Good luck tonight Kapt!
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Kaptains "Wacky ass plays" Friday
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Originally posted by Kaptain View Post
NBA 3 team Money Line Parlay -110
704 Clev -625
709 San Antonio -355
718 Portland -400..........1 = .86.....................10*/8.60
Same in NCAA BB---3 team ML parlay -110
726 Iowa -380
728 Ark Lil Rock -370
730 Drake -840.............1 = .80......................10*/8.00
don't take this as a personal attack (it isn't), it's just an observation.
I've played numerous parlays through the years (we all have) i'm sure.
But i found the ones posted to be extremely difficult to make a profit on.
Because they're on the ML the payout for either one doesn't cover the other.
My point is, the only way to make money on those particular parlays, is to win both.
If just one team on either one of them loses then no profit can be made between the two.
To make a profit from them you really would have had to hit a 6 team parlay. (win them all)
I didn't take the time to figure out the math but i think one 6 team parlay may have been safer.
Based on the odds i mean. And of course risking a lesser total amount to win even more profit.
I know that everyone has their own way of doing things (whatever works for them).
Again, it's just an observation, i'm still learning shit myself 30+ years of gambling later.
Through the years on these sport sites in discussions like this i'm usually able to learn more.
(contrary to popular belief - i still like to think that thats what these sites are here for)
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Originally posted by FRITO View PostHey Kap,
don't take this as a personal attack (it isn't), it's just an observation.
I've played numerous parlays through the years (we all have) i'm sure.
But i found the ones posted to be extremely difficult to make a profit on.
Because they're on the ML the payout for either one doesn't cover the other.
My point is, the only way to make money on those particular parlays, is to win both.
If just one team on either one of them loses then no profit can be made between the two.
To make a profit from them you really would have had to hit a 6 team parlay. (win them all)
I didn't take the time to figure out the math but i think one 6 team parlay may have been safer.
Based on the odds i mean. And of course risking a lesser total amount to win even more profit.
I know that everyone has their own way of doing things (whatever works for them).
Again, it's just an observation, i'm still learning shit myself 30+ years of gambling later.
Through the years on these sport sites in discussions like this i'm usually able to learn more.
(contrary to popular belief - i still like to think that thats what these sites are here for)
the ole kaptain hardly throws these to the shipmen so he musthave felt strong about it
gl frito hope that helps yarjeremy for my accounts manager/i love how he keeps numbers
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Originally posted by Kaptain View PostNO---they won their first 2 games by 3 and 4 I think.....and Montana is no slouch....12 is 2 TD posessions...too much can happen there, but I would take em in a 6-7 pt teaser, bringing it back down to 1 possession....IMO
go to cbs sportsine, lokk up college FB, FCS, click on it, and see what they won by....and who they played....Montana is 13-1, and Madison 12-1
PS---Sagarin Ratings go this way.....
Montana 70
Madison 78.....= 8 pt diff, and now add 4 pt home field...= 12
Mont SOS = 52
Mad = 62.....Mad has played tougher
Sag ELO rating...= how they're playing against their competition....
Mont 69
Mad 81....= 12....add home field....barely over 12....
Part of my capping attributes I consider...thus---in a teaser OK,.....outright no....teaser brings it back to 1 possession, it takes 2 possession differences for me to play someone outright.....
could be wrong either way
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