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Kaptains "Wacky ass plays" Friday

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  • #16
    Good luck tonight Kapt!

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    • #17
      i like it when the goats "wacky ass" !!!
      good luck my friend and may the goats be kind to you !!!
      dave - vgf
      jc Wishes He Can Get A Goat

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      • #18
        good luck on tha playz tonight, Kapt'n!

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        • #19
          Great job last night Kaptain. Good luck tonight with those parlays.
          Please don't question my record or I will leave!!!!

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          • #20
            Kick that ass tonight Kapt!

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            • #21
              BOL El Kapitan!
              NFL
              5* 1-0
              2* 6-2-1
              1* 9-4
              total = 16-6-1


              ________________

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              • #22
                GL Kapt to the SMOOTH sailing to MONEY ISLAND

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                • #23
                  best of luck kapt
                  Do or Do Not" there is no try

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                  • #24
                    Nice work Kaptain!

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

                      NBA 3 team Money Line Parlay -110
                      704 Clev -625
                      709 San Antonio -355
                      718 Portland -400..........1 = .86.....................10*/8.60

                      Same in NCAA BB---3 team ML parlay -110
                      726 Iowa -380
                      728 Ark Lil Rock -370
                      730 Drake -840.............1 = .80......................10*/8.00
                      Hey Kap,
                      don't take this as a personal attack (it isn't), it's just an observation.
                      I've played numerous parlays through the years (we all have) i'm sure.
                      But i found the ones posted to be extremely difficult to make a profit on.
                      Because they're on the ML the payout for either one doesn't cover the other.
                      My point is, the only way to make money on those particular parlays, is to win both.
                      If just one team on either one of them loses then no profit can be made between the two.
                      To make a profit from them you really would have had to hit a 6 team parlay. (win them all)
                      I didn't take the time to figure out the math but i think one 6 team parlay may have been safer.
                      Based on the odds i mean. And of course risking a lesser total amount to win even more profit.

                      I know that everyone has their own way of doing things (whatever works for them).
                      Again, it's just an observation, i'm still learning shit myself 30+ years of gambling later.

                      Through the years on these sport sites in discussions like this i'm usually able to learn more.
                      (contrary to popular belief - i still like to think that thats what these sites are here for)

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by FRITO View Post
                        Hey Kap,
                        don't take this as a personal attack (it isn't), it's just an observation.
                        I've played numerous parlays through the years (we all have) i'm sure.
                        But i found the ones posted to be extremely difficult to make a profit on.
                        Because they're on the ML the payout for either one doesn't cover the other.
                        My point is, the only way to make money on those particular parlays, is to win both.
                        If just one team on either one of them loses then no profit can be made between the two.
                        To make a profit from them you really would have had to hit a 6 team parlay. (win them all)
                        I didn't take the time to figure out the math but i think one 6 team parlay may have been safer.
                        Based on the odds i mean. And of course risking a lesser total amount to win even more profit.

                        I know that everyone has their own way of doing things (whatever works for them).
                        Again, it's just an observation, i'm still learning shit myself 30+ years of gambling later.

                        Through the years on these sport sites in discussions like this i'm usually able to learn more.
                        (contrary to popular belief - i still like to think that thats what these sites are here for)
                        yup but sometimes u just have to throw those plays out there because spreads to close to call
                        the ole kaptain hardly throws these to the shipmen so he musthave felt strong about it

                        gl frito hope that helps ya
                        rjeremy for my accounts manager/i love how he keeps numbers

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                        • #27
                          Originally posted by Kaptain View Post
                          NO---they won their first 2 games by 3 and 4 I think.....and Montana is no slouch....12 is 2 TD posessions...too much can happen there, but I would take em in a 6-7 pt teaser, bringing it back down to 1 possession....IMO

                          go to cbs sportsine, lokk up college FB, FCS, click on it, and see what they won by....and who they played....Montana is 13-1, and Madison 12-1

                          PS---Sagarin Ratings go this way.....
                          Montana 70
                          Madison 78.....= 8 pt diff, and now add 4 pt home field...= 12

                          Mont SOS = 52
                          Mad = 62.....Mad has played tougher

                          Sag ELO rating...= how they're playing against their competition....
                          Mont 69
                          Mad 81....= 12....add home field....barely over 12....

                          Part of my capping attributes I consider...thus---in a teaser OK,.....outright no....teaser brings it back to 1 possession, it takes 2 possession differences for me to play someone outright.....

                          could be wrong either way
                          Thanks Kapt.Didn't get a chance to reply yesterday but took Montana Thanks for the winner and the response.

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