ve got two games left to get some wins and prove that we’re a playoff team, and that’s exactly what we’re going to do.” The Ravens suffered a tough 13-9 home loss to Pittsburgh last Sunday and now need to win their last two games to guarantee themselves a spot in the postseason.

Ravens are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
The UNDER is 9-2 in Baltimore's last 11 games in Week 16.

Key Injuries - WR Derrick Mason (shoulder) is probable.
RB Ray Rice (calf) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Cowboys (-4, O/U 39.5): Dallas LB DeMarcus Ware is just 3.5 sacks away from setting the NFL's single-season sacks record, and he is one of the main reasons the Cowboys have put stayed in the playoff hunt. “He’s going to draw a lot of double teams, a lot of chips and all that stuff,” Dallas head coach Wade Phillips said. “But he continues to come through. I think it’s outstanding that he’s gotten to this point even threatening the record.” Like the Ravens, the Cowboys can clinch a spot in the postseason by winning their last two games. This will be the last regular-season game played at Texas Stadium, but the home team is hoping it's certainly not the last one overall.

Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 December games.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Dallas' last 5 games overall.

Key Injuries - QB Tony Romo (back) is probable.
RB Marion Barber (toe) is questionable.
CB Adam Jones (neck) is questionable.
WR Roy Williams (foot) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21


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