NFL Week 15 Picks

[roccodean]

Will have full analysis later tonight. Might upgrade to 3*. Good luck whoever you play!

1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit (6% of bankroll)
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units


Line listed is the consensus line when game is posted, and these will be what I use for my record. View individual write ups for specific star changes if the line is different.


2* Chicago -3 over New Orleans (possible upgrade to 3*)

[BettorsChat]

gl Dean

[Dat Boi E]

good luck with Da Bearz tonight, Rocco D!

[hokie99]

BOL with the Bears Rocco!

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck on the Bears Rocco!

[Spark]

Good Luck roc


GO BEARS

[roccodean]

thanks all!

[jt4545]

Good luck tonight

[roccodean]

Keeping bears a 2*

The Saints cannot win on the road (1-5) and the Bears are 8-0 their last 8 December games at home against dome teams...that's good enough for me to make Da Bears a 2* play. The Bears D is very good allowing only 3.5 YPR (5th) and more importantly 6.5 YPPA (9th). Noone can stop Brees, but the Bears D is good enough to contain him. The Saint D is terrible allowing 4.1 YPR and 7.2 YPPA. This should let Forte run wild on them and control the cleck and get the win.

[roccodean]

had a push on da bears. also liking hou, sf, det, oak. Will post if have play.

2* Arizona -3 over Minnesota (possible upgrade)
Arizona clinched their division last week, but that doesn't mean that they are going to lay down now. This line is way off because Minnesota is fighting for a division spot. Arizona should be a TD favorite in this game. Minnesota can stop the run (2nd in NFL), but that's all they can do. Arizona averages 8 YPPA (5th) and will face a Vikings D that is 22nd in the NFL. Arizona can stop the run allowing only 3.8 YPR (9th) and they are pretty good against the pass (7 YPPA, 17th). I don't see the Vikings moving the ball with Jackson at the helm. Take advantage of the low line here...this would be a 4* play but I am hesitant because of the cards clinching last week.

[BillMill71]

Good Luck Rocco

[baseballdave]

good luck today rocco
dave

[Tornado3311]

GL rocco

[LeRoy]

GL today Rocco

[roccodean]

Would have been 3-0 at 1 oclock...want to jump off a bridge. I have found that it is way worse not betting winners than betting losers!!!

Adding

1* Oakland